Christopher E. Hann

Implementation and evaluation of the SPRINT protocol for tight glycaemic control in critically ill patients: a clinical practice change

IntroductionStress-induced hyperglycaemia is prevalent in critical care. Control of blood glucose levels to within a 4.4 to 6.1 mmol/L range or below 7.75 mmol/L can reduce mortality and improve clinical outcomes. The Specialised Relative Insulin Nutrition Tables (SPRINT) protocol is a simple wheel-based system that modulates insulin and nutritional inputs for tight glycaemic control.MethodsSPRINT was implemented as a clinical practice change in a general intensive care unit (ICU). The objective of this study was to measure the effect of the SPRINT protocol on glycaemic control and mortality compared with previous ICU control methods. Glycaemic control and mortality outcomes for 371 SPRINT patients with a median Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score of 18 (interquartile range [IQR] 15 to 24) are compared with a 413-patient retrospective cohort with a median APACHE II score of 18 (IQR 15 to 23).ResultsOverall, 53.9% of all measurements were in the 4.4 to 6.1 mmol/L band. Blood glucose concentrations were found to be log-normal and thus log-normal statistics are used throughout to describe the data. The average log-normal glycaemia was 6.0 mmol/L (standard deviation 1.5 mmol/L). Only 9.0% of all measurements were below 4.4 mmol/L, with 3.8% below 4 mmol/L and 0.1% of measurements below 2.2 mmol/L. On SPRINT, 80% more measurements were in the 4.4 to 6.1 mmol/L band and standard deviation of blood glucose was 38% lower compared with the retrospective control. The range and peak of blood glucose were not correlated with mortality for SPRINT patients (P >0.30). For ICU length of stay (LoS) of greater than or equal to 3 days, hospital mortality was reduced from 34.1% to 25.4% (-26%) (P = 0.05). For ICU LoS of greater than or equal to 4 days, hospital mortality was reduced from 34.3% to 23.5% (-32%) (P = 0.02). For ICU LoS of greater than or equal to 5 days, hospital mortality was reduced from 31.9% to 20.6% (-35%) (P = 0.02). ICU mortality was also reduced but the P value was less than 0.13 for ICU LoS of greater than or equal to 4 and 5 days.ConclusionSPRINT achieved a high level of glycaemic control on a severely ill critical cohort population. Reductions in mortality were observed compared with a retrospective hyperglycaemic cohort. Range and peak blood glucose metrics were no longer correlated with mortality outcome under SPRINT.

Integral-based parameter identification for long-term dynamic verification of a glucose-insulin system model

Hyperglycaemia in critically ill patients increases the risk of further complications and mortality. This paper introduces a model capable of capturing the essential glucose and insulin kinetics in patients from retrospective data gathered in an intensive care unit (ICU). The model uses two time-varying patient specific parameters for glucose effectiveness and insulin sensitivity. The model is mathematically reformulated in terms of integrals to enable a novel method for identification of patient specific parameters. The method was tested on long-term blood glucose recordings from 17 ICU patients, producing 4% average error, which is within the sensor error. One-hour forward predictions of blood glucose data proved acceptable with an error of 2-11%. All identified parameter values were within reported physiological ranges. The parameter identification method is more accurate and significantly faster computationally than commonly used non-linear, non-convex methods. These results verify the models ability to capture long-term observed glucose-insulin dynamics in hyperglycemic ICU patients, as well as the fitting method developed. Applications of the model and parameter identification method for automated control of blood glucose and medical decision support are discussed.

A physiological Intensive Control Insulin-Nutrition-Glucose (ICING) model validated in critically ill patients

Intensive insulin therapy (IIT) and tight glycaemic control (TGC), particularly in intensive care unit (ICU), are the subjects of increasing and controversial debate in recent years. Model-based TGC has shown potential in delivering safe and tight glycaemic management, all the while limiting hypoglycaemia. A comprehensive, more physiologically relevant Intensive Control Insulin-Nutrition-Glucose (ICING) model is presented and validated using data from critically ill patients. Two existing glucose-insulin models are reviewed and formed the basis for the ICING model. Model limitations are discussed with respect to relevant physiology, pharmacodynamics and TGC practicality. Model identifiability issues are carefully considered for clinical settings. This article also contains significant reference to relevant physiology and clinical literature, as well as some references to the modeling efforts in this field. Identification of critical constant population parameters was performed in two stages, thus addressing model identifiability issues. Model predictive performance is the primary factor for optimizing population parameter values. The use of population values are necessary due to the limited clinical data available at the bedside in the clinical control scenario. Insulin sensitivity, S(I), the only dynamic, time-varying parameter, is identified hourly for each individual. All population parameters are justified physiologically and with respect to values reported in the clinical literature. A parameter sensitivity study confirms the validity of limiting time-varying parameters to S(I) only, as well as the choices for the population parameters. The ICING model achieves median fitting error of <1% over data from 173 patients (N=42,941 h in total) who received insulin while in the ICU and stayed for ≥ 72 h. Most importantly, the median per-patient 1-h ahead prediction error is a very low 2.80% [IQR 1.18, 6.41%]. It is significant that the 75th percentile prediction error is within the lower bound of typical glucometer measurement errors of 7-12%. These results confirm that the ICING model is suitable for developing model-based insulin therapies, and capable of delivering real-time model-based TGC with a very tight prediction error range. Finally, the detailed examination and discussion of issues surrounding model-based TGC and existing glucose-insulin models render this article a mini-review of the state of model-based TGC in critical care.

Tight glycemic control in critical care - The leading role of insulin sensitivity and patient variability: A review and model-based analysis

Tight glycemic control (TGC) has emerged as a major research focus in critical care due to its potential to simultaneously reduce both mortality and costs. However, repeating initial successful TGC trials that reduced mortality and other outcomes has proven difficult with more failures than successes. Hence, there has been growing debate over the necessity of TGC, its goals, the risk of severe hypoglycemia, and target cohorts. This paper provides a review of TGC via new analyses of data from several clinical trials, including SPRINT, Glucontrol and a recent NICU study. It thus provides both a review of the problem and major background factors driving it, as well as a novel model-based analysis designed to examine these dynamics from a new perspective. Using these clinical results and analysis, the goal is to develop new insights that shed greater light on the leading factors that make TGC difficult and inconsistent, as well as the requirements they thus impose on the design and implementation of TGC protocols. A model-based analysis of insulin sensitivity using data from three different critical care units, comprising over 75,000h of clinical data, is used to analyse variability in metabolic dynamics using a clinically validated model-based insulin sensitivity metric (S(I)). Variation in S(I) provides a new interpretation and explanation for the variable results seen (across cohorts and studies) in applying TGC. In particular, significant intra- and inter-patient variability in insulin resistance (1/S(I)) is seen be a major confounder that makes TGC difficult over diverse cohorts, yielding variable results over many published studies and protocols. Further factors that exacerbate this variability in glycemic outcome are found to include measurement frequency and whether a protocol is blind to carbohydrate administration.

Model-Based Insulin and Nutrition Administration for Tight Glycaemic Control in Critical Care

OBJECTIVE Present a new model-based tight glycaemic control approach using variable insulin and nutrition administration. BACKGROUND Hyperglycaemia is prevalent in critical care. Current published protocols use insulin alone to reduce blood glucose levels, require significant added clinical effort, and provide highly variable results. None directly address both the practical clinical difficulties and significant patient variation seen in general critical care, while also providing tight control. METHODS The approach presented manages both nutritional inputs and exogenous insulin infusions using tables simplified from a model-based, computerised protocol. Unique delivery aspects include bolus insulin delivery for safety and variable enteral nutrition rates. Unique development aspects include the use of simulated virtual patient trials created from retrospective data. The model, protocol development, and first 50 clinical case results are presented. RESULTS High qualitative correlation to within +/-10% between simulated virtual trials and published clinical results validates the overall approach. Pilot tests covering 7358 patient hours produced an average glucose of 5.9 +/- 1.1 mmol/L. Time in the 4-6.1 mmol/L band was 59%, with 84% in 4.0-7.0 mmol/L, and 92% in 4.0-7.75 mmol/L. The average feed rate was 63% of patient specific goal feed and the average insulin dose was 2.6U/hour. There was one hypoglycaemic measurement of 2.1 mmol/L. No departures from protocol or clinical interventions were required at any time. SUMMARY Modulating both low dose insulin boluses and nutrition input rates challenges the current practice of using only insulin in larger doses to reduce hyperglycaemic levels. Clinical results show very tight control in safe glycaemic bands. The approach could be readily adopted in any typical ICU.

Monte Carlo analysis of a new model-based method for insulin sensitivity testing

Insulin resistance (IR), or low insulin sensitivity, is a major risk factor in the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. A simple, high resolution assessment of IR would enable earlier diagnosis and more accurate monitoring of intervention effects. Current assessments are either too intensive for clinical settings (Euglycaemic Clamp, IVGTT) or have too low resolution (HOMA, fasting glucose/insulin). Based on high correlation of a model-based measure of insulin sensitivity and the clamp, a novel, clinically useful test protocol is designed with: physiological dosing, short duration (<1 h), simple protocol, low cost and high repeatability. Accuracy and repeatability are assessed with Monte Carlo analysis on a virtual clamp cohort (N=146). Insulin sensitivity as measured by this test has a coefficient of variation (CV) of CV(SI)=4.5% (90% CI: 3.8-5.7%), slightly higher than clamp ISI (CV(ISI)=3.3% (90% CI: 3.0-4.0%)) and significantly lower than HOMA (CV(HOMA)=10.0% (90% CI: 9.1-10.8%)). Correlation to glucose and unit normalised ISI is r=0.98 (90% CI: 0.97-0.98). The proposed protocol is simple, cost effective, repeatable and highly correlated to the gold-standard clamp.

Fast normalized cross correlation for motion tracking using basis functions

Digital image-based elasto-tomography (DIET) is an emerging method for non-invasive breast cancer screening. Effective clinical application of the DIET system requires highly accurate motion tracking of the surface of an actuated breast with minimal computation. Normalized cross correlation (NCC) is the most robust correlation measure for determining similarity between points in two or more images providing an accurate foundation for motion tracking. However, even using fast Fourier transform (FFT) methods, it is too computationally intense for rapidly managing several large images. A significantly faster method of calculating the NCC is presented that uses rectangular approximations in place of randomly placed landmark points or the natural marks on the breast. These approximations serve as an optimal set of basis functions that are automatically detected, dramatically reducing computational requirements. To prove the concept, the method is shown to be 37-150 times faster than the FFT-based NCC with the same accuracy for simulated data, a visco-elastic breast phantom experiment and human skin. Clinically, this approach enables thousands of randomly placed points to be rapidly and accurately tracked providing high resolution for the DIET system.

A minimal model of lung mechanics and model-based markers for optimizing ventilator treatment in ARDS patients

A majority of patients admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) require some form of respiratory support. In the case of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS), the patient often requires full intervention from a mechanical ventilator. ARDS is also associated with mortality rate as high as 70%. Despite many recent studies on ventilator treatment of the disease, there are no well established methods to determine the optimal Positive End-Expiratory Pressure (PEEP) or other critical ventilator settings for individual patients. A model of fundamental lung mechanics is developed based on capturing the recruitment status of lung units. The main objective of this research is to develop a minimal model that is clinically effective in determining PEEP. The model was identified for a variety of different ventilator settings using clinical data. The fitting error was between 0.1% and 4% over the inflation limb and between 0.3% and 13% over the deflation limb at different PEEP settings. The model produces good correlation with clinical data, and is clinically applicable due to the minimal number of patient specific parameters to identify. The ability to use this identified patient specific model to optimize ventilator management is demonstrated by its ability to predict the patient specific response of PEEP changes before clinically applying them. Predictions of recruited lung volume change with change in PEEP have a median absolute error of 1.87% (IQR: 0.93-4.80%; 90% CI: 0.16-11.98%) for inflation and a median of 5.76% (IQR: 2.71-10.50%; 90% CI: 0.43-17.04%) for deflation, across all data sets and PEEP values (N=34predictions). This minimal model thus provides a clinically useful and relatively simple platform for continuous patient specific monitoring of lung unit recruitment for a patient.

Model-based cardiac diagnosis of pulmonary embolism

A minimal cardiac model has been shown to accurately capture a wide range of cardiovascular system dynamics commonly seen in the intensive care unit (ICU). However, standard parameter identification methods for this model are highly non-linear and non-convex, hindering real-time clinical application. An integral-based identification method that transforms the problem into a linear, convex problem, has been previously developed, but was only applied on continuous simulated data with random noise. This paper extends the method to handle discrete sets of clinical data, unmodelled dynamics, a significantly reduced data set theta requires only the minimum and maximum values of the pressure in the aorta, pulmonary artery and the volumes in the ventricles. The importance of integrals in the formulation for noise reduction is illustrated by demonstrating instability in the identification using simple derivative-based approaches. The cardiovascular system (CVS) model and parameter identification method are then clinically validated on porcine data for pulmonary embolism. Errors for the identified model are within 10% when re-simulated and compared to clinical data. All identified parameter trends match clinically expected changes. This work represents the first clinical validation of these models, methods and approach to cardiovascular diagnosis in critical care.

Blood Glucose Controller for Neonatal Intensive Care: Virtual Trials Development and First Clinical Trials

Background: Premature neonates often experience hyperglycemia, which has been linked to worsened outcomes. Insulin therapy can assist in controlling blood glucose (BG) levels. However, a reliable, robust control protocol is required to avoid hypoglycemia and to ensure that clinically important nutrition goals are met. Methods: This study presents an adaptive, model-based predictive controller designed to incorporate the unique metabolic state of the neonate. Controller performance was tested and refined in virtual trials on a 25-patient retrospective cohort. The effects of measurement frequency and BG sensor error were evaluated. A stochastic model of insulin sensitivity was used in control to provide a guaranteed maximum 4% risk of BG < 72 mg/dl to protect against hypoglycemia as well as account for patient variability over 1–3 h intervals when determining the intervention. The resulting controller is demonstrated in two 24 h clinical neonatal pilot trials at Christchurch Womens Hospital. Results: Time in the 72–126 mg/dl BG band was increased by 103–161% compared to retrospective clinical control for virtual trials of the controller, with fewer hypoglycemic measurements. Controllers were robust to BG sensor errors. The model-based controller maintained glycemia to a tight target control range and accounted for interpatient variability in patient glycemic response despite using more insulin than the retrospective case, illustrating a further measure of controller robustness. Pilot clinical trials demonstrated initial safety and efficacy of the control method. Conclusions: A controller was developed that made optimum use of the very limited available BG measurements in the neonatal intensive care unit and provided robustness against BG sensor error and longer BG measurement intervals. It used more insulin than typical sliding scale approaches or retrospective hospital control. The potential advantages of a model-based approach demonstrated in simulation were applied to initial clinical trials.