Coby L. Needle

Deriving condition indices from standard fisheries databases and evaluating their sensitivity to variation in stored energy reserves

To evaluate interstock differences in condition, it would be advantageous to develop stock-level condition indices from standardized databases on weight and length. This study describes a method fo...

Fishing for MSY: using “pretty good yield” ranges without impairing recruitment

28 Pretty Good Yield (PGY) is a sustainable fish yield corresponding to obtaining no less than a specified large 29 percentage of the Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY). We investigated 19 European fish stocks to test the 30 hypothesis that 95% PGY yield range is inherently precautionary with respect to impairing recruitment. An FMSY 31 range was calculated for each stock as the range of fishing mortalities (F) that lead to an average catch of at 32 least 95% of MSY in the long term simulations. Further, a precautionary reference point for each stock (FP.05) 33 was defined as the F resulting in a 5% probability of the spawning stock biomass falling below an agreed 34 biomass limit below which recruitment is impaired (Blim) in long‐term simulations. For the majority of the stocks 35 analysed, the upper bound of the FMSY range exceeded the estimated FP.05. However, larger fish species had 36 higher precautionary limits to fishing mortality, and species with larger asymptotic length were less likely to 37

Comment on "Fisheries mismanagement"

The recent article by O’Leary et al. (2011) raises an important question about the relationship between science and those who manage fisheries. They contend that fishery managers do not give due cognisance to scientific advice and consistently set Total Allowable Catches (TACs) above values advised by scientists (which they define as ‘‘political adjustment’’). The authors claim that the consequence of this is that there is a high probability of stock collapse in the next 40 years. They use a simulation model to argue that this probability may exceed 80% at the mean level of political adjustment adopted by managers, depending on the degree of environmental variability and life history strategy of the fish.