D.J. Patel

Early continuous ST segment monitoring in unstable angina: prognostic value additional to the clinical characteristics and the admission electrocardiogram.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: In unstable angina, clinical characteristics, resting electrocardiography, and early continuous ST segment monitoring have been individually reported to identify subgroups at increased risk of adverse outcome. It is not known, however, whether continuous ST monitoring provides additional prognostic information in such a setting. DESIGN: Observational study of 212 patients with unstable angina without evidence of acute myocardial infarction admitted to district general hospitals, who had participated in a randomised study comparing heparin and aspirin treatment versus aspirin alone. METHODS: Clinical variables and a 12 lead electrocardiogram (ECG) were recorded at admission, and treatment was standardised to include aspirin, atenolol, diltiazem, and intravenous glyceryl trinitrate, in addition to intravenous heparin (randomised treatment). Continuous ST segment monitoring was performed for 48 h and all inhospital adverse events were recorded. RESULTS: The admission ECG was normal in 61 patients (29%), showed ST depression in 59 (28%) (17 > or = 0.1 mV), and T wave changes in a further 69 (33%). The remaining 23 had Q waves (18), right bundle branch block (four), or ST elevation (one). During 8963 h of continuous ST segment monitoring (mean 42.3 h/patient), 132 episodes of transient myocardial ischaemia (104 silent) were recorded in 32 patients (15%). Forty patients (19%) had an adverse event (cardiac deaths (n = 3), non-fatal myocardial infarction (n = 6) and, emergency revascularisation (n = 31)). Both admission ECG ST depression (P = 0.02), and transient ischaemia (P < 0.001) predicted an increased risk of non-fatal myocardial infarction or death, while no patients with a normal ECG died or had a myocardial infarction. Adverse outcome was predicted by admission ECG ST depression (regardless of severity) (odds ratio (OR) 3.41) (P < 0.001), and maintenance beta blocker treatment (OR 2.95) (P < 0.01). A normal ECG predicted a favourable outcome (OR 0.38) (P = 0.04), while T wave or other ECG changes were not predictive of outcome. Transient ischaemia was the strongest predictor of adverse prognosis (OR 4.61) (P < 0.001), retaining independent predictive value in multivariate analysis (OR 2.94) (P = 0.03), as did maintenance beta blocker treatment (OR 2.85) (P = 0.01) and admission ECG ST depression, which showed a trend towards independent predictive value (OR 2.11) (P = 0.076). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with unstable angina and a normal admission ECG have a good prognosis, while ST segment depression predicts an adverse outcome. Transient myocardial ischaemia detected by continuous ST segment monitoring in such patients receiving optimal medical treatment provides prognostic information additional to that gleaned from the clinical characteristics or the admission ECG.

Women with chest pain: is exercise testing worthwhile?

OBJECTIVE: To determine the diagnostic value of the exercise tolerance test (ETT) in women presenting with chest pain. DESIGN: Prospective study of all women presenting to a centre with chest pain between 1987 and 1993 who were assessed by an ETT and coronary angiography. SETTING: The outpatient clinic of one consultant cardiologist in a tertiary referral centre. PATIENTS: All women referred to this outpatient clinic with chest pain were screened. For inclusion, patients had to perform ETT and undergo coronary angiography. Of the 347 referred during this period, 142 were excluded because they were unable to perform ETT or because of Q waves or other abnormalities on their resting electrocardiogram. RESULTS: Overall the sensitivity of the ETT was 68% and the specificity was 61%, with a positive predictive value of 0.61 and a negative predictive value of 0.68. There were 42 false positive and 31 false negative ETT results (36% of the study group). The predictive value of a negative test was higher in younger women (< 52 years) than in the older group (> or = 52 years) (P = 0.004), but the positive predictive value in the two groups was not significantly different. The predictive value of a negative test was also higher in those with two or fewer risk factors than in those with three or more risk factors (P = 0.001). The negative predictive value for those women above 52 years with three or more risk factors (24% of the study group) was only 0.25. Lack of chest pain during ETT was associated with a higher negative predictive value in the younger group than in the older women (P = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: In women with chest pain use of the ETT was a misleading predictor of the presence or absence of coronary disease in 36% of these patients. In particular, a negative test in older women with three or more risk factors had a very low predictive value. The inclusion of risk factors and division by age can, however, be used to identify a population at intermediate risk for coronary artery disease in whom the ETT result has the highest diagnostic utility.

Can C reactive protein or troponins T and I predict outcome in patients with intractable unstable angina

Objective To determine whether a single blood test for the measurement of C reactive protein, or troponin I or T concentrations could be used to stratify patients with intractable unstable angina awaiting transfer for coronary angiography by correlating these values with coronary anatomy and transient myocardial ischaemia. Design Prospective study. Setting Tertiary cardiac unit. Patients All patients admitted to their local hospital with ischaemic chest pain, uncontrolled by medical treatment, in whom acute myocardial infarction had been excluded by serial measurement of creatine kinase and lack of Q waves on ECG. Intervention Coronary angiography and ST segment monitoring for 24 hours. Main outcome measures Concentrations of C reactive protein, troponins T and I, coronary anatomy, presence of transient myocardial ischaemia. Results Median C reactive protein, troponin I, and troponin T concentrations were 17.1 mg/dl (4.8 to 203.9), 0.05 μg/l (0 to 7.8), and 0.0 μg/l (0 to 2.51), respectively. Seven patients (10%) had normal coronaries and 14, 20, and 31 had one, two, or three vessel coronary disease, respectively. Nineteen (26%) had transient myocardial ischaemia, 33 (46%) had complex lesion morphology, and six (8%) had intracoronary thrombus. Of the three markers, troponin T alone was higher in patients with multivessel disease (p < 0.05) and in those with transient myocardial ischaemia (p < 0.05), but there was no significant relation between C reactive protein, troponin T or I and lesion morphology or thrombus. Conclusions In patients transferred to a tertiary centre with intractable chest pain, C reactive protein and troponin I are not predictive of transient myocardial ischaemia or lesion morphology, both of which are surrogate markers of outcome. Troponin T is, however, raised in patients with multivessel disease or transient myocardial ischaemia. These serum protein assays cannot be used to stratify the risk of patients with unstable angina who are awaiting transfer to the tertiary centre.

Natural variability of transient myocardial ischaemia during daily life: an obstacle when assessing efficacy of anti-ischaemic agents?

OBJECTIVE: To assess the degree of variability of transient myocardial ischaemia during daily life in patients with coronary artery disease, which could confound the interpretation of trials of the therapeutic effects of anti-ischaemic agents. DESIGN: Prospective method evaluation. SETTING: Tertiary referral centre, outpatient clinic. PATIENTS: Patients with stable angina, confirmed coronary artery disease, and a positive treadmill exercise test for ischaemia. Patients were not preselected on the basis of prior documented transient ischaemia during ambulatory ST segment monitoring. INTERVENTIONS: A simulated drug-study with 4 monitoring phases in 16 subjects. To minimise variability in ischaemic activity, patients underwent weekly 48 hour ambulatory ST segment monitoring outside hospital off all prophylactic therapy on the same weekdays for 4 weeks. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Variability in the frequency and duration of transient myocardial ischaemia. RESULTS: There was marked variability in both ischaemic activity and mean duration of ischaemia in patients with confirmed ischaemia, the greatest degree of variability being between patients and from day to day within weeks within patients, with a further contribution to variability being noted between fortnights within patients. CONCLUSIONS: Despite assessment off all therapy and an adequate period of monitoring (48 hours) with small intervals between monitoring periods (5 days), marked variability in ischaemic activity was noted, and regression towards the mean was clearly shown. Ambulatory ST segment monitoring outside hospital is not a reliable method for assessing the therapeutic effects of anti-ischaemic agents.

Asymptomatic ischaemia during daily life in stable coronary disease: relevant or redundant?

common during daily life in such patients.2 Though there are various theories why some episodes of ischaemia are asymptomatic and others symptomatic,3-5 both types of episode have similar underlying characteristics67 and haemodynamic consequences.89 Asymptomatic ischaemic episodes during daily life are viewed as being bad for the patient with coronary disease, and therefore their detection and eradication are believed to be beneficial. The need to seek and treat will depend on showing that asymptomatic ischaemia during daily activities is associated with an adverse prognosis and, more importantly, on showing that such treatment improves outcome. In the past five years there have been nine long-term (>1 year follow up) prognostic studies of ambulatory ST segment monitoring in over 1000 patients with stable coronary disease who either had known coronary disease or who were being treated for angina. We have reviewed these studies in an attempt to assess the prognostic significance of asymptomatic ischaemia during daily life for the subsequent hard end points of acute myocardial infarction and cardiac death and to soft end points of unstable angina and requirement for revascularisation.