Darin B. Zahuranec

Early care limitations independently predict mortality after intracerebral hemorrhage

Objective: Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is associated with a high early mortality rate. We examined the impact of early do not resuscitate (DNR) orders and other limitations in aggressive care on mortality after ICH in a community-based study. Methods: Cases of spontaneous ICH from 2000 to 2003 were identified from the Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi (BASIC) project, with deaths ascertained through 2005. Charts were reviewed for early (<24 hours from presentation) DNR orders, withdrawal of care, or deferral of other life sustaining interventions, analyzed together as combined DNR (C-DNR). Multivariable Cox-proportional hazards models were used to examine the association between short- and long-term all-cause mortality and early C-DNR, adjusted for demographics and established predictors of mortality after ICH. Results: Of 18,393 subjects screened for cerebrovascular disease, 270 non-traumatic ICH cases were included. Cumulative mortality risk was 0.43 at 30 days and 0.55 over the study course. Early C-DNR was noted in 34% of cases and was associated with a doubling in the hazard of death both at 30 days (hazard ratio [HR] 2.17, 95% CI 1.38, 3.41) and at end of follow-up (HR 1.92, 95% CI 1.29, 2.87) despite adjustment for age, gender, ethnicity, Glasgow Coma Scale, ICH volume, intraventricular hemorrhage, and infratentorial hemorrhage. Conclusions: Early care limitations are independently associated with both short- and long-term all-cause mortality after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) despite adjustment for expected predictors of ICH mortality. Physicians should carefully consider the effect of early limitations in aggressive care to avoid limiting care for patients who may survive their acute illness.

Palliative and End-of-Life Care in Stroke: A Statement for Healthcare Professionals From the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association

Background and Purpose— The purpose of this statement is to delineate basic expectations regarding primary palliative care competencies and skills to be considered, learned, and practiced by providers and healthcare services across hospitals and community settings when caring for patients and families with stroke. Methods— Members of the writing group were appointed by the American Heart Association Stroke Council’s Scientific Statement Oversight Committee and the American Heart Association’s Manuscript Oversight Committee. Members were chosen to reflect the diversity and expertise of professional roles in delivering optimal palliative care. Writing group members were assigned topics relevant to their areas of expertise, reviewed the appropriate literature, and drafted manuscript content and recommendations in accordance with the American Heart Association’s framework for defining classes and level of evidence and recommendations. Results— The palliative care needs of patients with serious or life-threatening stroke and their families are enormous: complex decision making, aligning treatment with goals, and symptom control. Primary palliative care should be available to all patients with serious or life-threatening stroke and their families throughout the entire course of illness. To optimally deliver primary palliative care, stroke systems of care and provider teams should (1) promote and practice patient- and family-centered care; (2) effectively estimate prognosis; (3) develop appropriate goals of care; (4) be familiar with the evidence for common stroke decisions with end-of-life implications; (5) assess and effectively manage emerging stroke symptoms; (6) possess experience with palliative treatments at the end of life; (7) assist with care coordination, including referral to a palliative care specialist or hospice if necessary; (8) provide the patient and family the opportunity for personal growth and make bereavement resources available if death is anticipated; and (9) actively participate in continuous quality improvement and research. Conclusions— Addressing the palliative care needs of patients and families throughout the course of illness can complement existing practices and improve the quality of life of stroke patients, their families, and their care providers. There is an urgent need for further research in this area.

Persistent ischemic stroke disparities despite declining incidence in Mexican Americans

To determine trends in ischemic stroke incidence among Mexican Americans and non‐Hispanic whites.

Is It Time for a Large, Collaborative Study of Pediatric Stroke?

Background and Purpose— A 2002 report from the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke cited the critical importance of more childhood stroke studies. We present the incidence rate of pediatric stroke from a biethnic community-based project and calculate the population size required for future prospective studies of pediatric stroke. Methods— This work is part of the Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi (BASIC) project. The community of 325 000 is located in southeast Texas and is composed of approximately equal numbers of Mexican Americans (MAs) and non-Hispanic whites (NHWs). Discharge diagnosis codes from all hospitals in the county were used to identify cases of childhood stroke (age >1 month and <20 years) in 2002 and 2003, and stroke cases were validated by source document review. On the basis of the incidence rates, the population size required to complete a case-control study to examine risk factors for pediatric stroke was calculated. Results— Eight cases of pediatric stroke were identified, yielding an annual incidence rate of 4.3 per 100 000 (95% CI, 1.9 to 8.5). There were 5 cases of intracerebral hemorrhage, 1 subarachnoid hemorrhage, 1 ischemic stroke, and 1 transient ischemic attack. All of the events occurred in MAs. Depending on the prevalence of the risk factors of interest, future studies of pediatric stroke would have to draw from a population of up to 59 million children to complete a case-control study within 4 years. Conclusions— Given the rarity of pediatric stroke, future studies will require multicenter efforts and possibly a national surveillance system.

Do-not-resuscitate orders and predictive models after intracerebral hemorrhage.

Objective: To quantify the accuracy of commonly used intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) predictive models in ICH patients with and without early do-not-resuscitate orders (DNR). Methods: Spontaneous ICH cases (n = 487) from the Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi study (2000–2003) and the University of California, San Francisco (June 2001–May 2004) were included. Three models (the ICH Score, the Cincinnati model, and the ICH grading scale [ICH-GS]) were compared to observed 30-day mortality with a χ2 goodness-of-fit test first overall and then stratified by early DNR orders. Results: Median age was 71 years, 49% were female, median Glasgow Coma Scale score was 12, median ICH volume was 13 cm3, and 35% had early DNR orders. Overall observed 30-day mortality was 42.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 38.3–47.1), with the average model-predicted 30-day mortality for the ICH Score, Cincinnati model, and ICH-GS at 39.9% (p = 0.005), 40.4% (p = 0.007), and 53.9% (p < 0.001). However, for patients with early DNR orders, the observed 30-day mortality was 83.5% (95% CI 78.0–89.1), with the models predicting mortality of 64.8% (p < 0.001), 57.2% (p < 0.001), and 77.8% (p = 0.02). For patients without early DNR orders, the observed 30-day mortality was 20.8% (95% CI 16.5–25.7), with the models predicting mortality of 26.6% (p = 0.05), 31.4% (p < 0.001), and 41.1% (p < 0.001). Conclusions: ICH prognostic model performance is substantially impacted when stratifying by early DNR status, possibly giving a false sense of model accuracy when DNR status is not considered. Clinicians should be cautious when applying these predictive models to individual patients.

Traumatic brain injury may be an independent risk factor for stroke

Objective: To explore whether traumatic brain injury (TBI) may be a risk factor for subsequent ischemic stroke. Methods: Patients with any emergency department visit or hospitalization for TBI (exposed group) or non-TBI trauma (control) based on statewide emergency department and inpatient databases in California from 2005 to 2009 were included in a retrospective cohort. TBI was defined using the Centers for Disease Control definition. Our primary outcome was subsequent hospitalization for acute ischemic stroke. The association between TBI and stroke was estimated using Cox proportional hazards modeling adjusting for demographics, vascular risk factors, comorbidities, trauma severity, and trauma mechanism. Results: The cohort included a total of 1,173,353 trauma subjects, 436,630 (37%) with TBI. The patients with TBI were slightly younger than the controls (mean age 49.2 vs 50.3 years), less likely to be female (46.8% vs 49.3%), and had a higher mean injury severity score (4.6 vs 4.1). Subsequent stroke was identified in 1.1% of the TBI group and 0.9% of the control group over a median follow-up period of 28 months (interquartile range 14–44). After adjustment, TBI was independently associated with subsequent ischemic stroke (hazard ratio 1.31, 95% confidence interval 1.25–1.36). Conclusions: In this large cohort, TBI is associated with ischemic stroke, independent of other major predictors.

Presentation of intracerebral haemorrhage in a community

Background: Studies on intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) from tertiary care centres may not be an accurate representation of the true spectrum of disease presentation. Objective: To describe the clinical and imaging presentation of ICH in a community devoid of the referral bias of an academic medical centre; and to investigate factors associated with lower Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score at presentation, as GCS is crucial to early clinical decision making. Methods: The study formed part of the BASIC project (Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi), a population based stroke surveillance study in a bi-ethnic Texas community. Cases of first non-traumatic ICH were identified from years 2000 to 2003, using active and passive surveillance. Clinical data were collected from medical records by trained abstractors, and all computed tomography (CT) scans were reviewed by a study physician. Multivariable linear regression was used to identify clinical and CT predictors of a lower GCS score. Results: 260 cases of non-traumatic ICH were identified. Median ICH volume was 11 ml (interquartile range 3 to 36) with hydrocephalus noted in 45%. Median initial GCS score was 12.5 (7 to 15). Hydrocephalus score (p = 0.0014), ambient cistern effacement (p = 0.0002), ICH volume (p = 0.014), and female sex (p = 0.024) were independently associated with lower GCS score at presentation, adjusting for other variables. Conclusions: ICH has a wide range of severity at presentation. Hydrocephalus is a potentially reversible cause of a lower GCS score. Since early withdrawal of care decisions are often based on initial GCS, recognition of the important influence of hydrocephalus on GCS is warranted before withdrawal of care decisions are made.

Intracerebral hemorrhage mortality is not changing despite declining incidence

Objective: To determine trends in incidence and mortality of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) in a rigorous population-based study. Methods: We identified all cases of spontaneous ICH in a South Texas community from 2000 to 2010 using rigorous case ascertainment methods within the Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi Project. Yearly population counts were determined from the US Census, and deaths were determined from state and national databases. Age-, sex-, and ethnicity-adjusted incidence was estimated for each year with Poisson regression, and a linear trend over time was investigated. Trends in 30-day case fatality and long-term mortality (censored at 3 years) were estimated with log-binomial or Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for demographics, stroke severity, and comorbid disease. Results: A total of 734 cases of ICH were included. The age-, sex-, and ethnicity-adjusted ICH annual incidence rate was 5.21 per 10,000 (95% confidence interval [CI] 4.36, 6.24) in 2000 and 4.30 per 10,000 (95% CI 3.21, 5.76) in 2010. The estimated 10-year change in demographic-adjusted ICH annual incidence rate was −31% (95% CI −47%, −11%). Yearly demographic-adjusted 30-day case fatality ranged from 28.3% (95% CI 19.9%, 40.3%) in 2006 to 46.5% (95% CI 35.5, 60.8) in 2008. There was no change in ICH case fatality or long-term mortality over time. Conclusions: ICH incidence decreased over the past decade, but case fatality and long-term mortality were unchanged. This suggests that primary prevention efforts may be improving over time, but more work is needed to improve ICH treatment and reduce the risk of death.

Population-Based Analysis of the Impact of Expanding the Time Window for Acute Stroke Treatment

Background and Purpose— Currently, a major focus on expanding acute ischemic stroke treatment opportunities centers on the development of drugs and devices with longer time windows for use. We sought to determine the time intervals within which stroke patients present to establish whether time window expansion will translate into more treatment. Methods— Data were derived from the Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi project, a population-based stroke surveillance study in an urban, southeast Texas county. This community does not contain an academic medical center, thus providing a “real-world” setting to capture patient arrival times. Onset time was recorded from the chart according to a prespecified methodology. Results— From January 2000 to June 2005, 2347 patients with acute ischemic stroke were validated. The mean age was 71 years, and 53% were female. Thirty-one percent presented within 3 hours of symptom onset; 13% between 3 and 6 hours; and 15% between 6 and 12 hours. Forty-one percent presented beyond 12 hours from symptom onset. Nearly half of patients with moderate and severe strokes presented in the 0- to 3-hour time window, whereas only 28% of mildly affected patients presented early. Conclusions— This population-based study provides estimates of time to presentation in a representative community without tertiary referral bias. These data are useful for planning acute stroke therapy interventions and suggest that in addition to developing therapies with expanded time windows, research resources should also be devoted to reducing hospital presentation delays.

Differences in intracerebral hemorrhage between Mexican Americans and non-Hispanic whites.

Background: Mexican Americans (MAs) have higher incidence rates of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) than non-Hispanic whites (NHWs). The authors present clinical and imaging characteristics of ICH in MAs and NHWs in a population-based study. Methods: This work is part of the Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi (BASIC) project. Cases of nontraumatic ICH were identified from 2000 to 2003. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the independent associations between ethnicity and ICH location (lobar vs nonlobar) and volume (≥30 vs <30 mL), adjusting for demographics and baseline clinical characteristics. Logistic regression was also used to determine the association between ethnicity and in-hospital mortality, adjusting for confounders. Results: A total of 149 MAs and 111 NHWs with ICH were identified. MAs were younger (70 vs 77, p < 0.001), more often male (55% vs 42%, p = 0.04), had a lower prevalence of atrial fibrillation (2.0% vs 13%, p < 0.001), and a higher prevalence of diabetes (39% vs 19%, p < 0.001). MA ethnicity was independently associated with nonlobar hemorrhage (OR 2.08, 95% CI: 1.15, 3.70). MAs had over two times the odds of having small (<30 mL) hemorrhages compared with NHWs (OR = 2.41, 95% CI: 1.31, 4.46). NHWs had higher in-hospital mortality, though this association was no longer significant after adjustment for ICH volume, location, age, and sex. Conclusions: There are significant differences in the characteristics of ICH in MAs and NHWs, with MA patients more likely to have smaller, nonlobar hemorrhages. These differences may be used to examine the underlying pathophysiology of ICH.