David J. Pinato

A novel, externally validated inflammation-based prognostic algorithm in hepatocellular carcinoma: the prognostic nutritional index (PNI)

Background:There is increasing evidence that the presence of an ongoing systemic inflammatory response is a stage-independent predictor of poor outcome in patients with cancer. The aim of this study was to investigate whether an inflammation-based prognostic score, the prognostic nutritional index (PNI), is associated with overall survival (OS) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).Methods:All patients with a new diagnosis of HCC presenting to the Medical Oncology Department, Hammersmith Hospital between 1993 and 2011 (n=112) were included. Demographic and clinical data were collected. Patients in whom the combined albumin (g l−1) × total lymphocyte count × 109 l−1 was ⩾45, at presentation, were allocated a PNI score of 0. Patients in whom this total score was <45 were allocated a score of 1. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify clinicopathological variables associated with OS. Independent predictors of survival identified on multivariate analysis were validated in an independent, stage-matched cohort of 68 patients.Results:Univariate analyses showed that PNI (P=0.003), intrahepatic spread (P<0.001), the presence of extrahepatic disease (P=0.006), portal vein thrombosis (P=0.02), tumour multifocality (P=0.003), alfa-fetoprotein >400 ng ml−1 (P<0.001) and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer score (P<0.01) were all predictors of OS in the training set. Multivariate analysis revealed the PNI (P=0.05), presence of extrahepatic disease (P<0.001) and degree of intrahepatic spread (P<0.001) as independent predictors of worse OS in this population. The PNI retained independent prognostic value in the validation set (P<0.001).Conclusion:The presence of a systemic inflammatory response, as measured by the PNI, is an independent and externally validated predictor of poor OS in patients with HCC.

Inflammation-Based Prognostic Indices in Malignant Pleural Mesothelioma

Introduction: Chronic inflammation plays a key role in the pathogenesis of malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) as a result of asbestos exposure. Biomarkers of systemic inflammation have been shown to predict the natural history of MPM; however, this observation lacks independent validation. Our aim was to compare the prognostic performance of three inflammation-based biomarkers in predicting overall survival (OS) in MPM. Methods: In patients with histologically proven MPM, the inflammation-based prognostic scores modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio were studied and compared with the European Organization for the Research and Treatment of Cancer Prognostic Score (EPS) and other known potential prognostic factors such as gender, histologic subtype, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, and baseline blood parameters. Results: A total of 171 MPM patients presenting to Imperial College NHS Trust were studied. In univariate analyses, the following parameters were predictors of OS: female gender (p = 0.03), epithelioid histology (p = 0.03), normal C-reactive protein (p = 0.03), baseline white blood cell count <8.3 × 109/liter (p = 0.04), EPS (p = 0.003), mGPS (p < 0.001), NLR (p = 0.006), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (p = 0.03). Multivariate survival analysis confirmed the mGPS (hazard ratio = 2.6; p < 0.001) and NLR (hazard ratio = 2.0; p = 0.008), but not the EPS, as independent predictors of OS. Tissue expression of Ki-67 (p < 0.001) and vascular endothelial growth factor (p < 0.001) was higher in a subgroup of patients with high-risk inflammatory scores. Conclusions: The mGPS and NLR are externally validated prognostic indices in patients with MPM and correlate with sustained neoangiogenesis and increased proliferative index.

A novel and validated prognostic index in hepatocellular carcinoma: The inflammation based index (IBI)

BACKGROUND & AIMS Outcome prediction is uniquely different in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) as the progressive functional impairment of the liver impacts patient survival independently of tumour stage. As chronic inflammation is associated with the pathogenesis of HCC, we explored the prognostic impact of a panel of inflammatory based scores, including the modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), in independent cohorts. METHODS Inflammatory markers, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) and Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) scores were studied in a training set of 112 patients with predominantly unresectable HCC (75%). Independent predictors of survival identified in multivariate analysis were validated in an independent cohort of 466 patients with an overall lower tumour burden (BCLC-A, 56%). RESULTS In both training and validation sets, mGPS and CLIP scores emerged as independent predictors of overall survival. The predictive accuracy of the combined mGPS and CLIP score (c score 0.7, 95% CI 0.6-0.8) appeared superior to that of the CLIP score alone (c score 0.6, 95% CI 0.5-0.7). CONCLUSIONS Systemic inflammation as measured by the mGPS, independently predicts overall survival in HCC. We have validated a novel, easy to use inflammatory score that can be used to stratify individuals. These data enable formulation of a new prognostic system, the inflammation based index in HCC (IBI). Further validation of the IBI considering treatment allocation and survival is warranted in an independent patient cohort.

Prognostic performance of inflammation-based prognostic indices in primary operable non-small cell lung cancer

Background:At least 30% of patients with primary resectable non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) will experience a relapse in their disease within 5 years following definitive treatment. Clinicopathological predictors have proved to be suboptimal in identifying high-risk patients. We aimed to establish whether inflammation-based scores offer an improved prognostic ability in terms of estimating overall (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in a cohort of operable, early-stage NSCLC patients.Methods:Clinicopathological, demographic and treatment data were collected prospectively for 220 patients operated for primary NSCLC at the Hammersmith Hospital from 2004 to 2011. Pretreatment modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were tested together with established prognostic factors in uni- and multivariate Cox regression analyses of OS and RFS.Results:Half of the patients were male, with a median age of 65. A total of 57% were classified as stage I with adenocarcinoma being the most prevalent subtype (60%). Univariate analyses of survival revealed stage (P<0.001), grade (P=0.02), lymphovascular (LVI, P=0.001), visceral pleural invasion (VPI, P=0.003), mGPS (P=0.02) and NLR (P=0.04) as predictors of OS, with stage (P<0.001), VPI (P=0.02) and NLR (P=0.002) being confirmed as independent prognostic factors on multivariate analyses. Patients with more advanced stage (P<0.001) and LVI (P=0.008) had significantly shorter RFS.Conclusions:An elevated NLR identifies operable NSCLC patients with a poor prognostic outlook and an OS difference of almost 2 years compared to those with a normal score at diagnosis. Our study validates the clinical utility of the NLR in early-stage NSCLC.

The ALBI grade provides objective hepatic reserve estimation across each BCLC stage of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS Overall survival (OS) is a composite clinical endpoint in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) due to the mutual influence of cirrhosis and active malignancy in dictating patients mortality. The ALBI grade is a recently described index of liver dysfunction in hepatocellular carcinoma, based solely on albumin and bilirubin levels. Whilst accurate, this score lacks cross-validation, especially in intermediate stage HCC, where OS is highly heterogeneous. METHODS We evaluated the prognostic accuracy of the ALBI grade in estimating OS in a large, multi-centre study of 2426 patients, including a large proportion of intermediate stage patients treated with chemoembolization (n=1461) accrued from Europe, the United States and Asia. RESULTS Analysis of survival by primary treatment modality confirmed the ALBI grade as a significant predictor of patient OS after surgical resection (p<0.001), transarterial chemoembolization (p<0.001) and sorafenib (p<0.001). Stratification by Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage confirmed the independent prognostic value of the ALBI across the diverse stages of the disease, geographical regions of origin and time of recruitment to the study (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS In this large, multi-centre retrospective study, the ALBI grade satisfied the criteria for accuracy and reproducibility following statistical validation in Eastern and Western HCC patients, including those treated with chemoembolization. Consideration should be given to the ALBI grade as a stratifying biomarker of liver reserve in routine clinical practice. LAY SUMMARY Liver failure is a key determinant influencing the natural history of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In this large multi-centre study we externally validate a novel biomarker of liver functional reserve, the ALBI grade, across all the stages of HCC.

Alterations of choline phospholipid metabolism in endometrial cancer are caused by choline kinase alpha overexpression and a hyperactivated deacylation pathway.

Metabolic rearrangements subsequent to malignant transformation are not well characterized in endometrial cancer. Identification of altered metabolites could facilitate imaging-guided diagnosis, treatment surveillance, and help to identify new therapeutic options. Here, we used high-resolution magic angle spinning magnetic resonance mass spectroscopy on endometrial cancer surgical specimens and normal endometrial tissue to investigate the key modulators that might explain metabolic changes, incorporating additional investigations using qRT-PCR, Western blotting, tissue microarrays (TMA), and uptake assays of [(3)H]-labeled choline. Lipid metabolism was severely dysregulated in endometrial cancer with various amino acids, inositols, nucleobases, and glutathione also altered. Among the most important lipid-related alterations were increased phosphocholine levels (increased 70% in endometrial cancer). Mechanistic investigations revealed that changes were not due to altered choline transporter expression, but rather due to increased expression of choline kinase α (CHKA) and an activated deacylation pathway, as indicated by upregulated expression of the catabolic enzymes LYPLA1, LYPLA2, and GPCPD1. We confirmed the significance of CHKA overexpression on a TMA, including a large series of endometrial hyperplasia, atypical hyperplasia, and adenocarcinoma tissues, supporting a role for CHKA in malignant transformation. Finally, we documented several-fold increases in the uptake of [(3)H]choline in endometrial cancer cell lines compared with normal endometrial stromal cells. Our results validate deregulated choline biochemistry as an important source of noninvasive imaging biomarkers for endometrial cancer.

An expression signature of the angiogenic response in gastrointestinal neuroendocrine tumours: correlation with tumour phenotype and survival outcomes

Background:Gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumours (GEP-NETs) are heterogeneous with respect to biological behaviour and prognosis. As angiogenesis is a renowned pathogenic hallmark as well as a therapeutic target, we aimed to investigate the prognostic and clinico-pathological role of tissue markers of hypoxia and angiogenesis in GEP-NETs.Methods:Tissue microarray (TMA) blocks were constructed with 86 tumours diagnosed from 1988 to 2010. Tissue microarray sections were immunostained for hypoxia inducible factor 1α (Hif-1α), vascular endothelial growth factor-A (VEGF-A), carbonic anhydrase IX (Ca-IX) and somatostatin receptors (SSTR) 1–5, Ki-67 and CD31. Biomarker expression was correlated with clinico-pathological variables and tested for survival prediction using Kaplan–Meier and Cox regression methods.Results:Eighty-six consecutive cases were included: 51% male, median age 51 (range 16–82), 68% presenting with a pancreatic primary, 95% well differentiated, 51% metastatic. Higher grading (P=0.03), advanced stage (P<0.001), high Hif-1α and low SSTR-2 expression (P=0.03) predicted for shorter overall survival (OS) on univariate analyses. Stage, SSTR-2 and Hif-1α expression were confirmed as multivariate predictors of OS. Median OS for patients with SSTR-2+/Hif-1α-tumours was not reached after median follow up of 8.8 years, whereas SSTR-2-/Hif-1α+ GEP-NETs had a median survival of only 4.2 years (P=0.006).Conclusion:We have identified a coherent expression signature by immunohistochemistry that can be used for patient stratification and to optimise treatment decisions in GEP-NETs independently from stage and grading. Tumours with preserved SSTR-2 and low Hif-1α expression have an indolent phenotype and may be offered less aggressive management and less stringent follow up.

An Inflammation Based Score Can Optimize the Selection of Patients with Advanced Cancer Considered for Early Phase Clinical Trials

Background Adequate organ function and good performance status (PS) are common eligibility criteria for phase I trials. As inflammation is pathogenic and prognostic in cancer we investigated the prognostic performance of inflammation-based indices including the neutrophil (NLR) and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR). Methods We studied inflammatory scores in 118 unselected referrals. NLR normalization was recalculated at disease reassessment. Each variable was assessed for progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) on uni- and multivariate analyses and tested for 90 days survival (90DS) prediction using receiving operator curves (ROC). Results We included 118 patients with median OS 4.4 months, 23% PS>1. LDH≥450 and NLR≥5 were multivariate predictors of OS (p<0.001). NLR normalization predicted for longer OS (p<0.001) and PFS (p<0.05). PS and NLR ranked as most accurate predictors of both 90DS with area under ROC values of 0.66 and 0.64, and OS with c-score of 0.69 and 0.60. The combination of NLR+PS increased prognostic accuracy to 0.72. The NLR was externally validated in a cohort of 126 subjects. Conclusions We identified the NLR as a validated and objective index to improve patient selection for experimental therapies, with its normalization following treatment predicting for a survival benefit of 7 months. Prospective validation of the NLR is warranted.

Immunohistochemical markers of the hypoxic response can identify malignancy in phaeochromocytomas and paragangliomas and optimize the detection of tumours with VHL germline mutations.

Background:There are no reliable markers of malignancy in phaeochromocytomas (PCC) and paragangliomas (PGL). We investigated the relevance of the mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR)/AKT and hypoxic pathways as novel immunohistochemical markers of malignancy.Methods:Tissue microarray blocks were constructed with a total of 100 tumours (10 metastatic) and 20 normal adrenomedullary samples. Sections were immunostained for hypoxia-inducible factor 1α (Hif-1α), vascular endothelial growth factor A (VEGF-A), mTOR, carbonic anhydrase IX (CaIX) and AKT. The predictive performance of these markers was studied using univariate, multivariate and receiver operating characteristic analyses.Results:In all, 100 consecutive patients, 64% PCC, 29% familial with a median tumour size of 4.7 cm (range 1–14) were included. Univariate analyses showed Hif-1α overexpression, tumour necrosis, size >5 cm, capsular and vascular invasion to be predictors of metastasis. In multivariate analysis, Hif-1α, necrosis and vascular invasion remained as independent predictors of metastasis. Hif-1α was the most discriminatory biomarker for the presence of metastatic diffusion. Strong membranous CaIX expression was seen in von Hippel–Lindau (VHL) PCC as opposed to other subtypes.Conclusion:Lack of vascular invasion, tumour necrosis and low Hif-1α expression identify tumours with lower risk of malignancy. We propose membranous CaIX expression as a potential marker for VHL disease in patients presenting with PCC.

Intra-tumoral heterogeneity in the expression of programmed-death (PD) ligands in isogeneic primary and metastatic lung cancer: Implications for immunotherapy

ABSTRACT Purpose: There is inconclusive evidence to suggest the expression of programmed cell death (PD) ligand 1 (PD-L1) is a putative predictor of response to PD-1/PD-L1-targeted therapies in lung cancer. We evaluated the heterogeneity in the expression of PD-1 ligands in isogeneic primary and metastatic LC specimens. Experimental Design: From 12,580 post mortem cases, we identified 214 patients with untreated metastatic LC, of which 98 had adequately preserved tissues to construct a syngeneic primary LC/metastasis tissue microarray. Immunostaining for PD-L1 and 2 was evaluated in paired primary and metastatic lesions and correlated with clinicopathologic features. Results: We included 98 patients with non-small cell (NSCLC, n = 65, 66%), small cell histology (SCLC, n = 29, 30%) and four (4%) atypical carcinoids (AC). In total 8/65 (12%) primary PD-L1 positive NSCLC, had discordant matched metastases (14/17, 82%). PD-L1 negative primaries had universally concordant distant metastases. SCLCs were universally PD-L1 negative across primary and metastatic disease. PD-L2 positive NSCLC (n = 11/65, 17%) had high rate of discordant metastases (n = 24/27, 88%) and four cases (6%) had PD-L2 positive metastases with negative primaries. 2/29 SCLC (7%) and 1/4 AC (25%) were PD-L2 positive with discordance in all the sampled metastatic sites (n = 5). We found no correlation between the expression of PD ligands and clinicopathologic features of LC. Conclusions: Intra-tumoral heterogeneity in the expression of PD ligands is common in NSCLC, while PD-L1 is homogeneously undetectable in primary and metastatic SCLC. This holds implications in the clinical development of immune response biomarkers in LC.