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Featured researches published by David Watkins.


The Lancet Global Health | 2015

Health gains and financial risk protection afforded by public financing of selected interventions in Ethiopia: an extended cost-effectiveness analysis

Stéphane Verguet; Zachary Olson; Joseph B. Babigumira; Dawit Desalegn; Kjell Arne Johansson; Margaret E. Kruk; Carol Levin; Rachel Nugent; Clint Pecenka; Mark G. Shrime; Solomon Tessema Memirie; David Watkins; Dean T. Jamison

BACKGROUNDnThe way in which a government chooses to finance a health intervention can affect the uptake of health interventions and consequently the extent of health gains. In addition to health gains, some policies such as public finance can insure against catastrophic health expenditures. We aimed to evaluate the health and financial risk protection benefits of selected interventions that could be publicly financed by the government of Ethiopia.nnnMETHODSnWe used extended cost-effectiveness analysis to assess the health gains (deaths averted) and financial risk protection afforded (cases of poverty averted) by a bundle of nine (among many other) interventions that the Government of Ethiopia aims to make universally available. These nine interventions were measles vaccination, rotavirus vaccination, pneumococcal conjugate vaccination, diarrhoea treatment, malaria treatment, pneumonia treatment, caesarean section surgery, hypertension treatment, and tuberculosis treatment.nnnFINDINGSnOur analysis shows that, per dollar spent by the Ethiopian Government, the interventions that avert the most deaths are measles vaccination (367 deaths averted per


BMC Public Health | 2015

Provider costs for prevention and treatment of cardiovascular and related conditions in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review

Elizabeth Brouwer; David Watkins; Zachary Olson; Jane Goett; Rachel Nugent; Carol Levin

100,000 spent), pneumococcal conjugate vaccination (170 deaths averted per


PLOS ONE | 2015

A cost-effectiveness analysis of a program to control rheumatic fever and rheumatic heart disease in Pinar del Rio, Cuba.

David Watkins; Mercy Mvundura; Porfirio Nordet; Bongani M. Mayosi

100,000 spent), and caesarean section surgery (141 deaths averted per


Health Policy and Planning | 2016

Cardiovascular disease and impoverishment averted due to a salt reduction policy in South Africa: An extended cost-effectiveness analysis

David Watkins; Zachary Olson; Stéphane Verguet; Rachel Nugent; Dean T. Jamison

100,000 spent). The interventions that avert the most cases of poverty are caesarean section surgery (98 cases averted per


The Lancet | 2017

Universal health coverage and intersectoral action for health: key messages from Disease Control Priorities, 3rd edition

Dean T. Jamison; Ala Alwan; Charles Mock; Rachel Nugent; David Watkins; Olusoji Adeyi; Shuchi Anand; Rifat Atun; Stefano M. Bertozzi; Zulfiqar A. Bhutta; Agnes Binagwaho; Robert E. Black; Mark Blecher; Barry R. Bloom; Elizabeth Brouwer; Donald A. P. Bundy; Dan Chisholm; Alarcos Cieza; Mark R. Cullen; Kristen Danforth; Nilanthi de Silva; Haile T. Debas; Tarun Dua; Kenneth A. Fleming; Mark Gallivan; Patricia J. García; Atul A. Gawande; Thomas A. Gaziano; Hellen Gelband; Roger I. Glass

100,000 spent), tuberculosis treatment (96 cases averted per


International Journal of Cardiology | 2015

Incidence, prevalence and outcome of rheumatic heart disease in South Africa: A systematic review of contemporary studies

Liesl Zühlke; Mark E. Engel; David Watkins; Bongani M. Mayosi

100,000 spent), and hypertension treatment (84 cases averted per


The Lancet | 2017

Cardiovascular, respiratory, and related disorders: key messages from Disease Control Priorities, 3rd edition

Dorairaj Prabhakaran; Shuchi Anand; David Watkins; Thomas A. Gaziano; Yangfeng Wu; Jean Claude Mbanya; Rachel Nugent; Vamadevan S. Ajay; Ashkan Afshin; Alma J Adler; Mohammed K. Ali; Eric D. Bateman; Janet Bettger; Robert O. Bonow; Elizabeth Brouwer; Gene Bukhman; Fiona Bull; Peter Burney; Simon Capewell; Juliana C.N. Chan; Eeshwar K Chandrasekar; Jie Chen; Michael H. Criqui; John Dirks; Sagar Dugani; Michael M. Engelgau; Meguid El Nahas; Caroline H.D. Fall; Valery L. Feigin; F. Gerald R. Fowkes

100,000 spent).nnnINTERPRETATIONnOur approach incorporates financial risk protection into the economic evaluation of health interventions and therefore provides information about the efficiency of attainment of both major objectives of a health system: improved health and financial risk protection. One intervention might rank higher on one or both metrics than another, which shows how intervention choice-the selection of a pathway to universal health coverage-might involve weighing up of sometimes competing objectives. This understanding can help policy makers to select interventions to target specific policy goals (ie, improved health or financial risk protection). It is especially relevant for the design and sequencing of universal health coverage to meet the needs of poor populations.


Current Treatment Options in Cardiovascular Medicine | 2017

Group A Streptococcus, Acute Rheumatic Fever and Rheumatic Heart Disease: Epidemiology and Clinical Considerations

Liesl Zühlke; Andrea Beaton; Mark E. Engel; Christopher Hugo-Hamman; Ganesan Karthikeyan; Judith M. Katzenellenbogen; Ntobeko Ntusi; Anna P. Ralph; Anita Saxena; Pierre R. Smeesters; David Watkins; Peter Zilla; Jonathan R. Carapetis

BackgroundThe burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and CVD risk conditions is rapidly increasing in low- and middle-income countries, where health systems are generally ill-equipped to manage chronic disease. Policy makers need an understanding of the magnitude and drivers of the costs of cardiovascular disease related conditions to make decisions on how to allocate limited health resources.MethodsWe undertook a systematic review of the published literature on provider-incurred costs of treatment for cardiovascular diseases and risk conditions in low- and middle-income countries. Total costs of treatment were inflated to 2012 US dollars for comparability across geographic settings and time periods.ResultsThis systematic review identified 60 articles and 143 unit costs for the following conditions: ischemic heart disease, non-ischemic heart diseases, stroke, heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease. Cost data were most readily available in middle-income countries, especially China, India, Brazil, and South Africa. The most common conditions with cost studies were acute ischemic heart disease, type 2 diabetes mellitus, stroke, and hypertension.ConclusionsEmerging economies are currently providing a base of cost evidence for NCD treatment that may prove useful to policy-makers in low-income countries. Initial steps to publicly finance disease interventions should take account of costs. The gaps and limitations in the current literature include a lack of standardized reporting as well as sparse evidence from low-income countries.


Global heart | 2017

The WHF Roadmap for Reducing CV Morbidity and Mortality Through Prevention and Control of RHD

B Palafox; Ana Olga Mocumbi; R. Krishna Kumar; Sulafa Ali; Elizabeth Kennedy; Abraham Haileamlak; David Watkins; Kadia Petricca; Rosemary Wyber; Patrick Timeon; Jeremiah Mwangi

Background Acute rheumatic fever (ARF) and rheumatic heart disease (RHD) persist in many low- and middle-income countries. To date, the cost-effectiveness of population-based, combined primary and secondary prevention strategies has not been assessed. In the Pinar del Rio province of Cuba, a comprehensive ARF/RHD control program was undertaken over 1986 – 1996. The present study analyzes the cost-effectiveness of this Cuban program. Methods and Findings We developed a decision tree model based on the natural history of ARF/RHD, comparing the costs and effectiveness of the 10-year Cuban program to a “do nothing” approach. Our population of interest was the cohort of children aged 5 – 24 years resident in Pinar del Rio in 1986. We assessed costs and health outcomes over a lifetime horizon, and we took the healthcare system perspective on costs but did not apply a discount rate. We used epidemiologic, clinical, and direct medical cost inputs that were previously collected for publications on the Cuban program. We estimated health gains as disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) averted using standard approaches developed for the Global Burden of Disease studies. Cost-effectiveness acceptability thresholds were defined by one and three times per capita gross domestic product per DALY averted. We also conducted an uncertainty analysis using Monte Carlo simulations and several scenario analyses exploring the impact of alternative assumptions about the program’s effects and costs. We found that, compared to doing nothing, the Cuban program averted 5051 DALYs (1844 per 100,000 school-aged children) and saved


Annals of Internal Medicine | 2015

Global Noncommunicable Disease Research: Opportunities and Challenges.

Lindsay M. Jaacks; Mohammed K. Ali; John A. Bartlett; Gerald S. Bloomfield; William Checkley; Thomas A. Gaziano; Douglas C. Heimburger; Sandeep P. Kishore; Racquel E. Kohler; Kasia J. Lipska; Olivia Manders; Christine Ngaruiya; Robert N. Peck; Melissa S. Burroughs Peña; David Watkins; Karen R. Siegel; K.M. Venkat Narayan

7,848,590 (2010 USD) despite a total program cost of

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Thomas A. Gaziano

Brigham and Women's Hospital

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Sumaya Mall

University of the Witwatersrand

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Rosemary Wyber

University of Western Australia

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