Dean M. Anselmo

Pretransplant Model to Predict Posttransplant Survival in Liver Transplant Patients

ObjectiveTo develop a prognostic model that determines patient survival outcomes after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) using readily available pretransplant variables. Summary Background DataThe current liver organ allocation system strongly favors organ distribution to critically ill recipients who exhibit poor survival outcomes following OLT. A severely limited organ resource, increasing waiting list deaths, and rising numbers of critically ill recipients mandate an organ allocation system that balances disease severity with survival outcomes. Such goals can be realized only through the development of prognostic models that predict survival following OLT. MethodsVariables that may affect patient survival following OLT were analyzed in hepatitis C (HCV) recipients at the authors’ center, since HCV is the most common indication for OLT. The resulting patient survival model was examined and refined in HCV and non-HCV patients in the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database. Kaplan-Meier methods, univariate comparisons, and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression were employed for analyses. ResultsVariables identified by multivariate analysis as independent predictors for patient survival following primary transplantation of adult HCV recipients in the last 10 years at the authors’ center were entered into a prognostic survival model to predict patient survival. Accordingly, mortality was predicted by 0.0293 (recipient age) + 1.085 (log10 recipient creatinine) + 0.289 (donor female gender) + 0.675 urgent UNOS - 1.612 (log10 recipient creatinine times urgent UNOS). The above variables, in addition to donor age, total bilirubin, prothrombin time (PT), retransplantation, and warm and cold ischemia times, were applied to the UNOS database. Of the 46,942 patients transplanted over the last 10 years, 25,772 patients had complete data sets. An eight-factor model that accurately predicted survival was derived. Accordingly, the mortality index posttransplantation = 0.0084 donor age + 0.019 recipient age + 0.816 log creatinine + 0.0044 warm ischemia (in minutes) + 0.659 (if second transplant) + 0.10 log bilirubin + 0.0087 PT + 0.01 cold ischemia (in hours). Thus, this model is applicable to first or second liver transplants. Patient survival rates based on model-predicted risk scores for death and observed posttransplant survival rates were similar. Additionally, the model accurately predicted survival outcomes for HCV and non-HCV patients. ConclusionsPosttransplant patient survival can be accurately predicted based on eight straightforward factors. The balanced application of a model for liver transplant survival estimate, in addition to disease severity, as estimated by the model for end-stage liver disease, would markedly improve survival outcomes and maximize patients’ benefits following OLT.

Liver Transplantation for Fulminant Hepatic Failure: Experience With More Than 200 Patients Over a 17-Year Period

ObjectiveTo analyze outcomes after liver transplantation (LT) in patients with fulminant hepatic failure (FHF) with emphasis on pretransplant variables that can potentially help predict posttransplant outcome. Summary Background DataFHF is a formidable clinical problem associated with a high mortality rate. While LT is the treatment of choice for irreversible FHF, few investigations have examined pretransplant variables that can potentially predict outcome after LT. MethodsA retrospective review was undertaken of all patients undergoing LT for FHF at a single transplant center. The median follow-up was 41 months. Thirty-five variables were analyzed by univariate and multivariate analysis to determine their impact on patient and graft survival. ResultsTwo hundred four patients (60% female, median age 20.2 years) required urgent LT for FHF. Before LT, the majority of patients were comatose (76%), on hemodialysis (16%), and ICU-bound. The 1- and 5-year survival rates were 73% and 67% (patient) and 63% and 57% (graft). The primary cause of patient death was sepsis, and the primary cause of graft failure was primary graft nonfunction. Univariate analysis of pre-LT variables revealed that 19 variables predicted survival. From these results, multivariate analysis determined that the serum creatinine was the single most important prognosticator of patient survival. ConclusionsThis study, representing one of the largest published series on LT for FHF, demonstrates a long-term survival of nearly 70% and develops a clinically applicable and readily measurable set of pretransplant factors that determine posttransplant outcome.

CD154-CD40 T-cell costimulation pathway is required in the mechanism of hepatic ischemia/reperfusion injury, and its blockade facilitates and depends on heme oxygenase-1 mediated cytoprotection.

Background. Ischemia/reperfusion (I/R) injury remains an important clinical problem that affects both early and later allograft outcome. This study was designed to analyze the role of T cells and CD154-CD40 T- cell costimulation pathway in a mouse liver I/R model. Methods and Results. Ninety minutes of warm ischemia followed by 4 h of reperfusion in wild-type (WT) mice resulted in a significant hepatic damage, as assessed by liver function (serum alanine aminotransferase [sALT] levels), local neutrophil accumulation (myeloperoxidase activity), and histology (Suzuki’s score). In contrast, T-cell deficiency (in T-cell deficient [nu/nu] mice), disruption of the CD154 signaling (in knockout [KO] mice), or its blockade in WT recipients (after MR1 monoclonal antibody [mAb] treatment), virtually prevented hepatic I/R insult. Unlike CD154-deficient T cells, adoptive transfer of WT spleen cells fully restored hepatic I/R injury in nu/nu mice. Finally, the improved hepatic function in CD154 KO recipients, WT mice treated with CD154 mAb, or nu/nu mice infused with CD154-deficient cells resulted in consistently enhanced expression of heme oxygenase-1 (HO-1), a heat-shock protein with cytoprotective functions. Conclusion. This study confirms the importance of T cells, and documents for the first time the role of CD154 costimulation signals in the mechanism of hepatic I/R injury. We also show that CD154 blockade-mediated cytoprotection results and depends on HO-1 overexpression. Our data provide the rationale for human trials to target CD154-CD40 costimulation in hepatic I/R injury, particularly in the transplant patient.

New era of liver transplantation for hepatitis B: a 17-year single-center experience.

ObjectiveTo evaluate the variables affecting orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) outcome for hepatitis B virus (HBV) in a large patient cohort over a 17-year period. Summary Background DataHistorically, OLT for chronic HBV infection has been associated with aggressive reinfection and poor survival results. More recently, OLT outcome has been improved with the routine use of antiviral therapy with either hepatitis B immune globulin (HBIg) or lamivudine; however, HBV recurrence remains common. The authors studied the factors affecting HBV recurrence and outcome of transplantation, including the effects of combination viral prophylaxis with HBIg and lamivudine. MethodsA retrospective review of 166 OLT recipients for chronic HBV over a 17-year period at a single center was performed. Median follow-up was 29 months. HBV recurrence was defined by HBsAg seropositivity after OLT. HBIg monotherapy was used in 28 (17%) patients, lamivudine monotherapy in 20 (12%), and HBIg and lamivudine combination in 89 (54%); 29 (17%) did not receive any HBV prophylaxis. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was present in 43 patients (26%) and urgent United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) status was assigned to 27 patients (16%). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify factors that affected OLT outcome. ResultsOverall 1-, 3-, and 5-year patient survival rates were 85.8%, 73.6%, and 71.8%, respectively. As expected, HBV recurrence-free survival rates were significantly lower than overall survival rates (76.4%, 58.7%, and 48.3%). When compared with a nontreated cohort, OLT recipients receiving combination viral prophylaxis with HBIg and lamivudine showed markedly reduced HBV recurrence rates and significantly improved 1- and 3-year recurrence-free survival rates. By univariate estimates, patient survival was reduced in the presence of HCC, in the Asian population, and urgent candidates by UNOS classification. Graft loss rates were significantly increased in urgent OLT candidates, Asians, patients with pretransplant positive DNA, and in the presence of HCC. Factors that were significant by univariate analysis or thought to be clinically relevant were subjected to multivariate analysis. By multivariate estimates, urgent UNOS or presence of HCC adversely affected patient and graft survival rates, whereas combination prophylactic therapy strongly predicted improved patient and graft survival rates as well as recurrence-free survival rates. ConclusionsOrthotopic liver transplantation for HBV under combination viral prophylaxis results in survival rates equivalent to other indications. Pretransplant viral replication, UNOS status, and the presence of HCC are all sensitive markers for posttransplantation outcome. Viral prophylactic therapy has effectively reduced HBV recurrence and prolonged survival outcomes. The combination of HBIg and lamivudine is the prophylactic regimen of choice.

Predictors of survival after liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma associated with hepatitis C

The efficacy of orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) associated with hepatitis C virus (HCV) is not well defined. This study examines the variables that may determine the outcome of OLT for HCC in HCV patients. From 1990 to 1999, 463 OLTs were performed for HCV cirrhosis. Of these patients, 67 with concurrent HCC were included in the study. Univariate and multivariate analyses considered the following variables: gender, pTNM stage, tumor size, number of nodules, vascular invasion, incidental tumors, adjuvant chemotherapy, preoperative chemoembolization, alpha‐fetoprotein (AFP) tumor marker, lobar distribution, and histological grade. Overall OLT survival of HCV patients diagnosed with concomitant HCC was significantly lower when compared to patients who underwent OLT for HCV alone at 1, 3, and 5 years (75%, 71%, and 55% versus 84%, 76%, and 75%, respectively; P < 0.01). Overall survival of patients with stage I HCC was significantly better than patients with stage II, III, or IV (P < .05). Eleven of 67 patients developed tumor recurrence. Sites of recurrence included transplanted liver (5), lung (5), and bone (1). Twenty‐four of 67 patients (36%) died during the follow‐up time. Causes of deaths included recurrent HCC in 8 of 24 patients (12%) and recurrent HCV in 3 of 24 patients (4.5%), whereas 13 (19.5%) patients died from causes that were unrelated to HCV or HCC. Both univariate and multivariate analysis demonstrated that pTNM status (I versus II, III, and IV; P < .05) was a reliable prognostic indicator for patient survival. Presence of vascular invasion (P = .0001) and advanced pTNM staging (P = .038) increased risk of recurrence. Multivariate analysis showed that pretransplant chemoembolization and adjuvant chemotherapy reduced risk of death after OLT in HCC recipients. In conclusion, this study demonstrates the effectiveness of OLT for patients with HCC in a large cohort of chronic HCV patients. Advanced tumor stage, and particularly vascular invasion, are poor prognostic indicators for tumor recurrence. Early pTNM stage, adjuvant chemotherapy, and preoperative chemoembolization were associated with positive outcomes for patients who underwent OLT for concomitant HCV and HCC. (Liver Transpl 2004;10:1478–1486.)

A novel strategy against ischemia and reperfusion injury: cytoprotection with heme oxygenase system.

Much interest has recently been focused on the physiological/pathological role of the heme oxygenase (HO) system, the rate-limiting step in the conversion of heme, in inflammatory events. The HO system may be instrumental in mediating a number of cytoprotective effects, because of its end products, biliverdin, carbon monoxide (CO) and ferrous free iron (Fe2+). As each of the byproducts acts dependently and/or co-operatively with each other, their in vivo effects are complex. In general, the HO system is thought to exert three major functions in ischemia/reperfusion injury: (1) anti-oxidant effects; (2) maintenance of microcirculation; and (3) modulatory effects upon the cell cycle. The anti-oxidant functions depend on heme degradation, oxygen consumption and the production of biliverdin/ferritin via iron accumulation. On the other hand, the production of CO, which has vasodilatory and anti-platelet aggregative properties, can maintain tissue microcirculation. Strikingly, CO may also be instrumental in anti-apoptotic and cell arrest mechanisms. The HO system prevents early injury in the re-perfused organ, and inhibits the function of immune reactive cells, such as neutrophils, macrophages and lymphocytes. The role of the HO system as a novel strategy to mitigate an antigen-independent ischemia/reperfusion injury has been documented in a number of transplantation models.

FTY720 Pretreatment Reduces Warm Hepatic Ischemia Reperfusion Injury Through Inhibition of T‐Lymphocyte Infiltration

Ischemia and reperfusion (IR) injury remains a significant problem in clinical liver transplantation. We investigated the effects of lymphocyte depletion with FTY720 in models of warm hepatic IR. Using 60‐min partial warm hepatic IR, three groups of rats were studied: Sham – laparotomy alone; Control – water p.o. × 3 d before ischemia; Treatment – FTY720 p.o. × 3 d before ischemia. Animals were sacrificed for analysis at 6 h and 24 h post reperfusion. The effect of FTY720 pretreatment on survival was also studied using 150 min total hepatic IR with portojugular shunt. FTY720 treatment significantly reduced serum glutamic pyruvic transaminase and peripheral blood lymphocytes compared to controls at 6 h and 24 h (p < 0.0005). Histological grade was significantly improved in treated livers vs. controls (p < 0.05). CD3 immunocytochemical analysis revealed a significant reduction in T‐cell infiltration in FTY720‐treated livers (p < 0.0002). No difference in tissue myeloperoxidase levels was observed. Seven‐day survival was significantly improved in treated rats vs. controls following total hepatic ischemia (p < 0.05). In conclusion, FTY720 ameliorates the biochemical and histological manifestations of hepatic IR by preventing T‐lymphocyte infiltration and prolongs survival following a more severe ischemic insult. Myeloperoxidase data suggest this mechanism is independent of neutrophil activation. These results indicate that T lymphocytes are pivotal mediators in hepatic IR and may have important implications in liver transplantation.

Phosphorus ans an early predictive factor in patients with acute liver failure1

Background. This study analyzes the prognostic significance of serum phosphorus in patients with acute liver failure (ALF). Methods. We performed a retrospective analysis of 112 patients with ALF. Univariate and bivariate analyses based on Kaplan-Meier recovery curves and a multivariate Classification Tree Structure Survival Analysis were performed to identify independent predictors of outcome. The variables analyzed were age, gender, race, ABO blood group, etiology of liver disease, grade of encephalopathy, serum bilirubin, prothrombin time, creatinine, serum phosphorus, phosphorus administered, phosphorus binders, and hemodialysis. Results. The median follow-up time was 5 days, the median age was 28 years, and 62% of the patients were female. The patients’ outcomes were as follows: 28% recovered, 52% required orthotopic liver transplantation, and 20% died. White patients showed the best prognosis (58% recovered in the first week), and Hispanics showed the worst prognosis (0.3% recovered at 1 week) (P =0.0001). Encephalopathy and bilirubin were significant predictors of recovery (P <0.0001 and P =0.004). The analysis of the serum phosphorus showed a statistically significant better prognosis in patients with low phosphorus (P <0.001). The recovery rate at 1 week was 74% in patients with serum phosphorus less than 2.5 mg/dL, 45% if phosphorus ranged between 2.5 to 5 mg/dL, and 0% if phosphorus was more than 5 mg/dL. The bivariate analysis on the effects of phosphorus administration showed that phosphorus replacement was associated with a significant improvement in recovery in patients with low (P <0.004) or normal serum phosphorus levels (P <0.017) Conclusions. Hypophosphatemia and early phosphorus administration are associated with a good prognosis in ALF, whereas hyperphosphatemia is predictive of poor recovery.

A caspase inhibitor, IDN‐6556, ameliorates early hepatic injury in an ex vivo rat model of warm and cold ischemia

This study examined the efficacy of the caspase inhibitor, IDN‐6556, in a rat model of liver ischemia‐reperfusion injury. Livers from male Sprague‐Dawley rats were reperfused for 120 minutes after 24 hours of 4°C cold storage in University of Wisconsin solution. Portal blood flow measurements estimated sinusoidal resistance, and bile production, alanine aminotransferase activities, and Suzuki scores were evaluated as parameters of hepatocyte/liver injury. Treated livers were exposed to 25 or 50 μM of IDN‐6556 in University of Wisconsin storage solution and/or the perfusate. All treatment regimens with IDN‐6556 significantly improved portal blood flow measured at 120 minutes, and significant improvements were seen as early as 30 minutes when inhibitor was also present in the perfusate (P < 0.01). All treatment groups with IDN‐6556 significantly increased bile production by 3‐4‐fold compared with controls (P < 0.01), and reductions in alanine aminotransferase activities were seen within 90 minutes of reperfusion (P < 0.05). These data were confirmed by improved Suzuki scores (less sinusoidal congestion, necrosis, and vacuolization) in all treated groups. Livers from the IDN‐6556–treated groups had markedly reduced caspase activities and TUNEL (terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase dUTP nick‐end labeling)‐positive cells, suggesting reductions in apoptosis. IDN‐6556 present in cold storage media ameliorated liver injury due to cold ischemia and reperfusion injury and may be a rational therapeutic approach to reduce the risk of liver ischemia in the clinical setting. Liver Transpl 13: 361–366, 2007.

Disruption of P-selectin signaling modulates cell trafficking and results in improved outcomes after mouse warm intestinal ischemia and reperfusion injury.

Background. This study analyzes the role of T lymphocytes and neutrophils (PMN) in intestinal ischemia and reperfusion injury (IRI) using either P-selectin blockade or elimination. Methods. Using a model of severe mouse warm intestinal IRI, the following groups were performed: group 1: wild type C57BL6 no treatment; group 2: wild type treated with r-PSGL1-Ig; group 3: C57BL6 genetically deficient in P-selectin. Survival was assessed at day 7; intestine was assayed for histopathology, apoptosis, myeloperoxidase (MPO), inflammatory cytokines, hemoxygenase-1 (HO-1), and CD3 lymphocytes. Standard statistical comparison was undertaken. Results. The survival was significantly (P<0.01) improved in the treatment groups: group 1, 50%; group 2, 90%; group 3, 100%. Graded histopathology and crypt apoptosis were improved in groups 2 and 3. MPO and CD3 positive cells were significantly reduced in groups 2 and 3. A significant reduction in inflammatory/Th1-type cytokines was seen in groups 2 and 3 as compared to group 1. Conversely, a significant increase in Th2-type cytokines and HO-1 production was seen selectively in groups 2 and 3. Conclusions. This study demonstrates the importance of P-selectin signaling in warm, murine intestinal IRI in that either the blockade of or the genetic deficiency in P-selectin confers a survival advantage and reduction in tissue injury/inflammation. The mechanism involves a reduction of PMN and CD3 T cell infiltration and an alteration in the cytokine microenvironment in favor of a Th2 profile. These data implicate T lymphocyte as an important regulatory cell in this inflammatory process.