Diane L. Lucas

Distribution and Correlates of Plasma Fibrinogen in Middle-aged Women Initial Findings of the Postmenopausal Estrogen/Progestin Interventions (PEPI) Study

Fibrinogen levels have been reported in cohort and case-control studies to be positively related to the development of coronary heart disease. This report presents the distribution and determinants of fibrinogen in women enrolling in a 3-year randomized trial of hormone replacement therapy (HRT), the Postmenopausal Estrogen/Progestin Interventions (PEPI) trial. Fasting plasma fibrinogen levels were measured in 874 postmenopausal women, aged 45 to 65 years, who had not used HRT for at least 3.5 months. Mean (+/- SD) fibrinogen level was 2.83 +/- 0.45 g/L. There was a significant positive association between fibrinogen and age (P = .03). Significantly higher (P < .005) fibrinogen levels were seen in current smokers versus nonsmokers (2.94 versus 2.81 g/L), in women who reported consuming fewer than 12 alcoholic drinks in the 12 months before the baseline visit versus higher consumption (2.90 versus 2.79 g/L), and in women who reported never versus ever having used HRT (2.90 versus 2.77 g/L). Self-reported leisure time physical activity (LTPA) was negatively associated (P = .0001) with fibrinogen levels as follows: inactive (2.84 g/L), light (2.89 g/L), moderate (2.80 g/L), and heavy (2.60 g/L), with significantly (P = .0001) lower levels in women who reported heavy LTPA versus each of the other categories and in women reporting moderate versus light LTPA. A strong positive correlation was found between fibrinogen and body mass index (BMI) (r = .32; P < .0001). In a model that included age, smoking, alcohol intake, prior HRT, LTPA, and BMI, LTPA was no longer a statistically significant predictor of fibrinogen level, while associations with other variables remained significant.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Age at menopause in women participating in the postmenopausal estrogen/progestins interventions (PEPI) trial: An example of bias introduced by selection criteria

Our objective is to illustrate the bias introduced in assessing factors associated with age at menopause when the population sample has been selected using restricted criteria, i.e. number of years since menopause, by using a cross-sectional analysis of baseline data from a population-based randomized clinical trial. The participants were women who participated in the Postmenopausal Estrogen/Progestins Intervention (PEPI) trial, had not had a hysterectomy, were between 45 and 64 years old, and were menopausal for at least 1 but not greater than 10 years. The outcome measures were self-reported age at menopause and factors thought to be associated with it, including smoking, alcohol use, oral contraceptive use, number of pregnancies, education, income, body mass index, waist-hip ratio, thigh girth, and systolic and diastolic blood pressures. At entry, the mean age of the 601 women was 56.2 years. Mean age at menopause was 51.0 years. Chronologic (current) age was strongly correlated with age at menopause (r = 0.74, p = 0.0001). In bivariate analyses, factors associated with younger age at menopause were ever-use of cigarettes, former oral contraceptive use, and higher thigh girth; factors associated with later age at menopause were greater number of pregnancies, higher waist-hip ratio, and higher systolic blood pressure. After stratification by 5-year age intervals, these associations were no longer statistically significant. Because of restricted sampling, an artificial association was observed between chronologic age and age at time of menopause. This artifact made it difficult to distinguish between factors associated with chronologic age and those that may be independently associated with menopause. Failure to recognize this bias could lead to erroneous conclusions.