Dianne M. Finkelstein

A proportional hazards model for interval-censored failure time data

This paper develops a method for fitting the proportional hazards regression model when the data contain left-, right-, or interval-censored observations. Results given for testing the hypothesis of a zero regression coefficient lead to a generalization of the log-rank test for comparison of several survival curves. The method is used to analyze data from an animal tumorigenicity study and also a clinical trial.

Parental involvement in diabetes management tasks: Relationships to blood glucose monitoring adherence and metabolic control in young adolescents with insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus

OBJECTIVES The goal of this study was to identify parental behaviors that relate to adherence and metabolic control in a population of young adolescents with insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM), and to understand the interrelationships among the variables of parental involvement, adherence to blood glucose monitoring, and glycemic control. STUDY DESIGN A cross-sectional design was used to investigate parental involvement in diabetes regimen tasks in 89 youth, aged 10 to 15 years, with IDDM. Levels of parental involvement in blood glucose monitoring (BGM) and insulin administration were evaluated through interviews. Assessment of adherence was made by physicians or nurses, independent of patient or parent reports of adherence. Glycemic control was assessed with glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) (reference range, 4% to 6%). RESULTS There were significant differences in the mean HbA1c values between the older (13 to 15 years of age) (HbA1c = 8.9% +/- 1.03%) and younger (10 to 12 years) patients (HbA1c = 8.4% +/- 1.06%) (p < 0.02). Parental involvement in BGM was significantly related to adherence to BGM (number of blood sugar concentrations checked daily) in both groups of adolescent patients. The younger patients monitored their blood glucose levels more frequently than did the older patients, 39% of the younger patients checked sugar concentrations four or more times daily compared with only 10% of the older group (p < 0.007). In a multivariate model controlling for age, gender, Tanner staging, and duration of diabetes, the frequency of BGM was a significant predictor of glycemic control (R2 = 0.19, p < 0.02). Increased frequency of BGM was associated with lower HbA1c levels. When the frequency of BGM was zero or once a day, the mean HbA1c level was 9.9% +/- 0.44 (SE); when the frequency of BGM was two or three times a day, the mean HbA1c level was 8.7% +/- 0.17; and when the frequency of BGM was four or more times daily, the mean HbA1c level was 8.3% +/- 0.22. CONCLUSIONS Parental involvement in BGM supports more frequent BGM in 10- to 15-year-old patients with IDDM. This increased adherence to BGM is associated with better metabolic control (i.e., lower HbA1c levels). These findings suggest that encouraging parental involvement in BGM with 10- to 15-year-old patients with IDDM may help to prevent the well-documented deterioration in glycemic control and adherence to treatment that often occurs in later adolescence.

Germ-Line BRCA1 Mutations in Jewish and Non-Jewish Women with Early-Onset Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND Mutations in a germ-line allele of the BRCA1 gene contribute to the familial breast cancer syndrome. However, the prevalence of these mutations is unknown in women with breast cancer who do not have the features of this familial syndrome. We sought BRCA1 mutations in women who were given a diagnosis of breast cancer at an early age, because early onset is characteristic of a genetic predisposition to cancer. METHODS Clinical information and peripheral-blood mononuclear cells were obtained from 418 women from the Boston metropolitan area in whom breast cancer was diagnosed at or before the age of 40. A comprehensive BRCA1 mutational analysis, involving automated nucleotide sequencing and a protein-truncation assay, was undertaken in 30 of these women, who had breast cancer before the age of 30. In addition, the BRCA1 mutation 185delAG, which is prevalent in the Ashkenazi Jewish population, was sought with an allele-specific polymerase-chain-reaction assay in 39 Jewish women among the 418 women who had breast cancer at or before the age of 40. RESULTS Among 30 women with breast cancer before the age of 30, 4 (13 percent) had definite, chain-terminating mutations and 1 had a missense mutation. Two of the four Jewish women in this cohort had the 185delAG mutation. Among the 39 Jewish women with breast cancer at or before the age of 40, 8 (21 percent) carried the 185delAG mutation (95 percent confidence interval, 9 to 36 percent). CONCLUSIONS Germ-line BRCA1 mutations can be present in young women with breast cancer who do not belong to families with multiple affected members. The specific BRCA1 mutation known as 185delAG is strongly associated with the onset of breast cancer in Jewish women before the age of 40.

A randomized trial of the four most active regimens for metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer.

Between October 1981 and June 1983, the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) conducted a prospectively randomized trial (EST 1581) of the four most active chemotherapy regimens for metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Four hundred eighty-six good performance status patients (PS 0 or 1; 81%) were randomized to receive cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, methotrexate, and procarbazine (CAMP); mitomycin, vinblastine, and cisplatin (MVP); etoposide and cisplatin (VP-P); or vindesine and cisplatin (VDA-P). All regimens were administered in the doses and schedules originally reported. Complete response (CR) plus partial response (PR) rates for the four regimens were CAMP, 17%; MVP, 31%; VP-P, 20%; and VDA-P, 25%. The response rate for MVP was significantly higher in patients with squamous and adenocarcinoma histologies, but there was no impact on median survival (overall, 24.5 weeks). The duration of response did not differ by treatment as previously suggested for VDA-P. There were 15 CRs (CAMP, one; MVP, six; VP-P, two; VDA-P, six), and 12 patients have survived more than 2 years. Toxicity was significant with 20 treatment-related deaths. CAMP was significantly less toxic than the other regimens (P less than .001). VDA-P demonstrated significantly more life-threatening (seven) and lethal (three) episodes of nephrotoxicity (P less than .001) despite an aggressive hydration program that in itself caused significant morbidity. Analysis of the toxicity data showed, however, that most of the severe toxicity occurred in the 19% of patients who were initially PS 2, suggesting that they are not appropriate candidates for trials of new agents or combinations. None of these regimens can be recommended as a standard therapy for metastatic NSCLC.

Combination chemotherapy versus single agents followed by combination chemotherapy in stage IV non-small-cell lung cancer: a study of the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group.

During the last decade, the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) has studied a series of combination chemotherapy regimens in metastatic (stage IV) non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). In January 1984, the ECOG activated a randomized study, EST 1583, which concluded the evaluation of combination regimens in phase III trials and initiated the evaluation of single agents exclusively in previously untreated patients. The treatment regimens in EST 1583 consisted of: (1) mitomycin, vinblastine, and cisplatin (MVP); (2) vinblastine and cisplatin (VP); (3) MVP alternating with the regimen cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, methotrexate, and procarbazine (CAMP); (4) carboplatin followed by the MVP regimen at the time of progression; and (5) iproplatin followed by MVP at the time of progression. From January 1984 to July 1985, 743 patients were entered on this trial and 699 fulfilled the eligibility requirements. The following objective response rates (complete plus partial remissions) were observed: first-line MVP, 20%; VP, 13%; MVP/CAMP, 13%; carboplatin, 9%; iproplatin, 6%; and second-line MVP, 6%. First-line MVP produced a significantly higher response rate than the other treatments (P = .03) adjusted for prognostic variables. Using analyses that were adjusted for prognostic covariates, survival for patients treated on a given regimen was compared with survival for all remaining patients. These analyses showed that treatment with carboplatin was associated with longer survival (median survival time, 31.7 weeks; P = .008) while initial treatment with MVP was associated with a trend for shorter survival (median survival time, 22.7 weeks; P = .09). It should be noted that none of these regimens appear to have produced a clinically meaningful prolongation of survival. Similar analyses evaluating time to progression disclosed that carboplatin-treated patients had a significantly longer time to progression (median time to progression, 29 weeks) than all remaining patients (P = .01). Life-threatening and lethal toxicities (toxicity grades 4 and 5) were greater on the combination regimens than on the single agents (P less than .0001). Based on these results, current group-wide ECOG trials in stage IV NSCLC consist of randomized phase II trials evaluating single agents.

Oncolytic virus therapy of multiple tumors in the brain requires suppression of innate and elicited antiviral responses.

The occurrence of multiple tumors in an organ heralds a rapidly fatal course. Although intravascular administration may deliver oncolytic viruses/vectors to each of these tumors, its efficiency is impeded by an antiviral activity present in complement-depleted plasma of rodents and humans. Here, this activity was shown to interact with complement in a calcium-dependent fashion, and antibody neutralization studies indicated preimmune IgM has a contributing role. Short-term exposure to cyclophosphamide (CPA) partially suppressed this activity in rodents and humans. At longer time points, cyclophosphamide also abrogated neutralizing antibody responses. Cyclophosphamide treatment of rats with large single or multiple intracerebral tumors substantially increased viral survival and propagation, leading to neoplastic regression.

A controlled trial of trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole or aerosolized pentamidine for secondary prophylaxis of Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia in patients with the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome. AIDS Clinical Trials Group Protocol 021.

BACKGROUND Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP) continues to be the most common index diagnosis in the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), but it is not clear which of several available agents is the most effective in preventing a recurrence of PCP. METHODS We conducted a comparative, open-label trial in 310 adults with AIDS who had recently recovered from an initial episode of PCP and had no treatment-limiting toxic effects of trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole or pentamidine. All the patients were treated with zidovudine and were randomly assigned to receive either 800 mg of sulfamethoxazole and 160 mg of trimethoprim once daily or 300 mg of aerosolized pentamidine administered every four weeks by jet nebulizer. The participants were followed for a median of 17.4 months. RESULTS In the trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole group (n = 154) there were 14 recurrences of PCP, as compared with 36 recurrences (including 1 extrapulmonary recurrence) in the aerosolized-pentamidine group (n = 156). The estimated recurrence rates at 18 months were 11.4 percent with trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole and 27.6 percent with pentamidine (P < 0.001). The risk of a recurrence (adjusted for initial CD4 cell count) was 3.25 times higher in the pentamidine group (P < 0.001, 95 percent confidence interval, 1.72 to 6.16). There were no significant differences between the groups in survival or in hematologic or hepatic toxicity. Crossovers from trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole to aerosolized pentamidine were more common than the reverse (27 vs. 4 percent), partly because of the study protocols for the management of leukopenia. There were 19 serious bacterial infections in the trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole group and 38 in the pentamidine group. The time to a first bacterial infection was significantly greater for those assigned to trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (P = 0.017). CONCLUSIONS In patients with AIDS who are receiving zidovudine, trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole is more effective than aerosolized pentamidine in conventional doses for the prevention of recurrent pneumocystis infection.

A Randomized Trial Comparing Fluconazole with Clotrimazole Troches for the Prevention of Fungal Infections in Patients with Advanced Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection

Background Cryptococcal meningitis and other serious fungal infections are common complications in patients infected with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Fluconazole is effective for long-term suppression of many fungal infections, but its effectiveness as primary prophylaxis had not been adequately evaluated. Methods We conducted a prospective, randomized trial that compared fluconazole (200 mg per day) with clotrimazole troches (10 mg taken five times daily) in patients who were also participating in a randomized trial of primary prophylaxis for Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia. Results After a median follow-up of 35 months, invasive fungal infections had developed in 4.1 percent of the patients in the fluconazole group (9 of 217) and in 10.9 percent of those in the clotrimazole group (23 of 211; relative hazard, as adjusted for the CD4+ count, 3.3; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.5 to 7.6). Of the 32 invasive fungal infections, 17 were cryptococcosis (2 in the fluconazole group and 15 in the cl...

Perioperative CA19-9 Levels Can Predict Stage and Survival in Patients With Resectable Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma

PURPOSE Different prognostic factors stratify patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma. The purpose of this study was to determine whether preoperative CA19-9 levels can predict stage of disease or survival and whether a change in preoperative to postoperative CA19-9 or the postoperative CA19-9 predicts overall survival. PATIENTS AND METHODS Four hundred twenty-four consecutive patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma underwent resection between January 1, 1985 and January 1, 2004. Of the patients with a bilirubin less than 2 mg/dL, 176 had preoperative CA19-9 values, and 111 had pre- and postoperative CA19-9 values. Survival was measured from the first postoperative CA19-9 level measured (median, 39 days) until death or last follow-up. A multivariate failure time model was fit using clinical, operative, pathologic, and adjuvant treatment characteristics, and a categorization was defined by the values and changes in CA19-9 before and after surgery. RESULTS Of the 176 patients, 128 (73%) had T3 lesions, and 99 (56%) had N1 disease; 138 patients (78%) underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy. Median preoperative CA19-9 levels were lower in N0 patients compared with patients with positive nodes (nine v 164 U/mL, respectively; nonparametric P = .06) and in T1/T2 patients versus T3 patients (41 v 162 U/mL, respectively; P = .03). Median follow-up time (n = 111) was 1.8 years (range, 1 to 12.9 years), with overall actuarial 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates of 70%, 36%, and 30%, respectively. Significant predictors of survival on multivariate analysis included a decrease in CA19-9 (P = .0005), negative lymph nodes (P = .001), lower T stage (P = .0008), and postoperative CA19-9 less than 200 U/mL (P = .0007). CONCLUSION In patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma, preoperative CA19-9 correlates with stage of disease. Both a postoperative decrease in CA19-9 and a postoperative CA19-9 value of less than 200 U/mL are strong independent predictors of survival, even after adjusting for stage. CA19-9 levels should be included in a patients perioperative care and should be considered for prognostic nomograms.

Long-term survivors in metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer: an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Study.

Between December 1979 and June 1983 the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) treated 893 good-performance status patients with metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) on one of seven phase III combination chemotherapies. The overall median survival was 23.5 weeks with no significant differences between treatments. One hundred sixty-eight patients (19%) survived greater than 1 year and 36 (4%) for greater than 2 years. The etoposide-platinum combination had the highest proportion of 1-year survivors (25%). Mitomycin-vinblastine-platinum (MVP), which had demonstrated the highest response rate, had significantly fewer 1-year survivors (12%) than any other regimen (P = .003). Analysis of pretreatment characteristics that distinguished patients who survived greater than 1 year from those who did not demonstrated that an initial performance status of 0, no bone metastases, female sex, no subcutaneous metastases, non-large-cell histology, less than 5% prior weight loss, no symptoms of shoulder or arm pain, and no liver metastases were predictors of longer survival. Of particular interest was the finding that response duration was significantly longer (P = .002) for those patients who experienced a longer time to best response. In addition, patients who survived greater than 1 year experienced greater degrees of nonlethal toxicity, in particular, gastrointestinal and hematologic, than patients who did not survive 1 year, (P = .006). A detailed chart review of 32 2-year survivors and 32 matched controls demonstrated that maintenance or improvement of performance status and maintenance of serum albumin levels at 3 months from the initiation of treatment were both important predictors of longer survival.