Dimitris Kallioras

A Border Regions Typology in the Enlarged European Union

Abstract The processes of European Union (EU) integration and enlargement have produced a new regional socioeconomic map in Europe. Border regions, in particular, have been put in a state of flux. The re‐allocation of activities, opportunities and threats is changing their socioeconomic role and significance. Thus, border regions have become an issue of great importance during the last fifteen years in both the areas of scientific research and policy making. The overall picture of the actual dynamics occurring at the border regions, however, when economic barriers have been abolished, remains rather unclear. The absence of an appropriate methodological framework for the study of the impact of EU integration and enlargement dynamics on border regions is evident. The paper proposes a typology for the EU NUTS III border regions, interpreting the socioeconomic dynamics occurring within the enlarged EU space. Primary and secondary data, incorporating quantitative and qualitative determinants for border regions, were elaborated with integrated factor and fuzzy clustering analysis techniques. The proposed border regions typology provides a framework to assess the relative position of each EU border region in the EU space.

Regional convergence and growth in Europe: understanding patterns and determinants

The paper examines the pattern of regional convergence and the determinants of regional growth in Europe, providing a discussion of the issues that are of relevance to the theoretical conceptions and the subsequent design of regional development policy, supported by an illustrative empirical analysis. The analysis covers 249 NUTS II regions of the European Union in the period 1990–2003. Using as its basis the standard framework of (absolute) β-convergence, the paper detects a mirror-image J-shaped relationship between regional growth and regional development levels. This type of relationship indicates that regional divergence factors are getting stronger, and, eventually, dominate, at more advanced levels of development. On the basis of a regional growth model, factors such as agglomeration economies, geography, economic integration and economic structure seem to create an overall unfavourable economic environment for lagging (and, possibly, less favoured) regions. Such an environment generates dilemmas and questions concerning the mix of policies that may promote growth and at the same time reduce regional inequalities in the European Union.

Peripherality and integration: industrial growth and decline in the Greek regions

Peripheral European economies are often characterized by unfavorable structural regularities and geographical coordinates, making the process of economic integration an experience possibly associated with welfare losses at the regional level. Such types of arguments are at variance with the neoclassical understanding of the operation of the spatial economy, making the study of a weak industrial base in the EU periphery an interesting assignment with implications for theory and policy. We develop an empirical model accounting for industrial (manufacturing) growth and decline in the Greek regions in the period following EU membership (1981–2005). Given that Greek regions are characterized as lagging behind and structurally weak for the entire period under consideration, understanding the factors behind their industrial experience may have a value added for many regions with similar characteristics, especially in the new and potential EU member states.

The regional impact of EU association agreements: lessons for the ENP from the CEE experience

The Eastern Enlargement of the EU saw a proliferation of association agreements with countries in the ‘near abroad’ under EU’s European Neighbourhood Policy framework. Although such agreements are considered to be strictly welfare-enhancing, there is very little evidence to show their economic effects, including their distributional consequences across space, separately from other concurrent processes (transition, internationalisation, capital deepening, etc). This paper draws on the experience of pre-accession agreements in Central and Eastern Europe to estimate the effect that such agreements had on regional growth, and thus on the long-run evolution of regional disparities, in the associated countries. We apply an event-analysis and exploit the country variation in the timing of these agreements to identify their distinctive effect on regional growth, using regional data at the NUTS3 levels covering the period from the early transition phase (1991/92) until the eruption of the financial crisis (2008). Our results provide strong evidence that EU association agreements accelerate growth; but show that this is far from evenly distributed across space – with denser, larger and more diversified regional economies gaining the most. We discuss what these findings imply for regional growth and spatial imbalances in the new wave of associated countries under the ENP.

Regional inequalities in the European Neighborhood Policy countries: The effects of growth and integration

The paper explores the spatial dynamics in the European Neighborhood Policy (ENP) countries, in a period of significant transformations in their internal and external economic environment. Regional disparities are reported to be the net outcome of two opposite dynamics: a pro-cyclical pattern, on the one hand, with dynamic and developed regions growing faster in periods of expansion and slower in periods of recession, and a long-term spread effect, on the other, partly offsetting the cumulative impact of growth on space after some critical level of development. In this framework, expanding trade relations with the European Union advanced countries may be an additional source of spatially unbalanced growth and polarization for the ENP countries, as the costs and benefits of integration prove to be unevenly allocated in space. To the extent that growth and integration dynamics tend to polarize the ENP economic space, a set of critical policy questions arise.

The regional impact of European Union association agreements: an event-analysis approach to the case of Central and Eastern Europe

ABSTRACT The regional impact of European Union association agreements: an event-analysis approach to the case of Central and Eastern Europe. Regional Studies. Although European Union association agreements are generally seen as welfare improving, relatively little is known about their spatial–distributional consequences. Drawing on the pre-accession experience of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), this paper estimates the regional growth effects of such agreements using an event-analysis approach. It finds a positive growth effect which is, however, not constant across association phases or types of regions (e.g., specialized regions gained most in the early association period and service-oriented economies gained most near accession); and it discusses the implications of this in relation to debates on regional growth in the CEE and for future waves of association.

Regional Inequalities in the New European Union Member-States: Is There a ‘Population Size’ Effect?

Regional Inequalities in the New European Union Member-States: Is There a ‘Population Size’ Effect?

Economic Integration and Vulnerability in the EU Neighbourhood

In 2004, the EU launched the European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP), a unified policy framework towards its neighbours in the external EU periphery, aiming at strengthening prosperity, stability and security around its geopolitical borders. However, in-depth empirical analysis provides clear-cut evidence that, while the size and composition of trade flows between the EU and the ENCs may be growing, they are not favourable for the ENCs from the perspective of export diversification, in terms of either products or number of destinations. This condition increases their exposure to volatility in international markets. These results provide valuable insight into economic integration theory and for policymaking.

The role of path-dependence in the resilience of EU regions

ABSTRACT The paper studies the role of path-dependence in the resilience of EU regions. Particularly, employing a nonparametric analysis, the paper demonstrates that historical adjustments of EU regions materialized by productivity improvements, primarily in the manufacturing sector and incidentally in the sectors of construction, financial and non-market services, during the period 1995–2008 secured high(er) levels of regional resilience during the economic crisis period 2008–2013. Such a finding provides implications not only for theory but also for policy. Policies aiming at boosting regional productivity and competitiveness, which through a positive regional performance of high growth rates is concealed, a well-structured and robust production restructuring, might affect regional resilience in a way that shields regional economies not only from current imbalances but also from any future downturns.

The Emerging Economic Geography Setting in New EU Member States: A Comparative Account of Regional Industrial Performance and Adjustment

The market-based process of economic integration, although it is perceived to generate higher levels of aggregate efficiency, can possibly be associated with higher levels of inequality. In spatial terms, this is believed to lead to regional imbalances, with less advanced regions possibly experiencing, in the integration process, weaker gains or even net losses, compared to their more advanced counterparts. Such types of argument are in variance with the neoclassical understanding of the operation of the spatial economy and contribute to an ongoing discussion among academics and politicians on the impact of integration on the growth potential of less advanced European Union (EU) regions.