Donatella Ieluzzi

Complementary role of vitamin D deficiency and the interleukin-28B rs12979860 C/T polymorphism in predicting antiviral response in chronic hepatitis C.

The widely accepted interleukin‐28B (IL‐28B) rs12979860 C/T polymorphism and the more recently proposed vitamin D serum concentration are two novel predictors of the response to antiviral treatment in chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. This study aimed to verify whether the IL‐28B rs12979860 C/T polymorphism and pretreatment serum vitamin D levels have independent or complementary roles in predicting the rates of sustained viral response (SVR). The present study included 211 consecutive, treatment‐naïve chronic HCV patients who had their pretreatment serum 25‐OH vitamin D level and IL‐28B rs12979860 C/T genotype determined. Overall, SVR was achieved by 134/211 (63.5%) patients and by 47/110 (42.7%) patients infected with difficult‐to‐treat HCV genotypes. On multivariate analysis, SVR was predicted by the HCV genotype, the IL‐28B rs12979860 C/T polymorphism, and gamma‐glutamyl transpeptidase, HCV RNA, cholesterol, and 25‐OH vitamin D serum levels, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.827. When difficult‐to‐treat HCV genotypes were analyzed separately, the SVR was predicted by the IL‐28B rs12979860 C/T polymorphism, viral load, and serum vitamin D level, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.836. Moreover, by categorizing these latter patients into four groups—C/C homozygotes with vitamin D levels >20 ng/mL (group A) or ≤20 ng/mL (group B) and C/T heterozygotes or T/T homozygotes with vitamin D levels >20 ng/mL (group C) or ≤20 ng/mL (group D)—a significant linear trend was observed, with SVR rates in the following descending order: group A, 18/21 (85.7%); group B, 6/11 (54.5%); group C, 14/38 (36.8%); and group D, 9/40 (22.5%) (P < 0.0001). Conclusion: Vitamin D serum levels are complementary to the IL‐28B rs12979860 C/T polymorphism in enhancing the correct prediction of the SVR in treatment‐naïve chronic hepatitis C. (HEPATOLOGY 2011;)

Vitamin D Binding Protein Gene Polymorphisms and Baseline Vitamin D Levels as Predictors of Antiviral Response in Chronic Hepatitis C

Vitamin D deficiency seems to predict the unsuccessful achievement of sustained viral response (SVR) after antiviral treatment in hepatitis C virus (HCV) difficult‐to‐treat genotypes. Vitamin D binding protein (GC) gene polymorphisms are known to influence vitamin D levels. This study was performed to assess whether the interaction between basal circulating vitamin D and the GC polymorphism plays a role in influencing the rate of antiviral responses in patients affected by chronic hepatitis C. In all, 206 HCV patients treated with a combination therapy of pegylated (PEG)‐interferon plus ribavirin were retrospectively evaluated. GC rs7041 G>T, GC rs4588 C>A, and IL‐28B rs12979860 C>T polymorphisms were genotyped. Frequencies of GC rs7041 G>T and rs4588 C>A polymorphisms were: G/G = 64 (31.1%), G/T = 100 (48.5%), T/T = 42 (20.4%) and C/C = 108 (52.4%), C/A = 84 (40.8%), A/A = 14 (6.8%). Patients were divided into those carrying ≥3 major alleles (wildtype [WT]+: G‐C/G‐C, G‐C/T‐C, G‐C/G‐A, N = 100) and the remaining (WT−: G‐C/T‐A, T‐A/T‐C, T‐A/T‐A, T‐C/T‐C, N = 106). Four groups were identified: vitamin D ≤20 ng/mL and WT−, vitamin D ≤20 and WT+, vitamin D >20 and WT−, vitamin D >20 and WT+. In difficult‐to‐treat HCV genotypes the proportion of patients achieving SVR significantly increased with a linear trend from the first to the last group: 6/25 (24.0%), 9/24 (37.5%), 12/29 (41.4%), 19/29 (65.5%) (P = 0.003). At multivariate analysis, having basal vitamin D >20 ng/mL plus the carriage of GC WT+ was found to be an independent predictor of SVR (odds ratio 4.52, P = 0.015). Conclusion: In difficult‐to‐treat HCV genotypes, simultaneous pretreatment normal serum vitamin D levels and the carriage of GC‐globulin WT isoform strongly predicts the achievement of SVR after PEG‐interferon plus ribavirin antiviral therapy. (HEPATOLOGY 2012;56:1641–1650)

Reliable prediction of clinical outcome in patients with chronic HCV infection and compensated advanced hepatic fibrosis: a validated model using objective and readily available clinical parameters

Objective Reliable tools to predict long-term outcome among patients with well compensated advanced liver disease due to chronic HCV infection are lacking. Design Risk scores for mortality and for cirrhosis-related complications were constructed with Cox regression analysis in a derivation cohort and evaluated in a validation cohort, both including patients with chronic HCV infection and advanced fibrosis. Results In the derivation cohort, 100/405 patients died during a median 8.1 (IQR 5.7–11.1) years of follow-up. Multivariate Cox analyses showed age (HR=1.06, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.09, p<0.001), male sex (HR=1.91, 95% CI 1.10 to 3.29, p=0.021), platelet count (HR=0.91, 95% CI 0.87 to 0.95, p<0.001) and log10 aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio (HR=1.30, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.51, p=0.001) were independently associated with mortality (C statistic=0.78, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.83). In the validation cohort, 58/296 patients with cirrhosis died during a median of 6.6 (IQR 4.4–9.0) years. Among patients with estimated 5-year mortality risks <5%, 5–10% and >10%, the observed 5-year mortality rates in the derivation cohort and validation cohort were 0.9% (95% CI 0.0 to 2.7) and 2.6% (95% CI 0.0 to 6.1), 8.1% (95% CI 1.8 to 14.4) and 8.0% (95% CI 1.3 to 14.7), 21.8% (95% CI 13.2 to 30.4) and 20.9% (95% CI 13.6 to 28.1), respectively (C statistic in validation cohort = 0.76, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.83). The risk score for cirrhosis-related complications also incorporated HCV genotype (C statistic = 0.80, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.83 in the derivation cohort; and 0.74, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.79 in the validation cohort). Conclusions Prognosis of patients with chronic HCV infection and compensated advanced liver disease can be accurately assessed with risk scores including readily available objective clinical parameters.

Incidence of DAA failure and the clinical impact of retreatment in real-life patients treated in the advanced stage of liver disease: Interim evaluations from the PITER network

Background Few data are available on the virological and clinical outcomes of advanced liver disease patients retreated after first-line DAA failure. Aim To evaluate DAA failure incidence and the retreatment clinical impact in patients treated in the advanced liver disease stage. Methods Data on HCV genotype, liver disease severity, and first and second line DAA regimens were prospectively collected in consecutive patients who reached the 12-week post-treatment and retreatment evaluations from January 2015 to December 2016 in 23 of the PITER network centers. Results Among 3,830 patients with advanced fibrosis (F3) or cirrhosis, 139 (3.6%) failed to achieve SVR. Genotype 3, bilirubin levels >1.5mg/dl, platelet count <120,000/mm3 and the sofosbuvir+ribavirin regimen were independent predictors of failure by logistic regression analysis. The failure rate was 7.6% for patients treated with regimens that are no longer recommended or considered suboptimal (sofosbuvir+ribavirin or simeprevir+sofosbuvir±ribavirin), whereas 1.4% for regimens containing sofosbuvir combined with daclatasvir or ledipasvir or other DAAs. Of the patients who failed to achieve SVR, 72 (51.8%) were retreated with a second DAA regimen, specifically 38 (52.7%) with sofosbuvir+daclatasvir, 27 (37.5%) with sofosbuvir+ledipasvir, and 7 (9.7%) with other DAAs ±ribavirin. Among these, 69 (96%) patients achieved SVR12 and 3 (4%) failed. During a median time of 6 months (range: 5–14 months) between failure and the second DAA therapy, the Child-Pugh class worsened in 12 (16.7%) patients: from A to B in 10 patients (19.6%) and from B to C in 2 patients (10.5%), whereas it did not change in the remaining 60 patients. Following the retreatment SVR12 (median time of 6 months; range: 3–12 months), the Child-Pugh class improved in 17 (23.6%) patients: from B to A in 14 (19.4%) patients, from C to A in 1 patient (1.4%) and from C to B in 2 (2.9%) patients; it remained unchanged in 53 patients (73.6%) and worsened in 2 (2.8%) patients. Of patients who were retreated, 3 (4%) had undergone OLT before retreatment (all reached SVR12 following retreatment) and 2 (2.8%) underwent OLT after having achieved retreatment SVR12. Two (70%) of the 3 patients who failed to achieve SVR12 after retreatment, and 2 (2.8%) of the 69 patients who achieved retreatment SVR12 died from liver failure (Child-Pugh class deteriorated from B to C) or HCC complications. Conclusions Failure rate following the first DAA regimen in patients with advanced disease is similar to or lower than that reported in clinical trials, although the majority of patients were treated with suboptimal regimens. Interim findings showed that worsening of liver function after failure, in terms of Child Pugh class deterioration, was improved by successful retreatment in about one third of retreated patients within a short follow-up period; however, in some advanced liver disease patients, clinical outcomes (Child Pugh class, HCC development, liver failure and death) were independent of viral eradication.

Progression to cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma and liver-related mortality in chronic hepatitis B patients in Italy

BACKGROUND The natural history of chronic hepatitis B is variable. We evaluated some of the risk factors for cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma and liver-related mortality in Italian patients with chronic hepatitis B. METHODS A cohort of 105 untreated patients with chronic hepatitis B without cirrhosis at diagnosis was followed prospectively for a mean period of 23 years. Clinical, histological and ultrasound examinations, biochemical and virological tests, and causes of death were analyzed. RESULTS Forty-two (40%) patients became inactive carriers and 63 (60%) showed persistent alanine aminotransferase elevation: 13 (13%) associated with HBeAg persistence, 35 (33%) with detectable serum HBV-DNA but HBeAg-negative, 11 (10%) with concurrent virus infection and 4 (4%) with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Cirrhosis incidence was 1.56/100 person-years. Older age and sustained HBV replication predicted cirrhosis occurrence independently. Hepatocellular carcinoma incidence was 2.1/100 person-years in patients who developed cirrhosis and 0.06 in those who did not. Cirrhosis occurrence was associated with an increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (hazard ratio 20.4, 95% confidence interval 2.54-167.5) and liver-related death (16.5, 2.0-138.8). CONCLUSIONS In Italian patients with chronic hepatitis B cirrhosis strongly predicts hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence and disease-related mortality, thus indicating that early antiviral treatment should be instituted before cirrhosis occurrence.

Post-load insulin resistance does not predict virological response to treatment of chronic hepatitis C patients without the metabolic syndrome

BACKGROUND AND AIM The role of insulin resistance in predicting virological response to therapy of chronic hepatitis C is debated. We assessed the association between basal (defined as homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR)>2) and post-load insulin resistance (as oral glucose insulin sensitivity index<9.8 mg/kg/min) with the rapid and sustained virological responses in chronic hepatitis C. METHODS Observational prospective study of 124 treatment-naïve patients with chronic hepatitis C not fulfilling the metabolic syndrome criteria, adherent to a standard treatment with pegylated interferon alpha plus ribavirin. RESULTS Insulin resistance was detected in 50% (by HOMA-IR) and 29% (by oral glucose insulin sensitivity index) of patients. Independent predictors of rapid virologic response were hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 2 (odds ratio 5.66; 95% confidence interval 1.88-17.01), HCV genotype 3 (odds ratio 5.23; 95% confidence interval 1.84-14.84) and lower basal ferritin levels (odds ratio 0.99; 95% confidence interval 0.993-0.998). Independent predictors of sustained virologic response were HCV genotype 2 (odds ratio 19.54; 95% confidence interval 2.29-166.41) and HCV genotype 3 (odds ratio 3.24; 95% confidence interval 1.10-9.58). Rapid virologic response was by itself predictive of sustained virologic response (odds ratio 40.90; 95% confidence interval 5.37-311.53). CONCLUSIONS Insulin resistance, measured by both static and dynamic methods, does not predict rapid or sustained virologic response in chronic hepatitis C patients without the metabolic syndrome.

Protease inhibitors‐based therapy induces acquired spherocytic‐like anaemia and ineffective erythropoiesis in chronic hepatitis C virus patients

The addition of protease inhibitors, boceprevir (BOC) or telaprevir (TRV), to peg‐interferon and ribavirin (PR) increases the incidence of anaemia in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Although genetic variants in inosine triphosphatase (ITPA) gene have been linked to the haemolytic anaemia induced by PR, the mechanism sustaining severe anaemia during triple therapy is still unknown. This study aims to elucidate the molecular mechanisms underlying anaemia in chronic HCV patients with combined therapy.

Genetic Polymorphisms of Vitamin D Pathway Predict Antiviral Treatment Outcome in Slow Responder Naïve Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C

Vitamin D serum levels seem to influence antiviral response in chronic hepatitis C. Vitamin D pathway is controlled by genes presenting functional single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). Data regarding the association between these polymorphisms and the rate of sustained viral response (SVR) following antiviral treatment in chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are largely incomplete. Aim of this study was to evaluate if the carriage of different SNPs of these genes could influence the rate of SVR in patients treated with interferon plus ribavirin. Two hundred and six HCV positive patients treated with PEG-interferon plus ribavirin were retrospectively evaluated. Polymorphic loci rs7041 G>T and rs4588 C>A of the vitamin D transporter GC-globulin, rs10741657 G>A of the vitamin D 25 hydroxylase CYP2R1 and rs10877012 G>T of vitamin D 1-hydroxylase CYP27B1 were genotyped. A genetic model named VDPFA (vitamin D Pathway Functional Alleles) was constructed considering for each patient the sum (from 0 to 8), derived from every functional allele carried, associated with the achievement of SVR. Three groups were identified: those carrying ≤4 VDPFA (N=108), those carrying 5-6 VDPFA (N=78) and those carrying ≥7 VDPFA (N=20). Significant associations were found between the rates of SVR and the VDPFA value both in all (61/108, 53/78, 17/20, p=0.009) and in 1/4-5 HCV genotypes (17/56, 23/43, 6/8, p=0.003). Moreover in patients who don’t achieve rapid viral response (RVR) SVR and VDPFA were found to be in stronger associations in all (12/55, 17/39, 7/9, p<0.001) and in 1/4-5 HCV genotypes (4/41, 12/31, 5/6, p=0.001). VDPFA value ≥7 could aid to select, among RVR negative difficult to treat 1/4-5 HCV genotypes, those achieving SVR. These observations could permit to extend the indication to adopt dual antiviral therapy beyond RVR positivity rule without reducing the chances of SVR.

Real-life data on potential drug-drug interactions in patients with chronic hepatitis C viral infection undergoing antiviral therapy with interferon-free DAAs in the PITER Cohort Study

Background There are few real-life data on the potential drug-drug interactions (DDIs) between anti-HCV direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) and the comedications used. Aim To assess the potential DDIs of DAAs in HCV-infected outpatients, according to the severity of liver disease and comedication used in a prospective multicentric study. Methods Data from patients in 15 clinical centers who had started a DAA regimen and were receiving comedications during March 2015 to March 2016 were prospectively evaluated. The DDIs for each regimen and comedication were assigned according to HepC Drug Interactions (www.hep-druginteractions.org). Results Of the 449 patients evaluated, 86 had mild liver disease and 363 had moderate-to-severe disease. The use of a single comedication was more frequent among patients with mild liver disease (p = 0.03), whereas utilization of more than three drugs among those with moderate-to-severe disease (p = 0.05). Of the 142 comedications used in 86 patients with mild disease, 27 (20%) may require dose adjustment/closer monitoring, none was contraindicated. Of the 322 comedications used in 363 patients with moderate-to-severe liver disease, 82 (25%) were classified with potential DDIs that required only monitoring and dose adjustments; 10 (3%) were contraindicated in severe liver disease. In patients with mild liver disease 30% (26/86) used at least one drug with a potential DDI whereas of the 363 patients with moderate-to-severe liver disease, 161 (44%) were at risk for one or more DDI. Conclusions Based on these results, we can estimate that 30–44% of patients undergoing DAA and taking comedications are at risk of a clinically significant DDI. This data indicates the need for increased awareness of potential DDI during DAA therapy, especially in patients with moderate-to-severe liver disease. For several drugs, the recommendation related to the DDI changes from “dose adjustment/closer monitoring”, in mild to moderate liver disease, to “the use is contraindicated” in severe liver disease.

Modelling cost-effectiveness and health gains of a "universal" vs. "prioritized" HCV treatment policy in a real-life cohort

We evaluated the cost‐effectiveness of two alternative direct‐acting antiviral (DAA) treatment policies in a real‐life cohort of hepatitis C virus–infected patients: policy 1, “universal,” treat all patients, regardless of fibrosis stage; policy 2, treat only “prioritized” patients, delay treatment of the remaining patients until reaching stage F3. A liver disease progression Markov model, which used a lifetime horizon and health care system perspective, was applied to the PITER cohort (representative of Italian hepatitis C virus–infected patients in care). Specifically, 8,125 patients naive to DAA treatment, without clinical, sociodemographic, or insurance restrictions, were used to evaluate the policies’ cost‐effectiveness. The patients’ age and fibrosis stage, assumed DAA treatment cost of €15,000/patient, and the Italian liver disease costs were used to evaluate quality‐adjusted life‐years (QALY) and incremental cost‐effectiveness ratios (ICER) of policy 1 versus policy 2. To generalize the results, a European scenario analysis was performed, resampling the study population, using the mean European country‐specific health states costs and mean treatment cost of €30,000. For the Italian base‐case analysis, the cost‐effective ICER obtained using policy 1 was €8,775/QALY. ICERs remained cost‐effective in 94%‐97% of the 10,000 probabilistic simulations. For the European treatment scenario the ICER obtained using policy 1 was €19,541.75/QALY. ICER was sensitive to variations in DAA costs, in the utility value of patients in fibrosis stages F0‐F3 post–sustained virological response, and in the transition probabilities from F0 to F3. The ICERs decrease with decreasing DAA prices, becoming cost‐saving for the base price (€15,000) discounts of at least 75% applied in patients with F0‐F2 fibrosis.