Douglas Osborn

Presentation of Fukushima Analyses to U.S. Nuclear Power Plant Simulator Operators and Vendors

This document provides Sandia National Laboratories’ meeting notes and presentations at the Society for Modeling and Simulation Power Plant Simulator conference in Jacksonville, FL. The conference was held January 26-28, 2015, and SNL was invited by the U.S. nuclear industry to present Fukushima modeling insights and lessons learned.

System Theoretic Frameworks for Mitigating Risk Complexity in the Nuclear Fuel Cycle

In response to the expansion of nuclear fuel cycle (NFC) activities—and the associated suite of risks—around the world, this project evaluated systems-based solutions for managing such risk complexity in multimodal and multi-jurisdictional international spent nuclear fuel (SNF) transportation. By better understanding systemic risks in SNF transportation, developing SNF transportation risk assessment frameworks, and evaluating these systems-based risk assessment frameworks, this research illustrated interdependency between safety, security, and safeguards risks is inherent in NFC activities and can go unidentified when each “S” is independently evaluated. Two novel system-theoretic analysis techniques—dynamic probabilistic risk assessment (DPRA) and system-theoretic process analysis (STPA)—provide integrated “3S” analysis to address these interdependencies and the research results suggest a need—and provide a way—to reprioritize United States engagement efforts to reduce global nuclear risks. Lastly, this research identifies areas where Sandia

Statistical analyses of plume composition and deposited radionuclide mixture ratios

A proposed method is considered to classify the regions in the close neighborhood of selected measurements according to the ratio of two radionuclides measured from either a radioactive plume or a deposited radionuclide mixture. The subsequent associated locations are then considered in the area of interest with a representative ratio class. This method allows for a more comprehensive and meaningful understanding of the data sampled following a radiological incident.

Interim MELCOR Simulation of the Fukushima Daiichi Unit 2 Accident Reactor Core Isolation Cooling Operation

Data, a brief description of key boundary conditions, and results of Sandia National Laboratories’ ongoing MELCOR analysis of the Fukushima Unit 2 accident are given for the reactor core isolation cooling (RCIC) system. Important assumptions and related boundary conditions in the current analysis additional to or different than what was assumed/imposed in the work of SAND2012-6173 are identified. This work is for the U.S. Department of Energy’s Nuclear Energy University Programs fiscal year 2014 Reactor Safety Technologies Research and Development Program RC-7: RCIC Performance under Severe Accident Conditions.