Eelco J. Rohling

Sea-level fluctuations during the last glacial cycle

The last glacial cycle was characterized by substantial millennial-scale climate fluctuations, but the extent of any associated changes in global sea level (or, equivalently, ice volume) remains elusive. Highstands of sea level can be reconstructed from dated fossil coral reef terraces, and these data are complemented by a compilation of global sea-level estimates based on deep-sea oxygen isotope ratios at millennial-scale resolution or higher. Records based on oxygen isotopes, however, contain uncertainties in the range of ±30 m, or ±1 °C in deep sea temperature. Here we analyse oxygen isotope records from Red Sea sediment cores to reconstruct the history of water residence times in the Red Sea. We then use a hydraulic model of the water exchange between the Red Sea and the world ocean to derive the sill depth—and hence global sea level—over the past 470,000 years (470 kyr). Our reconstruction is accurate to within ±12 m, and gives a centennial-scale resolution from 70 to 25 kyr before present. We find that sea-level changes of up to 35 m, at rates of up to 2 cm yr-1, occurred, coincident with abrupt changes in climate.

Magnitudes of sea-level lowstands of the past 500,000 years

Existing techniques for estimating natural fluctuations of sea level and global ice-volume from the recent geological past exploit fossil coral-reef terraces or oxygen-isotope records from benthic foraminifera. Fossil reefs reveal the magnitude of sea-level peaks (highstands) of the past million years, but fail to produce significant values for minima (lowstands) before the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) about 20,000 years ago, a time at which sea level was about 120 m lower than it is today. The isotope method provides a continuous sea-level record for the past 140,000 years (ref. 5) (calibrated with fossil-reef data), but the realistic uncertainty in the sea-level estimates is around ±20 m. Here we present improved lowstand estimates—extending the record back to 500,000 years before present—using an independent method based on combining evidence of extreme high-salinity conditions in the glacial Red Sea with a simple hydraulic control model of water flow through the Strait of Bab-el-Mandab, which links the Red Sea to the open ocean. We find that the world can glaciate more intensely than during the LGM by up to an additional 20-m lowering of global sea-level. Such a 20-m difference is equivalent to a change in global ice-volume of the order of todays Greenland and West Antarctic ice-sheets.

Centennial-scale climate cooling with a sudden cold event around 8,200 years ago

The extent of climate variability during the current interglacial period, the Holocene, is still debated. Temperature records derived from central Greenland ice cores show one significant temperature anomaly between 8,200 and 8,100 years ago, which is often attributed to a meltwater outflow into the North Atlantic Ocean and a slowdown of North Atlantic Deep Water formation—this anomaly provides an opportunity to study such processes with relevance to present-day freshening of the North Atlantic. Anomalies in climate proxy records from locations around the globe are often correlated with this sharp event in Greenland. But the anomalies in many of these records span 400 to 600 years, start from about 8,600 years ago and form part of a repeating pattern within the Holocene. More sudden climate changes around 8,200 years ago appear superimposed on this longer-term cooling. The compounded nature of the signals implies that far-field climate anomalies around 8,200 years ago cannot be used in a straightforward manner to assess the impact of a slowdown of North Atlantic Deep Water formation, and the geographical extent of the rapid cooling event 8,200 years ago remains to be determined.

Review and new aspects concerning the formation of eastern Mediterranean sapropels

Abstract In this paper, it is proposed that the formation of eastern Mediterranean sapropels occurred in an anti-estuarine type of circulation, which was to some degree weakened relative to the present in response to reduction of the eastern Mediterranean excess of evaporation over freshwater input. This reduction of excess evaporation would have been imposed by intensifications of (1) the Indian Ocean summer (SW) monsoon, influencing the eastern Mediterranean via increased Nile discharge, and (2) the system of Mediterranean depressions (an element of the westerly Atlantic system) causing increased precipitation and decreased evaporation. Both the Indian Ocean summer monsoon, and the westerly Atlantic system, would be intensified in response to the occurrence of distinct minima in the cycle of precession. It is demonstrated that reduced excess evaporation, whether or not coinciding with global phases of deglaciation, would lead to reduction of surface water salinities in the eastern Mediterranean, causing “isolation” of previously formed high salinity (cooler) deep water. Thus, mixing was severely reduced, possibly even restricted to eddy diffusion, with only occasional convective events that, because of the existing density gradient, hardly ever would reach the deepest parts of the basin. The consequently diminished oxygen advection down from a few hundred meters in the water column, favoured preservation of the sinking organic matter. This would, however, suffice only to enable the formation of sapropels with low organic carbon contents. The high organic carbon contents observed in various sapropels are argued to reflect superimposed increases of export production. The described scenario accounts for previously reported (1) increases of organic carbon content with increasing depth of deposition within individual sapropels, and (2) asymmetrical sequences of sapropel deposition, characterized by gradual build-up and rather abrupt ending. It is, furthermore, in agreement with (3) isotopic and faunal reconstructions of the history of exchange transports through both the Strait of Sicily, and the Strait of Gibraltar, and (4) faunal and floral reflections of the presence or absence of a distinct Deep Chlorophyll Maximum with its associated increases in export production, indicating the presence or absence of a shallow pycnocline within the euphotic layer. Moreover, the described scenario (5) is in no way conflicting with the reports of sapropels in the western Mediterranean, and (6) seems to be endorsed by occasionally intercalated intervals suggestive of somewhat improved oxygenation, amidst anoxic (benthic desert) levels, a situation that has been observed in a few Quaternary and Pliocene sapropels.

Letters to Nature: Magnitudes of sea-level lowstands of the past 500,000 years

Existing techniques for estimating natural fluctuations of sea level and global ice-volume from the recent geological past exploit fossil coral-reef terraces or oxygen-isotope records from benthic foraminifera. Fossil reefs reveal the magnitude of sea-level peaks (highstands) of the past million years, but fail to produce significant values for minima (lowstands) before the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) about 20,000 years ago, a time at which sea level was about 120 m lower than it is today. The isotope method provides a continuous sea-level record for the past 140,000 years (ref. 5) (calibrated with fossil-reef data), but the realistic uncertainty in the sea-level estimates is around ±20 m. Here we present improved lowstand estimates—extending the record back to 500,000 years before present—using an independent method based on combining evidence of extreme high-salinity conditions in the glacial Red Sea with a simple hydraulic control model of water flow through the Strait of Bab-el-Mandab, which links the Red Sea to the open ocean. We find that the world can glaciate more intensely than during the LGM by up to an additional 20-m lowering of global sea-level. Such a 20-m difference is equivalent to a change in global ice-volume of the order of todays Greenland and West Antarctic ice-sheets.

Escape of methane gas from the seabed along the West Spitsbergen continental margin

More than 250 plumes of gas bubbles have been discovered emanating from the seabed of the West Spitsbergen continental margin, in a depth range of 150-400 m, at and above the present upper limit of the gas hydrate stability zone (GHSZ). Some of the plumes extend upward to within 50 m of the sea surface. The gas is predominantly methane. Warming of the northward-flowing West Spitsbergen current by 1°C over the last thirty years is likely to have increased the release of methane from the seabed by reducing the extent of the GHSZ, causing the liberation of methane from decomposing hydrate. If this process becomes widespread along Arctic continental margins, tens of Teragrams of methane per year could be released into the ocean.

Assessing “dangerous climate change”: Required reduction of carbon emissions to protect young people, future generations and nature

We assess climate impacts of global warming using ongoing observations and paleoclimate data. We use Earth’s measured energy imbalance, paleoclimate data, and simple representations of the global carbon cycle and temperature to define emission reductions needed to stabilize climate and avoid potentially disastrous impacts on today’s young people, future generations, and nature. A cumulative industrial-era limit of ∼500 GtC fossil fuel emissions and 100 GtC storage in the biosphere and soil would keep climate close to the Holocene range to which humanity and other species are adapted. Cumulative emissions of ∼1000 GtC, sometimes associated with 2°C global warming, would spur “slow” feedbacks and eventual warming of 3–4°C with disastrous consequences. Rapid emissions reduction is required to restore Earth’s energy balance and avoid ocean heat uptake that would practically guarantee irreversible effects. Continuation of high fossil fuel emissions, given current knowledge of the consequences, would be an act of extraordinary witting intergenerational injustice. Responsible policymaking requires a rising price on carbon emissions that would preclude emissions from most remaining coal and unconventional fossil fuels and phase down emissions from conventional fossil fuels.

Rapid coupling between ice volume and polar temperature over the past 150,000 years.

Current global warming necessitates a detailed understanding of the relationships between climate and global ice volume. Highly resolved and continuous sea-level records are essential for quantifying ice-volume changes. However, an unbiased study of the timing of past ice-volume changes, relative to polar climate change, has so far been impossible because available sea-level records either were dated by using orbital tuning or ice-core timescales, or were discontinuous in time. Here we present an independent dating of a continuous, high-resolution sea-level record in millennial-scale detail throughout the past 150,000 years. We find that the timing of ice-volume fluctuations agrees well with that of variations in Antarctic climate and especially Greenland climate. Amplitudes of ice-volume fluctuations more closely match Antarctic (rather than Greenland) climate changes. Polar climate and ice-volume changes, and their rates of change, are found to covary within centennial response times. Finally, rates of sea-level rise reached at least 1.2 m per century during all major episodes of ice-volume reduction.

Organic flux control on bathymetric zonation of Mediterranean benthic foraminifera

A data set of benthic foraminiferal faunas counted in 138 surface samples from the Mediterranean Sea has been used to investigate whether the bathymetrical distribution of the dominant taxa is controlled by the amount of labile organic matter transported to the sea floor. We find that most of the major taxa show a clear W to E shallowing of their upper or lower depth limit, coinciding with a W to E decrease in the surface water primary production, and in the estimated flux of the labile organic matter to the sea floor. This observation implies that the bathymetrical succession of these taxa is indeed determined by the organic flux. In the western Mediterranean, we find successions from more oligotrophic taxa at greater water depths to more eutrophic taxa in more shallow water. Towards the eastern Mediterranean, most eutrophic taxa tend to become increasingly rare, or even to disappear, whereas the more oligotrophic taxa show a clear shoaling of their depth range. Deep infaunal taxa are mainly limited to the western part of the Mediterranean. This is explained by their dependency on a relatively elevated organic flux, and by the fact that the bacterial stocks on which they feed may become unattainable when the redox front is positioned too deep in the sediment. The close similarity between the flux level controlling our main faunal boundary, and the flux levels coinciding with important faunal changes in other parts of the world ocean, suggests that a flux level of about 2‐3 g labile Cm 22 y 21 level corresponds to a benthic ecosystem threshold value of global importance. q 2000 Elsevier Science B.V. All

Timing of meltwater pulse 1a and climate responses to meltwater injections

The temporal relationship between meltwater pulse 1a (mwp-1a) and the climate history of the last deglaciation remains a subject of debate. By combining the Greenland Ice Core Project d18O ice core record on the new Greenland ice core chronology 2005 timescale with the U/Th-dated Barbados coral record, we conclusively derive that mwp-1a did not coincide with the sharp Bolling warming but instead with the abrupt cooling of the Older Dryas. To evaluate whether there is a relationship between meltwater injections, North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) formation, and climate change, we present a high-resolution record of NADW flow intensity from Eirik Drift through the last deglaciation. It indicates only a relatively minor 200-year weakening of NADW flow, coincident with mwp-1a. Our compilation of records also indicates that during Heinrich event 1 and the Younger Dryas there were no discernible sea level rises, and yet these periods were characterized by intense NADW slowdowns/shutdowns. Clearly, deepwater formation and climate are not simply controlled by the magnitude or rate of meltwater addition. Instead, our results emphasize that the location of meltwater pulses may be more important, with NADW formation being particularly sensitive to surface freshening in the Arctic/Nordic Seas.