Egidio Traversi

Short-Term Heart Rate Variability Strongly Predicts Sudden Cardiac Death in Chronic Heart Failure Patients

Background—The predictive value of heart rate variability (HRV) in chronic heart failure (CHF) has never been tested in a comprehensive multivariate model using short-term laboratory recordings designed to avoid the confounding effects of respiration and behavioral factors. Methods and Results—A multivariate survival model for the identification of sudden (presumably arrhythmic) death was developed with data from 202 consecutive patients referred between 1991 and 1995 with moderate to severe CHF (age 52±9 years, left ventricular ejection fraction 24±7%, New York Heart Association class 2.3±0.7; the derivation sample). Time- and frequency-domain HRV parameters obtained from an 8′ recording of ECG at baseline and during controlled breathing (12 to 15 breaths/min) were challenged against clinical and functional parameters. This model was then validated in 242 consecutive patients referred between 1996 and 2001 (validation sample). In the derivation sample, sudden death was independently predicted by a model that included low-frequency power (LFP) of HRV during controlled breathing ≤13 ms2 and left ventricular end-diastolic diameter ≥77 mm (relative risk [RR] 3.7, 95% CI 1.5 to 9.3, and RR 2.6, 95% CI 1.0 to 6.3, respectively). The derivation model was also a significant predictor in the validation sample (P =0.04). In the validation sample, LFP ≤11 ms2 during controlled breathing and ≥83 ventricular premature contractions per hour on Holter monitoring were both independent predictors of sudden death (RR 3.0, 95% CI 1.2 to 7.6, and RR 3.7, 95% CI 1.5 to 9.0, respectively). Conclusions—Reduced short-term LFP during controlled breathing is a powerful predictor of sudden death in patients with CHF that is independent of many other variables. These results refine the identification of patients who may benefit from prophylactic implantation of a cardiac defibrillator.

Predictors of primary atrial fibrillation and concomitant clinical and hemodynamic changes in patients with chronic heart failure: A prospective study in 344 patients with baseline sinus rhythm

OBJECTIVES This study investigated the incidence, predisposing factors and significance of the onset of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with chronic congestive heart failure (CHF). BACKGROUND The association between CHF and AF is well documented, but the factors that predispose to the onset of the arrhythmia and its impact remain controversial. Methods. We prospectively followed up 344 patients with CHF and sinus rhythm (SR). Over a period of 19 +/- 12 months (mean +/- SD), 28 patients developed atrial fibrillation (AF), which became chronic in 18. RESULTS At baseline, no differences were found in any clinical and hemodynamic variables between patients who developed chronic AF and those who did not. Reversible AF occurring during follow-up and lower mitral flow velocity at atrial contraction as detected at the last evaluation in SR were independent predictors of the subsequent development of chronic AF. When AF occurred, New York Heart Association functional class worsened (from 2.4 +/- 0.5 to 2.9 +/- 0.6, p = 0.0001), peak exercise oxygen consumption declined (from 16 +/- 5 to 11 +/- 5 ml/kg per min, p = 0.002), cardiac index decreased (from 2.2 +/- 0.4 to 1.8 +/- 0.4, p = 0.0008), and mitral and tricuspid regurgitation increased (from grade 1.8 +/- 1.1 to grade 2.4 +/- 1.4, p = 0.0001 and from grade 1.0 +/- 1.2 to grade 1.8 +/- 1.2, p = 0.001, respectively). Systemic thromboembolism occurred in 3 of the 18 patients with AF. Nine of 18 patients died after AF, and the occurrence of AF was a predictor of major cardiac events. CONCLUSIONS In patients with CHF, reversible AF and reduction of left atrial contribution to left ventricular filling predict the subsequent development of chronic AF. The onset of AF is associated with clinical and hemodynamic deterioration and may predispose to systemic thromboembolism and poorer prognosis.

Loading manipulations improve the prognostic value of Doppler evaluation of mitral flow in patients with chronic heart failure

BACKGROUND Mitral flow velocity patterns (MFVPs) evaluated by Doppler echocardiography are strong predictors of survival in various cardiac diseases. However, MFVPs may change over time according to loading conditions. We performed this prospective study to assess whether changes in MFVP induced by loading manipulations provided additional prognostic information in 173 patients with chronic heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS Simultaneous Doppler echocardiographic and right-sided hemodynamic recordings were obtained at baseline in all patients, during nitroprusside infusion in the 98 patients who had a baseline restrictive (early-to-late flow velocity ratio > 1 and deceleration time < or = 130 ms) MFVP, and during passive leg lifting in the 75 patients who had a baseline nonrestrictive MFVP. Patients were categorized, according to changes in MFVP, into four groups: 61 patients with an irreversible restrictive, 37 with a reversible restrictive, 48 patients with a stable nonrestrictive, and 27 patients with an unstable nonrestrictive MFVP. Fifty patients experienced major cardiac events. Cox analysis revealed that MFVP was a strong predictor of events and that the response to loading manipulations improved its prognostic value. Patients with an irreversible restrictive MFVP had a higher event rate (51%) than patients with a reversible restrictive MFVP (19%). Among patients with a baseline nonrestrictive MFVP, those with a stable nonrestrictive MFVP had the lowest event rate (6%), whereas the event rate was 33% in patients with an unstable nonrestrictive MFVP. CONCLUSIONS In patients with chronic heart failure, MFVPs provide independent prognostic information. Their prognostic value can be further increased by assessment of the changes induced in them by loading manipulations.

Concomitant factors of decompensation in chronic heart failure.

The concomitant factors implicated in 328 nonfatal decompensations of 304 patients with congestive heart failure were: arrhythmias in 24%, infections in 23%, poor compliance in 15%, angina in 14%, iatrogenic factors in 10%, and other causes in 5% of cases. New York Heart Association class and right atrial pressure significantly related to the occurrence of decompensation. Poor compliance and angina were unpredictable, infection was related to pulmonary wedge pressure, iatrogenic factors were predicted by the more advanced functional classes, whereas arrhythmias were more frequent in patients with renal failure.

Mitral flow velocity changes after 6 months of optimized therapy provide important hemodynamic and prognostic information in patients with chronic heart failure

Transmitral flow velocity patterns evaluated by Doppler echocardiography provide important hemodynamic and prognostic information in various cardiac conditions. However, these patterns may change over time, and so far the hemodynamic and prognostic significance of these changes has not been established. Accordingly, we performed this study to determine the hemodynamic and prognostic value of changes in transmitral flow velocity patterns after 6 months of optimized medical treatment in patients with chronic heart failure due to ischemic or nonischemic dilated cardiomyopathy. Ninety-eight consecutive patients with chronic heart failure underwent a clinical examination, a cardiopulmonary exercise test, and simultaneous Doppler echocardiographic and hemodynamic studies at baseline and after 6 months, patients were followed up for 12 +/- 7 months. Cardiac death and heart transplantation while patients were in critical condition were considered events. A restrictive pattern was defined by an early-to-late peak diastolic velocity ratio > 1 and an early diastolic deceleration time < or = 130 msec. Patients were grouped according to their mitral flow pattern at baseline and its changes after chronic optimized therapy. No significant changes in clinical, ergometric, and hemodynamic variables were found after 6 months in the 49 patients who had a persistent restrictive transmitral flow pattern or the 24 patients who had a persistent nonrestrictive transmitral flow pattern. In the 19 patients who had a restrictive pattern at baseline that reverted into a nonrestrictive pattern, this change was accompanied by a highly significant reduction in pulmonary wedge pressure (from 25 +/- 7 mm Hg to 11 +/- 3 mm Hg) and by an increase in exercise capacity, whereas in the 6 patients who had a nonrestrictive pattern that became restrictive, hemodynamic features markedly deteriorated. Seventeen of the 21 events occurred in the 49 patients (event rate 35%) with a persistent restrictive pattern, whereas the event rate was much lower in the 19 patients with a reversible restrictive pattern (5%) and in the 24 patients with a persistent nonrestrictive pattern (4%). Two (33%) of the 6 patients in whom a restrictive pattern developed had events. Cox analysis revealed that a restrictive transmitral flow pattern (p = 0.0068) and peak rate of oxygen consumption (p = 0.0056) detected at the late examination were significantly related to cardiac events. These results show that in patients with chronic heart failure, changes in transmitral flow patterns after chronic optimized therapy are correlated with changes in pulmonary wedge pressure, are accompanied by changes in functional capacity, and provide relevant independent prognostic information.

Orthotopic heart transplantation: Standard versus bicaval technique

We compared orthotopic heart transplantation (HT) by bicaval technique with the standard technique. Between January 1995 and December 1997, 117 patients underwent 118 HTs; 71 patients (15 women and 56 men) had 72 HTs by standard technique and 46 patients (9 women, 37 men) underwent HT using bicaval procedures. Preoperative parameters were similar in both groups; 5 patients who underwent the standard technique and no patients who underwent bicaval procedures required permanent pacemakers (p = NS). Isoproterenol infusion was significantly longer in the standard technique. Major perioperative arrhythmias (ventricular tachycardia and fibrillation, asystole) appeared in 8.2% and 7.0% of standard and bicaval HTs, respectively; atrial fibrillation appeared in 13.1% and 4.6%, respectively (p = NS). At 1 month, mitral and tricuspid regurgitation rates were higher in the standard group (p = NS); at 1 year only tricuspid regurgitation was still higher (p = NS). Right atrial pressure, Wood units, cardiac output, and cardiac index were examined (p = NS). At multivariate analysis, interaction between preoperative Wood units and transplant type was elicited for Wood units at 1 month and for right atrial pressure at 1, 3, and 6 months. In the high resistance subgroup, the patients who underwent bicaval procedures had higher resistances at 1 month. In the low resistance subgroup, right atrial pressure was higher in patients who underwent standard techniques at 1, 3, and 6 months follow-up. Thus, bicaval HT was found to be safe, without surgically related complications, it provoked significantly less blood loss, and required less isoproterenol use. No significant advantages were observed in conduction disturbances and major arrhythmias or regarding the need for temporary or permanent pacemakers.

Doppler echocardiography reliably predicts pulmonary artery wedge pressure in patients with chronic heart failure even when atrial fibrillation is present

In patients with chronic congestive heart failure a high pulmonary artery wedge pressure (PAWP) is associated with poor prognosis, severe symptoms and low exercise tolerance. When atrial fibrillation is present the non‐invasive prediction of PAWP by Doppler echocardiography is generally considered to be not reliable.

Different correlates but similar prognostic implications for right ventricular dysfunction in heart failure patients with reduced or preserved ejection fraction.

To evaluate whether the clinical and echocardiographic correlates and the prognostic significance of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction are different in heart failure patients with reduced (HFrEF), mid‐range (HFmrEF), or preserved (HFpEF) left ventricular ejection fraction.

Comparison of Doppler echocardiography with thermodilution for assessing cardiac output in advanced congestive heart failure.

Noninvasive cardiac output estimation by Doppler echocardiography was compared with thermodilution and Fick oxygen methods in 73 patients with advanced chronic congestive heart failure due to dilated cardiomyopathy. In these patients, Doppler echocardiographic measurements showed a closer agreement with Fick measurements than that of thermodilution.

Assessment of right ventricular function in patients with congestive heart failure by echocardiographic automated boundary detection

In patients with chronic heart failure, echocardiographic automated boundary detection (ABD) can reliably assess right ventricular function. The measurements obtained by ABD were highly reproducible, strongly correlated with radionuclide right ventricular ejection fraction, and superior to those obtained by conventional manual echocardiographic methods.