Enrico Maria Sessolo

Constrained MSSM favoring new territories: The impact of new LHC limits and a 125 GeV Higgs boson

We present an updated and extended global analysis of the Constrained MSSM (CMSSM) taking into account new limits on supersymmetry from ~5/fb data sets at the LHC. In particular, in the case of the razor limit obtained by the CMS Collaboration we simulate detector efficiency for the experimental analysis and derive an approximate but accurate likelihood function. We discuss the impact on the global fit of a possible Higgs boson with mass near 125 GeV, as implied by recent data, and of a new improved limit on BR(B_s->\mu\mu). We identify high posterior probability regions of the CMSSM parameters as the stau-coannihilation and the A-funnel region, with the importance of the latter now being much larger due to the combined effect of the above three LHC results and of dark matter relic density. We also find that the focus point region is now disfavored. Ensuing implications for superpartner masses favor even larger values than before, and even lower ranges for dark matter spin-independent cross section, \sigma^{SI}_p s\gamma) and BR(B_s->\mu\mu).

Constrained next-to-minimal supersymmetric standard model with a 126 GeV Higgs boson: A global analysis

We present the first global analysis of the Constrained NMSSM that investigates the impact of the recent discovery of a 126 GeV Higgs-like boson, of the observation of a signal for branching ratio BR (Bs → μ+μ−), and of constraints on supersymmetry from ∼ 5/fb of data accumulated at the LHC, as well as of other relevant constraints from colliders, flavor physics and dark matter. We consider three possible cases, assuming in turn that the discovered Higgs boson is (i) the lightest Higgs boson of the model; (ii) the next-to-lightest Higgs boson; and (iii) a combination of both roughly degenerate in mass. The likelihood function for the Higgs signal uses signal rates in the γγ and ZZ → 4l channels, while that for the Higgs exclusion limits assumes decay through the γγ, ττ , ZZ and W+W− channels. In all cases considered we identify the 68% and 95% credible posterior probability regions in a Bayesian approach. We find that, when the constraints are applied with their respective uncertainties, the first case shows strong CMSSM-like behavior, with the stau coannihilation region featuring highest posterior probability, the best-fit point, a correct mass of the lightest Higgs boson and the lighter stop mass in the ballpark of 1 TeV. We also expose in this region a linear relationship between the trilinear couplings of the stau and the stop, with both of them being strongly negative as enforced by the Higgs mass and the relic density, which outside of the stau coannihilation region show some tension. The second and the third case, on the other hand, while allowed are disfavored by the constraints from direct detection of dark matter and from BR (Bs → μ+μ−). Without the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon the fit improves considerably, especially for negative effective μ parameter. We discuss how the considered scenarios could be tested further at the LHC and in dark matter searches. ∗On leave of absence from the University of Sheffield, UK. 1 ar X iv :1 21 1. 16 93 v3 [ he pph ] 2 9 M ay 2 01 3

What next for the CMSSM and the NUHM: improved prospects for superpartner and dark matter detection

A bstractWe present an updated analysis of the CMSSM and the NUHM using the latest experimental data and numerical tools. We map out favored regions of Bayesian posterior probability in light of data from the LHC, flavor observables, the relic density and dark matter searches. We present some updated features with respect to our previous analyses: we include the effects of corrections to the light Higgs mass beyond the 2-loop order using FeynHiggs 2.10.0; we include in the likelihood the latest limits from direct searches for squarks and gluinos at ATLAS with ~ 20 fb−1; the latest constraints on the spin-independent scattering cross section of the neutralino from LUX are applied taking into account uncertainties in the nuclear form factors. We find that in the CMSSM the posterior distribution now tends to favor smaller values of MSUSY than in the previous analyses. As a consequence, the statistical weight of the A-resonance region increases to about 30% of the total probability, with interesting new prospects for the 14 TeV run at the LHC. The most favored region, on the other hand, still features multi-TeV squarks and gluinos, and ~ 1 TeV higgsino dark matter whose detection prospects by current and one-tonne detectors look very promising. The same region is predominant in the NUHM, although the A-resonance region is also present there as well as a new solution, of neutralino-stau coannihilation through the channel τ˜τ˜→hh

Bayesian implications of current LHC supersymmetry and dark matter detection searches for the constrained MSSM

\tilde{\tau}\tilde{\tau}\ \to\ hh

Prospects for dark matter searches in the pMSSM

at very large μ. We derive the expected sensitivity of the future CTA experiment to ~ 1 TeV higgsino dark matter for both models and show that the prospects for probing both models are realistically good. We comment on the complementarity of this search to planned direct detection one-tonne experiments.

Natural MSSM after the LHC 8 TeV run

We explore the MSSM with 9 free parameters (p9MSSM) that have been selected as a minimum set that allows an investigation of neutralino dark matter and collider signatures while maintaining consistency with several constraints. These include measurement of the dark matter relic density from PLANCK, main properties of the discovered Higgs boson, LHC direct SUSY searches, recent evidence for a Standard Model-like BR(Bs -> \mu+ \mu-), and the measurement of \delta(g-2), plus a number of other electroweak and flavor physics constraints. We perform a simulation of two LHC direct SUSY searches at sqrt(s)=8 TeV: the CMS inclusive \alpha_T search for squarks and gluinos and the CMS electroweak production search with 3l+E_T^miss in the final state. We use the latter to identify the regions of the parameter space, consistent at 2\sigma\ with \delta(g-2), that are not excluded by the direct limits from the electroweak production. We find that they correspond to a neutralino mass in the window 200 GeV<m_\chi<500 GeV. We also implement the likelihood for the XENON100 exclusion bound, in which we consider for the first time the impact of a recent determination of the \Sigma_{\pi N} term from CHAOS data, \Sigma_{\pi N}=43\pm12 MeV. We show that in light of this measurement, the present statistical impact of the XENON100 bound is greatly reduced, although future sensitivities of the LUX and XENON1T experiments will have decisive impact on the mixed bino/higgsino composition of the neutralino. We point out some tension between the constraints from \delta(g-2) and XENON100. Finally, we present prospects for various indirect searches of dark matter, namely \gamma-ray fluxes from dSphs and the Galactic Center at Fermi-LAT, and the positron flux at AMS02. We also show the 5-year sensitivity on the spin-dependent neutralino-proton cross section due to neutrino fluxes from the Sun at IceCube.

Low fine tuning in the MSSM with higgsino dark matter and unification constraints

We investigate the impact of recent limits from LHC searches for supersymmetry and from direct and indirect searches for dark matter on global Bayesian inferences of the parameter space of the Constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (CMSSM). In particular we apply recent exclusion limits from the CMS \alpha_T analysis of 1.1/fb of integrated luminosity, the current direct detection dark matter limit from XENON100, as well as recent experimental constraints on \gamma-ray fluxes from dwarf spheroidal satellite galaxies of the Milky Way from the FermiLAT telescope, in addition to updating values for other non-LHC experimental constraints. We extend the range of scanned parameters to include a significant fraction of the focus point/hyperbolic branch region. While we confirm earlier conclusions that at present LHC limits provide the strongest constraints on the models parameters, we also find that when the uncertainties are not treated in an excessively conservative way, the new bounds from dwarf spheroidal have the power to significantly constrain the focus point/hyperbolic branch region. Their effect is then comparable, if not stronger, to that from XENON100. We further analyze the effects of one-year projected sensitivities on the neutrino flux from the Sun in the 86-string IceCube+DeepCore configuration at the South Pole. We show that data on neutrinos from the Sun, expected for the next few months at IceCube and DeepCore, have the potential to further constrain the same region of parameter space independently of the LHC and can yield additional investigating power for the model.

Two ultimate tests of constrained supersymmetry

A bstractWe consider the possibility that the muon g − 2 anomaly, δ (g − 2)μ, finds its origins in low energy supersymmetry (SUSY). In the general MSSM the parameter space consistent with δ (g − 2)μ and correct dark matter relic density of the lightest neutralino easily evades the present direct LHC limits on sparticle masses and also lies to a large extent beyond future LHC sensitivity. The situation is quite different in GUT-defined scenarios where input SUSY parameters are no longer independent. We analyze to what extent the LHC can probe a broad class of GUT-inspired SUSY models with gaugino non-universality that are currently in agreement with the bounds from δ (g − 2)μ, as well as with the relic density and the Higgs mass measurement. To this end we perform a detailed numerical simulation of several searches for electroweakino and slepton production at the LHC and derive projections for the LHC 14 TeV run. We show that, within GUT-scale SUSY there is still plenty of room for the explanation of the muon anomaly, although the current LHC data already imply strong limits on the parameter space consistent with δ (g − 2)μ. On the other hand, we demonstrate that the parameter space will be basically fully explored within the sensitivity of the 14 TeV run with 300 fb−1. This opens up the interesting possibility that, if the (g − 2)μ anomaly is real then some positive signals must be detected at the LHC, or else these models will be essentially ruled out. Finally, we identify the few surviving spectra that will provide a challenge for detection at the LHC 14 TeV run and we characterize their properties.