Eric J. Thomas

Derivation and Prospective Validation of a Simple Index for Prediction of Cardiac Risk of Major Noncardiac Surgery

BACKGROUNDnCardiac complications are important causes of morbidity after noncardiac surgery. The purpose of this prospective cohort study was to develop and validate an index for risk of cardiac complications.nnnMETHODS AND RESULTSnWe studied 4315 patients aged > or = 50 years undergoing elective major noncardiac procedures in a tertiary-care teaching hospital. The main outcome measures were major cardiac complications. Major cardiac complications occurred in 56 (2%) of 2893 patients assigned to the derivation cohort. Six independent predictors of complications were identified and included in a Revised Cardiac Risk Index: high-risk type of surgery, history of ischemic heart disease, history of congestive heart failure, history of cerebrovascular disease, preoperative treatment with insulin, and preoperative serum creatinine >2.0 mg/dL. Rates of major cardiac complication with 0, 1, 2, or > or = 3 of these factors were 0.5%, 1.3%, 4%, and 9%, respectively, in the derivation cohort and 0.4%, 0.9%, 7%, and 11%, respectively, among 1422 patients in the validation cohort. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis in the validation cohort indicated that the diagnostic performance of the Revised Cardiac Risk Index was superior to other published risk-prediction indexes.nnnCONCLUSIONSnIn stable patients undergoing nonurgent major noncardiac surgery, this index can identify patients at higher risk for complications. This index may be useful for identification of candidates for further risk stratification with noninvasive technologies or other management strategies, as well as low-risk patients in whom additional evaluation is unlikely to be helpful.

Negligent Care and Malpractice Claiming Behavior in Utah and Colorado

BACKGROUNDnPrevious studies relating the incidence of negligent medical care to malpractice lawsuits in the United States may not be generalizable. These studies are based on data from 2 of the most populous states (California and New York), collected more than a decade ago, during volatile periods in the history of malpractice litigation.nnnOBJECTIVESnThe study objectives were (1) to calculate how frequently negligent and nonnegligent management of patients in Utah and Colorado in 1992 led to malpractice claims and (2) to understand the characteristics of victims of negligent care who do not or cannot obtain compensation for their injuries from the medical malpractice system.nnnDESIGNnWe linked medical malpractice claims data from Utah and Colorado with clinical data from a review of 14,700 medical records. We then analyzed characteristics of claimants and nonclaimants using evidence from their medical records about whether they had experienced a negligent adverse event.nnnMEASURESnThe study measures were negligent adverse events and medical malpractice claims.nnnRESULTSnEighteen patients from our study sample filed claims: 14 were made in the absence of discernible negligence and 10 were made in the absence of any adverse event. Of the patients who suffered negligent injury in our study sample, 97% did not sue. Compared with patients who did sue for negligence occurring in 1992, these nonclaimants were more likely to be Medicare recipients (odds ratio [OR], 3.5; 95% CI [CI], 1.3 to 9.6), Medicaid recipients (OR, 3.6; 95% CI, 1.4 to 9.0), > or =75 years of age (OR, 7.0; 95% CI, 1.7 to 29.6), and low income earners (OR, 1.9; 95% CI, 0.9 to 4.2) and to have suffered minor disability as a result of their injury (OR, 6.3; 95% CI, 2.7 to 14.9).nnnCONCLUSIONSnThe poor correlation between medical negligence and malpractice claims that was present in New York in 1984 is also present in Utah and Colorado in 1992. Paradoxically, the incidence of negligent adverse events exceeds the incidence of malpractice claims but when a physician is sued, there is a high probability that it will be for rendering nonnegligent care. The elderly and the poor are particularly likely to be among those who suffer negligence and do not sue, perhaps because their socioeconomic status inhibits opportunities to secure legal representation.

Prognostic value of cardiac troponin T after noncardiac surgery: 6-Month follow-up data

OBJECTIVESnWe sought to evaluate the prognostic significance of cardiac troponin T (TnT) serum levels after noncardiac surgery.nnnBACKGROUNDnCardiac TnT has been found to be marker for myocardial injury, but elevations of TnT are common in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery without clinical evidence of severe ischemia.nnnMETHODSnWe studied 772 patients who underwent major noncardiac procedures and did not have major cardiovascular complications during their inpatient course. Total serum creatine kinase (CK) and cardiac TnT were measured according to a protocol that included sampling in the recovery room and during the next 2 days. A 6-month follow-up interview was performed for 722 (94%) of the patients.nnnRESULTSnElevated cardiac TnT and CK-MB results were detected for 92 (12%) and 211 (27%) patients, respectively. During the follow-up period, there were 19 (2.5%) major cardiac complications, including 14 cardiac deaths, 3 nonfatal myocardial infarctions and 2 admissions for unstable angina. Compared with patients with cardiac TnT values < 0.1 ng/ml, patients with elevated TnT had a relative risk for cardiac events of 5.4 (95% confidence interval: 2.2 to 13, p = 0.001), whereas CK-MB was not correlated with postdischarge cardiac events. In multivariate logistic regression analysis adjusting for preoperative clinical and CK-MB data, a cardiac TnT value > 0.1 ng/ml was in independent correlate of cardiac events (adjusted odds ratio 4.6, p < 0.05). This correlation was a function of the relation of elevated TnT levels with postoperative in-hospital congestive heart failure and new sustained arrhythmias, suggesting that elevated postoperative TnT levels detected myocardial ischemia during these clinical events.nnnCONCLUSIONSnWe conclude that an abnormal TnT level in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery may be a useful marker of ischemic disease and a predictor of 6-month prognosis.

Troponin T as a marker for myocardial ischemia in patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery

To assess the diagnostic performance of cardiac troponin T as a marker for myocardial injury in patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery, we prospectively collected preoperative and postoperative clinical data, including measurements for creatine kinase (CK), CK-MB, and troponin T for 1,175 patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery. Acute myocardial infarction was diagnosed in 17 patients (1.4%) by a reviewer who was blinded to troponin T data and who used CK-MB and electrocardiographic criteria to define acute myocardial infarction. Other predischarge major cardiac complications were detected for another 17 patients. Troponin T elevations (>0.1 ng/ml) occurred in 87% of patients with and in 16% of patients without myocardial infarction. Among patients without myocardial infarction, troponin T was elevated in 62% of patients with and in 15% of patients without major cardiac complications. Receiver-operating characteristic analysis indicated that troponin T had a performance for the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction similar to CK-MB, and a significantly better correlation with other major cardiac complications in patients without definitive infarction. Future research should seek to determine the significance of troponin T elevations in patients without complications.

Body mass index as a correlate of postoperative complications and resource utilization

PURPOSEnTo describe the relationship of body mass index (BMI) with postoperative complications and resource utilization.nnnPATIENTS AND METHODSnTwo thousand nine hundred and sixty-four patients 50 years or older undergoing elective noncardiac surgery with an expected length of stay > or = 2 days were enrolled in a prospective cohort study to measure major cardiac complications, noncardiac complications, length of stay, and costs. The setting was an urban teaching hospital. A preoperative history, physical, electrocardiogram (ECG), and chart review were performed by study personnel. Postoperative complications were detected by ECGs, creatine kinase and creatine kinase MB levels, and daily chart review. Total costs were obtained from the hospitals computerized database.nnnRESULTSnComplication rates were not different among BMI groups (underweight < 20, normal 20 to 29, overweight 30 to 34, most overweight > 34), but patients with BMI 30 to 34 and > 34 who underwent abdominal or gynecologic procedures had significantly higher wound infection rates (11% each) than normal weight patients (4.7%) or the underweight (0%). After adjusting for age, race, gender, smoking history, comorbid diseases, procedure type, and insurance status, there were nonsignificant trends toward increased resource utilization by the most overweight patients (BMI > 34). These patients stayed 0.8 days longer (P = 0.13) and had total costs that were

Hospital Ownership and Preventable Adverse Events

843 higher (P = 0.17) than patients of normal weight (BMI 20 to 29). The underweight patients stayed 0.9 days longer (P = 0.23) and had total costs that were

Building a research career in general internal medicine: A perspective from young investigators

3,150 higher (P = 0.04) than patients of normal weight. Quadratic models to test for a U-shaped relationship found no correlation between BMI and length of stay, but did find that BMI was significantly correlated with total costs (P = 0.04). This relationship persisted when patients who had complications were excluded from the analysis.nnnCONCLUSIONSnOverall, BMI was not significantly correlated with postoperative complications or length of stay. However, overweight patients who underwent abdominal or gynecologic procedures had higher wound infection rates, and patients with the highest and lowest BMIs had significantly higher adjusted total costs.

The patient's experience of being interviewed by first-year medical students

OBJECTIVE: To determine if type of hospital ownership is associated with preventable adverse events.DESIGN: Medical record review of a random sample of 15,000 nonpsychiatric, non-Veterans Administration hospital discharges in Utah and Colorado in 1992.MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A two-stage record review process using nurse and physician reviewers was used to detect adverse events. Preventability was then judged by 2 study investigators who were blinded to hospital characteristics. The association among preventable adverse events and hospital ownership was evaluated using logistic regression with nonprofit hospitals as the reference group while controlling for other patient and hospital characteristics. We analyzed 4 hospital ownership categories: nonprofit, for-profit, major teaching government (e.g., county or state ownership), and minor or nonteaching government.RESULTS: When compared with patients in nonprofit hospitals, multivariate analyses adjusting for other patient and hospital characteristics found that patients in minor or nonteaching government hospitals were more likely to suffer a preventable adverse event of any type (odds ratio [OR] 2.46; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.45 to 4.20); preventable operative adverse events (OR, 4.85; 95% CI, 2.44 to 9.62); and preventable adverse events due to delayed diagnoses and therapies (OR, 4.27; 95% CI, 1.48 to 12.31). Patients in forprofit hospitals were also more likely to suffer preventable adverse events of any type (OR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.03 to 2.38); preventable operative adverse events (OR, 2.63; 95% CI, 1.42 to 4.87); and preventable adverse events due to delayed diagnoses and therapies (OR, 4.15; 95% CI, 1.84 to 9.34). Patients in major teaching government hospitals were less likely to suffer preventable adverse drug events (OR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.16 to 0.89).CONCLUSIONS: Patients in for-profit and minor teaching or nonteaching government-owned hospitals were more likely to suffer several types of preventable adverse events. Further research is needed to determine how these events could be prevented.

Applying no-fault compensation criteria to obstetric malpractice claims.

SummaryTo survive academically in a clinician-investigator track, junior research faculty must develop a focused, independent program of investigation that addresses important questions with creative, valid methodologies. Appreciation for the rules of the game, good mentorship, and effective grant-writing skills are invaluable in making the transition from new faculty to established investigator. Although we strongly believe that young researchers should study the issues they passionately care about, we hope that knowledge of these guidelines will make it easier for them to balance practicality with idealism.

901-83 Troponin T and Perioperative Ischemia in Noncardiac Surgery

To understand hospitalized patients experiences of being interviewed by first-year medical students learning to take a medical history we used qualitative research methods and interviewed participating patients.All of the interviewed patients expressed satisfaction with the medical student interviews and they expressed two major reasons for being satisfied. First, all of the patients had favorable impressions of the students.The students were described using phrases such as very nice, interested, respectful, and professional. Second, most of the patients expressed a belief in the importance of teaching followed by phrases such as So, I was glad to help, and .. so I had no problem talking to him and I felt special. In summary, these hospitalized patients were satisfied with first-year medical student interviews, and they mentioned two reasons for being satisfied. The patients had favorable impressions of the first-year students and they expressed a belief in the importance of teaching.