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Featured researches published by Eser Kirkizlar.


American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology | 2015

Detection of triploid, molar, and vanishing twin pregnancies by a single-nucleotide polymorphism–based noninvasive prenatal test

Kirsten J. Curnow; Louise Wilkins-Haug; Allison Ryan; Eser Kirkizlar; Melissa Stosic; Megan P. Hall; Styrmir Sigurjonsson; Zachary Demko; Matthew Rabinowitz; Susan J. Gross

OBJECTIVE We sought to determine the ability of single-nucleotide polymorphism-based noninvasive prenatal testing (NIPT) to identify triploid, unrecognized twin, and vanishing twin pregnancies. STUDY DESIGN The study included 30,795 consecutive reported clinical cases received for NIPT for fetal whole-chromosome aneuploidies; known multiple gestations were excluded. Cell-free DNA was isolated from maternal blood samples, amplified via 19,488-plex polymerase chain reaction, and sequenced. Sequencing results were analyzed to determine fetal chromosome copy number and to identify the presence of additional fetal haplotypes. RESULTS Additional fetal haplotypes, indicative of fetal triploidy, vanishing twin, or undetected twin pregnancy, were identified in 130 (0.42%) cases. Clinical confirmation (karyotype for singleton pregnancies, ultrasound for multifetal pregnancies) was available for 58.5% (76/130) of cases. Of the 76 cases with confirmation, 42.1% were vanishing twin, 48.7% were viable twin, 5.3% were diandric triploids, and 3.9% were nontriploid pregnancies that lacked evidence of co-twin demise. One pregnancy had other indications suggesting triploidy but lacked karyotype confirmation. Of the 5 vanishing twin cases with a known date of demise, 100% of losses occurred in the first trimester; up to 8 weeks elapsed between loss and detection by NIPT. CONCLUSION This single-nucleotide polymorphism-based NIPT successfully identified vanished twin, previously unrecognized twin, and triploid pregnancies. As vanishing twins are more likely to be aneuploid, and undetected residual cell-free DNA could bias NIPT results, the ability of this method to identify additional fetal haplotypes is expected to result in fewer false-positive calls and prevent incorrect fetal sex calls.


Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology | 2016

Clinical experience with single-nucleotide polymorphism-based non-invasive prenatal screening for 22q11.2 deletion syndrome.

Susan J. Gross; Melissa Stosic; Donna M. McDonald-McGinn; Anne S. Bassett; Anna Norvez; Rupin Dhamankar; Katie Kobara; Eser Kirkizlar; Bernhard Zimmermann; Nicholas Wayham; Joshua Babiarz; Allison Ryan; Kristine N. Jinnett; Zachary Demko; Peter Benn

To evaluate the performance of a single‐nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)‐based non‐invasive prenatal test (NIPT) for the detection of fetal 22q11.2 deletion syndrome in clinical practice, assess clinical follow‐up and review patient choices for women with high‐risk results.


Ophthalmology | 2013

Evaluation of Telemedicine for Screening of Diabetic Retinopathy in the Veterans Health Administration

Eser Kirkizlar; Nicoleta Serban; Jennifer A. Sisson; Julie L. Swann; Claire S. Barnes; Michael D. Williams

OBJECTIVE To explore the cost-effectiveness of telemedicine for the screening of diabetic retinopathy (DR) and identify changes within the demographics of a patient population after telemedicine implementation. DESIGN A retrospective medical chart review (cohort study) was conducted. PARTICIPANTS A total of 900 type 1 and type 2 diabetic patients enrolled in a medical system with a telemedicine screening program for DR. METHODS The cost-effectiveness of the DR telemedicine program was determined by using a finite-horizon, discrete time, discounted Markov decision process model populated by parameters and testing frequency obtained from patient records. The model estimated the progression of DR and determined average quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) saved and average additional cost incurred by the telemedicine screening program. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Diabetic retinopathy, macular edema, blindness, and associated QALYs. RESULTS The results indicate that telemedicine screening is cost-effective for DR under most conditions. On average, it is cost-effective for patient populations of >3500, patients aged <80 years, and all racial groups. Observable trends were identified in the screening population since the implementation of telemedicine screening: the number of known DR cases has increased, the overall age of patients receiving screenings has decreased, the percentage of nonwhites receiving screenings has increased, the average number of miles traveled by a patient to receive a screening has decreased, and the teleretinal screening participation is increasing. CONCLUSIONS The current teleretinal screening program is effective in terms of being cost-effective and increasing population reach. Future screening policies should give consideration to the age of patients receiving screenings and the systems patient pool size because our results indicate it is not cost-effective to screen patients aged older than 80 years or in populations with <3500 patients.


Annals of Oncology | 2016

Detection of ubiquitous and heterogeneous mutations in cell-free DNA from patients with early-stage non-small-cell lung cancer

M. Jamal-Hanjani; Gareth A. Wilson; S. Horswell; Richard Mitter; O. Sakarya; Tudor Constantin; R. Salari; Eser Kirkizlar; Styrmir Sigurjonsson; Robert J. Pelham; S. Kareht; Bernhard Zimmermann; Charles Swanton

BACKGROUND The aim of this pilot study was to assess whether both ubiquitous and heterogeneous somatic mutations could be detected in cell-free DNA (cfDNA) from patients with early-stage non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). PATIENTS AND METHODS Three stage I and one stage II primary NSCLC tumors were subjected to multiregion whole-exome sequencing (WES) and validated with AmpliSeq. A subset of ubiquitous and heterogeneous single-nucleotide variants (SNVs) were chosen. Multiplexed PCR using custom-designed primers, coupled with next-generation sequencing (mPCR-NGS), was used to detect these SNVs in both tumor DNA and cfDNA isolated from plasma obtained before surgical resection of the tumors. The limit of detection for each assay was determined using cfDNA from 48 presumed-normal healthy volunteers. RESULTS Tumor DNA and plasma-derived cfDNA was successfully amplified and sequenced for 37/50 (74%) SNVs using the mPCR-NGS method. Twenty-five (68%) were ubiquitous and 12 (32%) were heterogeneous SNVs. Variant detection by mPCR-NGS and WES-AmpliSeq in tumor tissue was well correlated (R(2) = 0.8722, P < 0.0001). Sixteen (43%) out of 37 SNVs were detected in cfDNA. Twelve of these were ubiquitous SNVs with a variant allele frequency (VAF) range of 0.15-23.25%, and four of these were heterogeneous SNVs with a VAF range of 0.28-1.71%. There was a statistically significant linear relationship between the VAFs for tumor and cfDNA (R(2) = 0.5144; P = 0.0018). For all four patients, at least two variants were detected in plasma. The estimated number of copies of variant DNA present in each sample ranged from 5 to 524. The average number of variant copies required for detection (VCRD) was 3.16 (range: 0.2-7.6 copies). CONCLUSIONS The mPCR-NGS method revealed intratumor heterogeneity in early-stage NSCLC tumors, and was able to detect both ubiquitous and heterogeneous SNVs in cfDNA. Further validation of mPCR-NGS in cfDNA is required to define its potential use in clinical practice.


Translational Oncology | 2015

Detection of Clonal and Subclonal Copy-Number Variants in Cell-Free DNA from Patients with Breast Cancer Using a Massively Multiplexed PCR Methodology.

Eser Kirkizlar; Bernhard Zimmermann; Tudor Constantin; Ryan Swenerton; Bin Hoang; Nicholas Wayham; Joshua Babiarz; Zachary Demko; Robert J. Pelham; Stephanie Kareht; Alexander L. Simon; Kristine N. Jinnett; Matthew Rabinowitz; Styrmir Sigurjonsson; Matthew Hill

We demonstrate proof-of-concept for the use of massively multiplexed PCR and next-generation sequencing (mmPCR-NGS) to identify both clonal and subclonal copy-number variants (CNVs) in circulating tumor DNA. This is the first report of a targeted methodology for detection of CNVs in plasma. Using an in vitro model of cell-free DNA, we show that mmPCR-NGS can accurately detect CNVs with average allelic imbalances as low as 0.5%, an improvement over previously reported whole-genome sequencing approaches. Our method revealed differences in the spectrum of CNVs detected in tumor tissue subsections and matching plasma samples from 11 patients with stage II breast cancer. Moreover, we showed that liquid biopsies are able to detect subclonal mutations that may be missed in tumor tissue biopsies. We anticipate that this mmPCR-NGS methodology will have broad applicability for the characterization, diagnosis, and therapeutic monitoring of CNV-enriched cancers, such as breast, ovarian, and lung cancer.


Bellman Prize in Mathematical Biosciences | 2010

Timing of testing and treatment for asymptomatic diseases.

Eser Kirkizlar; Daniel M. Faissol; Paul M. Griffin; Julie L. Swann

Many papers in the medical literature analyze the cost-effectiveness of screening for diseases by comparing a limited number of a priori testing policies under estimated problem parameters. However, this may be insufficient to determine the best timing of the tests or incorporate changes over time. In this paper, we develop and solve a Markov Decision Process (MDP) model for a simple class of asymptomatic diseases in order to provide the building blocks for analysis of a more general class of diseases. We provide a computationally efficient method for determining a cost-effective dynamic intervention strategy that takes into account (i) the results of the previous test for each individual and (ii) the change in the individuals behavior based on awareness of the disease. We demonstrate the usefulness of the approach by applying the results to screening decisions for Hepatitis C (HCV) using medical data, and compare our findings to current HCV screening recommendations.


Queueing Systems | 2012

Flexible servers in tandem lines with setup costs

Sigrún Andradóttir; Hayriye Ayhan; Eser Kirkizlar

We study the dynamic assignment of flexible servers to stations in the presence of setup costs that are incurred when servers move between stations. The goal is to maximize the long-run average profit. We provide a general problem formulation and some structural results, and then concentrate on tandem lines with two stations, two servers, and a finite buffer between the stations. We investigate how the optimal server assignment policy for such systems depends on the magnitude of the setup costs, as well as on the homogeneity of servers and tasks. More specifically, for systems with either homogeneous servers or homogeneous tasks, small buffer sizes, and constant setup cost, we prove the optimality of “multiple threshold” policies (where servers’ movement between stations depends on both the number of jobs in the system and the locations of the servers) and determine the values of the thresholds. For systems with heterogeneous servers and tasks, small buffers, and constant setup cost, we provide results that partially characterize the optimal server assignment policy. Finally, for systems with larger buffer sizes and various service rate and setup cost configurations, we present structural results for the optimal policy and provide numerical results that strongly support the optimality of multiple threshold policies.


PLOS ONE | 2016

Incidence of X and Y Chromosomal Aneuploidy in a Large Child Bearing Population.

Carole Samango-Sprouse; Eser Kirkizlar; Megan P. Hall; Patrick Lawson; Zachary Demko; Susan M. Zneimer; Kirsten J. Curnow; Susan J. Gross; Andrea Gropman

Background X&Y chromosomal aneuploidies are among the most common human whole-chromosomal copy number changes, but the population-based incidence and prevalence in the child-bearing population is unclear. Methods This retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data leveraged a routine non-invasive prenatal test (NIPT) using parental genotyping to estimate the population-based incidence of X&Y chromosome variations in this population referred for NIPT (generally due to advanced maternal age). Results From 141,916 women and 29,336 men, 119 X&Y chromosomal abnormalities (prevalence: 1 in 1,439) were identified. Maternal findings include: 43 cases of 45,X (40 mosaic); 30 cases of 47,XXX (12 mosaic); 3 cases of 46,XX uniparental disomy; 2 cases of 46,XY/46,XX; 23 cases of mosaicism of unknown type; 2 cases of 47,XX,i(X)(q10). Paternal findings include: 2 cases of 47,XXY (1 mosaic); 10 cases of 47,XYY (1 mosaic); 4 partial Y deletions. Conclusions Single chromosome aneuploidy was present in one of every 1,439 individuals considered in this study, showing 47,XXX; 47,XX,i(X)(q10); 47,XYY; 47,XXY, partial Y deletions, and a high level of mosaicism for 45,X. This expands significantly our understanding of X&Y chromosomal variations and fertility issues, and is critical for families and adults affected by these disorders. This current and extensive information on fertility will be beneficial for genetic counseling on prenatal diagnoses as well as for newly diagnosed postnatal cases.


Queueing Systems | 2014

Profit maximization in flexible serial queueing networks

Eser Kirkizlar; Sigrún Andradóttir; Hayriye Ayhan

We analyze the tradeoff between efficiency and service quality in tandem systems with flexible servers and finite buffers. We reward efficiency by assuming that a revenue is earned each time a job is completed, and penalize poor service quality by incorporating positive holding costs. We study the dynamic assignment of servers to tasks with the objective of maximizing the long-run average profit. For systems of arbitrary size, structured service rates, and linear or nonlinear holding costs, we determine the server assignment policy that maximizes the profit. For systems with two stations, two servers with arbitrary service rates, and linear holding costs, we show that the optimal server assignment policy is of threshold type and determine the value of this threshold as a function of the revenue and holding cost. The threshold can be interpreted as the best possible buffer size, and hence our results prove the equivalence of addressing service quality via a holding cost and via limiting the buffer size. Furthermore, we identify the optimal buffer size when each buffer space comes at a cost. We provide numerical results that suggest that the optimal policy also has a threshold structure for nonlinear holding costs. Finally, for larger systems with arbitrary service rates, we propose effective server assignment heuristics.


Cancer Research | 2015

Abstract P4-02-03: Detection of single nucleotide variations and copy number variations in breast cancer tissue and ctDNA samples using single-nucleotide polymorphism-targeted massively multiplexed PCR

Robert J. Pelham; Bernhard Zimmermann; Eser Kirkizlar; Ryan Swenerton; Bin Hoang; Onur Sakarya; Joshua Babiarz; Nicholas Wayham; Tudor Constantin; Styrmir Sigurjonsson; Matthew Rabinowitz; Matthew Hill

Genomic instability, the hallmark of cancer, presents with a variety of mutation types, most commonly single nucleotide variations (SNVs) and copy number variations (CNVs), which traditionally have required different methods for identification. It has proven challenging to simultaneously achieve sufficient breadth to detect CNVs and depth to detect SNVs on samples of limited input amount. The objective of this study was to validate a new methodology for detection of SNVs and CNVs in a single assay. We used a massively multiplex PCR/NGS approach combining an SNV panel covering 585 point mutation hotspots in breast cancer (Cosmic) and a CNV panel targeting 28,000 SNPs designed to detect copy number at chromosomes 1, 2, 13, 18, 21, and X, and focal regions 4p16, 5p15, 7q11, 15q, 17p, 22q11, and 22q13. We applied these panels to breast cancer cell lines and fresh frozen (FF) breast tumor samples; the presence of CNVs in circulating cell-free tumor DNA (ctDNA) in the plasma of breast cancer patients was also investigated. The CNV assay methodology was validated using genomic DNA isolated from 96 human samples with known karyotype; sensitivity to single region deletions or duplications was 100% (71/71) and specificity was 100% for normal regions in the same samples. Single-molecule sensitivity for the detection of CNVs was established by analyzing isolated single cells. Performance of the mutation assay was demonstrated with the analysis of 5 matched tumor and normal cell lines, with 24 out of 27 SNVs known to be present in these cell lines detected. The 3 undetected SNVs were determined to be a result of assay design failure. Also, multiple somatic CNVs (median: 13) were detected in all 5 tumor cell lines. Analysis of the normal cell lines found no cancer related SNVs or CNVs. In 32 FF tumor samples, 78.1% (25/32) had SNVs detected; of samples with SNVs, 88% (22/25) had SNVs in TP53 or PIK3CA. Of the same 32 FF breast tumor samples, 96.9% (31/32) showed full or partial CNVs in at least 1 and up to 15 regions; of the 31 samples with detected CNVs, 93.5% had a CNV of either 1q or 17p, two of the three most prevalent breast cancer CNVs (the 16q region was not represented in this panel). Overall, a combination of SNV and CNV testing allowed identification of genetic changes in 100% of the breast tumor samples, a significant improvement in diagnostic yield than using SNV detection alone. Of the 12 breast cancer patients with matched tumor tissue and plasma samples, 83.3% (10/12) had CNVs detected in tissue. The CNVs present in each primary tumor sample were identified in corresponding plasma ctDNA samples (1 stage IIa, 7 stage IIb, and 2 stage III). The ctDNA fractions in these samples ranged from 0.58 to 4.33%; detection required as few as 86 heterozygous SNPs per CNV. Analysis of ctDNA for cancer-associated mutations may allow earlier, safer and more accurate profiling and monitoring of breast cancer. Thus, this targeted PCR approach offers the promise of an assay able to detect both cancer-associated SNVs and CNVs in the same sample with good sensitivity and specificity, and improved detection rates compared to assays that only detect SNVs. Citation Format: Robert J Pelham, Bernhard G Zimmermann, Eser Kirkizlar, Ryan K Swenerton, Bin Hoang, Onur Sakarya, Joshua E Babiarz, Nicholas Wayham, Tudor Constantin, Styrmir Sigurjonsson, Matthew Rabinowitz, Matthew Hill. Detection of single nucleotide variations and copy number variations in breast cancer tissue and ctDNA samples using single-nucleotide polymorphism-targeted massively multiplexed PCR [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Thirty-Seventh Annual CTRC-AACR San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium: 2014 Dec 9-13; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2015;75(9 Suppl):Abstract nr P4-02-03.

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