Ettore Beghi

The epidemiology of epilepsy in Europe – a systematic review

Population‐based epidemiological studies on epilepsy are available mainly from the UK and the Nordic, Baltic and western Mediterranean countries. No studies were identified from large areas of Europe, especially from the former eastern Europe (except the Baltic countries) and the eastern Mediterranean countries. Based on the prevalence of epilepsy in different studies and accounting for incomplete case identification the estimated number of children and adolescents in Europe with active epilepsy is 0.9u2003million (prevalence 4.5–5.0 per 1000), 1.9u2003million in ages 20–64u2003years (prevalence six per 1000) and 0.6u2003million in ages 65u2003years and older (prevalence seven per 1000). Approximately 20–30% of the epilepsy population have more than one seizure per month. Based on the age‐specific incidence rates in European studies, the estimated number of new cases per year amongst European children and adolescents is 130u2003000 (incidence rate 70 per 100u2003000), 96u2003000 in adults 20–64u2003years (incidence rate 30 per 100u2003000) and 85u2003000 in the elderly 65u2003years and older (incidence 100 per 100u2003000). The proportion of both new and established cases with epilepsy in the young, adults and elderly in individual countries may differ substantially from total European distribution because of differences in age structure.

Incidence of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis in Europe

Background Geographical differences in the incidence of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) have been reported in the literature but comparisons across previous studies are limited by different methods in case ascertainment and by the relatively small size of the studied populations. To address these issues, the authors undertook a pooled analysis of European population based ALS registries. Methods All new incident ALS cases in subjects aged 18u2005years old and older were identified prospectively in six population based registries in three European countries (Ireland, UK and Italy) in the 2 year period 1998–1999, with a reference population of almost 24 million. Results Based on 1028 identified incident cases, the crude annual incidence rate of ALS in the general European population was 2.16 per 100u2009000 person years; 95% CI 2.0 to 2.3), with similar incidence rates across all registries. The incidence was higher among men (3.0 per 100u2009000 person years; 95% CI 2.8 to 3.3) than among women (2.4 per 100u2009000 person years; 95% CI 2.2 to 2.6). Spinal onset ALS was more common among men compared with women, particularly in the 70–80 year age group. Disease occurrence decreased rapidly after 80u2005years of age. Conclusions ALS incidence is homogeneous across Europe. Sex differences in incidence may be explained by the higher incidence of spinal onset ALS among men, and the age related disease pattern suggests that ALS occurs within a susceptible group within the population rather than being a disease of ageing.

Descriptive epidemiology of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: new evidence and unsolved issues

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a relatively rare disease with a reported population incidence of between 1.5 and 2.5 per 100u2009000 per year. Over the past 10 years, the design of ALS epidemiological studies has evolved to focus on a prospective, population based methodology, employing the El Escorial criteria and multiple sources of data to ensure complete case ascertainment. Five such studies, based in Europe and North America, have been published and show remarkably consistent incidence figures among their respective Caucasian populations. Population based studies have been useful in defining clinical characteristics and prognostic indicators in ALS. However, many epidemiological questions remain that cannot be resolved by any of the existing population based datasets. The working hypotheses is that ALS, like other chronic diseases, is a complex genetic condition, and the relative contributions of individual environmental and genetic factors are likely to be relatively small. Larger studies are required to characterise risks and identify subpopulations that might be suitable for further study. This current paper outlines the contribution of the various population based registers, identifies the limitations of the existing datasets and proposes a mechanism to improve the future design and output of descriptive epidemiological studies.

Incidence of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis in southern Italy: a population based study

Background: While the incidence of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is similar across the world (range, 1.0 to 2.5/100 000), a latitude gradient from north to south has been observed. Objective: To determine the incidence of ALS in Puglia, a region of south eastern Italy, and to test the latitude gradient hypothesis comparing the present study with findings in studies conducted with the same design in a northern latitude. Methods: Puglia (4 086 613 residents in 2001) is the site of a multicentre-multisource prospective population based registry established in 1997. All incident ALS cases during the period 1998–99 were enrolled and followed up. Cases were classified using the first and the revised El Escorial criteria. Results: During the study period 130 cases were enrolled. The annual crude incidence for ALS in Puglia for the two year period 1998–99 was 1.6/100 000 (95% confidence interval, 1.3 to 1.9). The incidence was higher for men (incidence rate (IR)u200a=u200a2.1 (1.7 to 2.7) than for women (IRu200a=u200a1.2 (0.9 to 1.5)) in all age groups, with a male to female ratio of 1.6. For both men and women, the incidence increased through age 75 and declined rapidly afterwards. The mean annual incidence adjusted by age and sex to the 2001 Italian population was 1.7/100 000 (1.4 to 2.0). Conclusions: ALS incidence is within a narrow range across countries, with a peak between 65 and 75 years and a higher incidence in men. A north to south latitude gradient of ALS incidence is not supported by the results of cohort studies.

Incidence of ALS in Lombardy, Italy.

Objective: To assess the incidence and trends of ALS in a large population at risk. Methods: This study was performed in nine provinces of Lombardy in Northern Italy (population 4,947,554). Patients with newly diagnosed ALS were enrolled during the period 1998 to 2002 through a prospective regional register. For each patient, the main demographic and clinical information was collected by the caring physicians and reviewed by a panel of experts according to the original and revised El Escorial diagnostic criteria. Overall, age- and sex-specific and standardized annual incidence rates were calculated for the entire population and for each year and province separately. Results: We studied 517 patients (M:F ratio 1.3) aged 18 to 92 years (mean 63.6). Onset of symptoms was bulbar in 29% of cases. ALS was definite in 45%, probable in 27%, probable laboratory supported in 3.5%, possible in 15%, and suspected in 10%. Mean disease duration at diagnosis was 10.6 months. The standardized incidence rate was 2.09 per 100,000/year (95% CI: 1.17 to 3.18). The rate, which was 2.43 in men and 1.76 in women, tended to increase up to ages 65 to 74 and to decrease thereafter. The rate was unchanged over time and presented moderate variations across provinces. The incidence rate of definite ALS was 0.93 (spinal-onset ALS 1.35; bulbar-onset ALS 0.74) and was consistently higher in men with spinal-onset ALS vs men with bulbar-onset ALS and women. Conclusions: The incidence of ALS varied according to age, sex, and site of onset. No temporal and geographic clusters were detected over a 5-year period.

Video-assisted thoracoscopic extended thymectomy and extended transsternal thymectomy (T-3b) in non-thymomatous myasthenia gravis patients: remission after 6 years of follow-up

The aims of this study were to assess the efficacy of video-assisted thoracoscopic extended thymectomy (VATET) as a treatment for myasthenia gravis (MG) and to identify prognostic factors for thymectomy success. Clinical efficacy and variables influencing outcome were assessed by life-table and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Complete stable remission (CSR), as defined by the MGFA Medical Task Force, was the end point for efficacy. VATET was performed in 159 MG patients and T-3b in 47 MG patients. At 6 years of follow-up, CSR, assessed by life-table analysis, was 50.6% in non-thymomatous VATET patients and 48.7% in non-thymomatous T-3b surgery. By univariate analysis, the presence of thymic hyperplasia (P=0.0002) and treatment only with anticholinesterases (P<0.0001) were positively associated with the probability of CSR. By multivariate analysis, the chance of complete remission was significantly increased by the use of anticholinesterases (odds ratio [OR] 2.45; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.44-4.17; P=0.001) and the presence of thymic hyperplasia (OR 1.96; 95% CI 1.05-3.68; P=0.036). VATET seems to be effective in inducing CSR in MG with an efficiency similar to that of the T-3b transsternal (TS) approach; it is easy to perform in experienced hands and is associated with low morbidity and negligible esthetic sequelae.

Survival of Patients with Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis in a Population-Based Registry

Objective: To evaluate the survival of patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) in an Italian population and to assess the effects of selected prognostic indicators on survival. Background: Median survival of ALS patients has been reported to range between 12 and 23 months from diagnosis and between 23 and 36 months from onset of symptoms. Although several negative prognostic factors have been identified, the overall picture still needs clarification. Methods: We included patients enrolled in an Italian ALS Regional Register (population 4,529,003) during the calendar year 1998. The diagnosis was confirmed by an ad hoc committee using the original El Escorial criteria. Each case was regularly followed up until death or December 31, 2002, whichever came first. Survival was assessed with the Kaplan-Meier method in the whole sample, by level of diagnostic certainty, and by selected prognostic indicators (age, sex, bulbar or spinal onset, and disease duration). Multivariate analysis was done with the Cox proportional hazard function. Results: The sample comprised 79 patients (33 female; 46 male) aged 28–85 years (mean age 64.4 years). Onset of symptoms was bulbar in 30% of cases. Mean symptom duration at diagnosis was 13.3 months. ALS was definite in 43%, probable in 29%, possible in 6%, and suspected in 22%. By December 31, 2002, 56 cases (71%) had died. The cumulative probability of surviving after diagnosis was 78% at 12 months, 56% at 24 months, and 32% at 48 months. Median survival from onset was 39.2 months and from diagnosis 30.6 months. Multivariate analysis confirmed definite ALS at diagnosis and older age as adverse prognostic factors. Conclusions: Survival of ALS patients in the present sample was slightly longer than previously reported. Better palliative care and supportive treatment may explain the difference. Older age and the presence of definite ALS at diagnosis are poor prognostic predictors.

Morbidity and Accidents in Patients with Epilepsy: Results of a European Cohort Study

Summary: u2002Purpose: To assess the risk of illnesses and accidents in patients with epilepsy and to evaluate the proportion of those risks attributable to epilepsy.

Adjunctive therapy versus alternative monotherapy in patients with partial epilepsy failing on a single drug: a multicentre, randomised, pragmatic controlled trial

OBJECTIVEnTo evaluate the value of alternative monotherapy versus adjunctive therapy in partial epilepsy refractory to single antiepileptic drug (AED) therapy.nnnDESIGN AND METHODSnIn a multicentre, parallel-group, open-label study, patients with cryptogenic or symptomatic partial epilepsy not controlled after single or sequential AED monotherapies were randomised to monotherapy with an alternative AED or to adjunctive therapy with a second AED. The AED to be added/substituted and dose adjustments were determined by the physicians best judgement. Patients were followed up until withdrawal from the allocated treatment or for 12 months, whichever first. Outcome measures included proportion of patients continuing on the assigned treatment strategy, proportion of patients seizure-free after achieving the target maintenance dose, and adverse effects rates. Data were analysed by actuarial life tables, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazard regression model.nnnRESULTSnOf a total of 157 patients (including 94 previously exposed to only one AED), 76 were randomised to alternative monotherapy and 81 to adjunctive therapy. The two groups were balanced in clinical characteristics. The 12-month cumulative probability of remaining on the assigned treatment was 55% in patients randomised to alternative monotherapy and 65% in those randomised to adjunctive therapy (P=0.74). The 12-month probability of remaining seizure-free was 14 and 16%, respectively (P=0.74). Adverse effects were similar in the two groups. No significant differences in outcome within or between groups were identified based on etiology of epilepsy and previous AED exposure.nnnCONCLUSIONSnAlthough these findings should be interpreted with caution due to the low statistical power resulting from the relatively small sample size, alternative monotherapy and adjunctive therapy were associated with similar outcomes. Further work is required to determine whether outcome could be improved through identification of specific AED combinations with synergistic activity.

Prognosis of myasthenia gravis: A multicenter follow-up study of 844 patients

The prognosis of myasthenia gravis (MG) was assessed retrospectively using life-table analysis in 844 patients followed up for a mean period of 5 years in 3 major Italian centers. The chance of achieving at least a 1-year remission after treatment withdrawal (complete remission) was assessed as a specific end-point in the whole population and in selected subgroups with reference to the principal prognostic variables. The cumulative probability of complete remission was 1% by 1 year, 8% by 3 years, 13% by 5 years, and 21% by 10 years. The only variables correlated to the chance of complete remission were younger age at onset of MG, lower severity of symptoms at onset and nadir, and shorter disease duration at diagnosis. In addition, thymectomy and early surgery seemed to influence the chance of remission. Other factors (including the presence of thymoma) did not significantly influence the outcome of the disease.