Evgenia Ilyinskaya

A total volatile inventory for Masaya Volcano, Nicaragua

NERC project “Magma dynamics at persistently degassing basaltic volcanoes: A novel approach to linking volcanic gases and magmatic volatiles within a physical model” (NE/F004222/1 and NE/F005342/1).

Satellite detection, long-range transport, and air quality impacts of volcanic sulfur dioxide from the 2014-2015 flood lava eruption at Bárðarbunga (Iceland)

The 2014–2015 Barðarbunga-Veiðivotn fissure eruption at Holuhraun produced about 1.5 km3 of lava, making it the largest eruption in Iceland in more than 200 years. Over the course of the eruption, daily volcanic sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions exceeded daily SO2 emissions from all anthropogenic sources in Europe in 2010 by at least a factor of 3. We present surface air quality observations from across Northern Europe together with satellite remote sensing data and model simulations of volcanic SO2 for September 2014. We show that volcanic SO2 was transported in the lowermost troposphere over long distances and detected by air quality monitoring stations up to 2750 km away from the source. Using retrievals from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) and the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI), we calculate an average daily SO2 mass burden of 99 ± 49 kilotons (kt) of SO2 from OMI and 61 ± 18 kt of SO2 from IASI for September 2014. This volcanic burden is at least a factor of 2 greater than the average SO2 mass burden between 2007 and 2009 due to anthropogenic emissions from the whole of Europe. Combining the observational data with model simulations using the United Kingdom Met Offices Numerical Atmospheric-dispersion Modelling Environment model, we are able to constrain SO2 emission rates to up to 120 kilotons per day (kt/d) during early September 2014, followed by a decrease to 20–60 kt/d between 6 and 22 September 2014, followed by a renewed increase to 60–120 kt/d until the end of September 2014. Based on these fluxes, we estimate that the eruption emitted a total of 2.0 ± 0.6 Tg of SO2 during September 2014, in good agreement with ground-based remote sensing and petrological estimates. Although satellite-derived and model-simulated vertical column densities of SO2 agree well, the model simulations are biased low by up to a factor of 8 when compared to surface observations of volcanic SO2 on 6–7 September 2014 in Ireland. These biases are mainly due to relatively small horizontal and vertical positional errors in the simulations of the volcanic plume occurring over transport distances of thousands of kilometers. Although the volcanic air pollution episodes were transient and lava-dominated volcanic eruptions are sporadic events, the observations suggest that (i) during an eruption, volcanic SO2 measurements should be assimilated for near real-time air quality forecasting and (ii) existing air quality monitoring networks should be retained or extended to monitor SO2 and other volcanic pollutants.

High‐resolution size distributions and emission fluxes of trace elements from Masaya volcano, Nicaragua

Active volcanoes are significant natural sources of trace elements to the atmosphere yet the processes of emission and the impacts of deposition into terrestrial and aquatic environments remain poorly understood. The varying contributions of volatile degassing and magma ejection (i.e., spattering, spraying, extrusion and fragmentation) to the emission of trace elements from Masaya volcano (Nicaragua) are investigated through measurement of high-resolution trace element size distributions using cascade impactors in 2009 and 2010. The volatile elements (e.g., As, Cd, Tl, Cu, Pb, Zn) are strongly correlated across the size distribution and exist in the plume primarily as fine sulfate (0.6 μm diameter) with lesser amounts transported as coarse sulfates (3.5 μm diameter) and coarse chlorides (11 μm diameter). These results suggest that trace elements released from the magma as chlorides react rapidly with H2SO4 in the plume to form sulfates. In contrast, the non-volatile elements (e.g., alkali earth and rare earth) exist primarily as particles in the 1–10 μm range and show no correlation with sulfate, chloride or the volatile elements, suggesting that they are emitted primarily by magma ejection. Trace element emission fluxes from Masaya in 2010 were estimated using filter pack measurements, with emissions of Cu, Zn, As, Tl, Rb and Cd each in excess of 10 kg d−1. These emission fluxes are similar to those measured in 2000–2001 suggesting notable decadal stability in the emission of trace elements from Masaya.

Volcanic lightning as a source of reactive radical species in eruption plumes

Volcanic lightning has accompanied most recent major explosive eruptions and provides a source of intense thermal energy to drive the formation of reactive radical species. These radicals may have an impact upon the chemical evolution of the eruption plume and its interaction with the atmosphere. Equilibrium modeling shows that within each lightning channel >1% of total N, O, and F and ∼100% of H, Cl, Br, and I may remain as radicals after quenching. The production of radicals generally increases with the quenching temperature of the gas mixture and the dilution of the eruption plume and decreases with increasing atmospheric pressure. Despite the small volume fraction of the plume directly exposed to volcanic lightning (i.e., <10−4), the production of O, H, F, and NO is predicted to be quantitatively significant over the entire plume. Furthermore, these radicals may indirectly lead to the production of Br, Cl, HO2, and O3 through reactions occurring at low temperature. We suggest that volcanic lightning may promote the oxidation of magmatic gases (e.g., HBr and SO2) and result in a wide range of atmospheric impacts, including tropospheric ozone depletion, the production of fixed nitrogen species, and the formation of cloud condensation nuclei.

Futurevolc: A European volcanological supersite observatory in Iceland, a monitoring system and network for the future

FUTUREVOLC is a collaborative project funded through the FP7 Environment Supersite Concept call encompassing 26 partners in 10 countries. The main objectives of FUTUREVOLC are to establish an integrated volcanological monitoring procedure through European collaboration, develop new methods to evaluate volcanic crises, increase scientific understanding of magmatic processes and improve delivery of relevant information to civil protection and authorities. FUTUREVOLC is in the first of its 3.5 year duration, therefore this paper presents aims and expectations rather than results.

Globally Significant CO2 Emissions From Katla, a Subglacial Volcano in Iceland

Volcanoes are a key natural source of CO2, but global estimates of volcanic CO2 flux are predominantly based on measurements from a fraction of worlds actively degassing volcanoes. We combine high‐precision airborne measurements from 2016 and 2017 with atmospheric dispersion modeling to quantify CO2 emissions from Katla, a major subglacial volcanic caldera in Iceland that last erupted 100 years ago but has been undergoing significant unrest in recent decades. Katlas sustained CO2 flux, 12–24 kt/d, is up to an order of magnitude greater than previous estimates of total CO2 release from Icelands natural sources. Katla is one of the largest volcanic sources of CO2 on the planet, contributing up to 4% of global emissions from nonerupting volcanoes. Further measurements on subglacial volcanoes worldwide are urgently required to establish if Katla is exceptional, or if there is a significant previously unrecognized contribution to global CO2 emissions from natural sources. We combine high‐precision airborne measurements from 2016 and 2017 with atmospheric dispersion modelling to quantify CO2 emissions from Katla, a major subglacial volcanic caldera in Iceland that last erupted 100 years ago but has been undergoing significant unrest in recent decades. Katlas sustained CO2 flux, 12‐24 kt/d, is up to an order of magnitude greater than previous estimates of total CO2 release from Icelands natural sources. Katla is one of the largest volcanic sources of CO2 on the planet, contributing up to 4% of global emissions from non‐erupting volcanoes. Further measurements on subglacial volcanoes world‐wide are urgently required to establish if Katla is exceptional, or if there is a significant previously unrecognized contribution to global CO2 emissions from natural sources.