Fernando Araya

Incidence, 30-day case-fatality rate, and prognosis of stroke in Iquique, Chile: a 2-year community-based prospective study (PISCIS project)

BACKGROUND The epidemiology of stroke in Latin-American populations and variation of subtypes between communities are unclear. Our aim was to ascertain prospectively the incidence of first-ever stroke in the predominantly Hispanic-Mestizo population of Iquique, a city in the northern desert region of Chile. METHODS We prospectively identified all possible cases of stroke and transient ischaemic attacks between July 1, 2000, and June 30, 2002, from several overlapping sources. Patients were rapidly assessed by two field neurologists. Standard definitions for incident cases, stroke, transient ischaemic attack, pathological type, and infarction subtype were used. All cases identified were adjudicated by at least two stroke neurologists and followed up at 6 months. Incidence rates of first-ever strokes were calculated from the population of Iquique (214 526) according to the national census of 2002. FINDINGS Of 380 cases of stroke identified, 292 were incident. CT scans were done in 267 (91%) patients and the mean time to scan was 2.2 days. The hospital admission rate was 71% (207/292). The overall age-adjusted incidence rate of first-ever stroke was 140.1 per 100,000 (95% CI 124.0-156.2). The incidence rates per 100,000 according to pathological type were: infarcts 87.3, intracerebral haemorrhage 27.6, and subarachnoid haemorrhage 6.2. The 30 day and 6-month case-fatality rates were 23.3% and 33.0%, respectively. INTERPRETATION Our results show incidence rates of stroke similar to those reported in other community studies. Although the proportion of intracerebral haemorrhages was higher than reported in previous studies, the overall incidence was not, which could indicate a slightly lower incidence of ischaemic strokes in this population than in other countries. The prognosis was similar to that found in other population-based studies.

Clinical and neuropathological study of six patients with spastic paraparesis associated with HTLV-I : An axomyelinic degeneration of the central nervous system

Between 1990 to 1994, 6 TSP/HAM patients, 3 women and 3 men with an average age of 57.1 years (39 to 76 years old), who died in the Salvador Hospital were submitted to postmortem examination. The mean time of paraparesis was 7 years (3 to 17 years), and 2 patients had pseudobulbar signs. Three cases had macroscopic atrophy of the spinal cord. Histologically, all cases had lesions in the pyramidal tracts and 4 cases showed somatotopic lesions of the Golls tracts which followed a “dying back” ascendant and descendant distribution, respectively. In 2 cases, both of which had intellectual impairment, demyelination of the subcortical and parathalamic areas was observed without U fiber involvement. Abnormal vessels with gross thickening of the adventitia, many of them with lymphocytic cuffs, were seen everywhere, especially in the spinal cord, brain stem, midbrain and meninges, but no relation between these findings and the parenchymal lesions was observed. Also, in the cases with posterior column involvement, neuronal changes and proliferation of satellite cells in the dorsal ganglia were found. All cases showed histological sialoadenitis and none had inflammatory muscle changes. We conclude that the lesions affected the neuraxis in a systemic axial fashion as in degenerative diseases, and did not seem to be secondary to vascular or inflammatory abnormalities.

Incidence, case-fatality rate, and prognosis of ischaemic stroke subtypes in a predominantly Hispanic-Mestizo population in Iquique, Chile (PISCIS project): a community-based incidence study

BACKGROUND Incidence of ischaemic stroke subtypes, classified by cause, seems to vary between communities. We aimed to prospectively ascertain the incidence of first-ever ischaemic stroke in a predominantly Hispanic-Mestizo population in the northern desertic region of Chile. METHODS Between July, 2000, and June, 2002, all patients with possible stroke or transient ischaemic attacks were identified from multiple overlapping sources and were rapidly assessed by two field neurologists. All identified patients were diagnosed by at least two stroke neurologists according to Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment (TOAST) definitions and were followed up at 6 months. Annual incidence rates were age adjusted to WHO, European, and US populations by the direct method to allow comparisons. FINDINGS A total of 239 ischaemic strokes were identified, of which 185 (77%) were first-ever cases. 151 (82%) patients were hospitalised, of whom only 70 (38%) were assessed within 6 h of symptom onset. The mean age of patients was 66.4 years (SD 14.9) and 56% were men. The crude annual incidence rates (per 100 000) according to stroke subtype were: cardioembolic, 9.3; large-artery disease, 2.0; small-vessel disease, 15.8; other determined cause, 0.2; and undetermined cause, 17.4. Hypertension was the most common cardiovascular risk factor in all subtypes and atrial fibrillation was the most common cause of cardioembolic stroke. Case fatality at 30 days was highest in cardioembolic strokes (28%) and lowest in small-vessel disease (0%). Dependency or death at 6 months was also highest in cardioembolic strokes (62%) and lowest in small-vessel disease (21%). INTERPRETATION Incidence and prognosis of small vessel and cardioembolic infarction was similar to that in other populations and incidence of large-artery atherothrombotic infarction was lower than in most previous reports. Hypertension and atrial fibrillation were the most common risk factor and cause, respectively, of ischemic stroke in this population. These findings should help the national stroke programme in the prevention of cardioembolic stroke, increase access to specialists and acute brain imaging and vascular studies, and improve stroke care.

HTLV-I POSITIVE SPASTIC PARAPARESIS IN A TEMPERATE ZONE

Tropical spastic paraparesis and myelopathy caused by human T-lymphotropic virus type 1 formerly reported from Japan has now been found in 32 patients of European Mestizo and Indian descent in Santiago Chile. 14 of the patients were seropositive for human T-lymphotropic virus 1 and 13 had antibodies in the cerebrospinal fluid. This is the 1st group of patients who are not black or Japanese and do not live in a tropical climate. Patients presenting with chronic peripheral or central nervous system disorders should be tested for antibodies to human T-lymphotropic virus type 1.

Evoked potential abnormalities in progressive spastic paraparesis associated to HTLV-1.

The electrophysiological features of progressive spastic paraparesis (PSP) associated with HTLV‐1 in Chile, a non‐tropical country, are presented. Twenty‐two of 45 PSP subjects were positive for HTLV‐1 antibodies. Trimodal evoked potentials were all normal in only 2 of these cases (9.1%). Somatosensory evoked potentials (SSEPs) were abnormal in 19 patients (86.3%) with a mean amplitude of 1.31 uV SD 0.92. Visual evoked potentials (VEPs) and brainstem auditory evoked potentials (BAEPs) were normal in all patients except four. Peripheral nerve conduction was normal in all but one who showed discrete slowness of the motor conduction velocity in the peroneal nerves. EMG was normal in 15 cases in whom it was performed. SSEPs were abnormal in 2 (8.7%) of 23 HTLV‐1 negative cases with a mean amplitude of 2.4 uV SD 1.5, which is statistically different with respect to the positive cases (p < 0.001). These results support an involvement of the spinal cord not restricted to the pyramidal tracts but also including subclinical damage of the posterior columns in PSP associated to HTLV‐1.

Incidence of Lobar and Non-Lobar Spontaneous Intracerebral Haemorrhage in a Predominantly Hispanic-Mestizo Population – The PISCIS Stroke Project: A Community-Based Prospective Study in Iquique, Chile

Background: The incidence of intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) in Hispanics is high, especially of non-lobar ICH. Our aim was to ascertain prospectively the incidence of first-ever spontaneous ICH (SICH) stratified by localisation in a Hispanic-Mestizo population of the north of Chile. Methods: Between July 2000 and June 2002 all possible cases of ICH were ascertained from multiple overlapping sources. The cases were allocated according to localisation. Those with vascular malformations or non-identifiable localisations were excluded. Results: We identified a total of 69 cases of first-ever ICH. Of these, 64 (92.7%) had SICH, of which we allocated 58 cases (84%) to non-lobar or lobar localisation. The mean age was 57.3 ± 17 years, and 62.3% of the subjects were male. The age-adjusted incidence rates were 13.8 (non-lobar) and 4.9 (lobar) per 100,000 person-years. Non-lobar SICH was more frequent in young males and lobar SICH in older women. The non-lobar-to-lobar ratio was similar to previous findings in Hispanics. Hypertension was more frequent in non-lobar SICH and in diabetes, heavy drinking and antithrombotic use in lobar SICH, but in none significantly. There was no association between localisation and prognosis. Conclusions: The incidence of non-lobar SICH was high, but lower than in most non-white populations. This lower incidence could be due to a lower population prevalence of risk factors, a higher socioeconomic level in this population, or chance.

Optimizing location and size of rural schools in Chile

The Chilean Ministry of Education oversees preschool, primary, and secondary education in both urban and rural areas. Many parts of Chile are sparsely populated and there are currently over 4,000 rural schools (almost 38% of all schools in Chile) educating 9.5% of the students in the country. Many of the rural schools are small with only one teacher responsible for instruction of all local students (multigrade schools). The geographical distribution of the rural schools has not been coordinated and this has resulted in unequal utilization of existing schools and some unreasonably long travel distances by students. Good management of the rural schools is fundamental to meeting Chiles goal of providing quality education to its citizens. Seeking to improve the situation, the Ministry of Education ordered a study of the optimal location and size of rural schools with the general goals of reducing the number of lesser quality multigrade schools and reducing student travel distances while maintaining reasonable costs. This paper presents results of this study obtained using an integer linear program that has been embedded in a geographical information system. We present computational results for the entire country. Recommendations include where to open new rural schools as well as where to expand, reduce, close, or leave unchanged existing schools. We show how recommendations are sensitive to key parameters such as the cost of transportation.