Florian Roghmann

Prediction of 90-day Mortality After Radical Cystectomy for Bladder Cancer in a Prospective European Multicenter Cohort

BACKGROUND Despite recent improvements, radical cystectomy (RC) is still associated with adverse rates for 90-d mortality. OBJECTIVE To validate the performance of the Isbarn nomogram incorporating age and postoperative tumor characteristics for predicting 90-d RC mortality in a multicenter series and to generate a new nomogram based strictly on preoperative parameters. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Data of 679 bladder cancer (BCa) patients treated with RC at 18 institutions in 2011 were prospectively collected, from which 597 patients were eligible for final analysis. INTERVENTION RC for BCa. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS An established prediction tool, the Isbarn nomogram, was applied to our cohort. For the purpose of external validation, model discrimination was measured using the receiver operating characteristics-derived area under the curve. Calibration plots examined the relationship between predicted and observed probabilities. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were fitted to assess the impact of preoperative characteristics on 90-d mortality. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS The 30-, 60-, and 90-d mortality rates in the development cohort (n=597) were 2.7%, 6.7%, and 9.0%, respectively. The Isbarn nomogram predicted individual 90-d mortality with an accuracy of 68.6%. Our preoperative multivariable model identified age (odds ratio [OR]:1.052), American Society of Anesthesiologists score (OR: 2.274), hospital volume (OR: 0.982), clinically lymphatic metastases (OR: 4.111), and clinically distant metastases (OR: 7.788) (all p<0.05) as independent predictors of 90-d mortality (predictive accuracy: 78.8%). Our conclusions are limited by the lack of an external validation of the preoperative model. CONCLUSIONS The Isbarn nomogram was validated with moderate discrimination. Our newly developed model consisting of preoperative characteristics might outperform existing models. Our model might be particularly suitable for preoperative patient counseling. PATIENT SUMMARY The current report validated an established nomogram predicting 90-d mortality in patients with bladder cancer after radical cystectomy (RC). We developed a new prediction tool consisting of strictly preoperative parameters, thus allowing clinicians an optimal consultation for RC candidates.

Standardized assessment of complications in a contemporary series of European patients undergoing radical cystectomy.

To examine postoperative complications in a contemporary series of patients after radical cystectomy using a standardized reporting system, and to identify readily available preoperative risk factors.

Management of Localized Kidney Cancer: Calculating Cancer-specific Mortality and Competing Risks of Death for Surgery and Nonsurgical Management

BACKGROUND For elderly individuals with localized renal cell carcinoma (RCC), surgical intervention remains the primary treatment option but may not benefit patients with limited life expectancy. OBJECTIVE To calculate the trade-offs between surgical excision and nonsurgical management (NSM) with respect to competing causes of mortality. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Relying on a cohort of Medicare beneficiaries, all patients with nonmetastatic node-negative T1 RCC between 1988 and 2005 were abstracted. INTERVENTION All patients were treated with partial nephrectomy (PN), radical nephrectomy (RN), or NSM. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS Cancer-specific mortality (CSM) and other-cause mortality (OCM) rates were modeled through competing-risks regression methodologies. Instrumental variable analysis was used to account for the potential biases associated with measured and unmeasured confounders. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS A total of 10 595 patients were identified. In instrumental variable analysis, patients treated with PN (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.45; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.24-0.83; p=0.01) or RN (HR: 0.58; 95% CI, 0.35-0.96; p=0.03) had a significantly lower risk of CSM than those treated with NSM. In subanalyses restricted to patients ≥ 75 yr, the instrumental variable analysis failed to detect any statistically significant difference between PN (HR: 0.48; p=0.1) or RN (HR: 0.57; p=0.1) relative to NSM with respect to CSM. Similar trends were observed in T1a RCC only. CONCLUSIONS PN or RN is associated with a reduction of CSM among older patients diagnosed with localized RCC, compared with NSM. The same benefit failed to reach statistical significance among patients ≥ 75 yr. The harms of surgery need to be weighed against the marginal survival benefit for some patients.

Multiparametric ultrasound of the prostate: adding contrast enhanced ultrasound to real-time elastography to detect histopathologically confirmed cancer.

PURPOSE We prospectively assessed whether a combined approach of real-time elastography and contrast enhanced ultrasound would improve prostate cancer visualization. MATERIAL AND METHODS Between June 2011 and January 2012, 100 patients with biopsy proven prostate cancer underwent preoperative transrectal multiparametric ultrasound combining real-time elastography and contrast enhanced ultrasound. After initial elastographic screening for suspicious lesions, defined as blue areas with decreased tissue strain, each lesion was allocated to the corresponding prostate sector. The target lesion was defined as the largest cancer suspicious area. Perfusion was monitored after intravenous injection of contrast agent. Target lesions were examined for hypoperfusion, normoperfusion or hyperperfusion. Imaging results were correlated with final pathological evaluation on whole mount slides after radical prostatectomy. RESULTS Of 100 patients 86 were eligible for final analysis. Real-time elastography detected prostate cancer with 49% sensitivity and 73.6% specificity. Histopathology confirmed malignancy in 56 of the 86 target lesions (65.1%). Of these 56 lesions 52 (92.9%) showed suspicious perfusion, including hypoperfusion in 48.2% and hyperperfusion in 48.2%, while only 4 (7.1%) showed normal perfusion patterns (p = 0.001). The multiparametric approach decreased the false-positive value of real-time elastography alone from 34.9% to 10.3% and improved the positive predictive value of cancer detection from 65.1% to 89.7%. CONCLUSIONS Perfusion patterns of prostate cancer suspicious elastographic lesions are heterogeneous. However, the combined approach of real-time elastography and contrast enhanced ultrasound in this pilot study significantly decreased false-positive results and improved the positive predictive value of correctly identifying histopathological cancer.

Radical prostatectomy vs radiotherapy vs observation among older patients with clinically localized prostate cancer: a comparative effectiveness evaluation

To compare efficacy between radical prostatectomy (RP), radiotherapy and observation with respect to overall survival (OS) in patients with clinically localized prostate cancer (PCa).

Conditional Survival After Radical Cystectomy for Bladder Cancer: Evidence for a Patient Changing Risk Profile over Time

BACKGROUND Standard survival statistics do not take into consideration the changes in the weight of individual variables at subsequent times after the diagnosis and initial treatment of bladder cancer. OBJECTIVE To assess the changes in 5-yr conditional survival (CS) rates after radical cystectomy for bladder cancer and to determine how well-established prognostic factors evolve over time. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS We analyzed data from 8141 patients treated with radical cystectomy at 15 international academic centers between 1979 and 2012. INTERVENTIONS Radical cystectomy and pelvic lymph node dissection. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS Conditional cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) estimates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The multivariable Cox regression model was used to calculate proportional hazard ratios for the prediction of mortality after stratification by clinical characteristics (age, perioperative chemotherapy status) and pathologic characteristics (pT stage, grade, lymphovascular invasion, pN stage, number of nodes removed, margin status). The median follow-up was 32 mo. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS The 5-yr CSS and OS rates were 67.7% and 57.5%, respectively. Given a 1-, 2-, 3-, 5- and 10-yr survivorship, the 5-yr conditional OS rates improved by +5.6 (60.7%), +8.4 (65.8%), +7.6 (70.8%), +3.0 (72.9%), and +1.9% (74.3%), respectively. The 5-yr conditional CSS rates improved by +5.6 (71.5%), +9.8 (78.5%), +7.9 (84.7%), +7.2 (90.8%), and 5.6% (95.9%), respectively. The 5- and 10-yr CS improvement was primarily noted among surviving patients with advanced stage disease. The impact of pathologic parameters on CS estimates decreased over time for both CSS and OS. Findings were confirmed on multivariable analyses. The main limitation was the retrospective design. CONCLUSIONS CS analysis demonstrates that the patient risk profile changes over time. The risk of mortality decreases with increasing survivorship. The CS rates improve mainly in the case of advanced stage disease. The impact of prognostic pathologic features decreases over time and can disappear for long-term CS.

Gender-specific differences in clinicopathologic outcomes following radical cystectomy: An international multi-institutional study of more than 8000 patients

BACKGROUND The impact of gender on the staging and prognosis of urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB) is insufficiently understood. OBJECTIVE To assess gender-specific differences in pathologic factors and survival of UCB patients treated with radical cystectomy (RC). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Data from 8102 patients treated with RC (6497 men [80%] and 1605 women [20%]) for UCB between 1971 and 2012 were analyzed. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS Multivariable competing-risk regression analyses were performed to evaluate the relationship of gender on disease recurrence (DR) and cancer-specific mortality (CSM). We also tested the interaction of gender and tumor stage, nodal status, and lymphovascular invasion (LVI). RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS Female patients were older at the time of RC (p=0.033) and had higher rates of pathologic stage T3/T4 disease (p<0.001). In univariable, but not in multivariable analysis, female gender was associated with a higher risk of DR (p=0.022 and p=0.11, respectively). Female gender was an independent predictor for CSM (p=0.004). We did not find a significant interaction between gender and stage, nodal metastasis, or LVI (all p values >0.05). CONCLUSIONS We found female gender to be associated with a higher risk of CSM following RC. However, these findings do not appear to be explained by gender differences in pathologic stage, nodal status, or LVI. This gender disparity may be due to differences in care and/or the biology of UCB.

The impact of robot-assisted radical prostatectomy on the use and extent of pelvic lymph node dissection in the “post-dissemination” period

INTRODUCTION Previous series during the dissemination era of minimally invasive techniques for treatment of prostate cancer (PCa) showed a declining use of pelvic lymph node dissection (PLND). The aim of our study was to re-assess the impact of robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) on the utilization rate of PLND and its extent in the post-dissemination period. METHODS Relying on the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Medicare-linked database, 5804 patients with non-metastatic PCa undergoing open radical prostatectomy (ORP) or RARP between years 2008 and 2009 were identified. Uni- and multivariable logistic regression analyses tested the relationship between surgical approach (RARP vs. ORP) and: 1 - the rate of PLND (pNx vs. pN0-1); and 2 - the extent of PLND (limited vs. extended). RESULTS Overall, 3357 (57.8%) patients underwent a PLND. The proportion of patients treated with PLND was significantly higher among ORP vs. RARP patients: 71.2 vs. 48.6%, respectively (P < 0.001). In addition, the median number of lymph nodes removed was significantly higher for patients treated with ORP vs. RARP: 5 vs. 4, respectively (P < 0.001). In multivariable analyses, ORP was associated with 2.7- and 1.3-fold higher odds of undergoing PLND and of receiving an extended PLND compared to RARP, respectively (both P ≤ 0.001). Stratified analyses according to disease risk classifications revealed similar trends. CONCLUSIONS In the post-dissemination era, RARP remains associated with a decreased use of PLND and suboptimum extent. Efforts should be made to improve guideline adherence in performing a PLND whenever indicated according to tumor aggressiveness, despite surgical approach.

Emergency Department Visits in the United States for Upper Urinary Tract Stones: Trends in Hospitalization and Charges

PURPOSE Using the Nationwide Emergency Department Sample (NEDS) we examined trends in visits, hospitalization and charges for patients with upper urinary tract stones who presented to the emergency department in the United States. MATERIALS AND METHODS All visits with a primary diagnosis of kidney calculus (ICD-9-CM code 592.0), ureter calculus (592.1) or urinary calculus unspecified (592.9) were extracted from NEDS between 2006 and 2009. A weighted sample was used to calculate incidence rates. Temporal trends were quantified by the estimated annual percent change. Patient and hospital characteristics associated with hospitalization were evaluated using logistic regression models adjusted for clustering. RESULTS Between 2006 and 2009 there were 3,635,054 emergency department visits for upper urinary tract stones. The incidence increased from 289 to 306/100,000 individuals. More men visited than women but women showed significant increases in visits (estimated annual percent change 2.85%, p = 0.018). Total monthly emergency department visits ranged from 5.8% in February to 8.4% in August. Overall 12.0% of patients were hospitalized and the hospitalization rate remained stable (estimated annual percent change -1.02%, p = 0.634). Patients were more likely to be hospitalized if they were female, more ill, seen at an urban teaching or low volume hospital, or had Medicaid or Medicare (each p <0.001). Sepsis was associated with the highest likelihood of hospital admission (OR 69.64, p <0.001). In 2009 charges for emergency department visits increased to

Incidence of Priapism in Emergency Departments in the United States

5 billion (estimated annual percent change 10.06%, p = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS Women showed significant annual increases in emergency department visits for upper urinary tract stones. While emergency department charges increased substantially, hospitalization rates remained stable. Greater use of computerized tomography and medical expulsive therapy could be the reasons for this observation, which warrants further study.