G. M. Taylor

Risk factors for Hodgkin's disease by Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) status: prior infection by EBV and other agents

A UK population-based case–control study of Hodgkin’s disease (HD) in young adults (16–24 years) included 118 cases and 237 controls matched on year of birth, gender and county of residence. The majority (103) of the cases were classified by Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) status (EBV present in Reed–Stenberg cells), with 19 being EBV-positive. Analyses using conditional logistic regression are presented of subject reports of prior infectious disease (infectious mononucleosis (IM), chicken pox, measles, mumps, pertussis and rubella). In these analyses HD cases are compared with matched controls, EBV-positive cases and EBV-negative cases are compared separately with their controls and formal tests of differences of association by EBV status are applied. A prior history of IM was positively associated with HD (odds ratio (OR) = 2.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.10–5.33) and with EBV-positive HD (OR = 9.16, 95% CI = 1.07–78.31) and the difference between EBV-positive and EBV-negative HD was statistically significant (P = 0.013). The remaining infectious illnesses (combined) were negatively associated with HD, EBV-positive HD and EBV-negative HD (in the total series, for ≥2 episodes compared with ≤1, OR = 0.45, 95% CI = 0.25–0.83). These results support previous evidence that early exposure to infection protects against HD and that IM increases subsequent risk; the comparisons of EBV-positive and EBV-negative HD are new and generate hypotheses for further study.

The Scotland and Newcastle epidemiological study of Hodgkin’s disease: impact of histopathological review and EBV status on incidence estimates

Aims: The epidemiological and pathological features of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) are complex. The Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) is consistently associated with a proportion of cases, and these cases are thought to represent a distinct aetiological subgroup of HL. The aim of the present analysis was to determine the age and sex specific incidence of EBV associated and non-associated HL, analysed separately, using data derived from a population based study–the Scotland and Newcastle epidemiological study of Hodgkin’s disease (SNEHD). This study also provided a unique opportunity to evaluate accuracy in the current diagnosis and classification of HL. Methods: SNEHD analysed consecutive cases of HL diagnosed in the study area between 1993 and 1997. Diagnostic biopsy material was retrieved, EBV status of tumours was determined, and histological review was performed. Results: In total, 622 cases were eligible for the study, and EBV studies and histopathological review were performed on biopsy material from 537 and 549 cases, respectively. Accuracy in the overall diagnosis of HL and classification of nodular sclerosis HL was good, but diagnosis of HL in the elderly and classification of other subtypes was less reliable. One third of classic HL cases were EBV associated, and age specific incidence curves for EBV associated and non-associated cases were distinct. Conclusions: Comparison of age specific incidence curves for EBV associated and non-associated HL supports the hypothesis that these are two distinct aetiological entities. Accuracy in the diagnosis of HL is generally good, but certain subgroups of cases continue to present diagnostic difficulties.

Space-time clustering patterns in childhood leukaemia support a role for infection.

Previous studies of space–time clustering in childhood leukaemia have produced equivocal and inconsistent results. To address this issue we have used Manchester Children’s Tumour Registry leukaemia data in space–time clustering analyses. Knox tests for space–time interactions between cases were applied with fixed thresholds of close in space, < 5 km and close in time < 1 year apart. Addresses at birth as well as diagnosis were utilized. Tests were repeated replacing geographical distance with distance to the Nth nearest neighbour. N was chosen such that the mean distance was 5 km. Data were also examined by a second order procedure based on K-functions. All methods showed highly significant evidence of space–time clustering based on place of birth and time of diagnosis, particularly for all leukaemias aged 0–14 and 0–4 years, and acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) 0–4 years. Some results based on location at diagnosis were significant but mainly gave larger P -values. The results are consistent with an infectious hypothesis. Furthermore, we found an excess of male cases over females involved in space–time pairs. We suggest this may be related to genetic differences in susceptibility to infection between males and females. These findings provide the basis for future studies to identify possible infectious agents.

Seasonal variations in the onset of childhood leukaemia and lymphoma

Infection has long been suspected as a possible factor in the aetiology of leukaemia and lymphoma. If seasonal variation in the onset of disease could be shown in any of the diagnostic subgroups of leukaemia or lymphoma, this would provide supportive evidence of an aetiology linked to exposure to infection. All cases in the Manchester Childrens Tumour Registry (aged 0-14 years at diagnosis) with acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL), acute non-lymphocytic leukaemia (ANLL), Hodgkins disease (HD) or non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) between 1 January 1954 and 31 December 1996 were included in an analysis of seasonal variation in the month of first symptom and the month of diagnosis. Cases of common acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (c-ALL) diagnosed from 1979 onwards were also analysed separately. The groups considered for analysis were: all cases of ALL (n = 1070), ALL diagnosed between 18 and 95 months of age (n = 730), ALL diagnosed over 95 months of age (n = 266), c-ALL (n = 309), ANLL (n = 244), all infant acute leukaemias (ALL and ANLL under 18 months; n = 107), HD (n = 166) and NHL (n = 189). Using the Edwards method, both c-ALL and HD demonstrated significant seasonal variation (P = 0.037 and 0.001 respectively) in date of first symptom, with peaks occurring in November and December respectively. Using this method, no indication of seasonal variation was found in the other diagnostic groups for date of first symptom or in any of the diagnostic groups for date of diagnosis. For comparison with a previous study, a further analysis based on date of diagnosis for all ALL cases, using summer-winter ratios, showed a significant summer excess. These results provide supportive evidence for an infectious aetiology for c-ALL and HD, and possibly for all ALL, which warrants further investigation.

Examination of temporal trends in the incidence of childhood leukaemias and lymphomas provides aetiological clues.

The age-sex distributions and temporal trends in incidence of leukaemia and lymphoma from the Manchester Childrens Tumour Registry (MCTR), 1954–1998, are reported. This 45-year study includes 1795 children, all of whom had a histologically and/or cytologically verified leukaemia or lymphoma. At the time of their diagnoses all the children were under 15 years of age and were resident in a geographically defined area of north-west England covered by the MCTR. Log-linear modelling identified significant linear increases in acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) (average annual increase 0.7%; P = 0.005) and in Hodgkins disease (HD) (1.2%, P = 0.04), but not in acute myeloid leukaemia (AML), nor in non-Hodgkins lymphoma (NHL). The increase in ALL was most pronounced amongst males, aged 1–4 years, and is likely to be due to precursor B-cell leukaemias. The increases in ALL and HD are discussed in relation to current hypotheses suggesting a role for infection. Additionally, a non-linear cohort effect was identified for NHL (P = 0.008), which may indicate the involvement of environmental factors other than infection.

An epidemiologic study of index and family infectious mononucleosis and adult Hodgkin's disease (HD): evidence for a specific association with EBV+ve HD in young adults.

Infectious mononucleosis (IM) is an established risk factor for Hodgkins disease (HD). A substantial minority (33%) of cases of HD have Epstein‐Barr virus (EBV) DNA within the malignant cells (are EBV+ve). It is unclear whether risk after IM applies specifically to EBV+ve HD. We report the results of a population‐based case‐control study of HD in adults (n = 408 cases of classical HD, 513 controls) aged 16–74 years; the case series included 113 EBV+ve and 243 EBV‐ve HD. Analyses compared total HD, EBV+ve HD and EBV‐ve HD with the controls and EBV+ve HD with EBV‐ve HD cases using, mainly, logistic regression. Regression analyses were adjusted for gender, age‐group and socioeconomic status, and were performed for the whole age range and separately for young (< 35 years) and old adults (≥ 35 years); formal tests of effect modification by age were included. For the young adults, reported IM in index or relative was strongly and significantly associated with EBV+ve HD when compared to controls (odds ratio [OR] = 2.94, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08–7.98 and OR = 5.22, 95% CI: 2.15–12.68, respectively). These results may be interpreted as indications that late first exposure to EBV increases risk of HD, especially in young adults; this applies primarily to EBV+ve HD.

Evidence that an HLA-DQA1-DQB1 haplotype influences susceptibility to childhood common acute lymphoblastic leukaemia in boys provides further support for an infection-related aetiology.

Comparison of DQA1 and DQB1 alleles in 60 children with common acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (c-ALL) and 78 newborn infant control subjects revealed that male but not female patients had a higher frequency of DQA1*0101/*0104 and DQB1*0501 than appropriate control subjects. The results suggest a male-associated susceptibility haplotype in c-ALL and supports an infectious aetiology.

Antenatal steroids are associated with a reduction in the incidence of cerebral white matter lesions in very low birthweight infants

Aims: To investigate whether antenatal steroids reduce the incidence of cerebral white matter lesions in very low birthweight infants. Methods: A total of 224 newborn infants of < 31 weeks gestational age and weighing < 1500 g was studied between January 1998 and June 2000. Obstetric and neonatal information was obtained from the case notes. The study population was subdivided into two groups according to antenatal steroid exposure. A complete course of treatment consisted of two doses of 12 mg each of betamethasone given at an interval of 12–24 hours. Infants in group 1 were born to mothers who had not received betamethasone, or were delivered within 24 hours of receiving the first dose of steroid. Infants in group 2 were born to mothers who had received one or more complete courses of betamethasone and were delivered > 24 hours after receiving the first dose of steroid. Results: The two groups contained statistically similar proportions of boys and girls, and the infants had similar birth weights and survival rates. Those in group 2, compared with those in group 1, had a lower gestational age (p = 0.02) and a lower incidence of white matter lesions on cranial ultrasound scans (p = 0.03). Stepwise logistic regression analysis showed that gestational age (p = 0.0002) and a complete course of antenatal steroids (p = 0.02) had independent effects on cerebral white matter lesions. Conclusions: These observations suggest that a complete course of antenatal steroids may have a protective effect against cerebral white matter lesions in very low birthweight infants.

Molecular analysis of HLA-DQB1 alleles in childhood common acute lymphoblastic leukaemia

Epidemiological studies suggest that childhood common acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (c-ALL) may be the rare outcome of early post-natal infection with a common infectious agent. One of the factors that may determine whether a child succumbs to c-ALL is how it responds to the candidate infection. Since immune responses to infection are under the partial control of (human leucocyte antigen) HLA genes, an association between an HLA allele and c-ALL could provide support for an infectious aetiology. To define the limit of c-ALL susceptibility within the HLA region, we have compared HLA-DQB1 allele frequencies in a cohort of 62 children with c-ALL with 76 newborn controls, using group-specific polymerase chain reaction (PCR) amplification, and single-strand conformation polymorphism (SSCP) analysis. We find that a significant excess of children with c-ALL type for DQB1*05 [relative risk (RR): 2.54, uncorrected P=0.038], and a marginal excess with DQB1*0501 (RR: 2.18; P=0.095). Only 3 of the 62 children with c-ALL have the other susceptibility allele, DPB1*0201 as well as DQB1*0501, whereas 15 had one or the other allele. This suggests that HLA-associated susceptibility may be determined independently by at least two loci, and is not due to linkage disequilibrium. The combined relative risk of the two groups of children with DPB1*0201 and/or DQB1*0501 is 2.76 (P=0.0076). Analysis of amino acids encoded by exon 2 of DQB1 reveal additional complexity, with significant (P<0.05) or borderline-significant increases in Gly26, His30, Val57, Glu66-Val67 encoding motifs in c-ALL compared with controls. Since these amino acids are not restricted to DQB1*0501, our results suggest that, as with DPB1, the increased risk of c-ALL associated with DQB1 is determined by specific amino acid encoding motifs rather than by an individual allele. These results also suggest that HLA-associated susceptibility to c-ALL may not be restricted to the region bounded by DPB1 and DQB1.

Measles virus and classical Hodgkin lymphoma: no evidence for a direct association.

A proportion of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) cases are causally associated with the Epstein‐Barr virus (EBV) but the aetiology of the remaining cases remains obscure. Over the last 3 decades several studies have found an association between HL and measles virus (MV) including a recent cohort study describing the detection of MV antigens in Hodgkin and Reed‐Sternberg cells, the tumour cells in HL. In the present study we looked at the relationship between history of MV infection and risk of developing HL in a population‐based, case/control study of HL. In addition we used immunohistochemistry and RT‐PCR to look for direct evidence of MV in HL biopsies. There was no significant difference in the proportion of cases reporting previous measles compared to controls in the entire data set or when young adults were considered separately. Using a robust immunohistochemical assay for MV infection, we failed to find evidence of MV in biopsies from 97 cases of HL and RT‐PCR studies similarly gave negative results. This study therefore provides no evidence that MV is directly involved in the development of HL. However, when age at first reported MV infection was investigated, significant differences emerged with children infected before school‐age having higher risk, especially of EBV−ve HL, when compared with children infected at older ages; the interpretation of these latter results is unclear.