Giulia Bettin

Remittances and Vulnerability in Developing Countries

This paper examines how international remittances are affected by structural characteristics, macroeconomic conditions, and adverse shocks in both source and recipient economies. The paper exploits a novel, rich panel data set, covering bilateral remittances from 103 Italian provinces to 87 developing countries over the period 2005-2011. Remittances are negatively correlated with the business cycle in recipient countries and increase especially strongly in response to adverse exogenous shocks, such as natural disasters or large terms-of-trade declines. Financial development in the source economy, which eases access to financial services for migrants and reduces transaction costs, is positively associated with remittances. Conversely, recipient-country financial development is negatively associated with remittances, suggesting that remittances help alleviate credit constraints.

Intertemporal remittance behaviour by immigrants in Germany

In this paper, we use data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) in the 1997-2009 period for a large sample of migrants from 84 countries in order to develop an empirical model for the propensity by migrants to remit. Our model takes into full account the intertemporal aspects of the problem, which has been ignored by a large part of the applied literature, despite its theoretical and empirical importance. We find that most results already established in the empirical literature are confirmed; however, the intertemporal nature of the remittance behaviour emerges very clearly, giving rise to individual patterns which are difficult to synthesize by a simple description. Building on our framework, we find also support for theoretical models which predict different remittance time paths between return and permanent migrants.

A Cross-Country View on South-North Migration and Trade: Dissecting the Channels

We explore the nexus between North-South trade and migration in a cross country framework over the period 1990-2005. In addition to the relatively unexploited cross country framework, our main contribution resides in the search for heterogeneous responses of trade to migration according to different good typologies. Besides the usual distinction between homogeneous and di erentiated products dictated by the information channel, we also investigate the e ects of migration on trade in primary and nal goods and in labour and capital intensive goods with the purpose to assess the preferences and technology channels too. Our results show that, as expected, migration enhances the imports of primary and nal goods (preferences channel) and the exports of di erentiated-low elasticity of substitution goods (information channel). On the other hand, there is some evidence that the increase in the presence of migrants from the South enhances the exports of labour intensive goods (technology channel).

The Impact of Natural Disasters on Remittances to Low- and Middle-Income Countries

Abstract In this paper, we offer novel empirical evidence on the impact of natural disasters on remittance flows towards low- and middle-income countries. We consider a panel of 98 countries over the period 1990–2010. Our findings show that remittances increase after a disaster, thus contributing ex post to the reconstruction process. At the same time, we find that remittances play a key role in terms of ex ante risk preparedness for those countries that experienced more disruptive events in the past. Finally, when taking into account the interaction with the level of development of the local financial sector, remittances seem to substitute for less efficient financial systems both in terms of ex post response to disasters and in terms of ex ante risk management strategy.

Migration, ethnic concentration and firm entry: evidence from Italian regions

ABSTRACT There is a growing body of literature highlighting the positive contributions of migration and diasporas to economic growth, innovation and productivity. One of the channels facilitating these effects is entrepreneurship. This paper provides novel empirical evidence concerning the link between migration and firm entry across Italian regions during the period 2004–14, and it explores the role of ethnic concentration in this context. The results show that the stock of foreign population is positively correlated with firm entry. Furthermore, this relationship varies across business sectors and firms’ legal status, and it benefits from the existence of local networks within diaspora communities in the host region.