György Andor

Large price changes on small scales

In this study we examine the evolution of price, volume, and the bid–ask spread after extreme 15min intraday price changes on the NYSE and the NASDAQ. We find that due to strong behavioral trading there is an overreaction. Furthermore, we find that volatility which increases sharply at the event decays according to a power law with an exponent of ≈0.4, i.e., much faster than the autocorrelation function of volatility.

Harmonic Mean as an Approximation for Discounting Intraperiod Cash Flows

We examine the possible errors of various present value approximations that center on the widely used end-of-period convention in cases of intraperiod cash flows. We suggest a new formula for adjusting the end-of-period present value based on the harmonic mean of the end-of-period and beginning-of-period present values. This approximation minimizes the maximum possible error in general. We give useful nomograms for several cash flow patterns to assess and correct for the errors of the different approximation methods. We find that the harmonic approximation has acceptable errors for most of these patterns. The findings are illustrated in a realistic example.