Heikki V. Huikuri

Fractal Correlation Properties of R-R Interval Dynamics and Mortality in Patients With Depressed Left Ventricular Function After an Acute Myocardial Infarction

BACKGROUNDnPreliminary data suggest that the analysis of R-R interval variability by fractal analysis methods may provide clinically useful information on patients with heart failure. The purpose of this study was to compare the prognostic power of new fractal and traditional measures of R-R interval variability as predictors of death after acute myocardial infarction.nnnMETHODS AND RESULTSnTime and frequency domain heart rate (HR) variability measures, along with short- and long-term correlation (fractal) properties of R-R intervals (exponents alpha(1) and alpha(2)) and power-law scaling of the power spectra (exponent beta), were assessed from 24-hour Holter recordings in 446 survivors of acute myocardial infarction with a depressed left ventricular function (ejection fraction </=35%). During a mean+/-SD follow-up period of 685+/-360 days, 114 patients died (25.6%), with 75 deaths classified as arrhythmic (17.0%) and 28 as nonarrhythmic (6.3%) cardiac deaths. Several traditional and fractal measures of R-R interval variability were significant univariate predictors of all-cause mortality. Reduced short-term scaling exponent alpha(1) was the most powerful R-R interval variability measure as a predictor of all-cause mortality (alpha(1) <0.75, relative risk 3.0, 95% confidence interval 2.5 to 4.2, P<0.001). It remained an independent predictor of death (P<0.001) after adjustment for other postinfarction risk markers, such as age, ejection fraction, NYHA class, and medication. Reduced alpha(1) predicted both arrhythmic death (P<0.001) and nonarrhythmic cardiac death (P<0.001).nnnCONCLUSIONSnAnalysis of the fractal characteristics of short-term R-R interval dynamics yields more powerful prognostic information than the traditional measures of HR variability among patients with depressed left ventricular function after an acute myocardial infarction.

Deceleration capacity of heart rate as a predictor of mortality after myocardial infarction: cohort study

BACKGROUNDnDecreased vagal activity after myocardial infarction results in reduced heart-rate variability and increased risk of death. To distinguish between vagal and sympathetic factors that affect heart-rate variability, we used a signal-processing algorithm to separately characterise deceleration and acceleration of heart rate. We postulated that diminished deceleration-related modulation of heart rate is an important prognostic marker. Our prospective hypotheses were that deceleration capacity is a better predictor of risk than left-ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and standard deviation of normal-to-normal intervals (SDNN).nnnMETHODSnWe quantified heart rate deceleration capacity by assessing 24-h Holter recordings from a post-infarction cohort in Munich (n=1455). We blindly validated the prognostic power of deceleration capacity in post-infarction populations in London, UK (n=656), and Oulu, Finland (n=600). We tested our hypotheses by assessment of the area under the receiver-operator characteristics curve (AUC).nnnFINDINGSnDuring a median follow-up of 24 months, 70 people died in the Munich cohort and 66 in the London cohort. The Oulu cohort was followed-up for 38 months and 77 people died. In the London cohort, mean AUC of deceleration capacity was 0.80 (SD 0.03) compared with 0.67 (0.04) for LVEF and 0.69 (0.04) for SDNN. In the Oulu cohort, mean AUC of deceleration capacity was 0.74 (0.03) compared with 0.60 (0.04) for LVEF and 0.64 (0.03) for SDNN (p<0.0001 for all comparisons). Stratification by dichotomised deceleration capacity was especially powerful in patients with preserved LVEF (p<0.0001 in all cohorts).nnnINTERPRETATIONnImpaired heart rate deceleration capacity is a powerful predictor of mortality after myocardial infarction and is more accurate than LVEF and the conventional measures of heart-rate variability.

Early Repolarization Electrocardiographic Phenotypes Associated With Favorable Long-Term Outcome

Background— Early repolarization (ER) in inferior/lateral leads of standard ECGs increases the risk of arrhythmic death. We tested the hypothesis that variations in the ST-segment characteristics after the ER waveforms may have prognostic importance. Methods and Results— ST segments after ER were classified as horizontal/descending or rapidly ascending/upsloping on the basis of observations from 2 independent samples of young healthy athletes from Finland (n=62) and the United States (n=503), where ascending type was the dominant and common form of ER. Early repolarization was present in 27/62 (44%) of the Finnish athletes and 151/503 (30%) of the US athletes, and all but 1 of the Finnish (96%) and 91/107 (85%) of US athletes had an ascending/upsloping ST variant after ER. Subsequently, ECGs from a general population of 10 864 middle-aged subjects were analyzed to assess the prognostic modulation of ER-associated risk by ST-segment variations. Subjects with ER ≥0.1 mV and horizontal/descending ST variant (n=412) had an increased hazard ratio of arrhythmic death (relative risk 1.43; 95% confidence interval 1.05 to 1.94). When modeled for higher amplitude ER (>0.2 mV) in inferior leads and horizontal/descending ST-segment variant, the hazard ratio of arrhythmic death increased to 3.14 (95% confidence interval 1.56 to 6.30). However, in subjects with ascending ST variant, the relative risk for arrhythmic death was not increased (0.89; 95% confidence interval 0.52 to 1.55). Conclusions— ST-segment morphology variants associated with ER separates subjects with and without an increased risk of arrhythmic death in middle-aged subjects. Rapidly ascending ST segments after the J-point, the dominant ST pattern in healthy athletes, seems to be a benign variant of ER.Background— Early repolarization (ER) in inferior/lateral leads of standard ECGs increases the risk of arrhythmic death. We tested the hypothesis that variations in the ST-segment characteristics after the ER waveforms may have prognostic importance.nnMethods and Results— ST segments after ER were classified as horizontal/descending or rapidly ascending/upsloping on the basis of observations from 2 independent samples of young healthy athletes from Finland (n=62) and the United States (n=503), where ascending type was the dominant and common form of ER. Early repolarization was present in 27/62 (44%) of the Finnish athletes and 151/503 (30%) of the US athletes, and all but 1 of the Finnish (96%) and 91/107 (85%) of US athletes had an ascending/upsloping ST variant after ER. Subsequently, ECGs from a general population of 10 864 middle-aged subjects were analyzed to assess the prognostic modulation of ER-associated risk by ST-segment variations. Subjects with ER ≥0.1 mV and horizontal/descending ST variant (n=412) had an increased hazard ratio of arrhythmic death (relative risk 1.43; 95% confidence interval 1.05 to 1.94). When modeled for higher amplitude ER (>0.2 mV) in inferior leads and horizontal/descending ST-segment variant, the hazard ratio of arrhythmic death increased to 3.14 (95% confidence interval 1.56 to 6.30). However, in subjects with ascending ST variant, the relative risk for arrhythmic death was not increased (0.89; 95% confidence interval 0.52 to 1.55).nnConclusions— ST-segment morphology variants associated with ER separates subjects with and without an increased risk of arrhythmic death in middle-aged subjects. Rapidly ascending ST segments after the J-point, the dominant ST pattern in healthy athletes, seems to be a benign variant of ER.nn# Clinical Perspective {#article-title-24}

Effects of intracoronary injection of mononuclear bone marrow cells on left ventricular function, arrhythmia risk profile, and restenosis after thrombolytic therapy of acute myocardial infarction

AIMSnTo assess the efficacy and safety of bone marrow cell (BMC) therapy after thrombolytic therapy of an acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).nnnMETHODS AND RESULTSnPatients with STEMI treated with thrombolysis followed by percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) 2-6 days after STEMI were randomly assigned to receive intracoronary BMCs (n = 40) or placebo medium (n = 40), collected and prepared 3-6 h prior PCI and injected into the infarct artery immediately after stenting. Efficacy was assessed by the measurement of global left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) by left ventricular angiography and 2-D echocardiography, and safety by measuring arrhythmia risk variables and restenosis of the stented vessel by intravascular ultrasound. At 6 months, BMC group had a greater absolute increase of global LVEF than placebo group, measured either by angiography (mean +/- SD increase 7.1 +/- 12.3 vs. 1.2 +/- 11.5%, P = 0.05) or by 2-D echocardiography (mean +/- SD increase 4.0 +/- 11.2 vs. -1.4 +/- 10.2%, P = 0.03). No differences were observed between the groups in the adverse clinical events, arrhythmia risk variables, or the minimal lumen diameter of the stented coronary lesion.nnnCONCLUSIONnIntracoronary BMC therapy is associated with an improvement of global LVEF and neutral effects on arrhythmia risk profile and restenosis of the stented coronary lesions in patients after thrombolytic therapy of STEMI.

Prediction of fatal or near-fatal cardiac arrhythmia events in patients with depressed left ventricular function after an acute myocardial infarction †

Aims To determine whether risk stratification tests can predict serious arrhythmic events after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF ≤ 0.40). Methods and results A total of 5869 consecutive patients were screened in 10 European centres, and 312 patients (age 65 ± 11 years) with a mean LVEF of 31 ± 6% were included in the study. Heart rate variability/turbulence, ambient arrhythmias, signal-averaged electrocardiogram (SAECG), T-wave alternans, and programmed electrical stimulation (PES) were performed 6 weeks after AMI. The primary endpoint was ECG-documented ventricular fibrillation or symptomatic sustained ventricular tachycardia (VT). To document these arrhythmic events, the patients received an implantable ECG loop-recorder. There were 25 primary endpoints (8.0%) during the follow-up of 2 years. The strongest predictors of primary endpoint were measures of heart rate variability, e.g. hazard ratio (HR) for reduced very-low frequency component (<5.7 ln ms2) adjusted for clinical variables was 7.0 (95% CI: 2.4–20.3, P < 0.001). Induction of sustained monomorphic VT during PES (adjusted HR = 4.8, 95% CI, 1.7–13.4, P = 0.003) also predicted the primary endpoint. Conclusion Fatal or near-fatal arrhythmias can be predicted by many risk stratification methods, especially by heart rate variability, in patients with reduced LVEF after AMI.

Physiological Background of the Loss of Fractal Heart Rate Dynamics

Background—Altered fractal heart rate (HR) dynamics occur during various disease states, but the physiological background of abnormal fractal HR behavior is not well known. We tested the hypothesis that the fractal organization of human HR dynamics is determined by the balance between sympathetic and vagal outflow. Methods and Results—A short-term fractal scaling exponent (&agr;1) of HR dynamics, analyzed by the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) method, and the high-frequency (HF) and low-frequency (LF) spectral components of R-R intervals (0.15 to 0.4 Hz; n=13), along with muscle sympathetic nervous activity (MSNA) from the peroneus nerve (n=11), were assessed at rest and during cold face and cold hand immersion in healthy subjects. During cold face immersion, HF power increased (from 6.9±1.3 to 7.6±1.2 ln ms2, P<0.01), as did MSNA (from 32±17 to 44±14 bursts/100 heartbeats, P<0.001), and LF/HF ratio decreased (P<0.01). Cold hand immersion resulted in a similar increase in MSNA (from 34±17 to 52±19 bursts/100 heartbeats, P<0.001) but a decrease in HF spectral power (from 7.0±1.3 to 6.5±1.1 ln ms2, P<0.05) and an increase in the LF/HF ratio (P<0.05). The fractal scaling index &agr;1 decreased in all subjects (from 0.85±0.27 to 0.67±0.30, P<0.0001) during cold face immersion but increased during cold hand immersion (from 0.77±0.22 to 0.97±0.20, P<0.01). Conclusions—The fractal organization of human HR dynamics is determined by a delicate interplay between sympathetic and vagal outflow, with the breakdown of fractal HR behavior toward more random dynamics occurring during coactivation of sympathetic and vagal outflow.

Prediction of Sudden Cardiac Death Appraisal of the Studies and Methods Assessing the Risk of Sudden Arrhythmic Death

Since the recognition of the high incidence of cardiac arrest as the mechanism of sudden cardiac death (SCD), medical scientists and clinicians have sought methods to predict and prevent these events. Significant progress has already been made in the prediction and prevention of life-threatening arrhythmias during the last decade. This progress is highlighted by the outcomes of 4 recently published randomized studies demonstrating that the implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) provides a mortality benefit compared with conventional drug therapy in highly specific subsets of patients.1–4 In parallel with intervention studies, several observational studies and reports have raised an optimistic notion that arrhythmic death can be predicted by methods potentially useful for widespread screening programs.5–10nnDespite the evidence-based data and practical recommendations for indications of ICD therapy,11 utilization of this therapy has not been uniformly implemented worldwide, and screening of patients at potential high risk for arrhythmic death has not become a routine clinical practice. In addition to economic and educational factors, this may be due to methodological problems in the designs of a number of the completed observational and randomized intervention studies that confound the interpretation of the results and general application of the procedures. In this report, we analyze the problems of predicting arrhythmic deaths and the advantages and limitations of the various methods and studies, and we evaluate the need for new and better studies and methods of risk stratification.nnThree types of clinical research designs have been used to estimate the efficacy of interventions and the accuracy of methods for predicting sudden arrhythmic death: (1) observational follow-up studies, (2) case-control studies, and (3) randomized intervention designs.nnObservational studies are based on baseline assessment of 1 or more risk variables and subsequent follow-up of predefined patient groups. These studies have been most commonly used in the …

Prevalence and Prognostic Significance of Short QT Interval in a Middle-Aged Finnish Population

Background— Short-QT syndrome is an inherited disorder characterized by a short QT interval and an increased risk of sudden cardiac death. The clinical significance of a short QT interval observed in a randomly recorded ECG is not known. Therefore, we assessed the prevalence and prognostic significance of a short QT interval in a general population. Methods and Results— QT intervals were measured from the 12-lead ECGs of 10 822 randomly selected middle-aged subjects (5658 males, mean age 44±8.4 years) enrolled in a population study and followed up for 29±10 years. The end points were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. In addition to Bazett’s method (corrected QT interval, or QTc), the Fridericia (QTfc) and nomogram (QTnc) methods were used to correct the QT interval for heart rate. The cutoff values for short QT intervals were defined as 320 ms (very short) and 340 ms (short). The prevalence of QT interval <320 ms based on QTc, QTfc, and QTnc was 0.10%, 0.08%, and 0.06%, and the prevalence of QT interval <340 ms was 0.4%, 0.3%, and 0.3%, respectively. The majority of subjects with short QT intervals were males. All-cause or cardiovascular mortality did not differ between subjects with a very short or short QT interval and those with normal QT intervals (360 to 450 ms). There were no sudden cardiac deaths, aborted sudden cardiac deaths, or documented ventricular tachyarrhythmias among subjects with a QTfc <340 ms. Conclusion— A short QT interval does not appear to indicate an increased risk for all-cause or cardiovascular mortality in middle-aged nonreferral, community-based individuals.

Family History and the Risk of Sudden Cardiac Death as a Manifestation of an Acute Coronary Event

Background— Observational studies have suggested that a parental history of sudden death increases one’s risk of dying suddenly. This study tested the hypothesis that a family history of sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a risk factor for SCD caused by an acute coronary event. Methods and Results— A retrospective case-control study included (1) consecutive victims of SCD (n=138) whose deaths were verified to be due to an acute coronary event without a history of prior myocardial infarction at medicolegal autopsy, (2) consecutive patients surviving an acute myocardial infarction (AMI; n=254), and (3) healthy control subjects (n=470). Family history of AMI and SCD among the first-degree relatives was ascertained in each study group. The incidence of SCD in the 1223 first-degree relatives of SCD victims was higher (5.2%) than that in the 2326 relatives of AMI survivors (3.3%; odds ration [OR] 1.6, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.2 to 2.2, P<0.01) or the 3748 relatives of controls (OR 2.2; 95% CI 1.6 to 3.0, P<0.001). The history of SCD in 2 or more first-degree relatives was also higher (10.9%) among SCD victims than among AMI survivors (3.5%; OR 3.3, 95% CI 1.4 to 7.8, P<0.01) or controls (1.1%; OR 11.3, 95% CI 4.0 to 31.8, P<0.001). The family history of AMI did not differ between the SCD and AMI groups. Male gender and current smoking were the only coronary risk factors that were more prevalent among SCD victims than among AMI survivors (P<0.001 for both). Conclusions— Subjects with a family history of SCD have an increased risk of dying suddenly during an acute coronary event.

The early repolarization pattern in the general population: clinical correlates and heritability

OBJECTIVESnThis study sought to describe the clinical correlates and heritability of the early repolarization pattern (ERP) in 2 large, population-based cohorts.nnnBACKGROUNDnThere is growing recognition that ERP is associated with adverse outcomes.nnnMETHODSnParticipants of the Framingham Heart Study (FHS) (N = 3,995) and the Health 2000 Survey (H2K) (N = 5,489) were included. ERP was defined as a J-point elevation ≥0.1 mV in ≥2 leads in either the inferior (II, III, aVF) or lateral (I, aVL, V(4-6)) territory or both. We tested the association between clinical characteristics and ERP, and estimated sibling recurrence risk.nnnRESULTSnERP was present in 243 of 3,955 (6.1%) of FHS and 180 of 5,489 (3.3%) of H2K subjects. Male sex, younger age, lower systolic blood pressure, higher Sokolow-Lyon index, and lower Cornell voltage were independently associated with the presence of ERP. In the FHS sample, siblings of individuals with ERP had an ERP prevalence of 11.6% (recurrence risk ratio of 1.89). Siblings of individuals with ERP had an increased unadjusted odds of ERP (odds ratio: 2.22, 95% confidence interval: 1.01 to 4.85, p = 0.047).nnnCONCLUSIONSnERP has strong association with clinical factors and has evidence for a heritable basis in the general population. Further assessment of the genetic determinants of ERP is warranted.