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Dive into the research topics where Helen Marshall is active.

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Featured researches published by Helen Marshall.


Lancet Oncology | 2013

Panitumumab and irinotecan versus irinotecan alone for patients with KRAS wild-type, fluorouracil-resistant advanced colorectal cancer (PICCOLO): a prospectively stratified randomised trial

Matthew T. Seymour; Sarah Brown; Gary Middleton; Tim Maughan; Susan Richman; Stephen Gwyther; Catherine Lowe; Jennifer F Seligmann; Jonathan Wadsley; Nick Maisey; Ian Chau; Mark Hill; Lesley Dawson; Stephen Falk; Ann O'callaghan; Kim Benstead; Philip A. Chambers; Alfred Oliver; Helen Marshall; Vicky Napp; Phil Quirke

Summary Background Therapeutic antibodies targeting EGFR have activity in advanced colorectal cancer, but results from clinical trials are inconsistent and the population in which most benefit is derived is uncertain. Our aim was to assess the addition of panitumumab to irinotecan in pretreated advanced colorectal cancer. Methods In this open-label, randomised trial, we enrolled patients who had advanced colorectal cancer progressing after fluoropyrimidine treatment with or without oxaliplatin from 60 centres in the UK. From December, 2006 until June, 2008, molecularly unselected patients were recruited to a three-arm design including irinotecan (control), irinotecan plus ciclosporin, and irinotecan plus panitumumab (IrPan) groups. From June 10, 2008, in response to new data, the trial was amended to a prospectively stratified design, restricting panitumumab randomisation to patients with KRAS wild-type tumours; the results of the comparison between the irinotcan and IrPan groups are reported here. We used a computer-generated randomisation sequence (stratified by previous EGFR targeted therapy and then minimised by centre, WHO performance status, previous oxaliplatin, previous bevacizumab, previous dose modifications, and best previous response) to randomly allocate patients to either irinotecan or IrPan. Patients in both groups received 350 mg/m2 intravenous irinotecan every 3 weeks (300 mg/m2 if aged ≥70 years or a performance status of 2); patients in the IrPan group also received intravenous panitumumab 9 mg/kg every 3 weeks. The primary endpoint was overall survival in KRAS wild-type patients who had not received previous EGFR targeted therapy, analysed by intention to treat. Tumour DNA was pyrosequenced for KRASc.146, BRAF, NRAS, and PIK3CA mutations, and predefined molecular subgroups were analysed for interaction with the effect of panitumumab. This study is registered, number ISRCTN93248876. Results Between Dec 4, 2006, and Aug 31, 2010, 1198 patients were enrolled, of whom 460 were included in the primary population of patients with KRASc.12–13,61 wild-type tumours and no previous EGFR targeted therapy. 230 patients were randomly allocated to irinotecan and 230 to IrPan. There was no difference in overall survival between groups (HR 1·01, 95% CI 0·83–1·23; p=0·91), but individuals in the IrPan group had longer progression-free survival (0·78, 0·64–0·95; p=0·015) and a greater number of responses (79 [34%] patients vs 27 [12%]; p<0·0001) than did individuals in the irinotecan group. Grade 3 or worse diarrhoea (64 [29%] of 219 patients vs 39 [18%] of 218 patients), skin toxicity (41 [19%] vs none), lethargy (45 [21]% vs 24 [11%]), infection (42 [19%] vs 22 [10%]) and haematological toxicity (48 [22%] vs 27 [12%]) were reported more commonly in the IrPan group than in the irinotecan group. We recorded five treatment-related deaths, two in the IrPan group and three in the irinotecan group. Interpretation Adding panitumumab to irinotecan did not improve the overall survival of patients with wild-type KRAS tumours. Further refinement of molecular selection is needed for substantial benefits to be derived from EGFR targeting agents. Funding Cancer Research UK, Amgen Inc.


Lancet Oncology | 2014

Adjuvant zoledronic acid in patients with early breast cancer: final efficacy analysis of the AZURE (BIG 01/04) randomised open-label phase 3 trial

Robert E. Coleman; David Cameron; D. Dodwell; Richard Bell; Caroline Wilson; Emma Rathbone; Maccon Keane; Miguel Gil; Roger Burkinshaw; Robert Grieve; Peter Barrett-Lee; Diana Ritchie; Victoria Liversedge; Samantha Hinsley; Helen Marshall

BACKGROUND The role of adjuvant bisphosphonates in early breast cancer is uncertain. We therefore did a large randomised trial to investigate the effect of the adjuvant use of zoledronic acid on disease-free survival (DFS) in high-risk patients with early breast cancer. METHODS In the AZURE trial, an open-label, international, multicentre, randomised, controlled, parallel-group phase 3 trial, women (age ≥18 years) with stage II or III breast cancer were randomly assigned (1:1) by a central automated 24-h computer-generated telephone minimisation system (balanced for number of involved axillary lymph nodes, tumour stage, oestrogen receptor status, type and timing of systemic therapy, menopausal status, statin use, and treatment centre) to receive standard adjuvant systemic treatment alone (control group) or with 4 mg intravenous zoledronic acid every 3-4 weeks for six doses, then every 3 months for eight doses, followed by every 6 months for five doses, for a total of 5 years of treatment. The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS). Secondary endpoints were invasive DFS (IDFS), overall survival, time to bone metastases, time to distant recurrence, and subgroup analyses of variables included in the randomisation. All patients have completed study treatment. Results from the intention-to-treat final analysis of this fully recruited study are presented after a median follow-up of 84 months (IQR 66-93). This final efficacy analysis was planned to take place after 940 DFS events. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00072020. FINDINGS 3360 women were recruited from 174 centres in seven countries between Sept 4, 2003, and Feb 16, 2006. The number of DFS events did not differ between groups: 493 in the control group and 473 in the zoledronic acid group (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0·94, 95% CI 0·82-1·06; p=0·30). IDFS (HR 0·93, 95% CI 0·82-1·05; p=0·22), overall survival (0·93, 0·81-1·08; p=0·37), and distant recurrences (0·93, 0·81-1·07; p=0·29) were much the same in both groups. Zoledronic acid reduced the development of bone metastases, both as a first event (HR 0·78, 95% CI 0·63-0·96; p=0·020) and at any time during follow-up (0·81, 0·68-0·97; p=0·022). The effects of zoledronic acid on DFS were not affected by oestrogen-receptor status. However, zoledronic acid improved IDFS in those who were over 5 years since menopause at trial entry (n=1041; HR 0·77, 95% CI 0·63-0·96) but not in all other (premenopause, perimenopause, and unknown status) menopausal groups (n=2318; HR 1·03, 95% CI 0·89-1·20). 33 cases of suspected osteonecrosis of the jaw have been reported, with 26 confirmed on central review, all in the zoledronic acid group (1·7%, 95% CI 1·0-2·4). INTERPRETATION These results suggest no overall benefit from the addition of zoledronic acid to standard adjuvant treatments for early breast cancer. However, zoledronic acid does reduce the development of bone metastases and, for women with established menopause, improved disease outcomes. FUNDING Novartis Global and NIHR Cancer Research Network.


Journal of Clinical Oncology | 2011

Lymph Nodes, Tumor Deposits, and TNM: Are We Getting Better?

Iris D. Nagtegaal; Tibor Tot; David Jayne; Phil McShane; Anders Nihlberg; Helen Marshall; Lars Påhlman; Julia Brown; P. J. Guillou; P. Quirke

PURPOSE New editions of the TNM staging system for colorectal cancer have been subject to extensive criticism. In the current study, we evaluate each edition of TNM and analyze stage migration caused by the different versions. PATIENTS AND METHODS Two independent test populations were used: participants derived from a randomized surgical trial from the United Kingdom (n = 455) and patients from a population-based series from Sweden (n = 505). All slides from these patient cases were reviewed with special attention for the presence of tumor deposits. Tumor deposits were classified according to the fifth, sixth, and seventh editions of TNM and correlated with prognosis. RESULTS Every change in edition of TNM led to a stage migration of between 33% and 64% in patients with tumor deposits. Reproducibility was best in the fifth edition of TNM. The prognostic value of the seventh edition was best only when all tumor deposits irrespective of size or contour were included as lymph nodes. The prognostic value of the fifth edition was better than that of the sixth. CONCLUSION We demonstrate there is a place for tumor deposits in the staging of patients with colorectal cancer. However, many questions remain about their definition and the reproducibility and use of this category in special situations, such as after neoadjuvant treatment. These should be the subject of additional research before use as a factor in TNM staging. This work demonstrates the necessity of testing modifications before their introduction.


JAMA | 2017

Effect of Robotic-Assisted vs Conventional Laparoscopic Surgery on Risk of Conversion to Open Laparotomy Among Patients Undergoing Resection for Rectal Cancer: The ROLARR Randomized Clinical Trial

David Jayne; Alessio Pigazzi; Helen Marshall; Julie Croft; Neil Corrigan; Joanne Copeland; Phil Quirke; Nicholas P. West; Tero Rautio; Niels Thomassen; Henry Tilney; Mark Gudgeon; Paolo Bianchi; Richard Edlin; Claire Hulme; Julia Brown

Importance Robotic rectal cancer surgery is gaining popularity, but limited data are available regarding safety and efficacy. Objective To compare robotic-assisted vs conventional laparoscopic surgery for risk of conversion to open laparotomy among patients undergoing resection for rectal cancer. Design, Setting, and Participants Randomized clinical trial comparing robotic-assisted vs conventional laparoscopic surgery among 471 patients with rectal adenocarcinoma suitable for curative resection conducted at 29 sites across 10 countries, including 40 surgeons. Recruitment of patients was from January 7, 2011, to September 30, 2014, follow-up was conducted at 30 days and 6 months, and final follow-up was on June 16, 2015. Interventions Patients were randomized to robotic-assisted (n = 237) or conventional (n = 234) laparoscopic rectal cancer resection, performed by either high (upper rectum) or low (total rectum) anterior resection or abdominoperineal resection (rectum and perineum). Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was conversion to open laparotomy. Secondary end points included intraoperative and postoperative complications, circumferential resection margin positivity (CRM+) and other pathological outcomes, quality of life (36-Item Short Form Survey and 20-item Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory), bladder and sexual dysfunction (International Prostate Symptom Score, International Index of Erectile Function, and Female Sexual Function Index), and oncological outcomes. Results Among 471 randomized patients (mean [SD] age, 64.9 [11.0] years; 320 [67.9%] men), 466 (98.9%) completed the study. The overall rate of conversion to open laparotomy was 10.1%: 19 of 236 patients (8.1%) in the robotic-assisted laparoscopic group and 28 of 230 patients (12.2%) in the conventional laparoscopic group (unadjusted risk difference = 4.1% [95% CI, −1.4% to 9.6%]; adjusted odds ratio = 0.61 [95% CI, 0.31 to 1.21]; P = .16). The overall CRM+ rate was 5.7%; CRM+ occurred in 14 (6.3%) of 224 patients in the conventional laparoscopic group and 12 (5.1%) of 235 patients in the robotic-assisted laparoscopic group (unadjusted risk difference = 1.1% [95% CI, −3.1% to 5.4%]; adjusted odds ratio = 0.78 [95% CI, 0.35 to 1.76]; P = .56). Of the other 8 reported prespecified secondary end points, including intraoperative complications, postoperative complications, plane of surgery, 30-day mortality, bladder dysfunction, and sexual dysfunction, none showed a statistically significant difference between groups. Conclusions and Relevance Among patients with rectal adenocarcinoma suitable for curative resection, robotic-assisted laparoscopic surgery, as compared with conventional laparoscopic surgery, did not significantly reduce the risk of conversion to open laparotomy. These findings suggest that robotic-assisted laparoscopic surgery, when performed by surgeons with varying experience with robotic surgery, does not confer an advantage in rectal cancer resection. Trial Registration isrctn.org Identifier: ISRCTN80500123


Journal of Clinical Oncology | 2013

Osteonecrosis of the Jaw and Oral Health–Related Quality of Life After Adjuvant Zoledronic Acid: An Adjuvant Zoledronic Acid to Reduce Recurrence Trial Subprotocol (BIG01/04)

Emma Rathbone; Janet E. Brown; Helen Marshall; Michelle Collinson; Victoria Liversedge; Geraldine A. Murden; David Cameron; Richard C. Bell; Saiqa Spensley; Rajiv Agrawal; Rema Jyothirmayi; Prabir Chakraborti; Frances Yuille; Robert E. Coleman

PURPOSE In patients with early breast cancer, adjuvant zoledronic acid (zoledronate) may reduce recurrence and improve survival. However, zoledronate is associated with the occasional development of osteonecrosis of the jaw (ONJ). We report on the frequency of ONJ and investigate oral health-related quality of life (Oral-QoL) in a large randomized trial (Adjuvant Zoledronic Acid to Reduce Recurrence [AZURE]). PATIENTS AND METHODS Three thousand three hundred sixty women with stage II or III breast cancer were randomly assigned to receive standard adjuvant systemic therapy alone or with zoledronate administered at a dose of 4 mg for 19 doses over 5 years. All potential occurrences of ONJ were reported as serious adverse events and centrally reviewed. Additionally, we invited 486 study participants to complete the Oral Health Impact Profile-14 (OHIP-14) to assess Oral-QoL around the time the patients completed 5 years on study. Multivariable linear regression was used to calculate mean scores and 95% CIs in addition to identifying independent prognostic factors. RESULTS With a median follow-up time of 73.9 months (interquartile range, 60.7 to 84.2 months), 33 possible cases of ONJ were reported, all in the zoledronate-treated patients. Twenty-six cases were confirmed as being consistent with a diagnosis of ONJ, representing a cumulative incidence of 2.1% (95% CI, 0.9% to 3.3%) in the zoledronate arm. Three hundred sixty-two patients (74%) returned the OHIP-14 questionnaire. Neither the prevalence nor severity of impacts on Oral-QoL differed significantly between zoledronate patients and control patients. CONCLUSION Adjuvant zoledronate used in the intensive schedule studied in the AZURE trial is associated with a low incidence of ONJ but does not seem to adversely affect Oral-QoL.


Journal of Clinical Oncology | 2017

Tumor Deposits in Colorectal Cancer: Improving the Value of Modern Staging-A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Iris D. Nagtegaal; Nikki Knijn; Niek Hugen; Helen Marshall; Kenichi Sugihara; Tibor Tot; Hideki Ueno; P. Quirke

Purpose Colorectal cancer (CRC) treatment is largely determined by tumor stage. Despite improvements made in the treatment of various types of metastatic disease, staging has not been refined. The role of tumor deposits (TDs) in staging remains debated. We have assessed the relation of TDs with metastatic pattern to evaluate whether TDs might add significant new information to staging. Methods We performed a systematic literature search that was focused on the role of TDs in CRC. Studies with neoadjuvant-treated patients were excluded. Data on stage, histologic factors, and outcome were extracted. Data from four large cohorts were analyzed for the relevance of the presence of TDs, lymph node metastases (LNMs), and extramural vascular invasion (EMVI) on the pattern of metastases and outcomes. Results Of 10,106 included patients with CRC, 22% presented with TDs. TDs are invariably associated with poor outcome. Presence of TDs was associated with presence of LNMs and EMVI. In a pairwise comparison, effects of TD were stronger than those of both LNMs and EMVI. In the logistic regression model, TDs in combination with LNMs is the strongest predictor for liver (odds ratio [OR], 5.5), lung (OR, 4.3) and peritoneal metastases (OR, 7.0). Presence of EMVI adds information for liver and lung metastases, but not for peritoneal metastases. Conclusion We have shown that TDs are not equal to LNMs or EMVI with respect to biology and outcome. We lose valuable prognostic information by allocating TDs into nodal category N1c and only considering TDs in the absence of LNMs. Therefore, we propose that the number of TDs should be added to the number of LNMs to derive a final N stage.


European Journal of Cancer | 2013

A randomised phase III trial of the pharmacokinetic biomodulation of irinotecan using oral ciclosporin in advanced colorectal cancer: Results of the Panitumumab, Irinotecan & Ciclosporin in COLOrectal cancer therapy trial (PICCOLO)

Gary Middleton; Sarah Brown; Catherine Lowe; Tim Maughan; Stephen Gwyther; Alfred Oliver; Susan Richman; Denise Blake; Vicky Napp; Helen Marshall; Jonathan Wadsley; Nick Maisey; Ian Chau; Mark Hill; Simon Gollins; S. Myint; Sarah Slater; John Wagstaff; J. Bridgewater; Matthew T. Seymour

BACKGROUND The main toxicity of irinotecan in advanced colorectal cancer (CRC) is delayed diarrhoea. Intestinal SN-38, released by deconjugation of the parent glucuronide excreted into the bile or produced in situ by intestinal carboxylesterase, is toxic to the intestinal epithelium. The canalicular transport of irinotecan and SN-38G is mediated by ABCC2 (MRP2) and ABCB1 (MDR1) which are both inhibited by ciclosporin. We tested whether irinotecan and ciclosporin was non-inferior for anti-cancer efficacy and superior for toxicity compared with single-agent irinotecan. METHODS Six hundred and seventy-two patients with advanced, measurable CRC following prior fluoropyrimidine-containing chemotherapy were randomised to either irinotecan 3-weekly 350 mg/m(2) (or 300 mg/m(2) if age >70 or performance status (PS)=2) or 3-weekly irinotecan at 140 mg/m(2) (120 mg/m(2) if age >70 or PS=2) with ciclosporin 3mg/kg t.d.s. for three days by mouth starting on the morning before irinotecan. The primary end-point was the proportion of patients alive and progression-free at 12 weeks. The key secondary end-point was the incidence of grade ≥3 diarrhoea within 12 weeks of randomisation. RESULTS The proportion of patients progression-free at 12 weeks with irinotecan was 53.4% compared to 47.2% with irinotecan plus ciclosporin (difference=-6.3%, 95% confidence interval (CI) [-13.8%, 1.3%]). Since the lower limit of the 95% CI crossed the pre-specified non-inferiority margin of -10.6%, non-inferiority of irinotecan plus ciclosporin compared to irinotecan alone was not statistically demonstrated. 15.0% patients developed severe diarrhoea on irinotecan compared to 13.8% on irinotecan plus ciclosporin, a non-significant difference. INTERPRETATION The pharmacokinetic biomodulation of irinotecan using oral ciclosporin does not improve the therapeutic index of irinotecan in advanced CRC. FUNDING The trial was funded by Cancer Research UK and supported by Amgen Pharma.


Cancer Research | 2012

Abstract S6-4: Vitamin D, but not bone turnover markers, predict relapse in women with early breast cancer: an AZURE translational study.

R.E. Coleman; Ej Rathbone; Helen Marshall; Caroline Wilson; Janet E. Brown; F Gossiel; Walter Gregory; David Cameron; Richard C. Bell

Background: The AZURE trial evaluated the addition of zoledronic acid (ZOL) to standard adjuvant therapy on relapse rates and survival in pts with stage II/III breast cancer. While the overall analysis reported no benefit, a pre-planned subgroup analysis showed significant benefits in postmenopausal (PM) women. Here we report whether baseline measurements of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25-OHD) and the serum bone turnover markers N-terminal propeptide type I procollagen (P1NP) and beta C-terminal telopeptide type I collagen (β-CTX) can identify pts at high risk of relapse and/or modify the treatment effects of ZOL. Methods: 872 AZURE pts consented for serum to be collected and stored for translational research projects (ZOL group n=431; control group n=441). Serum P1NP, β-CTX and 25-OHD levels were measured in 867, 863 and 856 pts respectively. These markers were analysed as categorical variables with determined cut-off points to predict bone as 1st site of distant recurrence (DR) or any distant relapse (P1NP (ng/ml), >70 versus ≤70; βCTX (ng/ml), >0.299 versus ≤0.299; 25-OHD (ng/ml), ≤30 versus >30). Additionally, the markers were assessed for an interaction with ZOL. Analyses were adjusted for systemic therapy, lymph node and ER status. As in previous analyses of AZURE, the PM cohort was defined as ≥5 years since last menses; all other patients are included in a “not postmenopausal” (not-PM) group. Results: The baseline disease characteristics of the translational cohort were similar to those of the total AZURE population and showed a similar benefit of ZOL among the PM patients: hazard ratio (HR) for DR = 0.61 (95% CI 0.35, 1.07; p-value for interaction with not-PM women = 0.0173). At a median follow-up of 53.3 months, 150 pts have had a 1st DR event; 47 had bone-only relapse, 19 bone plus other distant site and 84 developed non-bone DR. Mean value of 25-OHD (ng/ml) was 18.30 (range, 3.16–54.82; SD=9.19) with 61.0% of pts 30. 25-OHD levels >30 ng/ml were significantly associated with lower risk for bone relapse (HR 0.11, 95% CI 0.02, 0.76; p-value 0.0257). A similar trend was seen for any site of DR (HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.31, 1.01; p-value = 0.0519). Additionally, 25-OHD levels were prognostic for bone relapse when analysed as a continuous value (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.94, 1.00; p-value = 0.0474). Finally, 25-OHD levels >30 ng/ml predicted for benefit of treatment with ZOL in PM women with regards to DR (HR 0.09, 95% CI 0.01, 0.82; interaction p-value 0.0747) but the trend was not seen in not-PM women. Mean values for P1NP and βCTX (range; SD) were 59.1 ng/ml ( Conclusions: High pre-treatment serum levels of 25-OHD are associated with lower risk for bone relapse with a trend for any DR. Amongst PM women, high levels can additionally predict improved outcomes for treatment with ZOL. P1NP and βCTX failed to significantly discriminate breast cancer pts who may be at high risk for DR. Our results suggest that baseline bone turnover is not directly associated with the benefits of ZOL amongst PM women. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2012;72(24 Suppl):Abstract nr S6-4.


British Journal of Cancer | 2017

A randomised phase II trial and feasibility study of palliative chemotherapy in frail or elderly patients with advanced gastroesophageal cancer (321GO)

Peter Hall; Simon Lord; Michelle Collinson; Helen Marshall; M. C. Jones; Catherine Lowe; Helen Howard; Daniel Swinson; Galina Velikova; A. Anthoney; Rahul Roy; Susan L. Cheeseman; Matthew T. Seymour

Background:Elderly patients are commonly under-represented in cancer clinical trials. The 321GO was undertaken in preparation for a definitive phase three trial assessing different chemotherapy regimens in a frail and/or elderly population with advanced gastroesophageal (GO) cancer.Methods:Patients with advanced GO cancer considered unfit for conventional dose chemotherapy were randomly assigned in a 1 : 1 : 1 ratio to: epirubicin, oxaliplatin and capecitabine (EOX); oxaliplatin and capecitabine (OX); and capecitabine alone (X) (all 80% of full dose and unblinded). The primary end point was patient recruitment over an 18-month period. A registration study recorded treatment choice for all patients with advanced GO cancer at trial centres.Results:A total of 313 patients were considered for palliative chemotherapy for GO cancer over the 18-month period: 115 received full dose treatment, 89 less than standard treatment or entered 321GO and 111 no treatment. Within 321GO, 55 patients were randomly assigned (19 to OX and X; 17 to EOX). Progression-free survival (PFS) for all patients was 4.4 months and by arm 5.4, 5.6 and 3.0 months for EOX, OX and X, respectively. The number of patients with a good overall treatment utility (OTU), a novel patient-centred endpoint, at 12 weeks was 3 (18%), 6 (32%) and 1 (6%) for EOX, OX and X, respectively. At 6 weeks, 22 patients (41%) had experienced a non-haematologic toxicity ⩾grade 3, most commonly lethargy or diarrhoea. The OTU was prognostic for overall survival in patients alive at week 12 (logrank test P=0.0001).Conclusions:It is feasible to recruit elderly and/or frail patients with advanced GO cancer to a randomised clinical trial. The OX is the preferred regimen for further study. Overall treatment utility shows promise as a comparator between treatment regimens for feasibility and randomised trials in the elderly and/or frail GO cancer population.


Lancet Oncology | 2017

Effect of MAF amplification on treatment outcomes with adjuvant zoledronic acid in early breast cancer: a secondary analysis of the international, open-label, randomised, controlled, phase 3 AZURE (BIG 01/04) trial

Robert E. Coleman; Andrew Hall; Joan Albanell; Andrew M. Hanby; Richard Bell; David Cameron; David Dodwell; Helen Marshall; Joël Jean-Mairet; Juan-Carlos Tercero; Federico Rojo; Walter Gregory; Roger R. Gomis

BACKGROUND Adjuvant use of bisphosphonates can reduce the incidence of bone metastases in early breast cancer. Recurrence and survival seem to be improved only in postmenopausal patients, but the underlying mechanisms remain unclear. We investigated whether MAF amplification (a biomarker for bone metastasis) in primary tumours could predict the treatment outcomes of adjuvant zoledronic acid. METHODS The study population included patients enrolled in the international, open-label, randomised, controlled, phase 3 AZURE trial at eligible UK sites who had stage II or III breast cancer and who gave consent for use of their primary tumour samples. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive standard adjuvant systemic therapy alone (control group) or with zoledronic acid every 3-4 weeks for six doses, then every 3-6 months until the end of 5 years. Minimisation took into account the number of involved axillary lymph nodes, clinical tumour stage, oestrogen-receptor status, type and timing of systemic therapy, menopausal status, statin use, and treating centre. The primary endpoint was disease-free survival; the secondary endpoint, invasive-disease-free survival, was the primary disease endpoint for the analysis in this report. MAF amplification was assessed by fluorescence in-situ hybridisation of two cores of breast tumour tissue in a microarray, done in a central laboratory by technicians unaware of treatment assignment. We used multivariate analyses to assess disease outcomes by intention to treat. We also assessed interactions between MAF-positive status and menopausal status on efficacy of zoledronic acid. The AZURE trial is registered with the International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial Registry, number ISRCTN79831382. FINDINGS 1739 AZURE patients contributed primary tumour samples, of whom 865 (50%) had two assessable cores (445 in the control groups and 420 in the zoledronic acid group). 184 (21%) tumours were MAF positive (85 in the control groups and 99 in the zoledronic acid group) and the remaining tumours were MAF negative. At a median follow-up of 84·6 months (IQR 72·0-95·8), MAF status was not prognostic for invasive-disease-free survival in the control group (MAF-positive vs MAF-negative: hazard ratio [HR] 0·92, 95% CI 0·59-1·41), but was in the zoledronic acid group (0·52, 0·36-0·75). In patients with MAF-negative tumours, zoledronic acid was associated with higher invasive-disease-free survival than was control treatment (HR 0·74, 95% CI 0·56-0·98), but not in patients who had MAF-positive tumours. Additionally, among 121 patients not postmenopausal at randomisation with MAF-positive tumours, zoledronic acid was associated with lower invasive-disease-free survival (HR 2·47, 95% CI 1·23-4·97) and overall survival (2·27, 95% CI 1·04-4·93) than control treatment. INTERPRETATION MAF status can predict likelihood of benefit from adjuvant zoledronic acid and merits further investigation as a potential companion diagnostic. FUNDING Novartis Global and Inbiomotion.

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David Cameron

Western General Hospital

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R.E. Coleman

University of Sheffield

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David Dodwell

St James's University Hospital

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David Jayne

St James's University Hospital

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