Huihua Li

Analysis of Prognostic Factors of Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment and Development of a Clinical Scoring System in Elderly Asian Patients With Cancer

PURPOSE To determine the impact of each comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) domain on overall survival (OS) and develop a prognostic scoring system for elderly patients with cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS A retrospective analysis of CGA data collected from 249 consecutive patients with cancer who attended the outpatient geriatric oncology clinic at the National Cancer Center Singapore age 70 years or older was performed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards method to identify significant prognostic factors within the CGA. A simple nomogram to predict OS was developed using regression coefficients from the multivariate model. Concordance between predicted and observed response of the individual patient score was evaluated by means of Harrells c-index. Calibration was performed using simulated data via bootstrap. RESULTS Median age of the patients was 77 years (range, 70 to 94 years). In our model, age (hazard ratio [HR], 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.07), abnormal albumin level (HR, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.23 to 3.15), poor Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (≥ 2 v < 2: HR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.15 to 2.72), abnormal geriatric depression scale status (HR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.29 to 2.56), high malnutrition risk (high v low risk: HR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.17 to 2.87), and advanced disease stage (late v early: HR, 1.71; 95% CI, 0.98 to 2.95) were independent predictors of survival. CONCLUSION Results confirm the importance of the CGA in assessment of elderly patients with cancer. The development of this nomogram incorporating these prognostic factors helps predict OS of patients, for further intervention.

Predicting clinical behaviour of breast phyllodes tumours: a nomogram based on histological criteria and surgical margins

Aim To define a predictive model for clinical behaviour of breast phyllodes tumours (PT) using histological parameters and surgical margin status. Methods Cases of breast PT diagnosed in the Department of Pathology Singapore General Hospital between January 1992 and December 2010 were stratified into benign, borderline and malignant grades based on a combination of histological parameters (stromal atypia, hypercellularity, mitoses, overgrowth and nature of tumour borders). Surgical margin status was assessed. Clinical follow-up and biostatistical modelling were accomplished. Results Of 605 PT, 440 (72.7%) were benign, 111 (18.4%) borderline and 54 (8.9%) malignant. Recurrences, which were predominantly local, were documented in 80 (13.2%) women. Deaths from PT occurred in 12 (2%) women. Multivariate analysis revealed stromal atypia, overgrowth and surgical margins to be independently predictive of clinical behaviour, with mitoses achieving near significance. Stromal hypercellularity and tumour borders were not independently useful. A nomogram developed based on atypia, mitoses, overgrowth and surgical margins (AMOS criteria) could predict recurrence-free survival at 1, 3, 5 and 10 years. This nomogram was superior to a total histological score derived from adding values assigned to each of five histological parameters. Conclusion A predictive nomogram based on three histological criteria and surgical margin status can be used to calculate recurrence-free survival of an individual woman diagnosed with PT. This can be applied for patient counselling and clinical management.

Loss of androgen receptor expression predicts early recurrence in triple-negative and basal-like breast cancer.

Treatment of triple-negative invasive breast cancers, defined by the absence of estrogen and progesterone receptors and c-erbB2 expression, remains challenging. Androgen receptor, a member of the nuclear receptor superfamily that is involved in signaling pathways regulating cell proliferation, has been implicated in breast tumorigenesis. We immunohistochemically examined the expression of androgen receptor, basal markers (CK14, 34βE12) and EGFR in 699 triple-negative invasive breast cancers in tissue microarrays using the streptavidin–biotin method, and correlated the findings with clinical outcome. Positive androgen receptor expression was defined as staining of 1% or more of tumor cell nuclei. Survival outcomes were estimated with the Kaplan–Meier method and compared between groups with log-rank statistics. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the effect of androgen receptor on survival outcomes. Immunohistochemical positivity was observed in 38% of tumors, with the proportion of stained tumor cells ranging from 1 to 95% (mean 29%, median 10%). Androgen receptor expression was inversely associated with histologic grade and mitotic score. CK14, 34βE12 and EGFR confirmed 85% of cases to be basal-like, without significant association of basal-like phenotype with androgen receptor expression. Disease-free survival was significantly better in androgen receptor-positive triple-negative breast cancer, with a trend for improved overall survival. Decreased recurrence likelihood in both triple-negative and basal-like tumors (hazard ratio, 0.704; 95% confidence intervals, 0.498–0.994; P=0.0464; and hazard ratio, 0.675; 95% confidence intervals, 0.468–0.974; P=0.0355, respectively) was noted within 5 years of diagnosis but not thereafter. Our study suggests that loss of androgen receptor in triple-negative breast cancers augurs a worse prognosis, including those with basal-like features. More work in elucidating its relationship with mechanisms of progression, as well as trials of targeted treatment for androgen receptor-expressing triple-negative tumors, needs to be performed.

The Karakiewicz nomogram is the most useful clinical predictor for survival outcomes in patients with localized renal cell carcinoma

Outcomes after surgical removal of localized renal cell carcinoma (RCC) are variable. There have been multiple prognostic nomograms and risk groups developed for estimation of survival outcomes, with different models in use for evaluating patient eligibility in ongoing trials of adjuvant therapy. The authors aimed to establish the most useful prognostic model for patients with localized RCC to guide trial design, biomarker research, and clinical counseling.

Late‐onset neutropenia following RCHOP chemotherapy in diffuse large B‐cell lymphoma

Rituximab has been associated with the development of late‐onset neutropenia (LON). As only heterogeneous studies have been conducted, its incidence and clinical course remain unclear. We aim to: (1) study the incidence and clinical relevance of WHO grade 3/4 LON in a uniform group of patients with diffuse large B‐cell lymphoma (DLBCL) in complete remission following curative rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisolone (RCHOP) chemotherapy; (2) ascertain predictive factors for LON. The 121 eligible patients identified from our prospectively maintained database were followed up for occurrence of WHO grade 3/4 LON. The clinical course of LON was documented, and its relationship with patient‐ and tumor‐related factors was analyzed. With a median follow‐up of 883 days (range, 265–1762), 13.2% had developed LON of grade 3/4. The median time to neutrophil nadir was 129 days (range, 39–277). The median time to recovery was 69 days (range, 3–349) and occurred in all except two patients. Only one episode of nonlife threatening bacterial culture‐positive urinary tract infection and pulmonary tuberculosis, both occurring in the same patient was documented. Results of Fischers exact test revealed that age, stage, LDH level, ECOG, marrow involvement, and hematologic parameters did not predict for LON development. WHO grade 3/4 LON is not infrequent in patients with DLBCL receiving RCHOP. Even so, it is reassuring that LON is self‐limiting and unassociated with life‐threatening infection. A watchful waiting approach is appropriate in majority of patients who develop LON following RCHOP. Am. J. Hematol., 2009.

Comparison of the UCLA Integrated Staging System and the Leibovich Score in Survival Prediction for Patients With Nonmetastatic Clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma

OBJECTIVES To directly compare the models-the UCLA-Integrated Scoring System (UISS) and the Leibovich models-using various survival endpoints. Several Phase III trials of adjuvant therapy in renal cell carcinoma (RCC) have been initiated after advances in targeted therapy. To select patients at high risk of relapse and mortality, 2 aforementioned prognostic models have been incorporated into these trials. These models have not been compared previously. METHODS A retrospective study of 355 patients with unilateral nonmetastatic clear cell RCC undergoing nephrectomy between 1990 and 2006 at the Singapore General Hospital was undertaken. Performance of the UISS and the Leibovich models, as well as corresponding trial inclusion criteria, was directly compared using log-likelihood statistics. Adequacy and concordance indices were also calculated. Study endpoints tested were overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and disease-free survival (DFS). RESULTS Likelihood ratio testing demonstrated a significant benefit in prediction when adding the Leibovich model to the UISS model in all outcomes tested, with no benefit using the converse approach (OS: P=.002 vs P=.27; CSS: P=.0001 vs P=.57; DFS: P=<0.0001 vs P=.30). Benefit was seen primarily in disease-free survival when adding the Leibovich trial criteria to UISS trial criteria, with no benefit using the converse approach (OS: P=.16 vs P=.27; CSS: P=.17 vs P=.11; DFS: P=.01 vs P=.26). CONCLUSIONS Both the Leibovich model and trial criteria are superior to the UISS model and trial criteria, respectively, in estimating survival outcomes in patients with nonmetastatic clear cell RCC after nephrectomy.

Transcallosal diffusion tensor abnormalities in predominant gait disorder parkinsonism

BACKGROUND There have been no previous diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) studies comparing Parkinsons disease (PD) with postural instability and gait disorder (PIGD) parkinsonism. OBJECTIVE Utilizing DTI with 2-region tractography, we conducted a case control study to determine if different brain regions representing the neural network of the motor system are differentially affected in PIGD compared to PD and controls. METHODS On a 3 T MR machine, using manual ROI (regions of interest) we determined the fractional anisotropy (FA) and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values on DTI in anatomical brain regions representing the extrapyramidal, pyramidal, and transcallosal tracts, aided by 2-region tractography. FA and ADC were correlated with the Tinetti score (measure of gait and balance). RESULTS Sixty-five subjects (21 PD, 25 PIGD, 19 controls) were included in the analysis. We demonstrated greater ADC abnormalities in the extrapyramidal, pyramidal and transcallosal motor systems in PIGD compared to controls. Multivariate analysis taking into consideration various clinical variables showed that the FA (p = 0.02) and ADC (p = 0.001) values in the corpus callosum body differentiated PIGD from PD. PIGD with low Tinetti score had a lower FA (p = 0.02) and a higher ADC value (corpus callosum body) (p = 0.03) compared to those with a high score. CONCLUSIONS We demonstrated for the first time that DTI abnormalities along the transcallosal motor tract in the body of the corpus callosum, but not the substantia nigra, differentiated PIGD from PD, and the degree of corpus callosum body abnormality correlated with the Tinetti score (a measure of risk of falls).

Identification of Serum Monocyte Chemoattractant Protein-1 and Prolactin as Potential Tumor Markers in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Early diagnosis of hepatocellullar carcinoma (HCC) remains a challenge. The current practice of serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) measurement is inadequate. Here we utilized a proteomic approach to identify novel serum biomarkers for distinguishing HCC patients from non-cancer controls. We profiled the serum proteins in a group of 58 resectable HCC patients and 11 non-HCC chronic hepatitis B (HBV) carrier samples from the Singapore General Hospital (SGH) using the RayBio® L-Series 507 Antibody Array and found 113 serum markers that were significantly modulated between HCC and control groups. Selected potential biomarkers from this list were quantified using a multiplex sandwich enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) array in an expanded SGH cohort (126 resectable HCC patients and 115 non-HCC chronic HBV carriers (NC group)), confirming that serum prolactin and monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1) were significantly upregulated in HCC patients. This finding of serum MCP-1 elevation in HCC patients was validated in a separate cohort of serum samples from the Mochtar Riady Institute for Nanotechnology, Indonesia (98 resectable HCC, 101 chronic hepatitis B patients and 100 asymptomatic HBV/HCV carriers) by sandwich ELISA. MCP-1 and prolactin levels were found to correlate with AFP, while MCP-1 also correlated with disease stage. Subsequent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis of AFP, prolactin and MCP-1 in the SGH cohort and comparing their area under the ROC curve (AUC) indicated that neither prolactin nor MCP-1 on their own performed better than AFP. However, the combination of AFP+MCP-1 (AUC, 0.974) had significantly superior discriminative ability than AFP alone (AUC, 0.942; p<0.001). In conclusion, prolactin and MCP-1 are overexpressed in HCC and are conveniently quantifiable in patients’ sera by ELISA. MCP-1 appears to be a promising complementary biomarker for HCC diagnosis and this MCP-1+AFP model should be further evaluated as potential biomarker on a larger scale in patients at-risk of HCC.

Association of Caucasian-Identified Variants with Colorectal Cancer Risk in Singapore Chinese

Background Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in Caucasians have identified fourteen index single nucleotide polymorphisms (iSNPs) that influence colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. Methods We investigated the role of eleven iSNPs or surrogate SNPs (sSNPs), in high linkage disequilibrium (LD, r2≥0.8) and within 100 kb vicinity of iSNPs, in 2,000 age- and gender-matched Singapore Chinese (SCH) cases and controls. Results Only iSNP rs6983267 at 8q24.21 and sSNPs rs6695584, rs11986063, rs3087967, rs2059254, and rs7226855 at 1q41, 8q23.3, 11q23.1, 16q22.1 and 18q21.1 respectively showed evidence of association with CRC risk, with odds ratios (OR) ranging from 1.13 to 1.40. sSNP rs827401 at 10p14 was associated with rectal cancer risk (OR = 0.74, 95% CI 0.63–0.88) but not disease prognosis (OR = 0.91, 95% CI 0.69–1.20). Interestingly, sSNP rs3087967 at 11q23.1 was associated with CRC risk in men (OR = 1.34, 95% CI 1.14–1.58) but not women (OR = 1.07, 95% CI: 0.88–1.29), suggesting a gender-specific role. Half of the Caucasian-identified variants, including the recently fine-mapped BMP pathway loci, BMP4, GREM1, BMP2 and LAMA 5, did not show any evidence for association with CRC in SCH (OR ∼1; p-value >0.1). Comparing the results of this study with that of the Northern and Hong Kong Chinese, only variants at chromosomes 8q24.21, 10p14, 11q23.1 and 18q21.1 were replicated in at least two out of the three Chinese studies. Conclusions The contrasting results between Caucasians and Chinese could be due to different LD patterns and allelic frequencies or genetic heterogeneity. The results suggest that additional common variants contributing to CRC predisposition remained to be identified.

8q24 and 17q Prostate cancer susceptibility loci in a multiethnic Asian cohort

OBJECTIVES Recently, several genome-wide association studies have demonstrated a cumulative association of 5 polymorphic variants in chromosomes 8q24 and 17q with prostate cancer (CaP) risk in Caucasians, particularly those harboring aggressive clinicopathologic characteristics. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the influence of these variants on CaP susceptibility in Singaporean Asian men. MATERIALS AND METHODS We performed a case-control study in 289 Chinese CaP patients and 412 healthy subjects (144 Chinese, 134 Malays, and 134 Indians), and examined the association of the 5 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with CaP. RESULTS In the healthy subjects, rs16901979 A-allele frequency was highest amongst Chinese (0.32) compared with Malays (0.13; P < 0.0001) or Indians (0.09; P < 0.0001); rs6983267 G-allele was highest in Indians (0.51) compared with Chinese (0.42; P = 0.041) or Malays (0.43; P = 0.077); whereas rs1859962 G-allele frequency was highest amongst Indians (0.56) compared with Chinese (0.40; P = 0.0002) or Malays (0.38; P < 0.0001). Individuals with the rs4430796 TT genotype were at increased CaP risk in the Chinese via a recessive model (odds ratios (OR) = 1.56, 95% CI = 1.04-2.33). Significant associations were observed for rs4430796 TT with Gleason scores of ≥ 7 (OR = 1.76, 95% CI = 1.14-2.73) and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels of ≥ 10 ng/ml at diagnosis (OR = 1.63, 95% CI = 1.01-2.63), as well as for rs6983267 GG with stage 3-4 CaPs (OR = 1.91, 95% CI = 1.01-3.61). A cumulative gene interaction influence on disease risk, which approximately doubled for individuals with at least 2 susceptibility genotypes, was also identified (OR = 2.18, 95% CI = 1.10-4.32). CONCLUSIONS This exploratory analysis suggests that the 5 genetic variants previously described may contribute to prostate cancer risk in Singaporean men.