Hwan-Don Jun

An impact assessment of climate and landuse change on water resources in the Han river.

As climate changes and abnormal climates have drawn research interest recently, many countries utilize the GCM, which is based on SRES suggested by IPCC, to obtain more accurate forecast for future climate changes. Especially, many research attempts have been made to simulate localized geographical characteristics by using RCM with the high resolution data globally. To evaluate the impacts of climate and landuse change on water resources in the Han-river basin, we carried out the procedure consisting of the CA-Markov Chain, the Multi-Regression equation using two independent variables of temperature and rainfall, the downscaling technique based on the RegCM3 RCM, and SLURP. From the CA-Markov Chain, the future landuse change is forecasted and the future NDVI is predicted by the Multi-Regression equation. Also, RegCM3 RCM 50 sets were generated by the downscaling technique based on the RegCM3 RCM provided by KMA. With them, 90 year runoff scenarios whose period is from 2001 to 2090 are simulated for the Han-river basin by SLURP. Finally, the 90-year simulated monthly runoffs are compared with the historical monthly runoffs for each dam in the basin. At Paldang dam, the runoffs in September show higher increase than the ones in August which is due to the change of rainfall pattern in future. Additionally, after exploring the impact of the climate change on the structure of water circulation, we find that water management will become more difficult by the changes in the water circulation factors such as precipitation, evaporation, transpiration, and runoff in the Han-river basin.

Determination of optimal pressure monitoring locations for water distribution systems using entropy theory.

Determination of optimal pressure monitoring location is essential to manage water distribution system efficiently and safely. In this study, entropy theory is applied to overcome defects of previous researches about determining the optimal sensor location. The previous studies required the calibration using historical data, therefore, it was difficult to apply the proposed method in the place where the enough data were not available. Also, most researches have focused on the locations to minimize cost and maximize accuracy of the model, which is not appropriate for the purpose of maintenance of the water distribution system. The proposed method in this study quantify the entropy which is defined as the amount of information calculated from the pressure change due to the variation of discharge. When abnormal condition is occurred in a node, the effect on the entire network is presented by the entropy, and the emitter is used to reproduce actual pressure change pattern in EPANET. The optimal location to install pressure sensors in water distribution system is the nodes having the maximum information from other nodes. The looped and branched networks are evaluated using the proposed model. As a result, entropy theory provides general guideline to select the locations to install pressure sensors and the results can be used to help decision makers.

Study on Derivation of Fourth-Order GIUH and Revision of Initial State Probability

본 연구는 3차 하천에 대하여 유도되었던 지형형태학적순간단위도(GIUH)를 4차 하천유역까지 확장하여 다양한 유역에 적용할 수 있도록 하였다.

Flash Flood Risk Assessment using PROMETHEE and Entropy Method

2{\sim}4

Fuzzy Techniques to Establish Improvement Priorities of Water Pipes

차 하천에 대한 GIUH를 비교하였으며 유역의 지형매개변수가 동일할 경우 하천차수를 높게 가정할수록 단위도의 첨두유출량은 작아지고 첨두발생시간은 늦어지는 경향을 확인할 수 있었다. GIUH의 적용을 위해서는 면적비와 분기비 등 지형매개변수를 사용하여 초기확률을 산정하는데, 이때 지형매개변수가 가지는 오차 때문에 특정 유역에서 초기확률이 음수가 되는 문제가 발생하며 단위도의 전반부에서 유출량이 음의 값을 가지기도 한다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 ArcVeiw GIS 3.2를 사용하여 전체면적에 대한 직접유출면적의 비율로 초기확률을 계산하였다. 제안된 방법을 적용하여 상안미, 병천, 산계 등의 유역에서

Estimating the reliability of water distribution systems using HSPDA model and distance measure method.

2{\sim}4

A Strategy on Optimizing a Stream Gauging Network to Mitigate the Flood Risk in a Disaster Risk Area

차 하천에 대한 순간단위도를 산정하여 본 결과, 위의 문제점을 해결할 수 있었다. 【This study is to derive the fourth-order Geomorphologic Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph (GIUH), driven for only third-order basin, for the application of GIUH to various types of basin. The second, third, and fourth order GIUHs were compared for various topographical conditions. The results showed lower peak runoff and later peak time in GIUH with higher stream order. Initial state probability was estimated from a function of geomorphologic parameters such as area ratio and bifurcation ratio for the application of GIUH. However, initial state probabilities and early parts of the GIUHs have negative values for many basins due to the inherent errors in the parameters. Initial state probability was calculated by area ratio of direct drainage using ArcView GIS 3.2 model to solve the problem. GIUHs were estimated for three basins, Sanganmi, Byeongcheon, and Sangye, using the above suggested method, and the results showed that the method is free of the problem.】

Estimation of Urban Inundation Risk using Fuzzy C-Means

Previously most of flood prevention efforts have been made for relatively large watersheds near to channel flow. However, as economical development and the expansion of leisure areas to mountainous region, human casualty by flash flood occurs frequently, requiring additional prevention activity. Therefore, to reduce the damage of human lives and property by flash flood, we develop an assessment method for flash flood occurrence for mountainous areas considering various factors involving it. PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations) which is one of the MCDM(Multi-Criteria Decision Making) was adopted to assess the contribution of each factor to the risk of the flash flood in the mountainous area. The main evaluation criteria are classified into three categories, namely, the regional and rainfall characteristics, and geographical features. Also, the Entropy method is used to determine the weight of each evaluation criteria without survey. The suggested method based on PROMETHEE with Entropy method is applied to BongHwa region to verify its applicability. After applied, the method successfully assesses the relative risk of flash flood occurrence of each sub region in the BongHwa region. Out of the seventeen sub-regions, five, seven and five of them are evaluated as high-risk, medium-risk, and low-risk, respectively. To verify the results, we searched the historical data of flash flood and the flash flood had occurred in one of high-risk sub-regions at 2008.

An Optimal Sewer Layout Model to Reduce Urban Inundation

In this paper important factors in determining improvement priorities for water pipes were categorized into the effects of a pipe failure to entire pipe network and the characteristics of individual pipe. Subsequently, mathematical models that can quantify these factors were developed using the Fuzzy techniques. The effects of a pipe failure to entire pipe network and the characteristics of individual pipe that were estimated byFuzzy techniques were coined as Fuzzy Importance Index and Fuzzy Characteristic Index, respectively. The Fuzzy Characteristic Index was further categorized into Fuzzy Deterioration Index and Fuzzy Difficulty Index. Considerations were given to applying weights to specific factors in the developed model depending on the circumstances of model applications. To provide an example of the methodology an example pipe network, Net3, of the EPANET program was used. The Fuzzy Importance Index (FII) and Fuzzy Deterioration Index (FDI) were calculated for the Net3 network by considering the hydraulic effects of a pipe failure on the entire pipe network and the pipe deterioration as one of the individual pipe characteristics. Subsequently, the improvement priorities of the pipes in the Net3 pipe network were established based on the FII and FDI.

Estimation of the Reliability of Water Distribution Systems using HSPDA Model and ADF Index

Topological and hydraulic assessments to examine whether required demand and pressure are satisfied and using these assessed results as a criteria have been general methodology for reliability assessment of water distribution systems. However, many of existing studies that used nodal pressure calculated by hydraulic assessment for reliability assessment have two major issues to be solved. The one is that demand-driven analysis was used for hydraulic assessment and the other is that serviceability was not considered for reliability assessment. In addition, all of the studies used pressure-demand analysis which is suitable to hydraulic analysis for water distribution systems under abnormal operating condition considered only available nodal demand for reliability assessment. This means that advantages which can be obtained by pressure-driven analysis are not used properly and efficiently. In this study, new methodology for reliability assessment of water distribution systems using HSPDA model and distance measure method is suggested. This methodology considers both nodal pressure and nodal available demand for reliability assessment. Suggested methodology is applied to two water distribution systems to show its applicability and application results are compared with existing study.