Insa E. Emrich

Associations of FGF-23 and sKlotho with Cardiovascular Outcomes among Patients with CKD Stages 2–4

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES CKD-mineral and bone disorders (CKD-MBD) measures contribute to cardiovascular morbidity in patients with CKD. Among these, fibroblast growth factor (FGF)-23 and its coreceptor Klotho may exert direct effects on vascular and myocardial tissues. Klotho exists in a membrane-bound and a soluble form (sKlotho). Recent experimental evidence suggests sKlotho has vasculoprotective functions. DESIGN, SETTINGS, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS Traditional and novel CKD-MBD variables were measured among 444 patients with CKD stages 2-4 recruited between September 2008 and November 2012 into the ongoing CARE FOR HOMe study. Across tertiles of baseline sKlotho and FGF-23, the incidence of two distinct combined end points was analyzed: (1) the first occurrence of an atherosclerotic event or death from any cause and (2) the time until hospital admission for decompensated heart failure or death from any cause. RESULTS Patients were followed for 2.6 (interquartile range, 1.4-3.6) years. sKlotho tertiles predicted neither atherosclerotic events/death (fully adjusted Cox regression analysis: hazard ratio [HR] for third versus first sKlotho tertile, 0.75 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 0.43-1.30]; P=0.30) nor the occurrence of decompensated heart failure/death (HR for third versus first sKlotho tertile, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.39-1.66]; P=0.56). In contrast, patients in the highest FGF-23 tertile had higher risk for both end points in univariate analysis. Adjustment for kidney function attenuated the association between FGF-23 and atherosclerotic events/death (HR for third versus first FGF-23 tertile, 1.23 [95% CI, 0.58-2.61]; P=0.59), whereas the association between FGF-23 and decompensated heart failure/death remained significant after adjustment for confounders (HR for third versus first FGF-23 tertile, 4.51 [95% CI, 1.33-15.21]; P=0.02). CONCLUSIONS In this prospective observational study of limited sample size, sKlotho was not significantly related to cardiovascular outcomes. FGF-23 was significantly associated with future decompensated heart failure but not incident atherosclerotic events.

Lower Apo A-I and Lower HDL-C Levels Are Associated With Higher Intermediate CD14++CD16+ Monocyte Counts That Predict Cardiovascular Events in Chronic Kidney Disease

Objective— Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) display impaired cholesterol efflux capacity and elevated CD14++CD16+ monocyte counts. In mice, dysfunctional cholesterol efflux causes monocytosis. It is unknown whether cholesterol efflux capacity and monocyte subsets are associated in CKD. Approach and Results— In 438 patients with CKD, mediators of cholesterol efflux capacity (high-density lipoprotein cholesterol/apolipoprotein A-I) and monocyte subsets were analyzed as predictors of cardiovascular events. Monocyte subset-specific intracellular lipid content, CD36, CD68, and ABCA1 were measured in a subgroup. Experimentally, we analyzed subset-specific cholesterol efflux capacity and response to oxidized low-density lipoprotein cholesterol stimulation in CKD. Epidemiologically, both low Apo-I and low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol were associated with high CD14++CD16+ monocyte counts in linear regression analyses (apolipoprotein A-I: &bgr;=−0.171; P<0.001; high-density lipoprotein cholesterol: &bgr;=−0.138; P=0.005), but not with counts of other monocyte subsets. In contrast to apolipoprotein A-I or high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, higher CD14++CD16+ monocyte counts independently predicted cardiovascular events (hazard ratio per increase of 1 cell/&mgr;L: 1.011 [1.003–1.020]; P=0.007). Experimentally, CD14++CD16+ monocytes demonstrated preferential lipid accumulation, high CD36, CD68, and low ABCA1 expression and, consequently, displayed low cholesterol efflux capacity, avid oxidized low-density lipoprotein cholesterol uptake, and potent intracellular interleukin-6, interleukin-1&bgr;, and tumor necrosis factor-&agr; production. Conclusions— Taken together, mediators of cholesterol efflux are associated with CD14++CD16+ monocyte counts, which independently predict adverse outcome in CKD.

High estimated pulmonary artery systolic pressure predicts adverse cardiovascular outcomes in stage 2-4 chronic kidney disease

High estimated pulmonary artery systolic pressure (ePASP) is an established risk factor for mortality and cardiovascular (CV) events in the general population. High ePASP predicts mortality in dialysis patients but such a relationship has not been tested in patients with early CKD. Here we estimated the prevalence and the risk factors of high ePASP in 468 patients with CKD stage 2-4 and determined its prognostic power for a combined end point including cardiovascular death, acute heart failure, coronary artery disease, and cerebrovascular and peripheral artery events. High ePASP (35 mm Hg and above) was present in 108 CKD patients. In a multivariate logistic regression model adjusted for age, diabetes, hemoglobin, left atrial volume (LAV/BSA), left ventricular mass (LVM/BSA), and history of CV disease, age (OR, 1.06; 95% CI, 12 1.04-1.09) and LAV/BSA (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.03-1.07) were the sole significant independent predictors of high ePASP. Elevated ePASP predicted a significantly high risk for the combined cardiovascular end point both in unadjusted analyses (HR, 2.70; 95% CI, 1.68-4.32) and in analyses adjusting for age, eGFR, hemoglobin, LAV/BSA, LVM/BSA, and the presence of diabetes and CV disease (HR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.05-2.91). High ePASP is relatively common in patients with stage 2-4 CKD and predicts adverse CV outcomes independent of established classical and CKD-specific risk factors. Whether high ePASP is a modifiable risk factor in patients with CKD remains to be determined in randomized clinical trials.

PCSK9 Plasma Concentrations Are Independent of GFR and Do Not Predict Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Decreased GFR.

Background Impaired renal function causes dyslipidemia that contributes to elevated cardiovascular risk in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). The proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) is a regulator of the LDL receptor and plasma cholesterol concentrations. Its relationship to kidney function and cardiovascular events in patients with reduced glomerular filtration rate (GFR) has not been explored. Methods Lipid parameters including PCSK9 were measured in two independent cohorts. CARE FOR HOMe (Cardiovascular and Renal Outcome in CKD 2–4 Patients—The Forth Homburg evaluation) enrolled 443 patients with reduced GFR (between 90 and 15 ml/min/1.73 m2) referred for nephrological care that were prospectively followed for the occurrence of a composite cardiovascular endpoint. As a replication cohort, PCSK9 was quantitated in 1450 patients with GFR between 90 and 15 ml/min/1.73 m2 enrolled in the Ludwigshafen Risk and Cardiovascular Health Study (LURIC) that were prospectively followed for cardiovascular deaths. Results PCSK9 concentrations did not correlate with baseline GFR (CARE FOR HOMe: r = -0.034; p = 0.479; LURIC: r = -0.017; p = 0.512). 91 patients in CARE FOR HOMe and 335 patients in LURIC reached an endpoint during a median follow-up of 3.0 [1.8–4.1] years and 10.0 [7.3–10.6] years, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analyses showed that PCSK9 concentrations did not predict cardiovascular events in either cohort [CARE FOR HOMe (p = 0.622); LURIC (p = 0.729)]. Sensitivity analyses according to statin intake yielded similar results. Conclusion In two well characterized independent cohort studies, PCSK9 plasma levels did not correlate with kidney function. Furthermore, PCSK9 plasma concentrations were not associated with cardiovascular events in patients with reduced renal function.

The Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation incorporating both cystatin C and creatinine best predicts individual risk: a cohort study in 444 patients with chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND The recently introduced CKD-EPIcreat-cys equation surpassed creatinine-based equations for GFR estimation in a large cross-sectional analysis. However, its performance to predict individual risk of CKD progression and death in patients with various underlying CKD etiologies is unknown. METHODS We recruited 444 patients with CKD GFR categories 2-4 (eGFR 15-89 mL/min/1.73 m2); baseline eGFR was estimated by the established MDRD and CKD-EPIcreat equations and by the novel CKD-EPIcreat-cys equation. RESULTS Patients were followed for 2.7±1.2 years for the occurrence of the combined predefined endpoint event: death, need for renal replacement therapy or halving of eGFR. The endpoint occurred in 62 patients. Reclassification from MDRD determined categories to CKD-EPIcreat-cys categories yielded net reclassification improvements for those with the endpoint event (NRIevents) of 27.4% (95% CI: 16.7-40.0%) and for those without the event (NRInon-events) of -3.1% (-8.2 to 1.6%). Similarly, reclassification from CKD-EPIcreat categories to CKD-EPIcreat-cys categories yielded an NRIevents of 22.6% (10.2-34.3%) and NRInon-events of -11.3% (-15.9 to -6.5%). Addition of albuminuria to each eGFR equation increased the calculated risk of the outcome for a net 26-32% of those who subsequently reached the endpoint, and reduced the calculated risk in a net 21-23% in non-event patients, but only minimally. CONCLUSIONS The CKD-EPIcreat-cys equation assigned patients who went on to have the event to more appropriate CKD risk categories than MDRD and CKD-EPIcreat, but patients without the event to less appropriate categories than CKD-EPIcreat. Addition of albuminuria marginally improved risk classification for those who had the event.

Measures of chronic kidney disease and risk of incident peripheral artery disease: a collaborative meta-analysis of individual participant data

BACKGROUND Some evidence suggests that chronic kidney disease is a risk factor for lower-extremity peripheral artery disease. We aimed to quantify the independent and joint associations of two measures of chronic kidney disease (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] and albuminuria) with the incidence of peripheral artery disease. METHODS In this collaborative meta-analysis of international cohorts included in the Chronic Kidney Disease Prognosis Consortium (baseline measurements obtained between 1972 and 2014) with baseline measurements of eGFR and albuminuria, at least 1000 participants (this criterion not applied to cohorts exclusively enrolling patients with chronic kidney disease), and at least 50 peripheral artery disease events, we analysed adult participants without peripheral artery disease at baseline at the individual patient level with Cox proportional hazards models to quantify associations of creatinine-based eGFR, urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR), and dipstick proteinuria with the incidence of peripheral artery disease (including hospitalisation with a diagnosis of peripheral artery disease, intermittent claudication, leg revascularisation, and leg amputation). We assessed discrimination improvement through c-statistics. FINDINGS We analysed 817 084 individuals without a history of peripheral artery disease at baseline from 21 cohorts. 18 261 cases of peripheral artery disease were recorded during follow-up across cohorts (median follow-up was 7·4 years [IQR 5·7-8·9], range 2·0-15·8 years across cohorts). Both chronic kidney disease measures were independently associated with the incidence of peripheral artery disease. Compared with an eGFR of 95 mL/min per 1·73 m2, adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for incident study-specific peripheral artery disease was 1·22 (95% CI 1·14-1·30) at an eGFR of 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2 and 2·06 (1·70-2·48) at an eGFR of 15 mL/min per 1·73 m2. Compared with an ACR of 5 mg/g, the adjusted HR for incident study-specific peripheral artery disease was 1·50 (1·41-1·59) at an ACR of 30 mg/g and 2·28 (2·12-2·44) at an ACR of 300 mg/g. The adjusted HR at an ACR of 300 mg/g versus 5 mg/g was 3·68 (95% CI 3·00-4·52) for leg amputation. eGFR and albuminuria contributed multiplicatively (eg, adjusted HR 5·76 [4·90-6·77] for incident peripheral artery disease and 10·61 [5·70-19·77] for amputation in eGFR <30 mL/min per 1·73 m2 plus ACR ≥300 mg/g or dipstick proteinuria 2+ or higher vs eGFR ≥90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 plus ACR <10 mg/g or dipstick proteinuria negative). Both eGFR and ACR significantly improved peripheral artery disease risk discrimination beyond traditional predictors, with a substantial improvement prediction of amputation with ACR (difference in c-statistic 0·058, 95% CI 0·045-0·070). Patterns were consistent across clinical subgroups. INTERPRETATION Even mild-to-moderate chronic kidney disease conferred increased risk of incident peripheral artery disease, with a strong association between albuminuria and amputation. Clinical attention should be paid to the development of peripheral artery disease symptoms and signs in people with any stage of chronic kidney disease. FUNDING American Heart Association, US National Kidney Foundation, and US National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.

External Validation of the Kidney Failure Risk Equation and Re-Calibration with Addition of Ultrasound Parameters

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Progression of CKD toward ESRD is heterogeneous. The Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE) was developed to identify CKD patients at high risk of ESRD. We aimed to externally validate KFRE and to test whether the addition of predefined Duplex ultrasound markers - renal resistive index (RRI) or difference of resistive indices in spleen and kidney (DI-RISK) - improved ESRD prediction. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS The prospective Cardiovascular and Renal Outcome in CKD 2-4 Patients-The Fourth Homburg evaluation (CARE FOR HOMe) study recruits CKD stage G2-G4 patients referred to a tertiary referral center for nephrologic care. Four hundred three CARE FOR HOMe participants enrolled between 2008 and 2012 had available RRI measurements at study inclusion; they were subsequently followed for a mean of 4.4±1.6 years. This subcohort was used to validate KFRE and to assess the added value of the ultrasound markers (new models KFRE+RRI and KFRE+DI-RISK). Model performance was assessed by log-likelihood ratio test, c-statistic, integrated discrimination improvement metrics (for study participants without subsequent ESRD [IDI No ESRD] and for patients with ESRD [IDI ESRD]), and calibration plots. If either new model improved on KFRE, we determined to validate it in an independent cohort of 162 CKD patients. RESULTS KFRE predicted ESRD in CARE FOR HOMe participants with a c-statistic of 0.91 (95% confidence interval, 0.83 to 0.99). Adding RRI improved the KFRE model (P<0.001), and the KFRE+RRI model was well calibrated; however, the c-statistic (0.91 [0.83-1.00]) was similar, and overall sensitivity (IDI No ESRD=0.05 [0.00-0.10]) or overall specificity (IDI ESRD=0.00 [0.00-0.01]) did not improve. Adding DI-RISK did not improve the KRFE model. In the external validation cohort, we confirmed that the KFRE+RRI model did not outperform KFRE. CONCLUSIONS Routine Duplex examinations among CKD patients did not improve risk prediction for progression to ESRD beyond a validated equation.

MicroRNA profiling of human intermediate monocytes

Among the three human monocyte subsets, intermediate CD14++CD16+ monocytes have been characterized as particularly proinflammatory cells in experimental studies and as potential biomarkers of cardiovascular risk in clinical cohorts. To further substantiate the distinct role of intermediate monocytes within human monocyte heterogeneity, we assessed subset-specific expression of miRNAs as central epigenetic regulators of gene expression. We hypothesized that intermediate monocytes have a distinct miRNA profile compared to classical and non-classical monocytes. By using small RNA-seq we analyzed 662 miRNAs in the three monocyte subsets. We identified 38 miRNAs that are differentially expressed in intermediate monocytes compared to both classical and non-classical monocytes with a p value of <10-10, of which two miRNAs - miR-6087 (upregulated) and miR-150-5p (downregulated) - differed in their expression more than ten-fold. Pathway analysis of the 38 differentially expressed miRNAs linked intermediate monocytes to distinct biological processes such as gene regulation, cell differentiation, toll-like receptor signaling as well as antigen processing and presentation. Moreover, differentially expressed miRNAs were connected to those genes that we previously identified as markers of intermediate monocytes. In aggregation, we provide first genome-wide miRNA data in the context of monocyte heterogeneity, which substantiate the concept of monocyte trichotomy in human immunity. The identification of miRNAs that are specific for intermediate monocytes may allow to develop strategies, which particularly target this cell population while sparing the other two subsets.

Comparison of the Performance of 2 GFR Estimating Equations Using Creatinine and Cystatin C to Predict Adverse Outcomes in Elderly Individuals

Acknowledgements Support: This study was sponsored by Eli Lilly & Co (Indianapolis, IN). The authors thank Catherine L. Cheng (Pfizer, New York, NY) for statistical support; the participants in these studies, and the physicians who conducted them. Financial Disclosure: PWA, EJB, and KKP are Lilly employees. NS is an employee of Inventiv Health Clinical. KRT is a consultant to Lilly. JBM is a consultant for BI/Lilly; has received grants from Mannkind, Sanofi, NovoNordisk, Novartis, Takeda, Andromeda, and Dexcom; has done consulting/advising for Abbott, Janssen, Merck, NovoNordisk, AstraZeneca, BI/Lilly, Janssen, and McNeil; and has been a speaker for Janssen. Contributions: Research idea and study design: KRT, JBM, EJB, PWA; data acquisition: KRT, JBM; data analysis/interpretation: KRT, JBM, EJB, PWA, NS, KKP; statistical analysis: NS. Each author contributed important intellectual content during manuscript drafting or revision and accepts accountability for the overall work by ensuring that questions pertaining to the accuracy or integrity of any portion of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. KT takes responsibility that this study has been reported honestly, accurately, and transparently; that no important aspects of the study have been omitted, and that any discrepancies from the study as planned have been explained.

Do plasma neprilysin activity and plasma neprilysin concentration predict cardiac events in chronic kidney disease patients

Background Since the introduction of sacubitril/valsartan in clinical cardiology, neprilysin has become a major target for heart failure treatment. Plasma neprilysin concentration has been discussed as a novel biomarker that predicts cardiac events. Natriuretic peptides may inhibit plasma neprilysin. As they accumulate in chronic kidney disease (CKD), we hypothesized that high plasma neprilysin loses its predictive role in CKD patients. Methods We measured plasma levels of neprilysin concentration, neprilysin activity and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) in 542 CKD G2-G4 patients within the CARE FOR HOMe study. Patients were followed for predefined endpoints of hospitalization for acute decompensated heart failure and incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular events. Results During 5.1 ± 2.1 years, 63 patients had acute decompensated heart failure and 125 patients had incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular events. In both Kaplan-Meier and multivariate Cox regression analyses, high plasma BNP and low, rather than elevated, neprilysin activity predicted future hospitalization for acute decompensated heart failure; neprilysin concentration was not predictive. Furthermore, only BNP was an independent predictor of incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular events. Conclusions In line with experimental studies, high natriuretic peptides may inhibit neprilysin activity in CKD. Therefore, high neprilysin activity and concentrations are not predictors of adverse cardiovascular outcome in CKD patients. Thus neprilysin inhibitors should be implemented with caution in patients with advanced CKD.