J.A.M. Kremer

Chromosome studies in 1792 males prior to intra-cytoplasmic sperm injection : the Dutch experience

The chance of a male with severe oligozoospermia or azoospermia achieving a pregnancy has undergone a revolutionary increase with the introduction of the intracytoplasmic sperm injection technique (ICSI). However, since ICSI circumvents part of the natural sperm selection mechanisms, the possible transmission of genetic defects to the offspring is a major concern. Cytogenetic analysis is a relatively simple technique to identify at least the carriers of a chromosomal aberration before starting the ICSI procedure. In order to assess the frequency of chromosomal aberrations in male ICSI candidates, we have performed a nationwide cytogenetic study. Of the 1792 males examined, 72 (4.0%) revealed a chromosomal aberration, and one individual even had two. Numerical sex chromosomal aberrations and Robertsonian translocations predominated, followed by reciprocal translocations, inversions and supernumerary marker chromosomes. The different implications, in case a chromosomal aberration is encountered prior to ICSI, are discussed.

A revised prediction model for natural conception

One of the aims in reproductive medicine is to differentiate between couples that have favourable chances of conceiving naturally and those that do not. Since the development of the prediction model of Hunault, characteristics of the subfertile population have changed. The objective of this analysis was to assess whether additional predictors can refine the Hunault model and extend its applicability. Consecutive subfertile couples with unexplained and mild male subfertility presenting in fertility clinics were asked to participate in a prospective cohort study. We constructed a multivariable prediction model with the predictors from the Hunault model and new potential predictors. The primary outcome, natural conception leading to an ongoing pregnancy, was observed in 1053 women of the 5184 included couples (20%). All predictors of the Hunault model were selected into the revised model plus an additional seven (womans body mass index, cycle length, basal FSH levels, tubal status,history of previous pregnancies in the current relationship (ongoing pregnancies after natural conception, fertility treatment or miscarriages), semen volume, and semen morphology. Predictions from the revised model seem to concur better with observed pregnancy rates compared with the Hunault model; c-statistic of 0.71 (95% CI 0.69 to 0.73) compared with 0.59 (95% CI 0.57 to 0.61).