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Featured researches published by J. L. Botha.


Diabetic Medicine | 1999

The British Diabetic Association Cohort Study, II: cause‐specific mortality in patients with insulin‐treated diabetes mellitus

S. P. Laing; Anthony J. Swerdlow; S.D. Slater; J. L. Botha; Norman Waugh; A. W. M. Smith; R.D. Hill; Polly J. Bingley; Christopher Patterson; Z. Qiao; H. Keen

Aims To assess mortality in patients with diabetes incident under the age of 30 years.


British Journal of Cancer | 2005

Cancer incidence and mortality in patients with insulin-treated diabetes : a UK cohort study

Anthony J. Swerdlow; S.P. Laing; Zongkai Qiao; S.D. Slater; Andrew C. Burden; J. L. Botha; Norman Waugh; Andrew D. Morris; W. Gatling; E.A. Gale; Christopher Patterson; H. Keen

Raised risks of several cancers have been found in patients with type II diabetes, but there are few data on cancer risk in type I diabetes. We conducted a cohort study of 28 900 UK patients with insulin-treated diabetes followed for 520 517 person-years, and compared their cancer incidence and mortality with national expectations. To analyse by diabetes type, we examined risks separately in 23 834 patients diagnosed with diabetes under the age of 30 years, who will almost all have had type I diabetes, and 5066 patients diagnosed at ages 30–49 years, who probably mainly had type II. Relative risks of cancer overall were close to unity, but ovarian cancer risk was highly significantly raised in patients with diabetes diagnosed under age 30 years (standardised incidence ratio (SIR)=2.14; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.22–3.48; standardised mortality ratio (SMR)=2.90; 95% CI 1.45–5.19), with greatest risks for those with diabetes diagnosed at ages 10–19 years. Risks of cancer at other major sites were not substantially raised for type I patients. The excesses of obesity- and alcohol-related cancers in type II diabetes may be due to confounding rather than diabetes per se.


Stroke | 2003

Mortality From Cerebrovascular Disease in a Cohort of 23 000 Patients With Insulin-Treated Diabetes

S.P. Laing; Anthony J. Swerdlow; Lucy M. Carpenter; Stefan D. Slater; Andrew C. Burden; J. L. Botha; Andrew D. Morris; Norman R Waugh; W. Gatling; Edwin A.M. Gale; Christopher Patterson; Zongkai Qiao; H. Keen

Background and Purpose— Disease of the cardiovascular system is the main cause of long-term complications and mortality in patients with type I (insulin-dependent) and type II (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes. Cerebrovascular mortality rates have been shown to be raised in patients with type II diabetes but have not previously been reported by age and sex in patients with type I diabetes. Methods— A cohort of 23 751 patients with insulin-treated diabetes, diagnosed under the age of 30 years from throughout the United Kingdom, was identified during 1972 to 1993 and followed up for mortality until the end of December 2000. Age- and sex-specific mortality rates and standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated. Results— There were 1437 deaths during the follow-up, 80 due to cerebrovascular disease. Overall, the cerebrovascular mortality rates in the cohort were higher than the corresponding rates in the general population, and the SMRs were 3.1 (95% CI, 2.2 to 4.3) for men and 4.4 (95% CI, 3.1 to 6.0) for women. When stratified by age, the SMRs were highest in the 20- to 39-year age group. After subdivision of cause of death into hemorrhagic and nonhemorrhagic origins, there remained a significant increase in mortality from stroke of nonhemorrhagic origin. Conclusions— Analyses of mortality from this cohort, essentially one of patients with type I diabetes, has shown for the first time that cerebrovascular mortality is raised at all ages in these patients. Type I diabetes is at least as great a risk factor for cerebrovascular mortality as type II diabetes.


Diabetic Medicine | 1991

The Prevalence of Diabetes in Elderly People

S.C.M. Croxson; M.J. Bodington; J. L. Botha

The prevalence of diabetes mellitus was investigated in a sample of people aged 65 to 85 years, using a modified oral glucose tolerance test and 1985 WHO criteria. Of the sample of 861, 52 had previously been diagnosed diabetic; 583 consented to be tested and 19 were diabetic. The prevalence of previously diagnosed diabetes was 6.0 (95% CI 4.3 to 8.1)%, and the prevalence of previously undiagnosed diabetes was 3.3 (95% CI 2.0 to 5.0)%. The high prevalence of previously diagnosed diabetes might be due to the longstanding community diabetes care in the area studied


BMJ | 1993

A decade of diabetes : keeping children out of hospital

Peter Swift; J. R. Hearnshaw; J. L. Botha; G. Wright; N. T. Raymond; K. F. Jamieson

OBJECTIVES--To document the number of children aged less than 15 years who developed diabetes and were managed within one large health district, and to evaluate the outcome of those children managed without hospital admission at diagnosis. DESIGN--A retrospective study over 1979-88, when a paediatrician and a physician with special interests in childhood diabetes initiated joint clinics. Data collected from the district diabetes register and files of consultants and health visitors specialising in diabetes. SETTING--Referral of children to consultants in Leicestershire (total population 863,000). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--The proportion of children managed without hospital admission, comparison of readmission rates and glycated haemoglobin concentrations between children admitted and those not admitted. RESULTS--Over 10 years 236 children aged 10-14 years developed diabetes (annual incidence rate 12.8/100,000 child population (95% confidence interval 11.3 to 14.7)). In total 138 were not admitted to hospital but received supervised management based at home. Admitted children were younger or acidotic or their family doctors did not contact the diabetes team. Duration of admission declined from seven days in 1979-80 to three days in 1987-8. Ninety two were not admitted to hospital during the 10 years for any reason. Significantly fewer children who received management at home were readmitted for reasons related to diabetes than the group treated in hospital (30 (22%) v 40 (41%); p = 0.004). Concentrations of glycated haemoglobin were no different between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS--Children with newly diagnosed diabetes may be safely and effectively managed out of hospital. Domiciliary or community based management depends on the commitment of consultants specialising in diabetes working in close cooperation with general practitioners, specialist nurses in diabetes, and dietitians.


British Journal of Cancer | 2003

Latest trends in cancer incidence among UK South Asians in Leicester

Lucy K. Smith; J. L. Botha; A Benghiat; Wp Steward

Using cancer registry data, we show that although South Asians have lower rates of cancer than the rest of the population, this is changing with age and time. Younger South Asians, particularly children, are at increased risk. While generally cancer rates have fallen over the last decade, they are increasing among South Asians.


Diabetic Medicine | 2002

What is the prevalence of visual impairment in the general and diabetic populations: are there ethnic and gender differences?

L. M. Hayward; Mary Burden; H. Blackledge; N. T. Raymond; J. L. Botha; W. S. S. Karwatowski; T. Duke; Y. F. Chang

Aims To estimate the prevalence of blindness and partial sight in the general and diabetic populations and to measure the impact of ethnicity and gender on these rates.


BMJ Quality & Safety | 2000

Inequalities in access to diabetes care: evidence from a historical cohort study

Elizabeth Goyder; Paul G. McNally; J. L. Botha

Objective—To establish which factors predict attendance at a hospital diabetes clinic and for diabetes review in general practice. Design—A historical cohort study of individuals with diabetes identified from general practice records. Information on service contacts and other clinical, social, and demographic variables was collected from general practice records and postal questionnaires. Setting—Seven Leicestershire general practices. Subjects—Individuals registered with study practices who had a diagnosis of diabetes made before 1990. Main outcome measurements—Attendance at a hospital diabetes clinic or for a documented diabetes review in general practice at least once between 1990 and 1995. Results—124 (20%) had at least one recorded diabetes review in general practice and 332 (54%) attended a hospital diabetes clinic at least once. The main predictors of attending a hospital clinic were younger age, longer duration of diabetes, and treatment with insulin. Access to a car (OR 1.34, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.71), home ownership (OR 1.48, 95% CI 1.14 to 1.58) and a non-manual occupation (OR 1.56, 95% CI 1.09 to 2.24) were all associated with an increased likelihood of attending, although living in a less deprived area was not. The main predictors of attending for review in general practice were older age, less co-morbidity, and being white. Living in a more deprived area was related to a reduced chance of review in general practice (OR 0.81, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.86) while individual socioeconomic indicators were not. Conclusions—Whilst an indicator of area deprivation predicts reduced likelihood of review in general practice, individual indicators predict reduced likelihood of attending outpatients. This suggests a need for different approaches to tackling inequalities in access to care in primary and secondary care settings. (Quality in Health Care 2000;9:85–89)


Diabetic Medicine | 2004

Mortality of South Asian patients with insulin-treated diabetes mellitus in the United Kingdom: A cohort study

Anthony J. Swerdlow; S.P. Laing; I dos Santos Silva; S.D. Slater; Andrew C. Burden; J. L. Botha; Norman Waugh; A.D. Morris; W. Gatling; Polly J. Bingley; Christopher Patterson; Zongkai Qiao; H. Keen

Aims  To investigate mortality in South Asian patients with insulin‐treated diabetes and compare it with mortality in non South Asian patients and in the general population.


Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health | 1995

Insulin treated diabetes mellitus: causes of death determined from record linkage of population based registers in Leicestershire, UK.

N T Raymond; J D Langley; Elizabeth Goyder; J. L. Botha; A C Burden; J R Hearnshaw

STUDY OBJECTIVE--Analyses of causes of mortality in people with diabetes using data form death certificates mentioning diabetes provide unreliable estimates of mortality. Under-recording of diabetes as a cause on death certificates has been widely reported, ranging from 15-60%. Using a population based register on people with diabetes and linking data from another source is a viable alternative. Data from the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys (OPCS) are the most acceptable mortality data available for such an exercise, as direct comparison with other published mortality rates is then possible. DESIGN--A locally maintained population-based mortality register and all insulin-treated diabetes mellitus cases notified to the Leicestershire diabetes register (n = 4680) were linked using record linkage software developed in-house (Lynx). This software has been extensively used in a maintenance and update cycle designed to maximise accuracy and minimise duplication and false registration on the diabetes register. Deaths identified were initially coded locally to the International Classification of Diseases, 9th revision (ICD9), and later a linkage was performed to use official OPCS coding. Mortality data identified by the linkage was indirectly standardised using population data for Leicestershire for 1991. Standardised mortality ratios (SMR) were estimated, with 95% confidence intervals. Insulin dependent diabetes (IDDM) was defined as diabetes diagnosed before age 30 years with insulin therapy begun within one year of diagnosis. All other types were considered non-insulin dependent diabetes (NIDDM). Analyses were performed for the whole sample and then for the NIDDM subgroup. Results from these analyses were similar and therefore only whole group analyses are presented. MAIN RESULTS--A total of 370 deaths were identified for the period of 1990-92 inclusive - 56% were in men and 44% in women, median age (range) 71 years (12-94). Approximately 90% of deaths were subjects with NIDDM. Diabetes was mentioned on 215 (58%) death certificates. The all causes SMRs were significantly raised for men and women for all ages less than 75 years. Ischaemic heart disease (ICD9) rubrics 410-414) accounted for 146 (40%) deaths - 41% of male and 38% of female deaths. Male and female SMRs were significantly raised for the age groups 45-64, 65-74, and 75-84 years. Cerebrovascular disease (ICD9 rubrics 430-438) accounted for 39 (10%) deaths and the SMR for women the external causes of death (ICD9 rubrics E800-E999) were also significantly raised overall and in age groups 15-44 and 45-64 years. This was not true for men, although numbers of deaths in this category were small for both men (4) and women (9). CONCLUSION--Record linkage has been used successfully to link two local, population based registers. This has enabled an analysis of mortality in people with diabetes to be performed which overcomes the problems associated with using as a sample, death certificates where diabetes is mentioned. The mortality rates and SMRs estimated should more accurately reflect the true rates than would be possible using other methods. The persisting excess mortality identified for people with diabetes is of a similar magnitude and attributable to similar causes as has been reported elsewhere in population based studies.

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Anthony J. Swerdlow

Institute of Cancer Research

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Paul G. McNally

Leicester Royal Infirmary

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