James Korelitz

The Risk of Transfusion-Transmitted Viral Infections

Background Accurate estimates of the risk of transfusion-transmitted infectious disease are essential for monitoring the safety of the blood supply and evaluating the potential effect of new screening tests. We estimated the risk of transmitting the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), the human T-cell lymphotropic virus (HTLV), the hepatitis C virus (HCV), and the hepatitis B virus (HBV) from screened blood units donated during the window period following a recent, undetected infection. Methods Using data on 586,507 persons who each donated blood more than once between 1991 and 1993 at five blood centers (for a total of 2,318,356 allogeneic blood donations), we calculated the incidence rates of seroconversion among those whose donations passed all the screening tests used. We adjusted these rates for the estimated duration of the infectious window period for each virus. We then estimated the further reductions in risk that would result from the use of new and more sensitive viral-antigen or nucleic acid s...

The Relationship between Serum Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 (HIV-1) RNA Level, CD4 Lymphocyte Percent, and Long-Term Mortality Risk in HIV-1—Infected Children

Association of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) RNA level, CD4 cell percent, and mortality was examined in stored sera from 254 infected children in an intravenous immunoglobulin infection prophylaxis trial. Ninety-two children (36.2%) died (41 during the study, 51 during long-term follow-up). The geometric mean baseline HIV-1 RNA level was 104,626 copies/mL, and the mean CD4 cell percent was 25%. Relative risk of death (RR) was 2.1 if the baseline RNA level was >100,000 copies/mL (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.4-3.0) and was 3.0 if the baseline CD4 cell percent was <15% (95% CI, 2.2-4.0). If RNA levels increased after baseline, the RR was 1.8 (95% CI, 1.3-2.6), and if the CD4 cell percent dropped to <15%, the RR was 2.8 (95% CI, 1.6-4.9). In a multivariate model, both baseline RNA level and CD4 cell percent were independently associated with mortality risk. In a time-dependent model, the RR per log 10 increase in HIV-1 RNA copy numbers was 2.8 (95% CI, 2.1-3.6) and per 5 percentage point decrement in CD4 cell percent was 1.3 (95% Cl, 1.2-1.5). Both variables should be considered for in decision-making regarding therapy and evaluation of antiretroviral response.

Efficacy of Zidovudine and Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Hyperimmune Immunoglobulin for Reducing Perinatal HIV Transmission from HIV-Infected Women with Advanced Disease: Results of Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group Protocol 185

Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group protocol 185 evaluated whether zidovudine combined with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) hyperimmune immunoglobulin (HIVIG) infusions administered monthly during pregnancy and to the neonate at birth would significantly lower perinatal HIV transmission compared with treatment with zidovudine and intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) without HIV antibody. Subjects had baseline CD4 cell counts </=500/microL (22% had counts <200/microL) and required zidovudine for maternal health (24% received zidovudine before pregnancy). Transmission was associated with lower maternal baseline CD4 cell count (odds ratio, 1.58 per 100-cell decrement; P=.005; 10.0% vs. 3.6% transmission for count <200 vs. >/=200/microL) but not with time of zidovudine initiation (5.6% vs. 4.8% if started before vs. during pregnancy; P=. 75). The Kaplan-Meier transmission rate for HIVIG recipients was 4. 1% (95% confidence interval, 1.5%-6.7%) and for IVIG recipients was 6.0% (2.8%-9.1%) (P=.36). The unexpectedly low transmission confirmed that zidovudine prophylaxis is highly effective, even for women with advanced HIV disease and prior zidovudine therapy, although it limited the studys ability to address whether passive immunization diminishes perinatal transmission.

A method for estimating hepatitis B virus incidence rates in volunteer blood donors. National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Retrovirus Epidemiology Donor Study

BACKGROUND: Calculations of the incidence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infections in the blood donor setting that are based solely on data for seroconversion to hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) will underestimate the incidence due to the transient nature of antigenemia. Estimates based on antibody to hepatitis B core antigen will overestimate the incidence due to false‐positive results caused by the nonspecificity of the test. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Serologic test results were obtained from multiple‐time volunteer donors at five United States blood centers from January 1991 through December 1993. The observed HBsAg seroconversion rate was multiplied by an adjustment factor, derived from the weighted average probability of a positive HBsAg test for HBV‐infected donors who become chronic carriers, for donors with a primary antibody response without detectable antigenemia, and for donors who develop transient antigenemia. RESULTS: Among 586,507 multiple‐time donors giving 2,318,356 donations and observed for 822,426 person‐years, the HBsAg incidence rate was 4.01 per 100,000 person‐years. On the basis of prior reports of the duration of HBsAg positivity and the observed distribution of interdonation intervals among the study group, there was an estimated 53‐percent chance that an HBV‐infected donor with transient antigenemia would have a positive HBsAg test result. If 70 percent of newly HBV‐infected adults have transient antigenemia, 25 percent have a primary antibody response without primary antigenemia, and 5 percent become chronic carriers, the overall chance of being detected by the HBsAg test was 42 percent, for an adjustment factor of 2.38. The total HBV incidence rate, therefore, was estimated to be 9.54 per 100,000 person‐years. CONCLUSION: The crude HBV incidence rate observed from HBsAg test results will underestimate the true rate. The adjusted HBV incidence rate should be used in applications such as estimations of residual HBV risk to the blood supply and projections of the benefits of screening for HBV DNA.

Infectious Disease Morbidity Among Young HIV-1–Exposed But Uninfected Infants in Latin American and Caribbean Countries: The National Institute of Child Health and Human Development International Site Development Initiative Perinatal Study

OBJECTIVE. The goal was to describe the frequency, characteristics, and correlates of infectious disease morbidity during the first 6 months of life among HIV-1–exposed but uninfected infants. METHODS. The study population consisted of infants enrolled in the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development International Site Development Initiative Perinatal Study who were HIV-1 uninfected and had follow-up data through the 6-month study visit. Definitive and presumed infections were recorded at study visits (birth, 6–12 weeks, and 6 months). RESULTS. Of 462 HIV-1–uninfected infants with 11644 child-weeks of observation, 283 experienced ≥1 infection. These 283 infants experienced 522 infections (1.8 infections per infant). The overall incidence rate of infections was 4.5 cases per 100 child-weeks of observation. Overall, the most common infections were skin or mucous membrane infections (1.9 cases per 100 child-weeks) and respiratory tract infections (1.7 cases per 100 child-weeks). Thirty-six percent of infants had >1 respiratory tract infection (1.8 cases per 100 child-weeks). Incidence rates of upper and lower respiratory tract infections were similar (0.89 cases per 100 child-weeks and 0.9 cases per 100 child-weeks, respectively). Cutaneous and/or oral candidiasis occurred in 48 neonates (10.3%) and 92 older infants (19.3%). Early neonatal sepsis was diagnosed in 12 infants (26.0 cases per 1000 infants). Overall, 81 of 462 (17.5%) infants were hospitalized with an infection. Infants with lower respiratory tract infections were hospitalized frequently (40.7%). The occurrence of ≥1 neonatal infection was associated with more-advanced maternal HIV-1 disease, tobacco use during pregnancy, infant anemia, and crowding. Lower maternal CD4+ cell counts, receipt of intrapartum antibiotic treatment, and country of residence were associated with postneonatal infections. CONCLUSIONS. Close monitoring of HIV-1–exposed infants, especially those who are anemic at birth or whose mothers have more-advanced HIV-1 disease or who smoked during pregnancy, remains important.

Impact of the 2004 Food and Drug Administration pediatric suicidality warning on antidepressant and psychotherapy treatment for new-onset depression.

Objective:To assess the national impact of the March 2004 Food and Drug Administration (FDA) antidepressant suicidality warning on the outpatient treatment of new-onset depression in youth. Method:A repeated measures, longitudinal design in a cohort of youth diagnosed with new-onset depression was used to assess pre- and post-FDA warning effects. US commercial insurance enrollees in the i3 INNOVUS database from January 2003 through December 2006 were examined. The study population included youth 2- to 17-years old with a new-onset depression diagnosis from July 2003 through June 2006 (N = 40,309). The main independent variables were the warning period (post- vs. pre-FDA warning) and age group (children vs. adolescents). The main outcome measures were youth with antidepressant dispensings and psychotherapy visits measured in 30-day intervals across 36 months following a new-onset diagnosis of any depressive disorder (N = 40,309) and specifically major depressive disorder (MDD) (N = 11,532). Results:Compared to youth with a new-onset diagnosis of depression in the pre-FDA warning period, youth with new-onset diagnosis of depression during the postwarning period had (1) A significantly lower likelihood of antidepressant use: (odds ratio [OR] = 0.85 [0.81–0.89]); When youth with the diagnosis of depression were separated into those with MDD and those with less severe depression diagnoses, only the latter had a significant postwarning antidepressant decline. (2) A significant increase in the odds of a psychotherapy visit (children, OR = 1.31 [1.23–1.40]; adolescents OR = 1.19 [1.15–1.24]). Conclusions:The FDA suicidality warning was associated with an overall decrease in antidepressant treatment for youth with a clinician-reported diagnosis of depression, but not for those with MDD. Also, following the warning, psychotherapy without medication increased.

Prevalence of Thyrotoxicosis, Antithyroid Medication Use, and Complications Among Pregnant Women in the United States

BACKGROUND Population-based estimates of the prevalence of thyrotoxicosis (TTX), the frequency of antithyroid drug (ATD) use, and risk of adverse events in pregnant women and their infants are lacking. Therefore, our objective was to obtain epidemiologic estimates of these parameters within a large population-based sample of pregnant women with TTX. METHODS A retrospective claims analysis was performed from the MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters health insurance database for the period 2005-2009. Women aged 15-44 years, enrolled for at least 2 years, and who had a pregnancy during the study period were included. Diagnosis of TTX was based on International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) codes using narrow (TTX-1=ICD 242.0) and broad (TTX-2=ICD 242.0 or 242.9) definitions. ATD use was based on prescriptions filled for propylthiouracil (PTU) or methimazole (MMI). Adverse events in mothers and infants were determined from the ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes recorded on submitted claims. RESULTS The database contained 904,497 eligible women. The average yearly prevalence per 1000 pregnant women was 2.46 for TTX-1 and 5.88 for TTX-2. Thirty-nine percent used ATD at any time during the study period. Compared to women without a TTX diagnosis, there was more than a twofold increase for liver disease among women with TTX (odds ratio [OR]=2.08, p<0.001) and a 13% increased risk for congenital anomalies (OR=1.13, p=0.014), but no association was observed with ATD use. The rates of congenital defects (per 1000 infants) associated with ATD use were 55.6 for MMI, 72.1 for PTU, and 65.8 for untreated women with TTX, compared to 58.8 among women without TTX. CONCLUSIONS There was some indication of an elevated risk of liver disease and congenital anomalies in women with TTX, but the risk did not appear to be related to the ATD use. There seems to be a higher pregnancy termination rate for women with TTX on MMI, which likely reflects elective pregnancy terminations.

Demographic characteristics and prevalence of serologic markers among donors who use the confidential unit exclusion process : the Retrovirus Epidemiology Donor Study

BACKGROUND: Most blood centers utilize a confidential unit exclusion (CUE) process, intended to reduce the risk of transfusion‐associated infectious diseases by allowing high‐risk donors confidentially to exclude their blood from use for transfusion. The effectiveness of this method remains controversial. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Confirmatory or supplemental test results for antibodies to human immunodeficiency virus, human T‐lymphotropic virus type I, and hepatitis C virus, as well as hepatitis B surface antigen and syphilis and screening test results for antibodies to hepatitis B core (antigen) and alanine aminotransferase levels were obtained for approximately 1.8 million units donated during 1991 and 1992 at five blood centers within the United States. The prevalences of these infectious disease markers in units that the donors confidentially excluded (CUE+) and units that the donors did not exclude (CUE‐) were calculated and examined within demographic subgroups. RESULTS: Units that were CUE+ were 8 to 41 times more likely to be seropositive for antibodies to human immunodeficiency virus and hepatitis C virus, hepatitis B surface antigen, and syphilis and three to four times more likely to react for antibody to hepatitis B core (antigen) or to have elevated alanine aminotransferase levels than units that were CUE‐ (p < 0.001). The positive predictive value of CUE (the percentage of CUE+ units that were confirmed seropositive for any marker) was 3.5 percent, and the sensitivity of CUE (the percentage of confirmed‐seropositive units that were CUE+) was 2.3 percent. CONCLUSION: The current CUE process has low sensitivity and apparently low positive predictive value, and in many cases, it appeared that donors misunderstood it. Yet, CUE was not a “random process,” as CUE+ units were more likely to be seropositive for any infectious disease marker than CUE‐ units. This suggests that efforts to improve the CUE system may be warranted. As risk factors for transfusion‐transmitted infection become more difficult to identify by history‐based screening, however, such efforts may have limited effect.

Changes in CD4+ and CD8+ cell levels during pregnancy and post partum in women seropositive and seronegative for human immunodeficiency virus-1 ☆ ☆☆ ★ ★★

OBJECTIVE Our objective was to examine changes in CD4+ and CD8+ cell levels during pregnancy and post partum and to determine whether they differ for human immunodeficiency virus-1-seropositive and seronegative women. STUDY DESIGN A total of 192 human immunodeficiency virus-1-seropositive and 148 seronegative women enrolled in a study of mother-to-child transmission of human immunodeficiency virus-1 who had at least two lymphocyte subset measurements performed during pregnancy or post partum were included in this analysis. Mixed effects repeated-measures models were developed to examine changes in CD4+ and CD8+ cell levels during this period. RESULTS Consistent with prior reports that CD4+ cell levels decline during pregnancy and return to normal post partum, percent levels increased between the third trimester and 12 months post partum among human immunodeficiency virus-seronegative women (1.98%, p = 0.04). However, CD4+ levels declined steadily during pregnancy and post partum among seropositive women (-1.57%, p = 0.02 between the third trimester and 12 months post partum; =2.65%, p = 0.0004 between 2 and 24 months post partum). The percent CD8+ cell levels increased at or near delivery and declined to baseline between 2 and 6 months post partum in both seronegative and seropositive women, although only the declines were statistically significant in both groups (-2.66%, p = 0.004; and -2.02%, p = 0.02, respectively). CONCLUSIONS The percent CD4+ cell levels declined steadily during pregnancy and post partum among human immunodeficiency virus-seropositive women, indicating that human immunodeficiency virus disease continues to progress during this period. The percent CD8+ cell levels increased at or near delivery and declined to baseline post partum in both seronegative and seropositive women. These findings may have important clinical implications for both human immunodeficiency virus-infected and uninfected pregnant women.

Loss of volunteer blood donors because of unconfirmed enzyme immunoassay screening results. Retrovirus Epidemiology Donor Study

BACKGROUND: Blood donors who test repeatably reactive on enzyme immunoassay (EIA) and are not confirmed as positive are a continuing problem for blood banks. Units are discarded and donors are deferred, in spite of multiple studies indicating that such donors are very rarely infected with the transmissible agents. Few data are available, however, with which to evaluate whether the discarded units are more likely to come from particular demographic subgroups. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: The Retrovirus Epidemiology Donor Study database of over 2 million allogeneic whole‐blood donations collected in the years 1991 through 1993 was utilized. The prevalence of false‐positive and indeterminate test results within demographic subgroups was computed for antibodies to human immunodeficiency virus, hepatitis C virus, and human T‐lymphotropic virus (anti‐HIV, anti‐HCV, anti‐HTLV, respectively) and hepatitis B surface antigen (false‐positive only) as the proportion of donations that were repeatably reactive on EIA but negative or indeterminate on the confirmatory or supplemental test. RESULTS: Several demographic groups with increased prevalence of false‐ positive and indeterminate anti‐HIV results were the same females, younger age groups, blacks, and first‐time donors. Likewise, many of the demographic subgroups with increased prevalence of false‐positive and indeterminate anti‐HCV results were similar: older age groups, non‐ whites, lower education levels, first‐time donors, donors making directed donations, and donors who had received transfusions. For anti‐ HTLV, by contrast, the oldest group had the highest prevalence of false‐ positive results but the lowest prevalence of indeterminate results: blacks had the lowest prevalence of false positive results but the highest prevalence of indeterminate results. CONCLUSION: If units that test repeatably reactive on EIA but that are not confirmed as positive are almost always from individuals not infected with the virus in question, then these results indicate that there may be sex‐, race‐, and/or age‐linked proteins cross‐reacting with the test kit materials. Elucidation of these antigenic determinates and their subsequent removal should be a priority.