Janna A. Novoseltseva

What does a fly's individual fecundity pattern look like? The dynamics of resource allocation in reproduction and ageing

Reproduction is usually characterised by an average fecundity pattern having a maximum at earlier ages and a subsequent gradual decline later on. An individual fecundity trajectory does not follow such a pattern and has no maximum. A three-stage pattern, which includes maturation, maturity and reproductive senescence, is a more appropriate description. An analysis of the power balance of an adult female fly during its life course allows us to predict two critical periods in an individual life history. The first crisis occurs at early ages when the increasing power demand becomes greater than the power supply. It often results in premature death. The surviving flies enjoy maturity and lay eggs at a presumably constant rate. The second critical period at advanced ages ends up in a senescence-caused death. Our approach predicts that there will be a bimodal death time distribution for a population of flies.

Systemic mechanisms of individual reproductive life history in female Medflies

This paper is the second one in a series of two papers hypothesizing and testing systemic grounds of reproductive life history in the female fruit fly. In the first paper, we analyzed mechanisms of individual fecundity scheduling and have drawn the following conclusions. Individual fecundity in female flies is endowed as a flat pattern with a steady-state period of a constant rate of egg-laying. An individual female reveals three stages in her adult life history: maturation, maturity, and senescence. The first stage is a transient period of achieving a steady state at maturity, which can be maintained until the senescence stage. Thus, an individual fecundity pattern has no maximum. The maximums observed experimentally are averaging-caused artifacts. Two natural causes of deaths exist in flies, senescence-caused ones and premature deaths, probably due to a reproductive overload. In this paper, to confirm these findings, we use individual daily scores of egg-laying in four populations of Mediterranean fruit flies. Based on fecundity scores, we divide each Medfly population into four classes, namely zero-egg, short-, medium- and long-lived egg-layers. We demonstrate that, indeed, the three above findings definitely exist in Medflies. Our procedure allows the efficient storage of individual fecundity in parametric form, with only five numbers for each fly. Finally, this protocol will allow a more precise analysis of fecundity-energy trade-offs in flies carrying appropriate longevity mutations.

Anticipation of oxidative damage decelerates aging in virgin female medflies: hypothesis tested by statistical modeling

Empirical analysis of survival data obtained from large samples of Mediterranean fruit flies shows that the trajectory of the mortality rate for virgin females departs from that for females maintained in mixed sex cages. It increases, decelerates, reaches its maximum, declines and then increases again within the reproductive interval. Non-virgin females, however, display an early-age plateau instead of this dip. We assume that these deviations are produced by the interplay between changes in oxygen consumption associated with reproductive behavior and the antioxidant defense that acts against anticipated oxidative damage caused by reproduction. Since there are no data on antioxidant mechanisms in medflies available that explain the observed patterns of mortality, we develop a model of physiological aging based on oxidative stress theory, which describes age-related changes in oxygen consumption and in antioxidative capacity during the reproductive period. Using this model, we simulate virtual populations of 25,000 virgin and non-virgin flies, calculate the respective mortality rates and show that they practically coincide with those of experimental populations. We show that the hypothesis about the biological support of reproduction used in our model does not contradict experimental data. The model explains how the early-age dip and plateau might arise in the mortality rates of female medflies and why the male mortality pattern does not exhibit such deviations.

An Age-Structured Extension to the Vectorial Capacity Model

Background Vectorial capacity and the basic reproductive number (R0) have been instrumental in structuring thinking about vector-borne pathogen transmission and how best to prevent the diseases they cause. One of the more important simplifying assumptions of these models is age-independent vector mortality. A growing body of evidence indicates that insect vectors exhibit age-dependent mortality, which can have strong and varied affects on pathogen transmission dynamics and strategies for disease prevention. Methodology/Principal Findings Based on survival analysis we derived new equations for vectorial capacity and R0 that are valid for any pattern of age-dependent (or age–independent) vector mortality and explore the behavior of the models across various mortality patterns. The framework we present (1) lays the groundwork for an extension and refinement of the vectorial capacity paradigm by introducing an age-structured extension to the model, (2) encourages further research on the actuarial dynamics of vectors in particular and the relationship of vector mortality to pathogen transmission in general, and (3) provides a detailed quantitative basis for understanding the relative impact of reductions in vector longevity compared to other vector-borne disease prevention strategies. Conclusions/Significance Accounting for age-dependent vector mortality in estimates of vectorial capacity and R0 was most important when (1) vector densities are relatively low and the pattern of mortality can determine whether pathogen transmission will persist; i.e., determines whether R0 is above or below 1, (2) vector population growth rate is relatively low and there are complex interactions between birth and death that differ fundamentally from birth-death relationships with age-independent mortality, and (3) the vector exhibits complex patterns of age-dependent mortality and R0∼1. A limiting factor in the construction and evaluation of new age-dependent mortality models is the paucity of data characterizing vector mortality patterns, particularly for free ranging vectors in the field.

How an individual fecundity pattern looks in Drosophila and medflies.

Abstract: Reproduction usually is characterized by a mean‐population fecundity pattern. Such a pattern has a maximum at earlier ages and a subsequent gradual decline in egg production. It is shown that individual fecundity trajectories do not follow such a pattern. In particular, the regular individual fecundity pattern has no maximum so that experimentally observed maximums are average‐related artifacts. The three‐stage description of individual fecundity, which includes maturation, maturity, and reproductive senescence, is more appropriate. Data are presented for Drosophila and Mediterranean fruitfly females that clearly confirm this hypothesis. A systematic error between egg‐laying scores and the regular individual pattern allows for evaluation of how close the random scores are to the pattern. The first finding of the analysis of the systematic errors is that they are consistent with the three‐stage hypothesis and do not contradict the absence of the maximum in the regular individual pattern. The other finding is the existence of obvious dynamic properties of the systematic error. The slow decrease in egg‐laying at the maturity stage might be the result of a cost of mating. It can also be a consequence of “structural” senescence, that is, a slow rate accumulation of oxidative damage in the gonads.