Jean-Michel Brankart

A demonstration of ensemble-based assimilation methods with a layered OGCM from the perspective of operational ocean forecasting systems

A demonstration study of three advanced, sequential data assimilation methods, applied with the nonlinear Miami Isopycnic Coordinate Ocean Model (MICOM), has been performed within the European Commission-funded DIADEM project. The data assimilation techniques considered are the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), the Ensemble Kalman Smoother (EnKS) and the Singular Evolutive Extended Kalman (SEEK) Filter, which all in different ways resemble the original Kalman Filter. In the EnKF and EnKS an ensemble of model states is integrated forward in time according to the model dynamics, and statistical moments needed at analysis time are calculated from the ensemble of model states. The EnKS, as opposed to the EnKF, update the analysis also backward in time whenever new observations are available, thereby improving the estimated states at the previous analysis times. The SEEK filter reduces the computational burden of the error propagation by representing the errors in a subspace which is initially calculated from a truncated EOF analysis. A hindcast experiment, where sea-level anomaly and sea-surface temperature data are assimilated, has been conducted in the North Atlantic for the time period July until September 1996. In this paper, we describe the implementation of ensemble-based assimilation methods with a common theoretical framework, we present results from hindcast experiments achieved with the EnKF, EnKS and SEEK filter, and we discuss the relative merits of these methods from the perspective of operational marine monitoring and forecasting systems. We found that the three systems have similar performances, and they can be considered feasible technologically for building preoperational prototypes. D 2003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

On the role of the GRACE mission in the joint assimilation of altimetric and TAO data in a tropical Pacific Ocean model

[1]xa0Recent advances in our knowledge of the earth geoid have made it possible to exploit absolute sea surface height measurements in realistic numerical modelling studies of the ocean. This letter provides evidence of the benefit of the GRACE referenced mean dynamic topography (MDT) for the simulation of the tropical Pacific ocean through the joint assimilation of altimetric data and of vertical temperature profiles from the TAO/TRITON array. Results are considered in relation to those obtained using a classical model MDT, based on the model itself, and are validated against independent XBT data. The use of the GRACE MDT leads to significantly improved results with respect to these independent data. If the compatibility between the altimetric sea surface height and the TAO/TRITON temperature improves the model simulation, some limitations exist, especially in the Warm Pool where a part of the sea surface height signature is associated to a salinity signal.