Jerome P. Richie

Predicting prostate specific antigen outcome preoperatively in the prostate specific antigen era.

PURPOSEnWe evaluated the ability of previously defined risk groups to predict prostate specific antigen (PSA) outcome 10 years after radical prostatectomy in patients diagnosed with clinically localized prostate cancer during the PSA era.nnnMATERIALS AND METHODSnBetween 1989 and 2000, 2,127 men with clinically localized prostate cancer underwent radical prostatectomy, including 1,027 at Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania (study cohort) and 1,100 at Brigham and Womens Hospital (validation cohort). Cox regression analysis was done to calculate the relative risk of PSA failure with the 95% confidence interval (CI) in patients at intermediate and high versus low risk. The Kaplan-Meier actuarial method was used to estimate PSA outcome 10 years after radical prostatectomy.nnnRESULTSnCompared with low risk patients (stages T1c to 2a disease, PSA 10 ng./ml. or less and Gleason score 6 or less) the relative risk of PSA failure in those at intermediate (stage T2b disease or PSA greater than 10 to 20 ng./ml. or less, or Gleason score 7) and high (stage T2c disease, or PSA greater than 20 ng./ml. or Gleason score 8 or greater) risk was 3.8 (95% CI 2.6 to 5.7) and 9.6 (95% CI 6.6 to 13.9) in the study cohort, and 3.3 (95% CI 2.3 to 4.8) and 6.3 (95% CI 4.3 to 9.4) in the validation cohort. The 10-year PSA failure-free survival rate in the 1,020 patients in the low, 693 in the intermediate and 414 in the high risk groups was 83%, 46% and 29%, respectively (p <0.0001).nnnCONCLUSIONSnBased on 10-year actuarial estimates of PSA outcome after radical prostatectomy 3 groups of patients were identified using preoperative PSA, biopsy Gleason score and 1992 clinical T category.

Lower Prostate Specific Antigen Outcome Than Expected Following Radical Prostatectomy in Patients With High Grade Prostate and a Prostatic Specific Antigen Level of 4 Ng/Ml. or Less

PURPOSEnWe report the estimates of 10-year prostate specific antigen (PSA) outcome following radical prostatectomy in patients with or without grade 4 or 5 disease in the needle biopsy or prostatectomy specimen stratified by the presenting PSA level.nnnMATERIALS AND METHODSnFrom 1989 to 2001, 2,254 patients treated with radical prostatectomy for clinically localized prostate cancer comprised the study cohort. PSA outcome was estimated using the actuarial method of Kaplan and Meier, and was stratified by the presenting PSA level and needle biopsy and prostatectomy Gleason score.nnnRESULTSnThe 10-year estimates of PSA outcome declined significantly (p </=0.002) for patients with biopsy or prostatectomy Gleason score 6 or less as the presenting PSA level increased. This trend was observed for biopsy and prostatectomy Gleason score 7 or higher except for the PSA 4 or less group which did significantly worse (46% versus 62%, p = 0.03) compared to the PSA greater than 4 to 10 ng./ml. group. This finding may be explained by a low serum free testosterone level and the presence of a significantly higher proportion of prostatectomy Gleason score 8 to 10 disease (25% versus 16%, p = 0.03) in the PSA 4 or less versus greater than 4 to 10 ng./ml. group.nnnCONCLUSIONSnPatients with Gleason grade 4 or 5 disease in the radical prostatectomy specimen and a presenting PSA of 4 ng./ml. or less may be androgen deficient and have a significantly lower estimate of 10-year PSA outcome then expected based on the presenting PSA level.