John B. Dunning

Spatially explicit population models: Current forms and future uses

Spatially explicit population models are becoming increasingly useful tools for population ecologists, conservation biologists, and land managers. Models are spatially explicit when they combine a population simulator with a landscape map that describes the spatial distribution of landscape features. With this map, the locations of habitat patches, individuals, and other items of interest are explicitly incorporated into the model, and the effect of changing landscape features on population dynamics can be studied. In this paper we describe the structure of some spatially explicit models under development and provide examples of current and future research using these models. Spatially explicit models are important tools for investigating scale-related questions in population ecology, especially the response of organisms to habitat change occurring at a variety of spatial and temporal scales. Simulation models that incorporate real-world landscapes, as portrayed by landscape maps created with geographic information systems, are also proving to be crucial in the development of management strategies in response to regional land-use and other global change processes. Spatially explicit population models will increase our ability to accurately model complex landscapes, and therefore should improve both basic ecological knowledge of landscape phenomena and applications of landscape ecology to conservation and man- agement.

Global nutrient transport in a world of giants

Significance Animals play an important role in the transport of nutrients, but this role has diminished because many of the largest animals have gone extinct or experienced massive population declines. Here, we quantify the movement of nutrients by animals in the land, sea, rivers, and air both now and prior to their widespread reductions. The capacity to move nutrients away from hotspots decreased to 6% of past values across land and ocean. The vertical movement of phosphorus (P) by marine mammals was reduced by 77% and movement of P from sea to land by seabirds and anadromous fish was reduced by 96%, effectively disrupting an efficient nutrient distribution pump that once existed from the deep sea to the continental interiors. The past was a world of giants, with abundant whales in the sea and large animals roaming the land. However, that world came to an end following massive late-Quaternary megafauna extinctions on land and widespread population reductions in great whale populations over the past few centuries. These losses are likely to have had important consequences for broad-scale nutrient cycling, because recent literature suggests that large animals disproportionately drive nutrient movement. We estimate that the capacity of animals to move nutrients away from concentration patches has decreased to about 8% of the preextinction value on land and about 5% of historic values in oceans. For phosphorus (P), a key nutrient, upward movement in the ocean by marine mammals is about 23% of its former capacity (previously about 340 million kg of P per year). Movements by seabirds and anadromous fish provide important transfer of nutrients from the sea to land, totalling ∼150 million kg of P per year globally in the past, a transfer that has declined to less than 4% of this value as a result of the decimation of seabird colonies and anadromous fish populations. We propose that in the past, marine mammals, seabirds, anadromous fish, and terrestrial animals likely formed an interlinked system recycling nutrients from the ocean depths to the continental interiors, with marine mammals moving nutrients from the deep sea to surface waters, seabirds and anadromous fish moving nutrients from the ocean to land, and large animals moving nutrients away from hotspots into the continental interior.

Modeling approaches in avian conservation and the role of field biologists

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Spatially Explicit Population Models

During the last decade, ecologists and particularly mathematical ecologists have focused on different approaches to the problem of spatial distribution of species. When the spatial distribution is not considered explicitly, the mathematical models are called spatially implicit. They consider the proportion of territory occupied by given species, but there is no information on which particular sites this occupation takes place (Caswell & Cohen, 1991; Barradas & Cohen, 1994; Barradas et al., 1996; Barradas & Canziani, 1997; Hanski, 1999; Federico & Canziani, 2000). When the spatial distribution of the species is specified, the models are called spatially explicit (Turner et all., 1995; Marquet & Velasco-Hernández, 1997; Hanski, 1999; Neubert & Caswell, 2000; Ruiz-Moreno et al., 2001).

Influence of Intensity and Duration of Invasion by Amur Honeysuckle (Lonicera maackii) on Mixed Hardwood Forests of Indiana

Abstract The expansion of populations of invasive species continues to compromise the ecological and economic integrity of our natural resources. The negative effects of invasive species on native biota are widely reported. However, less is known about how the duration (i.e., age of oldest invaders) and intensity (i.e., density and percent cover) of an invasion influences native plant diversity and abundance at the microsite scale. We examined the influence of density, percent cover, and age of Amur honeysuckle (a nonnative invasive shrub), and several environmental factors on native plant taxa at 12 mixed hardwood forests in Indiana, USA. Overall, study sites with the greatest taxonomic diversity (Shannons Diversity; H′), richness (S), percent cover, and density of native vegetation also had the lowest percent cover of Amur honeysuckle in the upper vertical stratum (1.01 to 5 m). Based on linear mixed model analyses, percent cover of Amur honeysuckle in the upper vertical stratum was consistently and negatively correlated with H′, S, total percent cover, and woody seedling density of native taxa at the microsite scale (P < 0.05). Duration of Amur honeysuckle at the microsite scale was not significant when percent cover of Amur honeysuckle in the upper vertical stratum was included in models. However, duration of Amur honeysuckle invasion was significantly correlated with dependent variables and with upper-stratum honeysuckle cover, suggesting that older Amur honeysuckle in a microsite resulted in greater light competition from above for native understory plant species. Beyond increased cover and shading, our results do not provide evidence of duration-related effects from long-term dominance of honeysuckle in our sampled mixed hardwood forest sites. Nomenclature: Amur honeysuckle; Lonicera maackii (Rupr.) Herder. Management Implications: Nonnative invasive plants continue to pose one of the most serious threats to ecosystems worldwide. While the negative effects of invasive plants have been well documented, it is still unclear how the combined effect of duration of invasion and intensity (amount of occupied growing space) of an invader can influence native diversity at the microsite scale. We addressed this knowledge gap by examining how the duration and intensity of Amur honeysuckle invasion influenced the diversity and abundance of native plants in hardwood ecosystems of Indiana. Our results indicated that while percent cover of Amur honeysuckle in the upper vertical stratum (1.01 to 5 m) exhibited a strong negative correlation with native plant diversity and abundance at the microsite scale, duration of Amur honeysuckle invasion was not important when honeysuckle percent cover was included in the statistical models. However, when only duration of invasion was considered, it did show a significant negative correlation with native plant diversity and abundance and upper-stratum honeysuckle cover. It therefore appears that microsites where Amur honeysuckle has persisted longer contain a greater percent cover of this invasive shrub, resulting in greater light competition from above and reduced diversity and abundance of native flora. Information about the combined effects of Amur honeysuckle invasion intensity and duration can help forest managers prioritize control efforts in areas where existing sources of native plant propagules are present in microsites where Amur honeysuckle invasion is less intense. Also, our results suggest that the rate of community recovery after honeysuckle removal may not be heavily influenced by cumulative effects related to the duration of invasion. Such information is important for management efforts to support the long-term recovery of native plant communities in invaded ecosystems. Such information may be critical to the long-term recovery of native plant communities in these invaded ecosystems.

Functional diversity response to hardwood forest management varies across taxa and spatial scales

Contemporary forest management offers a trade-off between the potential positive effects of habitat heterogeneity on biodiversity, and the potential harm to mature forest communities caused by habitat loss and perforation of the forest canopy. While the response of taxonomic diversity to forest management has received a great deal of scrutiny, the response of functional diversity is largely unexplored. However, functional diversity may represent a more direct link between biodiversity and ecosystem function. To examine how forest management affects diversity at multiple spatial scales, we analyzed a long-term data set that captured changes in taxonomic and functional diversity of moths (Lepidoptera), longhorned beetles (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae), and breeding birds in response to contemporary silvicultural systems in oak-hickory hardwood forests. We used these data sets to address the following questions: how do even- and uneven-aged silvicultural systems affect taxonomic and functional diversity at the scale of managed landscapes compared to the individual harvested and unharvested forest patches that comprise the landscapes, and how do these silvicultural systems affect the functional similarity of assemblages at the scale of managed landscapes and patches? Due to increased heterogeneity within landscapes, we expected even-aged silviculture to increase and uneven-aged silviculture to decrease functional diversity at the landscape level regardless of impacts at the patch level. Functional diversity responses were taxon-specific with respect to the direction of change and time since harvest. Responses were also consistent across patch and landscape levels within each taxon. Moth assemblage species richness, functional richness, and functional divergence were negatively affected by harvesting, with stronger effects resulting from uneven-aged than even-aged management. Longhorned beetle assemblages exhibited a peak in species richness two years after harvesting, while functional diversity metrics did not differ between harvested and unharvested patches and managed landscapes. The species and functional richness of breeding bird assemblages increased in response to harvesting with more persistent effects in uneven- than in even-aged managed landscapes. For moth and bird assemblages, species turnover was driven by species with more extreme trait combinations. Our study highlights the variability of multi-taxon functional diversity in response to forest management across multiple spatial scales.

Do American Golden-Plovers (Pluvialis dominica) Avoid Wind-energy Turbines in Agricultural Fields in Indiana During Spring Migration?

ABSTRACT.— The American Golden-Plover (Pluvialis dominica), a species of conservation concern, uses large agricultural fields during its spring passage through the mid-western United States. In west-central Indiana, large numbers of golden-plovers make a stopover in corn or soybean fields that were harvested the previous fall. Stopovers last for a number of days during which the birds feed and molt into alternate plumage. In recent years, wind energy facilities have been developed in the area with hundreds of wind turbines erected in fields used by the golden-plovers. During spring 2011 and 2012, we investigated patterns of golden-plover behavior at these facilities in Benton County, Indiana at a site where large spring aggregations of plovers have been observed for many years. Our results showed only limited behavioral avoidance of the turbines, and suggested that wind-energy development in this area was not significantly impacting migrant golden-plovers. However, we caution that additional studies could negate these somewhat tentative findings, and we urge that further evaluation precede possible expansion of wind energy development in the region.