Jos van Schijndel

Climate for Culture: assessing the impact of climate change on the future indoor climate in historic buildings using simulations

BackgroundThe present study reports results from the large-scale integrated EU project “Climate for Culture”. The full name, or title, of the project is Climate for Culture: damage risk assessment, economic impact and mitigation strategies for sustainable preservation of cultural heritage in times of climate change. This paper focusses on implementing high resolution regional climate models together with new building simulation tools in order to predict future outdoor and indoor climate conditions. The potential impact of gradual climate change on historic buildings and on the vast collections they contain has been assessed. Two moderate IPCC emission scenarios A1B and RCP 4.5 were used to predict indoor climates in historic buildings from the recent past until the year 2100. Risks to the building and to the interiors with valuable artifacts were assessed using damage functions. A set of generic building types based on data from existing buildings were used to transfer outdoor climate conditions to indoor conditions using high resolution climate projections for Europe and the Mediterranean.ResultsThe high resolution climate change simulations have been performed with the regional climate model REMO over the whole of Europe including the Mediterranean region. Whole building simulation tools and a simplified building model were developed for historic buildings; they were forced with high resolution climate simulations. This has allowed maps of future climate-induced risks for historic buildings and their interiors to be produced. With this procedure future energy demands for building control can also be calculated.ConclusionWith the newly developed method described here not only can outdoor risks for cultural heritage assets resulting from climate change be assessed, but also risks for indoor collections. This can be done for individual buildings as well as on a larger scale in the form of European risk maps. By using different standardized and exemplary artificial buildings in modelling climate change impact, a comparison between different regions in Europe has become possible for the first time. The methodology will serve heritage owners and managers as a decision tool, helping them to plan more effectively mitigation and adaption measures at various levels.

Hygrothermal modelling of flooding events within historic buildings

Flooding events pose a high risk to valuable monumental buildings and their interiors. Due to higher river discharges and sea level rise, flooding events may occur more often in future. Hygrothermal building simulation models can be applied to investigate the impact of a flooding event on the environmental conditions inside a building. The objective of this study is to develop such a model that is able to evaluate the best fitting drying regime for historic buildings. A model is created based on on-site measurements of the indoor climate conditions in one building that had to cope with flooding in the recent past. The result of this study is a hygrothermal building simulation model that can predict the indoor climate conditions inside a room as a result of a flooding event. Different climate control systems can be integrated in this model to evaluate the most suitable drying regime to minimise the risk to the building, its interior and its collection. Furthermore, damage functions can be applied to analyse the risk to the collection caused by the flooding event.

Toolbox for super-structured and super-structure free multi-disciplinary building spatial design optimisation

Abstract Multi-disciplinary optimisation of building spatial designs is characterised by large solution spaces. Here two approaches are introduced, one being super-structured and the other super-structure free. Both are different in nature and perform differently for large solution spaces and each requires its own representation of a building spatial design, which are also presented here. A method to combine the two approaches is proposed, because the two are prospected to supplement each other. Accordingly a toolbox is presented, which can evaluate the structural and thermal performances of a building spatial design to provide a user with the means to define optimisation procedures. A demonstration of the toolbox is given where the toolbox has been used for an elementary implementation of a simulation of co-evolutionary design processes. The optimisation approaches and the toolbox that are presented in this paper will be used in future efforts for research into- and development of optimisation methods for multi-disciplinary building spatial design optimisation.

UAV energy extraction with incomplete atmospheric data using MPC

A nonlinear model predictive control strategy is presented for unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) trajectory determination. The objective is to find optimal paths in the atmosphere by maximizing the UAVs energy (kinetic and potential) over a finite but receding horizon. The main assumption is that the updraft distribution is unknown, creating a realistic situation. The updrafts are only estimated online using standard on-board inertial sensors. Real-time implementation of the algorithm is shown to be possible in principle.