Joseph V. Nally

Serum Bicarbonate and Mortality in Stage 3 and Stage 4 Chronic Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES The incidence and prevalence of metabolic acidosis increase with declining kidney function. We studied the associations of both low and high serum bicarbonate levels with all-cause mortality among stage 3 and 4 chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS We examined factors associated with low (<23 mmol/L) and high (>32 mmol/L) serum bicarbonate levels using logistic regression models and associations between bicarbonate and all-cause mortality using Cox-proportional hazard models, Kaplan-Meier survival curves, and time-dependent analysis. RESULTS Out of 41,749 patients, 13.9% (n = 5796) had low and 1.6% (n = 652) had high serum bicarbonate levels. After adjusting for relevant covariates, there was a significant association between low serum bicarbonate and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.23, 95% CI 1.16, 1.31). This association was not statistically significant among patients with stage 4 CKD and diabetes. The time-dependent analysis demonstrated a significant mortality risk associated with a decline from normal to low bicarbonate level (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.49, 1.69). High serum bicarbonate levels were associated with death irrespective of the level of kidney function (HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.52, 2.00). When serum bicarbonate was examined as a continuous variable, a J-shaped relationship was noted between serum bicarbonate and mortality. CONCLUSIONS Low serum bicarbonate levels are associated with increased mortality among stage 3 CKD patients and patients without diabetes. High serum bicarbonate levels are associated with mortality in both stage 3 and stage 4 CKD patients.

Development and Validation of an Electronic Health Record–Based Chronic Kidney Disease Registry

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is increasing, and outcomes-related research from diverse health care settings is needed to target appropriate efforts and interventions. We developed an electronic health record (EHR)-based CKD registry at the Cleveland Clinic and validated comorbid conditions. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS Patients who had at least one face-to-face outpatient encounter with a Cleveland Clinic health care provider and (1) had two estimated GFR values <60 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) >90 days apart as of January 1, 2005 and/or (2) were patients with International Classification of Diseases-9 (ICD-9) diagnosis codes for kidney disease were included. RESULTS Our registry includes 57,276 patients (53,399 patients met estimated GFR criteria and 3877 patients met ICD-9 diagnosis code criteria) as of March 2010. Mean age was 69.5 ± 13.4 years, with 55% women and 12% African Americans. Medicare is the primary insurer for more than one half of the study cohort. The κ statistics to assess the extent of agreement between the administrative dataset extracted from the EHR and actual EHR chart review showed substantial agreement (>0.80) for all conditions except for coronary artery disease and hypertension, which had moderate agreement (<0.60). CONCLUSIONS Development of an EHR-based CKD registry is feasible in a large health system, and the comorbid conditions included in the registry are reliable. In addition to conducting research studies, such a registry could help to improve the quality of care delivered to CKD patients and complement the ongoing nationwide efforts to develop a CKD surveillance project.

Low 25-Hydroxyvitamin D Levels and Mortality in Non–Dialysis-Dependent CKD

BACKGROUND Low 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D) levels are common in patients with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (CKD). The associations between low 25(OH)D levels and mortality in non-dialysis-dependent patients with CKD are unclear. STUDY DESIGN Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS Patients with stages 3-4 CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate, 15-59 mL/min/1.73 m(2); n = 12,673) who had 25(OH)D levels measured after the diagnosis of CKD in the Cleveland Clinic Health System. PREDICTOR 25(OH)D levels categorized into 3 groups: <15, 15-29, and ≥30 ng/mL. OUTCOMES We examined factors associated with low 25(OH)D levels and associations between low 25(OH)D levels and all-cause mortality (ascertained using the Social Security Death Index and our electronic medical record) using logistic regression, Cox proportional hazard models, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves. MEASUREMENTS 25(OH)D was measured using chemiluminescence immunoassay. RESULTS Of 12,763 patients with CKD, 15% (n = 1,970) had 25(OH)D levels <15 ng/mL, whereas 45% (n = 5,749) had 25(OH)D levels of 15-29 ng/mL. Male sex, African American race, diabetes, coronary artery disease, and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate were associated significantly with 25(OH)D level <30 ng/mL. A graded increase in risk of 25(OH)D level <30 ng/mL was evident across increasing body mass index levels. Patients who had 25(OH)D levels measured in fall through spring had higher odds for 25(OH)D levels <30 ng/mL. After covariate adjustment, patients with CKD with 25(OH)D levels <15 ng/mL had a 33% increased risk of mortality (95% CI, 1.07-1.65). The group with 25(OH)D levels of 15-29 ng/mL did not show a significantly increased risk of mortality (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.86-1.22) compared with patients with 25(OH)D levels ≥30 ng/mL. LIMITATIONS Single-center observational study, lack of data for albuminuria and other markers of bone and mineral disorders, and attrition bias. CONCLUSIONS 25(OH)D level <15 ng/mL was associated independently with all-cause mortality in non-dialysis-dependent patients with CKD.

Cause-Specific Deaths in Non–Dialysis-Dependent CKD

CKD is associated with higher risk of death, but details regarding differences in cause-specific death in CKD are unclear. We examined the leading causes of death among a non-dialysis-dependent CKD population using an electronic medical record-based CKD registry in a large healthcare system and the Ohio Department of Health mortality files. We included 33,478 white and 5042 black patients with CKD who resided in Ohio between January 2005 and September 2009 and had two measurements of eGFR<60 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) obtained 90 days apart. Causes of death (before ESRD) were classified into cardiovascular, malignancy, and non-cardiovascular/non-malignancy diseases and non-disease-related causes. During a median follow-up of 2.3 years, 6661 of 38,520 patients (17%) with CKD died. Cardiovascular diseases (34.7%) and malignant neoplasms (31.8%) were the leading causes of death, with malignancy-related deaths more common among those with earlier stages of kidney disease. After adjusting for covariates, each 5 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) decline in eGFR was associated with higher risk of death due to cardiovascular disease (hazard ratio [HR], 1.10; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.08 to 1.12) and non-cardiovascular/non-malignancy diseases (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.09 to 1.14) but not to malignancy. In the adjusted models, blacks had overall-mortality hazard ratios similar to those of whites but higher hazard ratios for cardiovascular deaths. Further studies to confirm these findings and explain the mechanisms for differences are warranted. In addition to lowering cardiovascular burden in CKD, efforts to target known risk factors for cancer at the population level are needed.

Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy in CKD: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) confers morbidity and mortality benefits to selected patients with heart failure. This systematic review examined effects of CRT in CKD patients (estimated GFR [eGFR] <60 ml/min per 1.73 m(2)). DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS MEDLINE and Scopus (from 1990 to December 2012) and conference proceedings abstracts were searched for relevant observational studies and randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Studies comparing the following outcomes were included: (1) CKD patients with and without CRT and (2) CKD patients with CRT to non-CKD patients with CRT. Mortality, eGFR, and left ventricular ejection fraction data were extracted and pooled when appropriate using a random-effects model. RESULTS Eighteen studies (14 observational studies and 4 RCTs) were included. There was a modest improvement in eGFR with CRT among CKD patients (mean difference 2.30 ml/min per 1.73m(2); 95% confidence interval, 0.33 to 4.27). Similarly, there was a significant improvement in left ventricular ejection with CRT in CKD patients (mean difference 6.24%; 95% confidence interval, 3.46 to 9.07). Subgroup analysis of three RCTs reported lower rates of death or hospitalization for heart failure with CRT (versus other therapy) in the CKD population. Survival outcomes of CKD patients (compared with the non-CKD population) with CRT differed among observational studies and RCTs. CONCLUSIONS CRT improves left ventricular and renal function in the CKD population with heart failure. Given the increasing use of cardiac devices, further studies examining the effects of CRT on mortality in CKD patients, particularly those with advanced kidney disease, are warranted.

Past Decline Versus Current eGFR and Subsequent ESRD Risk

eGFR is a robust predictor of ESRD risk. However, the prognostic information gained from the past trajectory (slope) beyond that of the current eGFR is unclear. We examined 22 cohorts to determine the association of past slopes and current eGFR level with subsequent ESRD. We modeled hazard ratios as a spline function of slopes, adjusting for demographic variables, eGFR, and comorbidities. We used random effects meta-analyses to combine results across studies stratified by cohort type. We calculated the absolute risk of ESRD at 5 years after the last eGFR using the weighted average baseline risk. Overall, 1,080,223 participants experienced 5163 ESRD events during a mean follow-up of 2.0 years. In CKD cohorts, a slope of -6 versus 0 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) per year over the previous 3 years (a decline of 18 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) versus no decline) associated with an adjusted hazard ratio of ESRD of 2.28 (95% confidence interval, 1.88 to 2.76). In contrast, a current eGFR of 30 versus 50 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) (a difference of 20 ml/min per 1.73 m(2)) associated with an adjusted hazard ratio of 19.9 (95% confidence interval, 13.6 to 29.1). Past decline contributed more to the absolute risk of ESRD at lower than higher levels of current eGFR. In conclusion, during a follow-up of 2 years, current eGFR associates more strongly with future ESRD risk than the magnitude of past eGFR decline, but both contribute substantially to the risk of ESRD, especially at eGFR<30 ml/min per 1.73 m(2).

Metabolic Syndrome, ESRD, and Death in CKD

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Previous studies reported an association between metabolic syndrome , incident CKD, and proteinuria. This study examined the associations between metabolic syndrome and its components with ESRD and death among those patients with stages 3 and 4 CKD (estimated GFR=15-59 ml/min per 1.73 m(2)). DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS Patients with stages 3 and 4 CKD (n=25,868) who had data relating to metabolic syndrome and were followed in our health care system were identified using an electronic medical record-based registry. Cox proportional hazards models and competing risk analyses were used to study the associations between metabolic syndrome, its components (elevated BP, low HDL cholesterol, elevated serum triglycerides, impaired glucose metabolism, and obesity), and all-cause mortality and ESRD while adjusting for demographics, comorbid conditions, use of relevant medications, and renal function. RESULTS Sixty percent of the study population (n=15,605) had metabolic syndrome. In the multivariate-adjusted analysis, presence of metabolic syndrome was associated with an increased risk for ESRD (hazard ratio=1.33, 95% confidence interval=1.08, 1.64) but not death (hazard ratio=1.04, 95% confidence interval=0.97, 1.12) during a mean follow-up of 2.3 years. Among the individual components of metabolic syndrome, impaired glucose metabolism, elevated triglycerides, and hypertension were associated with increased risk for ESRD, whereas low HDL cholesterol and impaired glucose metabolism were associated with higher risk of death. CONCLUSIONS Presence of metabolic syndrome is associated with ESRD but not death in patients with stages 3 and 4 CKD.

Serum Testosterone Levels and Mortality in Men With CKD Stages 3-4

BACKGROUND Hypogonadism in men (total testosterone <350 ng/dL) is associated with higher risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality in men on dialysis therapy. We evaluated the association of hypogonadism with all-cause mortality in men with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (CKD). STUDY DESIGN Retrospective, cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS 2,419 men with CKD stages 3-4 (estimated glomerular filtration rate, 15-59 mL/min/1.73 m2) who had total testosterone measured for cause between January 1, 2005, and October 31, 2011, at a tertiary-care center in Cleveland, OH. PREDICTORS Total testosterone measured using an immunoassay measurement in 3 forms: (1) categorized as low or testosterone replacement therapy versus normal, (2) continuous log testosterone, and (3) quintiles (100-226, 227-305, 306-392, 393-511, and 512-3,153 ng/dL). OUTCOMES Factors associated with low total testosterone level and the association between low total testosterone level and all-cause mortality were evaluated using logistic regression, Cox proportional hazard models, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves. RESULTS Hypogonadism was found in 1,288 of 2,419 (53%) men. In a multivariable logistic regression analysis, African American ethnicity and higher estimated glomerular filtration rate were associated with lower odds of having hypogonadism. Diabetes and higher body mass index were associated with higher odds of having hypogonadism. 357 of 2,419 (15%) patients died during a median follow-up of 2.3 years. In the multivariate Cox model, testosterone level <350 ng/dL or testosterone replacement therapy was not associated with mortality. In a multivariable model also adjusted for testosterone supplementation, higher log testosterone was associated with significantly lower mortality (HR per 1 log unit, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.55-0.89). When compared to the highest quintile, the second lowest quintile of testosterone was associated with higher mortality (HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.09-2.16). LIMITATIONS Single-center study, timing of testosterone testing, lack of adjustment for proteinuria, and sampling bias. CONCLUSIONS Low total testosterone level may be associated with higher mortality in men with CKD stages 3-4, but more studies are needed.

Contemporary approach to diagnosis and evaluation of renovascular hypertension

Recommendations regarding the clinical protocols for radionuclides of choice and diagnostic criteria for renovascular hypertension have been established by the consensus report on captopril renography. A review of the existing data indicates that postcaptopril renography alone is a safe and effective means of noninvasively screening hypertensive patients. A normal radionuclide study after captopril suggests with a reasonable degree of certainty that potentially reversible renovascular hypertension is unlikely. A positive study in an appropriately screened hypertensive patient with preserved renal function suggests renovascular disease is likely with a sensitivity and specificity in excess of 90%. In the comparative studies of Elliott and Miralles and colleagues, captopril renography was a more sensitive and specific screening test than the captopril plasma renin activity test. Although there may be confounding variables, such as renal dysfunction, medications, and types of stenosis, a positive captopril renogram may suggest a cure or improvement in blood pressure control with successful intervention such as PTRA or revascularization. Whether captopril renography can predict stabilization of individual kidney function is speculative and deserving of further study.

Prognostic Importance of Serum Alkaline Phosphatase in CKD Stages 3-4 in a Clinical Population

BACKGROUND Elevated total serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels have been associated with mortality in the general population and in dialysis patients. STUDY DESIGN Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS 28,678 patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages 3 and 4 (estimated glomerular filtration rate, 15-59 mL/min/1.73 m(2)) were identified using the Cleveland Clinic CKD Registry. CKD was defined as 2 estimated glomerular filtration rate values <60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) drawn more than 90 days apart using the CKD-EPI (CKD Epidemiology Collaboration) creatinine equation. PREDICTOR ALP levels measured using the calorimetric assay were examined as quartiles (quartile [Q]1, <66 U/L; Q2, 66-81 U/L; Q3, 82-101 U/L; and Q4, ≥102 U/L) and as a continuous measure. OUTCOMES & MEASUREMENTS All-cause mortality and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) were ascertained using the Social Security Death Index and US Renal Data System. RESULTS After a median follow-up of 2.2 years, 588 patients progressed to ESRD and 4,755 died. There was a graded increase in risk of mortality with higher ALP quartiles (Q2, Q3, and Q4) compared to the reference quartile (Q1) after adjusting for demographics, comorbid conditions, use of relevant medications, and liver function test results. The highest ALP quartile was associated with an HR for ESRD of 1.38 (95% CI, 1.09-1.76). Each 1-SD (42.7 U/L) higher ALP level was associated with 15% (95% CI, 1.09-1.22) and 16% (95% CI, 1.14-1.18) increased risk of ESRD and mortality, respectively. LIMITATIONS Single-center observational study; lack of complete data, including parathyroid hormone level, for all study participants, and attrition bias. CONCLUSIONS Higher serum ALP levels in patients with CKD stages 3-4 were associated independently with all-cause mortality and ESRD.