Julie Ho

Validation of Urinary CXCL10 As a Marker of Borderline, Subclinical, and Clinical Tubulitis

Background. Renal allograft injury secondary to subclinical and clinical tubulitis remains an important cause of allograft fibrosis and loss despite modern immunosuppression. The goal of this study was to validate the previously reported use of urinary CXCL10 (interferon-&ggr;-induced protein of 10 kDa) as a noninvasive marker of tubulitis in an independent clinical cohort. Methods. Urine samples (n=102) from 91 patients with protocol or indication biopsies were assayed for urinary CXCL10 using ELISA. The groups analyzed were as follows: normal histology (n=22); interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA) (n=20); IFTA and borderline tubulitis (n=13); borderline (n=13), subclinical (n=17); and clinical tubulitis (n=17) without IFTA. Results. The ratio of urinary CXCL10 to creatinine (CXCL10: Cr) was found to distinguish borderline, subclinical and clinical tubulitis from normal histology, and IFTA. The area under the curve receiver operating characteristic curve to distinguish normal versus borderline and subclinical tubulitis was 0.845 (OR 1.407, P=0.0184); normal versus borderline, subclinical and clinical tubulitis was 0.835 (OR 1.400, P=0.0127). CXCL10: Cr demonstrated a sensitivity of 73.3% and specificity of 72.7% for normal versus borderline and subclinical tubulitis at a cut-off of 1.97 ng CXCL10/mmol Cr. Conclusion. This study validates urinary CXCL10 as a noninvasive, sensitive, and specific marker for tubulitis in an independent cohort. The straightforward urine processing is accessible to clinical laboratories. We propose that CXCL10 may be useful as a supplementary noninvasive screening test for tubulitis in renal transplant patients, with a level more than 1.97 ng CXCL10/mmol Cr being a threshold to consider biopsy.

Urinary Hepcidin-25 and Risk of Acute Kidney Injury Following Cardiopulmonary Bypass

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Acute kidney injury (AKI) complicating cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) results in increased morbidity and mortality. Urinary hepcidin-25 has been shown to be elevated in patients who do not develop AKI after CPB using semiquantitative mass spectrometry (SELDI TOF-MS). The goals of this study were to quantitatively validate these findings with ELISA and evaluate the diagnostic performance of hepcidin-25 for AKI. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS A nested, case-control analysis of urinary hepcidin-25 in AKI (n = 22) and non-AKI (n = 22) patients was conducted to validate the SELDI TOF-MS data at the following times: preoperatively; the start of CPB; 1 hour on CPB; on arrival to the intensive care unit; and postoperative days (POD) 1 and 3 to 5. The diagnostic performance of hepcidin-25 was then evaluated in the entire prospective observational cohort (n = 338) at POD 1. AKI was defined as Cr >50% from baseline, within 72 hours postoperatively. RESULTS Urinary hepcidin-25/Cr ratio was significantly elevated in all patients at POD 1 compared with baseline (P < 0.0005) and was also significantly elevated in non-AKI versus AKI patients at POD 1 (P < 0.0005). Increased log(10) hepcidin-25/Cr ratio was strongly associated with avoidance of AKI on univariate analysis. On multivariate analysis, the log(10) hepcidin-25/Cr ratio (P < 0.0001) was associated with avoidance of AKI with an area under the curve of 0.80, sensitivity 0.68, specificity 0.68, and negative predictive value 0.96. CONCLUSIONS Elevated urinary hepcidin-25 on POD 1 is a strong predictor of avoidance of AKI beyond postoperative day 1.

Elevated urinary CCL2: Cr at 6 months is associated with renal allograft interstitial fibrosis and inflammation at 24 months.

Background We have demonstrated that 6-month urinary CCL2: Cr is a predictor of interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA) on 24-month biopsy and death-censored graft loss. However, IFTA is no longer considered prognostically significant, whereas patients with graft loss frequently have interstitial fibrosis and inflammation (IF+i=ci>0+i>0). As early CCL2: Cr predicts late graft loss, the goal of this study was to determine if 6-month urinary CCL2: Cr was a predictor of IF+i at 24 months. Methods Urinary CCL2 at 6 months was measured with ELISA and correlated with IF+i on 24-month surveillance biopsies from a prospective, multicenter adult renal transplant cohort (n=111). Results Six-month urinary CCL2: Cr was significantly higher in IF+i and transplant glomerulopathy patients compared with normal histology at 24 months. By multivariate analysis, 6-month urinary CCL2: Cr was independently correlated with IF+i at 24 months (OR 2.78, 95% CI 1.38–6.12, AUC 0.695, P=0.003). Six-month urinary CCL2: Cr was also an independent correlate of 6-month IF+i (OR 1.99, 95% CI 1.03–4.18, AUC 0.63, P=0.04). Six-month urinary CCL2: Cr distinguished noninflamed renal tissue (normal, fibrosis) from IF+i with a sensitivity/specificity of 0.71/0.62 at a cutoff of 15 ng CCL2/mmol Cr (AUC 0.695, P=0.003, n=91). Conclusions Urinary CCL2: Cr may be useful for the noninvasive identification of patients with or at risk for IF+i. These patients may benefit from avoidance of drug minimization/withdrawal protocols and more intensive post-transplant surveillance. Furthermore, urinary CCL2: Cr may also identify individuals who may benefit from novel interventional trials targeting IF+i.

Increased urinary CCL2: Cr ratio at 6 months is associated with late renal allograft loss.

Background Early noninvasive markers that identify patients at risk of renal allograft loss may stratify patients for more intensive monitoring or therapy. CCL2 is a CCR2 receptor chemokine that is a chemoattractant protein for monocytes/macrophages, T cells, and natural killer cells. We have previously demonstrated in a multicenter cohort that urinary CCL2 at 6 months is an independent predictor for the development of IFTA at 24 months. The goal of this study was to determine if early urinary CCL2 is a predictor of graft loss in an independent patient cohort. Methods A prospective, observational cohort study was conducted in the Transplant Manitoba Adult Kidney Program (n=231 patients) from 1997 to 2008. Six-month urinary CCL2 was measured by ELISA, corrected for urinary creatinine, and correlated with long-term graft outcomes. Results Urine CCL2: Cr at 6 months was significantly associated with death-censored graft loss (HR, 2.42; 95% CI, 1.54–3.82, P<0.0001). On multivariate analysis, urinary CCL2: Cr at 6 months remained an independent predictor of death-censored graft loss (HR, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.18–4.10, P=0.01) after adjustment for pretransplant/de novo donor-specific antibody and delayed graft function. An early posttransplant (⩽6 months) multivariate model of CCL2, recipient age, and delayed graft function yielded an AUC 0.87 for prediction of death-censored graft loss. A cutoff value of urinary CCL2: Cr 34.8 ng/mmol yielded a strong positive predictive value of 0.96. Conclusions This study confirms in an independent prospective cohort that early urinary CCL2 at 6 months is a noninvasive, independent predictor for late renal allograft loss.

Developing renal allograft surveillance strategies – urinary biomarkers of cellular rejection

Purpose of reviewDeveloping tailored immunosuppression regimens requires sensitive, non-invasive tools for serial post-transplant surveillance as the current clinical standards with serum creatinine and proteinuria are ineffective at detecting subclinical rejection. The purpose of this review is: (i) to illustrate the rationale for allograft immune monitoring, (ii) to discuss key steps to bring a biomarker from bench-to-bedside, and (iii) to present an overview of promising biomarkers for cellular rejection.Sources of informationPubMed.FindingsRecent multicentre prospective observational cohort studies have significantly advanced biomarker development by allowing for the adequately powered evaluation of multiple biomarkers capable of detecting allograft rejection. These studies demonstrate that urinary CXCR3 chemokines (i.e. CXCL9 and CXCL10) are amongst the most promising for detecting subclinical inflammation; increasing up to 30 days prior to biopsy-proven acute rejection; decreasing in response to anti-rejection therapy; and having prognostic significance for the subsequent development of allograft dysfunction. Urinary CXCR3 chemokines are measured by simple and cost-effective ELISA methodology, which can readily be implemented in clinical labs.LimitationsMany biomarker studies are performed in highly selected patient groups and lack surveillance biopsies to accurately classify healthy transplants. Few validation studies have been done in unselected, consecutive patient populations to characterize population-based diagnostic performance.ImplicationsBased on these data, prospective interventional trials should be undertaken to determine if chemokine-based post-transplant monitoring strategies can improve long-term renal allograft outcomes. This last step will be necessary to move novel biomarkers from the bench-to-bedside.AbrégéObjet de l’étudeL’élaboration sur mesure d’un schéma posologique d’immunosuppression requiert des outils adaptés et non invasifs de contrôle systématique à la suite de la greffe, étant donné l’inefficacité des normes cliniques actuelles en ce qui a trait à la créatininémie et à la protéinurie dans la détection des rejets subcliniques. L’objet de cette étude sont les suivants: (i) illustrer la raison d’être d’un contrôle de la réponse immunitaire à la greffe allogénique, (ii) déterminer les étapes clés visant à transposer un biomarqueur du laboratoire au chevet du patient, et (iii) présenter un aperçu des biomarqueurs prometteurs dans le rejet cellulaire.Sources d’informationsPubMedConclusionLes études prospectives, multicentriques et comparatives récentes ont fait considérablement progresser l’élaboration de biomarqueurs en permettant l’évaluation adéquate de nombre d’entre eux, capables de détecter le rejet de greffe allogénique. Ces études démontrent que les chimiokines urinaires CXCR3 (c.-à-d. CXCL9 et CXCL10) sont parmi les biomarqueurs les plus prometteurs dans la détection d’inflammation subclinique : elles augmentent jusqu’à 30 jours précédant un rejet aigu prouvé par biopsie, leur nombre diminue en réponse à la thérapie antirejet et elles ont des qualités pronostiques importantes dans l’apparition subséquente de dysfonctions. Les chimiokines urinaires CXCR3 se mesurent grâce à la méthodologie ELISA, simple et efficiente, et dont la mise en œuvre peut se faire sans tarder dans les laboratoires cliniques.Limites de l’étudePlusieurs études sur les biomarqueurs ont pour sujets des groupes de patients soigneusement choisis, et sont exemptes de biopsies de surveillance qui permettraient de classifier avec justesse les greffes saines. Peu d’études de validation ont été effectuées sur des échantillons de patients non sélectionnés et consécutifs dans le but de représenter la classification du rendement au sein de la population.RépercussionsÀ la lumière de ces données, il importerait d’entreprendre des essais prospectifs d’intervention afin de déterminer si les stratégies de contrôle suivant la greffe et basées sur les chimiokines sont susceptibles d’améliorer les résultats de la greffe rénale allogénique à long terme. Cette dernière étape sera nécessaire afin de transposer les nouveaux biomarqueurs du laboratoire au chevet du patient.

Urinary biomarkers of renal transplant outcome.

Purpose of reviewRenal allograft loss remains an important cause of morbidity and mortality. The objective of this review was to provide a rationale for noninvasive monitoring to identify patients at high risk for graft loss; discuss key steps in prognostic biomarker development from bench-to-bedside; and review promising biomarkers for late renal allograft outcomes. Recent findingsIn a multicentre prospective cohort, early 6-month urinary CCL2 was demonstrated to be associated with the development of 24-month interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy and inflammation (IFTA+i). These findings were extended to a single centre cohort, which showed that 6-month urinary CCL2 was a predictor of death-censored graft loss independent of donor-specific antibody and delayed graft function. In a large, multicentre prospective observational study (CTOT-01), 6-month urinary CXCL9 was significantly associated with more than 30% decline of graft function at 24 months. SummaryUrinary chemokines may identify recipients who are at high risk of graft loss. The early detection of high-risk recipients may allow for more intensive posttransplant surveillance; avoidance of drug minimization/withdrawal protocols; and the identification of patients who may benefit from enrolment in novel interventional trials. Prospective trials are needed to demonstrate that urinary chemokine-guided posttransplant surveillance strategies improve long-term graft outcomes.

Elevated Urinary Matrix Metalloproteinase-7 Detects Underlying Renal Allograft Inflammation and Injury.

Background The urinary CXC chemokine ligand (CXCL)10 detects renal transplant inflammation noninvasively, but has limited sensitivity and specificity. In this study, we performed urinary proteomic analysis to identify novel biomarkers that may improve the diagnostic performance of urinary CXCL10 for detecting alloimmune inflammation in renal transplant patients. Methods In preliminary studies, adult renal transplant patients with normal histology (n = 5), interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (n = 6), subclinical (n = 6) and clinical rejection (n = 6), underwent in-depth urine protein compositional analysis with LC-MS/MS, and matrix metalloproteinase-7 (MMP7) were identified as a potential candidate for the diagnosis of renal allograft inflammation. Urine MMP7 performance was then studied in a larger, prospective adult renal transplant population (n = 148 urines from n = 133 patients) with matched surveillance/indication biopsies. The diagnostic performance of urinary MMP7 and CXCL10 in combination was next evaluated using concordance (C-) statistics, net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement indices, to determine whether it was better than CXCL10 alone. Results Urinary MMP7:creatinine (Cr) was lower in normal transplants compared to those with inflammation: glomerulonephritis (P = 0.009), viral nephropathies (P = 0.002), interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy and inflammation (P = 0.04), borderline (P = 0.08), subclinical (P = 0.01) and clinical rejection (P = 0.0006), and acute tubular necrosis (P < 0.0001). Urinary MMP7:Cr and CXCL10:Cr significantly distinguished noninflamed from inflamed biopsies (area under the curve, 0.74 and 0.70, respectively). The addition of urinary MMP7:Cr to CXCL10:Cr improved the diagnostic performance for subclinical and clinical inflammation/injury by integrated discrimination improvement (P = 0.002) and net reclassification improvement (P = 0.006) analyses. Conclusions Urinary MMP7:Cr improves the overall diagnostic performance of urinary CXCL10:Cr for distinguishing normal histology from subclinical and clinical inflammation/injury, but not subclinical inflammation alone.

Six-month Urinary Ccl2 and Cxcl10 Levels Predict Long-term Renal Allograft Outcome

Background Early prognostic markers that identify high-risk patients could lead to increased surveillance, personalized immunosuppression, and improved long-term outcomes. The goal of this study was to validate 6-month urinary chemokine ligand 2 (CCL2) as a noninvasive predictor of long-term outcomes and compare it with 6-month urinary CXCL10. Methods A prospective, observational renal transplant cohort (n = 185; minimum, 5-year follow-up) was evaluated. The primary composite outcome included 1 or more: allograft loss, renal function decline (>20% decrease estimated glomerular filtration rate between 6 months and last follow-up), and biopsy-proven rejection after 6 months. CCL2/CXCL10 are reported in relation to urine creatinine (ng/mmol). Results Fifty-two patients (52/185, 28%) reached the primary outcome at a median 6.0 years, and their urinary CCL2:Cr was significantly higher compared with patients with stable allograft function (median [interquartile range], 38.6 ng/mmol [19.7-72.5] vs 25.9 ng/mmol [16.1-45.8], P = 0.009). Low urinary CCL2:Cr (⩽70.0 ng/mmol) was associated with 88% 5-year event-free survival compared with 50% with high urinary CCL2:Cr (P < 0.0001). In a multivariate Cox-regression model, the only independent predictors of the primary outcome were high CCL2:Cr (hazard ratio [HR], 2.86; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.33-5.73) and CXCL10:Cr (HR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.23-4.88; both P = 0.009). Urinary CCL2:Cr/CXCL10:Cr area under the curves were 0.62 (P = 0.001)/0.63 (P = 0.03), respectively. Time-to-endpoint analysis according to combined high or low urinary chemokines demonstrates that endpoint-free survival depends on the overall early chemokine burden. Conclusions This study confirms that urinary CCL2:Cr is an independent predictor of long-term allograft outcomes. Urinary CCL2:Cr/CXCL10:Cr alone have similar prognostic performance, but when both are elevated, this suggests a worse prognosis. Therefore, urinary chemokines may be a useful tool for timely identification of high-risk patients.

Detecting Renal Allograft Inflammation Using Quantitative Urine Metabolomics and CXCL10.

Background The goal of this study was to characterize urinary metabolomics for the noninvasive detection of cellular inflammation and to determine if adding urinary chemokine ligand 10 (CXCL10) improves the overall diagnostic discrimination. Methods Urines (n = 137) were obtained before biopsy in 113 patients with no (n = 66), mild (borderline or subclinical; n = 58), or severe (clinical; n = 13) rejection from a prospective cohort of adult renal transplant patients (n = 113). Targeted, quantitative metabolomics was performed with direct flow injection tandem mass spectrometry using multiple reaction monitoring (ABI 4000 Q-Trap). Urine CXCL10 was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. A projection on latent structures discriminant analysis was performed and validated using leave-one-out cross-validation, and an optimal 2-component model developed. Chemokine ligand 10 area under the curve (AUC) was determined and net reclassification index and integrated discrimination index analyses were performed. Results PLS2 demonstrated that urinary metabolites moderately discriminated the 3 groups (Cohen &kgr;, 0.601; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.46-0.74; P < 0.001). Using binary classifiers, urinary metabolites and CXCL10 demonstrated an AUC of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.74-0.88) and 0.76 (95% CI, 0.68-0.84), respectively, and a combined AUC of 0.84 (95% CI, 0.78-0.91) for detecting alloimmune inflammation that was improved by net reclassification index and integrated discrimination index analyses. Urinary CXCL10 was the best univariate discriminator, followed by acylcarnitines and hexose. Conclusions Urinary metabolomics can noninvasively discriminate noninflamed renal allografts from those with subclinical and clinical inflammation, and the addition of urine CXCL10 had a modest but significant effect on overall diagnostic performance. These data suggest that urinary metabolomics and CXCL10 may be useful for noninvasive monitoring of alloimmune inflammation in renal transplant patients.

Prediction of Long-term Renal Allograft Outcome By Early Urinary CXCL10 Chemokine Levels

Background Predictive biomarkers for long-term renal allograft outcome could help to individualize follow-up strategies and therapeutic interventions. Methods We investigated the predictive value of urinary CXC chemokine ligand 10 (CXCL10) measured at different timepoints (ie, at 3 and 6 months, and mean of 3 and 6 months coined CXCL10-burden) for long-term allograft outcomes in 154 patients. The primary outcome was a composite graft endpoint of death-censored allograft loss and/or biopsy-proven rejection and/or decline of estimated glomerular filtration rate greater than 20% occurring beyond 6 months after transplantation. Results After a median follow-up of 6.6 years (interquartile range, 5.7-7.5 years) the endpoint was reached in 43/154 patients (28%). In a multivariable Cox-regression model independent predictors were 6-month CXCL10 levels, the CXCL10-burden, HLA-mismatches, donor age and delayed graft function while previous (sub)clinical rejection, estimated glomerular filtration rate and proteinuria at 6 months, as well as 3-month CXCL10 levels were not. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed an area under the curve of 0.68 (6-month CXCL10) and 0.67 (CXCL10-burden). Grouped by optimal cutoff, low 6-month CXCL10 (<0.70 ng/mmol) was associated with a 95% endpoint-free 5-year survival compared to 78% with high 6-month CXCL10 (P = 0.0007). Only 2 of 62 patients (3%) with low 6-month CXCL10 levels (<0.70 ng/mmol) experienced late rejection or graft loss due to rejection compared to 15 of 92 patients (16%) with high 6-month CXCL10 levels (P = 0.008). Similar results were obtained when patients were grouped according to CXCL10-burden (cutoff, 1.06 ng/mmol). Conclusions Six-month urinary CXCL10 is an independent predictor for long-term graft outcome and thus might be a supplementary tool to tailor surveillance strategies and therapy.