Jussi Aro

European randomized study of prostate cancer screening: first-year results of the Finnish trial.

SummaryApproximately 20 000 men 55–67 years of age from two areas in Finland were identified from the Population Registry and randomized either to the screening arm (1/3) or the control arm (2/3) of a prostate cancer screening trial. In the first round, the participation rate in the screening arm was 69%. Of the 5053 screened participants, 428 (8.5%) had a serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) concentration of 4.0 ng/ml or higher, and diagnostic examinations were performed on 399 of them. A total of 106 cancers were detected among them corresponding to a positive predictive value of 27%, which is comparable with mammography screening for breast cancer. The prostate cancer detection rate based on a serum PSA concentration of 4.0 ng ml–1 or higher was 2.1%. Approximately nine out of ten screen-detected prostate cancers were localized (85% clinical stage T1–T2) and well or moderately differentiated (42% World Health Organization (WHO) grade I and 50% grade II), which suggests a higher proportion of curable cancers compared with cases detected by other means.

Lead-time in prostate cancer screening (Finland).

Objective: Lead-time in prostate cancer screening was estimated using data from the Finnish randomized, population-based trial. Methods: Lead-time was defined as the duration of follow-up needed to accrue the same expected number of incident prostate cancer cases in the absence of screening as detected in the initial screening round. Expected numbers were calculated using an age-cohort model. Results: Based on findings among 10,000 men screened in 1996–1997 with 292 screen-detected cancers, lead-time was estimated as approximately 5–7 years, depending on the reference rates used. This corresponds to a mean duration of the detectable preclinical phase (DPCP) of 10–14 years, given that the cancers were detected on average at the midpoint of the DPCP. Conclusions: The findings suggest that a screening interval substantially longer than the 2 years generally used for mammography screening is unlikely to cause a substantial loss of sensitivity. A long screening interval is further justified in order to diminish the extent of overdiagnosis, until mortality effects can be evaluated.

Second Round Results of the Finnish Population-Based Prostate Cancer Screening Trial

Purpose: Large randomized trials provide the only valid means of quantifying the benefits and drawbacks of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening, but the follow-up of ongoing studies is still too short to allow evaluation of mortality. We report here the intermediate indicators of screening efficacy from the second round of the Finnish trial. Experimental Design: The Finnish trial, with ∼80,000 men in the target population, is the largest component in the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer. The first round was completed in 1996–1999. Each year 8,000 men 55–67 years of age were randomly assigned to the screening arm, and the rest formed the control arm. Men randomized to the screening arm in 1996 were reinvited 4 years later, in 2000, and PSA was determined. Results: Of the eligible 6415 men, 4407 (69%) eventually participated in the second round of screening. Of the first-round participants, up to 84% (3833 of 4556) attended rescreening. A total of 461 screenees (10.5%) had PSA levels of ≥4 μg/liter. Altogether, 97 cancers were found, yielding an overall detection rate of 2.2% (97 of 4407). Seventy-nine cases were found among the 3833 second-time screenees (detection rate 2.1%) and 18 in those 574 men (3.1%) who had not participated previously. A PSA of ≥4 μg/liter, but negative biopsy in the first screening round was associated with an up to 9-fold risk of cancer in rescreening relative to those with lower PSA levels at baseline. Ninety-one (94%) of all of the detected cancers were clinically localized. Conclusions: As surrogate measures of an effective screening program, both compliance as well as the overall and advanced prostate cancer detection rates remained acceptable. Men defined as screen-positive but with a negative confirmation of cancer at prevalence screen formed a high-risk group at rescreening.

Estimation of Prostate Cancer Risk on the Basis of Total and Free Prostate-Specific Antigen, Prostate Volume and Digital Rectal Examination

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE Approximately 70% of the men with an elevated serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) identified in prostate cancer screening do not have prostate cancer. Other available diagnostic variables may be utilized to reduce the number of false positive PSA results, but few algorithms for calculation of the combined impact of multiple variables are available. The objective of this study was to establish nomograms showing the probability of detecting prostate cancer at biopsy on the basis of total PSA, and the percentage of free PSA in serum, prostate volume and digital rectal examination (DRE) findings. METHODS In a randomized, population-based prostate cancer screening trial 10284 men aged 55-67 years were screened during 1996 and 1997 in two metropolitan areas in Finland. Results for men (n=758) with a serum PSA of 4-20 microg/l were used to establish the risk nomograms. Of these 200 (26%) had prostate cancer at biopsy. RESULTS Prostate cancer probability depended most strongly on the percentage of free PSA. Total PSA, prostate volume, and DRE also contributed to prostate cancer probability, whereas age and family history of prostate cancer did not. More false positive PSA results could be eliminated by using the multivariate risk model rather than the percentage of free PSA (p<0.001) or PSA density (p=0.003) alone. CONCLUSIONS Wide variation in probability of detecting prostate cancer among screened men with a serum PSA of 4-20 microg/l was observed. The nomograms established can be used to avoid or defer biopsy in men with a low prostate cancer probability in spite of a serum PSA level exceeding 4 microg/l.

Family History and Prostate Cancer Screening With Prostate-Specific Antigen

PURPOSE Early detection of prostate cancer has been recommended for men with affected first-degree relatives despite the lack of evidence for mortality reduction. We therefore evaluated the impact of family history in the Finnish prostate cancer screening trial. PATIENTS AND METHODS Approximately 80,000 men were identified from the population register for the first screening round. Of the 32,000 men randomized to the screening arm, 30,403 were eligible at the time of invitation. A blood sample was drawn from the participants (n = 20,716), and serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) was determined. Men with a PSA level > or = 4.0 ng/mL were referred for prostate biopsy. Information on family history was obtained through a self-administered questionnaire at baseline. RESULTS A total of 964 (5%) of the 20,716 screening participants had a positive family history, and 105 (11%) were screening-positive. Twenty-nine tumors were diagnosed, corresponding to a detection rate of 3.0% (29 of 964) and a positive predictive value of 28% (29 of 105). Of the 19,347 men without a family history, 1,487 (8%) had a PSA level > or = 4.0 ng/mL. The detection rate was 2.4% (462 of 19,347) and the positive predictive value was 31% (462 of 1,487). The risk associated with a positive family history was not substantially increased (rate ratio, 1.3; 95% confidence interval, 0.9 to 1.8). The results were not affected by the age of the screenee or age at diagnosis of the affected relative. The program sensitivity was 6% (29 of 491) (ie, selective screening policy would have missed 94% of cancers in the population). No differences were seen in the characteristics of screen-detected cancers by family history. CONCLUSION Our findings provide no support for selective screening among men with affected relatives.

Assessment of causes of death in a prostate cancer screening trial

Accurate assessment of the causes of death is crucial for a conclusive evaluation of the ongoing prostate cancer screening trials. Here, we report the validity of the official causes of death as compared with an independent expert review in the Finnish prostate cancer screening trial. Because nearly 80,000 men were involved, death‐cause evaluation was restricted to men diagnosed for prostate cancer. Medical charts were retrieved and the cause of death was assigned by an expert review panel for all deaths among men with prostate cancer during the study period, 1996–2003. The panel decision was compared with both death certificates and the official causes of death as assigned by Statistics Finland. Of a total of 315 deaths, the review panel attributed 127 (41%) to prostate cancer and 184 (59%) to other causes, the corresponding figures in death certificates being 124 (40%) and 187 (60%). Four cases were excluded because of insufficient information. The death‐certificate data were in agreement with the panels assessment in 305 out of 311 cases (overall agreement 97.7%, κ = 0.95). The overall agreement between the official causes of death and the panels decision was 97.4% (304/311, κ = 0.95). The sensitivity of the certificates in identifying prostate cancer deaths was 96.1% (panel as golden standard). Correspondingly, specificity was 98.9%. The official causes of death thus provide an accurate means for evaluating disease‐specific mortality in a large population‐based prostate‐cancer screening trial in Finland.

Prostate cancer screening within a prostate specific antigen range of 3 to 3.9 ng./ml.: a comparison of digital rectal examination and free prostate specific antigen as supplemental screening tests.

PURPOSE Performing biopsy in all men with a serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) of 3 to 3.9 ng./ml. increases the sensitivity of prostate cancer screening compared with a PSA cutoff of 4 ng./ml. but decreases specificity and may contribute to over diagnosis. Therefore, we evaluated the detection rate and specificity attributable to digital rectal examination and percent free PSA within the PSA range of 3 to 3.9 ng./ml. MATERIALS AND METHODS Serum PSA was determined in 20,716 participants in the Finnish population based screening trial. Supplementary digital rectal examination was offered to men with a PSA of 3 to 3.9 ng./ml. during 1996 to 1998 (protocol 1). Those with a suspicious digital rectal examination finding were referred for biopsy. The screening algorithm was modified by substituting percent free PSA for digital rectal examination with a cutoff of 16% as a biopsy criterion in 1999 (protocol 2). In addition, biopsies were performed in all men with PSA 4 ng./ml. or greater. RESULTS A total of 23 cancers (2.9%) were detected by digital rectal examination among 801 men, while percent-free PSA resulted in the diagnosis of 13 cases (4.8%) among 270 men with a PSA of 3 to 3.9 ng./ml. The detection rate of tumors with a Gleason score of 5 or greater increased from 1.6% (13 of 801 cases) to 4.4% (12 of 270) in the modified screening program. The PSA cutoff of 3 ng./ml. alone showed 88.6% and 87.5% specificity in protocols 1 and 2 but specificity increased to 93.3% and 91.7% using digital rectal examination and percent free PSA, respectively. CONCLUSIONS Using percent free PSA increased the detection rate of aggressive disease compared with digital rectal examination and provided higher specificity than PSA alone.

TEST SENSITIVITY OF PROSTATE-SPECIFIC ANTIGEN IN THE FINNISH RANDOMISED PROSTATE CANCER SCREENING TRIAL

We estimated the sensitivity of serum prostate‐specific antigen (PSA) as a screening test for prostate cancer in the Finnish randomised, population‐based prostate cancer screening trial. The study population consisted of 80,458 men aged 55–67 years identified from the national population registry and randomised to the screening or control arm of the trial. The screening algorithm was based on determination of serum PSA concentration. Test sensitivity was estimated based on interval cancer incidence during the first 4 years of follow‐up among screening participants with a negative screening test. Interval cancers were defined as those occurring among men with a negative screening test. Altogether, 19 interval cancers were detected among 17,897 men with serum PSA < 3 ng/ml during the first screening interval. A further 5 cases were diagnosed among 811 men with PSA 3.0–3.9 ng/ml with a benign digital rectal examination or free total PSA ratio ≥ 0.16. Test sensitivity based on serum PSA of 3 ng/ml was estimated to be 0.89 (95% confidence interval 0.84–0.93) and that based on PSA of 4 ng/ml combined with an ancillary test (digital rectal examination or free total PSA ratio in the PSA range 3.0–3.9) was 0.87 (0.82–0.92). Test sensitivity achieved with serum PSA in prostate cancer screening appears excellent in the context of a population‐based effectiveness trial.

The Finnish trial of prostate cancer screening: where are we now?

P. FINNE*†, U.-H. STENMAN*, L. MÄÄTTÄNEN‡, T. MÄKINEN§, T.L.J. TAMMELA§, P. MARTIKAINEN¶, M. RUUTU**, M. ALA-OPAS**, J. ARO**, P.J. KARHUNEN††, J. LAHTELA‡‡, P. RISSANEN†, H. JUUSELA§§, M. HAKAMA†‡ and A. AUVINEN† *Department of Clinical Chemistry, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, †School of Public Health and ††Department of Forensic Medicine and Research Unit of Clinical Chemistry, University of Tampere, ‡Finnish Cancer Registry, Helsinki, §Division of Urology, ¶Department of Pathology, Centre for Laboratory Medicine, and ‡‡Department of Internal Medicine, Tampere University Hospital, Tampere, and **Departments of Urology, and §§Surgery, Jorvi Hospital, Helsinki University Central Hospital, Helsinki, Finland

Effects of orchiectomy and polyestradiol phosphate therapy on serum lipoprotein lipids and glucose tolerance in prostatic cancer patients.

In 17 prostatic cancer patients, changes in the plasma lipoprotein pattern, including high density lipoprotein (HDL) subfractions, and in glucose tolerance were compared after 6 months on parenteral polyestradiol phosphate (PEP; Estradurin, 80 or 160 mg/month) with the respective changes in orchiectomized patients. In the estrogen group there was no change in the total serum cholesterol level, whereas in the orchiectomy group an increase of 10% was observed. Estrogen therapy resulted in a significant increase of serum HDL (11%) and HDL2 cholesterol (26%) levels; in the orchiectomy group these fractions remained unchanged. Estrogen therapy induced a significant decrease in total serum triglycerides (24%) and in low density lipoprotein triglycerides (27%); in the orchiectomy group reverse changes were observed. PEP treatment caused changes in the serum lipoprotein pattern, which apparently decreases the risk of atherosclerosis.