K. Arnold Chan

Inhibitors of hydroxymethylglutaryl-coenzyme A reductase and risk of fracture among older women

BACKGROUND Inhibitors of hydroxymethylglutaryl-coenzyme A reductase (statins) increase new bone formation in rodents and in human cells in vitro. Statin use is associated with increased bone mineral density of the femoral neck. We undertook a population-based case-control study at six health-maintenance organisations in the USA to investigate further the relation between statin use and fracture risk among older women. METHODS We investigated women aged 60 years or older. Exposure, outcome, and confounder information was obtained from automated claims and pharmacy data from October, 1994, to September, 1997. Cases had an incident diagnosis of non-pathological fracture of the hip, humerus, distal tibia, wrist, or vertebrae between October, 1996, and September, 1997. Controls had no fracture during this period. We excluded women with records of dispensing of drugs to treat osteoporosis. FINDINGS There were 928 cases and 2747 controls. Compared with women who had no record of statin dispensing during the previous 2 years, women with 13 or more statin dispensings during this period had a decreased risk of non-pathological fracture (odds ratio 0.48 [95% CI 0.27-0.83]) after adjustment for age, number of hospital admissions during the previous year, chronic disease score, and use of non-statin lipid-lowering drugs. No association was found between fracture risk and fewer than 13 dispensings of statins or between fracture risk and use of non-statin lipid-lowering drugs. INTERPRETATION Statins seem to be protective against non-pathological fracture among older women. These findings are compatible with the hypothesis that statins increase bone mineral density in human beings and thereby decrease the risk of osteoporotic fractures.

Use of a claims-based active drug safety surveillance system to assess the risk of acute pancreatitis with exenatide or sitagliptin compared to metformin or glyburide.

ABSTRACT Objective: To estimate risk and relative risk (RR) of acute pancreatitis among patients using incretin-based diabetes therapies (exenatide or sitagliptin) compared to patients treated with agents with established safety profiles (metformin or glyburide). Research design and methods: The study population was derived from a large US commercial health insurance transaction database using an active drug safety surveillance system (i3 Aperio*). This analysis is based on data from June 2005 through June 2008. Cohorts of exenatide and sitagliptin initiators were each matched to an equal number of metformin or glyburide (met/gly) initiators using propensity scores to reduce confounding in the comparison of outcomes during follow-up. Patients with claims suggesting pancreatic disease in the 6 months prior to cohort entry were excluded. * i3 Drug Safety, Waltham, MA 02451, USA, www.i3aperio.com Main outcome measure: Claims for hospitalizations associated with a primary diagnosis of acute pancreatitis (ICD-9 577.0). Results: There were 27 996 exenatide initiators and 16 276 sitagliptin initiators and approximately equal numbers of matched comparators. During follow-up of up to 1 year, acute pancreatitis occurred among 0.13% of patients treated with exenatide and 0.12% of patients treated with sitagliptin. The risk of acute pancreatitis was comparable for initiators of exenatide (RR 1.0; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.6–1.7) and sitagliptin (RR 1.0; 95% CI 0.5–2.0) relative to the comparison cohorts. Conclusions: These data do not provide evidence for an association of acute pancreatitis among initiators of exenatide or sitagliptin compared to met/gly initiators. These results are limited by the data available in an administrative, healthcare database.

Comparison of Drug Adherence Rates Among Patients with Seven Different Medical Conditions

Study Objective. To compare drug adherence rates among patients with gout, hypercholesterolemia, hypertension, hypothyroidism, osteoporosis, seizure disorders, and type 2 diabetes mellitus by using a standardized approach.

ADHD Drugs and Serious Cardiovascular Events in Children and Young Adults

BACKGROUND Adverse-event reports from North America have raised concern that the use of drugs for attention deficit-hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) increases the risk of serious cardiovascular events. METHODS We conducted a retrospective cohort study with automated data from four health plans (Tennessee Medicaid, Washington State Medicaid, Kaiser Permanente California, and OptumInsight Epidemiology), with 1,200,438 children and young adults between the ages of 2 and 24 years and 2,579,104 person-years of follow-up, including 373,667 person-years of current use of ADHD drugs. We identified serious cardiovascular events (sudden cardiac death, acute myocardial infarction, and stroke) from health-plan data and vital records, with end points validated by medical-record review. We estimated the relative risk of end points among current users, as compared with nonusers, with hazard ratios from Cox regression models. RESULTS Cohort members had 81 serious cardiovascular events (3.1 per 100,000 person-years). Current users of ADHD drugs were not at increased risk for serious cardiovascular events (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.75; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.31 to 1.85). Risk was not increased for any of the individual end points, or for current users as compared with former users (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.29 to 1.72). Alternative analyses addressing several study assumptions also showed no significant association between the use of an ADHD drug and the risk of a study end point. CONCLUSIONS This large study showed no evidence that current use of an ADHD drug was associated with an increased risk of serious cardiovascular events, although the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval indicated that a doubling of the risk could not be ruled out. However, the absolute magnitude of such an increased risk would be low. (Funded by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality and the Food and Drug Administration.).

Inhibition of Clinical Benefits of Aspirin on First Myocardial Infarction by Nonsteroidal Antiinflammatory Drugs

Background—There is clear evidence from numerous randomized trials and their meta-analyses that aspirin reduces risks of first myocardial infarction (MI). Recent data also suggest that other nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) may interfere with this benefit of aspirin. Methods and Results—We performed subgroup analysis from a 5-year randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of 325 mg aspirin on alternate days among 22 071 apparently healthy US male physicians with prospective observational data on use of NSAIDs. A total of 378 MIs were confirmed, 139 in the aspirin group and 239 in the placebo group. Aspirin conferred a statistical extreme (P <0.00001) 44% reduction in risk of first MI. Among participants randomized to aspirin, use of NSAIDs on 1 to 59 d/y was not associated with MI (multivariable adjusted relative risk [RR], 1.21; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.78 to 1.87), whereas the use of NSAIDs on ≥60 d/y was associated with MI (RR, 2.86; 95% CI, 1.25 to 6.56) compared with no use of NSAIDs. In the placebo group, the RRs for MI across the same categories of NSAID use were 1.14 (95% CI, 0.81 to 1.60) and 0.21 (95% CI, 0.03 to 1.48). Conclusions—These data suggest that regular but not intermittent use of NSAIDs inhibits the clinical benefits of aspirin. Chance, bias, and confounding remain plausible alternative explanations, despite the prospective design and adjustment for covariates. Nonetheless, we believe the most plausible interpretation of the data to be that regular but not intermittent use of NSAIDs inhibits the clinical benefit of aspirin on first MI.

Hormone therapy prescribing patterns in the United States.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to examine prescribing patterns (prevalence and rates of initiation and discontinuation) for estrogen plus progestin (hormone therapy [HT] and estrogen alone [ET]) in the United States in the 2 years before the published results of Womens Health Initiatives (WHI) HT trials early termination and for 5 months after their release. METHODS: We conducted an observational cohort study of 169,586 women aged 40–80 years who were enrolled in 5 health maintenance organizations in the United States to estimate the prevalence of HT and ET and discontinuation and initiation rates between September 1, 1999, to June 31, 2002 (baseline), and December 31, 2002 (follow-up). We used automated pharmacy data to identify all oral and transdermal estrogen and progestin dispensed during the study period. RESULTS: The prevalence of HT declined 46% from baseline to follow-up (14.6% to 7.9%); ET use declined 28% during the same period (12.6% to 9.1%). The discontinuation of HT increased almost immediately, from 2.5% at baseline to 13.8% in October 2002. We saw an immediate decrease in HT and ET initiation rates, from 0.4% and 0.3% at baseline, respectively, to 0.2% for HT and ET at follow-up. CONCLUSION: The diffusion of the WHI HT trial results had an immediate impact on the discontinuation of HT and ET and is likely responsible for the 46% and 28% decline in the initiation of these respective therapies. Further exploration of why women continue to use HT and identification of methods for addressing reasons for continued use are indicated. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: II-2

ADHD Medications and Risk of Serious Cardiovascular Events In Young and Middle-Aged Adults

CONTEXT More than 1.5 million US adults use stimulants and other medications labeled for treatment of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). These agents can increase heart rate and blood pressure, raising concerns about their cardiovascular safety. OBJECTIVE To examine whether current use of medications prescribed primarily to treat ADHD is associated with increased risk of serious cardiovascular events in young and middle-aged adults. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Retrospective, population-based cohort study using electronic health care records from 4 study sites (OptumInsight Epidemiology, Tennessee Medicaid, Kaiser Permanente California, and the HMO Research Network), starting in 1986 at 1 site and ending in 2005 at all sites, with additional covariate assessment using 2007 survey data. Participants were adults aged 25 through 64 years with dispensed prescriptions for methylphenidate, amphetamine, or atomoxetine at baseline. Each medication user (n = 150,359) was matched to 2 nonusers on study site, birth year, sex, and calendar year (443,198 total users and nonusers). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Serious cardiovascular events, including myocardial infarction (MI), sudden cardiac death (SCD), or stroke, with comparison between current or new users and remote users to account for potential healthy-user bias. RESULTS During 806,182 person-years of follow-up (median, 1.3 years per person), 1357 cases of MI, 296 cases of SCD, and 575 cases of stroke occurred. There were 107,322 person-years of current use (median, 0.33 years), with a crude incidence per 1000 person-years of 1.34 (95% CI, 1.14-1.57) for MI, 0.30 (95% CI, 0.20-0.42) for SCD, and 0.56 (95% CI, 0.43-0.72) for stroke. The multivariable-adjusted rate ratio (RR) of serious cardiovascular events for current use vs nonuse of ADHD medications was 0.83 (95% CI, 0.72-0.96). Among new users of ADHD medications, the adjusted RR was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.63-0.94). The adjusted RR for current use vs remote use was 1.03 (95% CI, 0.86-1.24); for new use vs remote use, the adjusted RR was 1.02 (95% CI, 0.82-1.28); the upper limit of 1.28 corresponds to an additional 0.19 events per 1000 person-years at ages 25-44 years and 0.77 events per 1000 person-years at ages 45-64 years. CONCLUSIONS Among young and middle-aged adults, current or new use of ADHD medications, compared with nonuse or remote use, was not associated with an increased risk of serious cardiovascular events. Apparent protective associations likely represent healthy-user bias.

The new Sentinel Network--improving the evidence of medical-product safety.

In a congressionally mandated effort to improve postmarketing safety surveillance, the FDA is seeking to develop the Sentinel Network to link vast amounts of data on patients, medication use, and adverse events. Dr. Richard Platt and colleagues argue that the best solution is a distributed data network.

Association of thiazolidinediones with liver cancer and colorectal cancer in type 2 diabetes mellitus

The objective of this nationwide case‐control study was to evaluate the risk of specific malignancy in diabetic patients who received thiazolidinediones (TZDs). A total of 606,583 type 2 diabetic patients, age 30 years and above, without a history of cancer were identified from the Taiwan National Health Insurance claims database during the period between January 1 2000 and December 31 2000. As of December 31 2007, patients with incident cancer of liver, colorectal, lung, and urinary bladder were included as cases and up to four age‐ and sex‐matched controls were selected by risk‐set sampling. Logistic regression models were applied to estimate the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) between TZDs and cancer incidence. A total of 10,741 liver cancer cases, 7,200 colorectal cancer cases, and 70,559 diabetic controls were included. A significantly lower risk of liver cancer incidence was found for any use of rosiglitazone (OR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.65‐0.81) or pioglitazone (OR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.72‐0.95), respectively. The protective effects were stronger for higher cumulative dosage and longer duration. For colorectal cancer, rosiglitazone, but not pioglitazone, was associated with a significantly reduced risk (OR: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.76‐0.96). TZDs were not associated with lung and bladder cancer incidence, although a potential increased risk for bladder cancer with pioglitazone use ≥3 years could not be excluded (OR: 1.56; 95% CI: 0.51‐4.74). Conclusion: The use of pioglitazone and rosiglitazone is associated with a decreased liver cancer incidence in diabetic patients. The effects on occurrence of specific cancer types may be different for pioglitazone and rosiglitazone. (HEPATOLOGY 2012;)

Statin use and risk of prostate cancer in the California Men's Health Study cohort.

Statins have known anticarcinogenic effects, however, evidence for long-term statin use as effective chemoprevention for prostate cancer is inconsistent. We examined the association between statin use and risk of prostate cancer among 69,047 eligible participants in the California Mens Health Study, a prospective cohort of Northern and Southern California Kaiser Permanente (KP) members, ages 45 to 69 years, initiated in 2002. Prostate cancer cases were identified by linkage to the KP California Cancer Registries. Statin exposure, estimated from automated KP outpatient pharmacy records (available since 1991 in Southern California and since 1994 in Northern California), was treated as time-varying and defined as the cumulative days dispensed of any statin from the first dispensing until a prostate cancer diagnosis, radical prostatectomy, termination of membership, or end of study (December 31, 2004). Cox proportional hazards models with age as the time scale were used to estimate rate ratios, while controlling for confounding variables. During follow-up, 888 prostate cancer cases, including 131 advanced cases, were identified. There was no association between ever statin use or <5 years use and prostate cancer. Conversely, ≥5 years use was associated with a 28% lower risk for prostate cancer compared with nonuse (adjusted rate ratio, 0.72; 95% confidence interval, 0.53-0.99). This association did not differ markedly for advanced disease. However, the association did seem to be restricted to those who regularly take nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. Our findings suggest that long-term statin use might be associated with a reduced risk of prostate cancer but perhaps only among regular nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug users. (Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2007;16(11):2218–25)