K E Hammermeister

Variables predictive of survival in patients with coronary disease. Selection by univariate and multivariate analyses from the clinical, electrocardiographic, exercise, arteriographic, and quantitative angiographic evaluations.

A progression of univariate followed by multivariate analyses was applied to 46 variables selected from the clinical examination, exercise test, coronary arteriography, and quantitative angiographic assessment of left ventricular function in patients with coronary disease to determine those variables most predictive of survival. For the 733 medically treated patients, the final Coxs regression analysis showed that the left ventricular ejection fraction was most predictive of survival, followed by age, number of vessels with stenosis(es) greater than or equal to 70%, and ventricular arrhythmia on the resting electrocardiogram. For the 1870 surgically treated patients, ventricular arrhythmia on the resting electrocardiogram was most predictive of survival followed by ejection fraction, heart murmur, left main coronary artery stenosis greater than or equal to 50%, and use of diuretic agents.

Effect of Aortocoronary Saphenous Vein Bypass Grafting on Death and Sudden Death Comparison of Nonrandomized Medically and Surgically Treated Cohorts With Comparable Coronary Disease and Left Ventricular Function

The effect of saphenous vein bypass grafting on the incidence of sudden cardiac death and total cardiovascular death was studied by comparing the survival of subsets of surgically and medically treated patients with coronary disease who were similar in two major prognostic variables: extent of coronary disease and ejection fraction. Significant differences in some baseline variables existed between medical and surgical subgroups with similar ejection fraction and extent of coronary disease. Medically treated patients tended to be in a lower functional class, to have more extensive ventricular contraction abnormalities, to have a larger end-diastolic volume, and to have fewer distal vessels feasible for grafting. Surgically treated patients with two vessel disease and normal or moderately reduced election fraction had improved survival when compared with medically treated patients with two vessel disease and similar ejection fraction. Improved survival of borderline statistical significance was also seen in surgically treated patients with three vessel disease and moderately reduced ejection fraction. When categorized according to end-diastolic volume, surgically treated patients with two vessel disease and normal or moderately increased end-diastolic volume also had improved survival over similarly defined medically treated patients. The sudden death rates for subgroups of mecically treated patients were 1.8 to 10.9 times higher than the rates in subgroups of surgically treated patients with a comparable extent of coronary disease and ejection fraction.

Effect of surgical versus medical therapy on return to work in patients with coronary artery disease

The proportion of medically and surgically treated patients with coronary artery disease working full time 1 year after cardiac catheterization or surgery, respectively, was assessed by questionnaire in a registry of patients who had had coronary angiography. The proportion of medically and surgically treated patients working 3 months before catheterization or surgery was 74 percent (148 of 201) and 75 percent (899 of 1,198), respectively, whereas 62 percent (125 of 201) and 62 percent (747 of 1,198), respectively, were working full time 1 year after catheterization or surgery. Multivariate analysis identified five variables predictive of return to work. In order of significance these were: working status 3 months before surgery or catheterization, years of education, age, functional class before surgery or catheterization and period of not working before surgery or catheterization. Work status 3 months before surgery or catheterization was clearly the best predictor of continued employment 15 months later. Surgical therapy was not more effective than medical therapy in maintaining full-time employment in this registry of patients with coronary artery disease.

Relationship of cardiothoracic ratio and plain film heart volume to late survival.

We assessed the prognostic value of cardiothoracic ratio and plain film heart volume in relation to other clinical, exercise, hemodynamic and quantitative angiographic variables. Both cardiothoracic ratio and plain film heart volume are highly sensitive, but nonspecific, indicators of abnormal left ventricular end-diastolic volume and ejection fraction. Both variables are univariately important predictors of survival in cohorts of medically and surgically treated heart disease patients. Plain film heart volume significantly adds to the multivariate prediction of prognosis obtained from groups of clinical, exercise, hemodynamic and quantitative angiographic variables. These measurements from the routine chest roentgenogram are sensitive detectors of abnormal left ventricular function or volume and important predictors of long-term survival. The fact that they contribute prognostic information in addition to left ventricular volume and ejection fraction suggests that other cardiac chamber volumes are of prognostic importance.

Prediction of late survival in patients with mitral valve disease from clinical, hemodynamic, and quantitative angiographic variables.

Late follow-up (average = 7.2 years) has been obtained in 249 patients with mitral valve disease who had quantitative angiographic assessment of left ventricular function at the time of initial catheterization in the 1960s. Surgically treated patients with mitral valve disease had significantly improved survival as compared to medically treated patients with mitral disease. The subgroup with mixed mitral stenosis and regurgitation and the subgroup with moderate impairment of ejection fraction account for this improved survival in surgically treated patients, which occurred despite greater functional and hemodynamic impairment in the surgical cohorts. Using univariate life table survival analysis, ten variables were found to be predictive of survival in the medical cohort, and three in the surgical cohort. With multivariate Coxs regression analysis, enddiastolic volume and arteriovenous oxygen difference were significantly predictive of survival in the medical cohort; age was predictive of survival in the surgical cohort.

Prognostic and predictive value of exertional hypotension in suspected coronary heart disease

The prognostic and predictive value of exertional hypotension was assessed in 1,241 patients having treadmill maximal exercise testing, coronary arteriography, and follow-up averaging 5.4 years. Medically treated patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) with exertional hypotension had poorer survival than did those without such hypotension; however, maximum systolic pressure during exercise was a more powerful predictor of survival. Patients with exertional hypotension had more extensive CAD and more left ventricular (LV) dysfunction than did patients who had an increase in blood pressure with exertion; these findings probably account for the impaired survival. However, exertional hypotension, was an insensitive indicator of significant left main coronary artery stenosis, 3-vessel disease, or severe resting LV dysfunction.

QRS changes, pulmonary edema, and myocardial necrosis associated with subarachnoid hemorrhage

Abstract A 49-year-old Caucasian female without history of cardiovascular diseases presented with a subarachnoid hemorrhage, severe hypertension, and pulmonary edema. Despite QRS changes of extensive myocardial infarction, postmortem examination revealed normal coronary arteries. Microscopic study showed extensive myocardial necrosis unrelated to vascular pattern and similar to that induced by exogenous catecholamines. The ECG changes and pulmonary edema appear to be the result of a neurohumoral myocarditis with left ventricular damage and failure. Implications for heart transplantation are cited.

Effect of perioperative myocardial infarction on late survival in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass surgery

From the Seattle Heart Watch angiography registry, the baseline characteristics and late survival of 77 patients who sustained operative infarction (new Q waves) with myocardial revascularization were compared with 1790 patients who underwent coronary artery bypass without perioperative infarction. With the exception of coronary collateral vessels, which were less frequently seen in the patients with perioperative infarction, no baseline or operative characteristic distinguished between the two groups. Late survival was clearly adversely affected by perioperative infarction. Five-year survival was 76% in patients with perioperative infarction, compared with 90% in those with no perioperative infarction.

Detection of left ventricular thrombi with radionuclide angiography.

Apparent filling defects compatible with left ventricular thrombus are occasionally noted in equilibrium radionuclide angiocardiograms. To define the usefulness of the radionuclide angiogram in detecting left ventricular thrombus, the anterior and left anterior oblique radionuclide angiograms of 39 patients with proved presence or absence of thrombus were blindly interpreted. The presence of thrombus was proved at autopsy in 5 patients, at cardiac operation in 2, or on indium-111 platelet imaging in 6; the absence of thrombus was proved at autopsy in 24 or at cardiac operation in 2. Overall, 13 radionuclide angiograms were interpreted as positive (n = 10) or equivocally positive (n = 3) for thrombus, and 26 studies were judged negative. The sensitivity of a positive or equivocally positive radionuclide angiogram for detection of thrombus was 77 percent (10 of 13 patients), the specificity 88 percent (23 of 26 patients), the positive predictive value 77 percent the negative predictive value 88 percent. If the three equivocal studies are instead considered negative for thrombus, the sensitivity was 62 percent, the specificity 92 percent, the positive predictive value 80 percent and the negative predictive value 93 percent. All thrombi were visualized in the anterior view in an area of akinetic or dyskinetic wall motion. A small group of 13 patients (8 with thrombus, 5 without) underwent two dimensional echocardiography, which was 100 percent sensitive and specific. The finding of a discrete filling defect or squared or cutoff ventricular apex in an area of abnormal wall motion in the anterior view of the radionuclide angiogram should suggest the diagnosis of ventricular thrombus, which may be confirmed by other noninvasive studies.

Myocardial imaging with indium-113m- and technetium-99m-macroaggregated albumin. New procedure for identification of stress-induced regional ischemia

Regional coronary blood flow distribution was studied by myocardial imaging after intracoronary injection of technetium-99m- and indium-113m-macroaggregated albumin at rest and during coronary hyperemia induced by intracoronary injection of Hypaque-M, 75 percent. The four- to five-fold increase in coronary flow after injection of radiographic contrast material was similar in magnitude to that occurring with maximal exercise stress. Experimentally, resting coronary blood flow and regional distribution of radioactive particles remains normal in spite of coronary stenosis of up to 85 percent. Less severe stenosis causes flow and distribution abnormalities only during periods of increased flow, and the degree of maldistribution is directly related to the physiologic severity of the stenosis. Of 49 patients with suspected coronary artery disease, 10 had no significant lesions by coronary arteriography and all had normal images at rest and during coronary hyperemia. Thirty-seven of 39 patients with significant obstructive coronary artery disease had abnormal images at rest or during contrast agent-induced hyperemia, or both. Patients with significant coronary artery disease without previous infarction usually demonstrated abnormalities in flow distribution only during coronary hyperemia. Patients with previous infarction demonstrated resting perfusion abnormalities that often became more abnormal during hyperemia. This technique provides a new method for assessing the physiologic effects of coronary stenosis in conjuntion with coronary arteriography.