K. M. Groves

Ionospheric effects of major magnetic storms during the International Space Weather Period of September and October 1999: GPS observations, VHF/UHF scintillations, and in situ density structures at middle and equatorial latitudes

In this paper we present a study of the ionospheric effects of a halo coronal mass ejection (CME) initiated on the Sun on September 20, 1999, and causing the largest magnetic storm during this month on September 22–23, 1999, with the hourly Dst index being −167 nT at ∼2400 UT on September 22. The recurrent CME on October 18 caused an even larger magnetic storm on October 22, 1999, with Dst of −231 nT at ∼0700 UT. The ionospheric effects of these two major magnetic storms are studied through their effects on a prototype of a Global Positioning System (GPS)-based navigation system called Wide Area Augmentation System (WAAS) being developed by the Federal Aviation Administration for use in the continental United States and their impact on global VHF/UHF communication systems. It is shown that the penetration of transient magnetospheric electric fields equatorward of the shielding region at midlatitudes, which have been well-correlated in the past with rapid changes in the well-known Dst index (or through its recently available high resolution 1-min counterpart the SYM-H index), can cause large increases of total electron content (TEC), TEC fluctuations, and saturated 250-MHz scintillation, and these, in turn, may have significant impacts on WAAS. The local time of Dst changes (and not just Dst magnitude) was found to be very important for WAAS, since the largest effects on TEC are seen near dusk. The prompt penetration of these magnetospheric electric fields all the way to the magnetic equator causes augmentation or inhibition of equatorial spread F. The global ionospheric response to these storms has been obtained from ground-based TEC observations with a GPS network and space-based in situ density and electric field measurements using the Republic of China Satellite-1 (ROCSAT-I) and several Defense Meteorological Satellite Program satellites. These prompt penetration electric fields cause VHF/UHF scintillations and GPS TEC variations at low latitudes in the specific longitude sector for which the early evening period corresponds to the time of rapid Dst variations and maximum Dst phase. The effects of the delayed ionospheric disturbance dynamo and those of decreased magnetospheric convection on postmidnight irregularity generation are shown to be confined to a part of the same longitude range that actively responded to the prompt penetration of electric fields in the early evening sector.

Response of the equatorial ionosphere in the South Atlantic Region to the Great Magnetic Storm of July 15, 2000

The effects of the great magnetic storm of July 15, 2000 on the equatorial ionosphere have been studied by ground-based and satellite in-situ measurements. A large westward plasma drift in the evening equatorial ionosphere was observed as a result of the ionospheric disturbance dynamo. In that environment, the IMF Bz turned southward and presumably caused penetration of E-fields to low latitudes. This E-field initiated the onset of 250 MHz and L-band scintillations at Ascension Island (15°W) and precipitous TEC decrease at Fortaleza, Brazil (38°W), bounding the narrow longitude region in the South Atlantic. These impulsive ionospheric effects were extremely well correlated with abrupt decreases of SYM-H (1-min resolution Dst). The DMSP in-situ measurements showed the presence of severe ion density bite-outs extending over 30° latitude in the South Atlantic Magnetic Anomaly region. The ROCSAT-1 satellite measured upward and large southward ion drifts in the same sector.

Specification and forecasting of scintillations in communication/navigation links: current status and future plans

Abstract The ionosphere often becomes turbulent and develops electron density irregularities. These irregularities scatter radio waves to cause amplitude and phase scintillation and affect satellite communication and GPS navigation systems. The effects are most intense in the equatorial region, moderate at high latitudes and minimum at middle latitudes. The thermosphere and the ionosphere seem to internally control the generation of irregularities in the equatorial region and its forcing by solar transients is an additional modulating factor. On the other hand, the irregularity generation mechanisms in the high-latitude ionosphere seem to be driven by magnetospheric processes and, therefore, high-latitude scintillations can be tracked by following the trail of energy from the sun in the form of solar flares and coronal mass ejections. The development of a global specification and forecast system for scintillation is needed in view of our increased reliance on space-based communication and navigation systems, which are vulnerable to ionospheric scintillation. Such scintillation specification systems are being developed for the equatorial region. An equatorial satellite equipped with an appropriate suite of sensors, capable of detecting ionospheric irregularities and tracking the drivers that control the formation of ionospheric irregularities, has also been planned for the purpose of specifying and forecasting equatorial scintillations. In the polar region, scintillation specification and forecast systems are yet to emerge although modeling and observations of polar cap plasma structures, their convection and associated irregularities have advanced greatly in recent years. Global scintillation observations made during the S-RAMP Space Weather Month in September 1999 are currently being analyzed to study the effects of magnetic storms on communication and navigation systems.

Equatorial scintillation and systems support

The need to nowcast and forecast scintillation for the support of operational systems has been recently identified by the interagency National Space Weather Program. This issue is addressed in the present paper in the context of nighttime irregularities in the equatorial ionosphere that cause intense amplitude and phase scintillations of satellite signals in the VHF/UHF range of frequencies and impact satellite communication, Global Positioning System navigation, and radar systems. Multistation and multifrequency satellite scintillation observations have been used to show that even though equatorial scintillations vary in accordance with the solar cycle, the extreme day-to-day variability of unknown origin modulates the scintillation occurrence during all phases of the solar cycle. It is shown that although equatorial scintillation events often show correlation with magnetic activity, the major component of scintillation is observed during magnetically quiet periods. In view of the day-to-day variability of the occurrence and intensity of scintillating regions, their latitude extent, and their zonal motion, a regional specification and short-term forecast system based on real-time measurements has been developed. This system, named the Scintillation Network Decision Aid, consists of two latitudinally dispersed stations, each of which uses spaced antenna scintillation receiving systems to monitor 250-MHz transmissions from two longitudinally separated geostationary satellites. The scintillation index and zonal irregularity drift are processed on-line and are retrieved by a remote operator on the Internet. At the operator terminal the data are combined with an empirical plasma bubble model to generate three-dimensional maps of irregularity structures and two-dimensional outage maps for the region.

Measurement of the latitudinal distributions of total electron content during equatorial spread F events

We have constructed latitudinal profiles of the total electron content (TEC) using measurements from six GPS receivers conducted during 1998. The TEC profiles have been divided into two groups: One corresponds to days when plumes or equatorial spread F (ESF) develops, and the second group portrays days of no-ESF condition. The presence/absence of ESF is based on the signature of the coherent echoes measured by the Jicamarca Unattended Long-Term Investigation (JULIA) radar and records of scintillations from two sites spaced in latitude. One scintillation station is located near the magnetic equator (Ancon) and the other 12° southward (Antofagasta). The TEC profiles display the typical day-to-day and seasonal variability seen at low latitudes. During the equinoxes, we observed quite often the crests of the anomaly located between 12° and 20° away from the magnetic equator and a trough in-between. The monthly distribution of the appearance of the anomaly and the local time of their appearance are in very good agreement with the reported variability of the upward vertical drifts and the current theory of the equatorial fountain effect. During the equinoxes and the December solstice, the TEC anomaly is observed almost every day, sometimes when there is no ESF activity. Nevertheless, fine inspection of the TEC latitudinal profiles suggests the existence of a close relationship between the temporal evolution of the TEC profiles near sunset and the onset of ESF. We have examined the TEC latitudinal distributions in two different ways. First, we calculated time difference profiles using the distributions corresponding to 1800 and 2000 LT. Second, we used a parameterization of the TEC distributions obtained at 2000 LT. The first method indicates quite drastic increases of the crest values and sharp decreases near the trough during ESF days. In contrast, during days of no ESF there exist almost uniform TEC decreases at all latitudes. The second method displays a preferred high crest/trough ratio (>2), small TEC values at the trough, and large latitudinal integrated values during ESF events.

Dynamics of equatorial F region irregularities from spaced receiver scintillation observations

Spaced receiver observations of amplitude scintillations on a 244 MHz signal, at an equatorial station, have been used to study random temporal changes associated with the scintillation-producing irregularities and the variability of their motion. The computed drift of the scintillation pattern shows the presence of velocity structures associated with equatorial bubbles in the early phase of their development. On magnetically quiet days, after 22:00 LT, the estimated drifts fall into a pattern which is close to that of the ambient plasma drift. There is considerable decorrelation between the two signals until 22:00 LT. The power spectra of the most highly correlated scintillations recorded by spaced receivers indicate that the associated irregularities are confined to a thin layer on the bottomside of the equatorial F region. This suggests that the convection pattern associated with bottomside irregularities is stable due to the dominance of ion-neutral collisions over ion inertia.

Equatorial plasma depletion precursor signatures and onset observed at 11° south of the magnetic equator

Coordinated radio and optical measurements of the structure and dynamics of the postsunset equatorial ionosphere were conducted on October 1, 1994, from Agua Verde, Chile (11.3°S magnetic latitude (MLat)). The measurements clearly show a north-south aligned undulation or ripple on the bottomside of the F layer at 2000 LT, appearing as an eastward propagating decrease in the 630.0-nm airglow, resembling a traveling ionospheric disturbance in the digital portable ionosonde measurements and causing a total electron content decrease in the Global Positioning System (GPS) satellite measurements. The initial development of this feature, toward the east and away from the magnetic equator, took place in an otherwise smooth, unstructured ionosphere. Spread F began to develop in the ionograms at 2020 LT, and, at this same time, local onset of satellite signal scintillation was detected using the multiple ray paths throughout the sky available from the GPS satellite constellation transmitting at L band frequencies. UHF scintillation measurements from Ancon, Peru, along the same magnetic field line, show that intense scintillation and ionospheric irregularities had developed over the magnetic equator almost 60 min prior to their development at 11°S MLat. The observations suggest that the east-west electric field expected to be present within the earlier developed depletion and scintillation region at the magnetic equator mapped along magnetic field lines to lower altitudes and higher latitudes, resulting in an undulation or dome-shaped structure, before evolving into a fully developed depletion (with associated ionospheric irregularities) all along the magnetic flux tube.

Global equatorial plasma bubble occurrence during the 2015 St. Patrick's Day storm

An analysis of the occurrence of equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) around the world during the 2015 St. Patricks Day geomagnetic storm is presented. A network of 12 Global Positioning System receivers spanning from South America to Southeast Asia was used, in addition to colocated VHF receivers at three stations and four nearby ionosondes. The suppression of postsunset EPBs was observed across most longitudes over 2 days. The EPB observations were compared to calculations of the linear Rayleigh-Taylor growth rate using coupled thermosphere-ionosphere modeling, which successfully modeled the transition of favorable EPB growth from postsunset to postmidnight hours during the storm. The mechanisms behind the growth of postmidnight EPBs during this storm were investigated. While the latter stages of postmidnight EPB growth were found to be dominated by disturbance dynamo effects, the initial stages of postmidnight EPB growth close to local midnight were found to be controlled by the higher altitudes of the plasma (i.e., the gravity term). Modeling and observations revealed that during the storm the ionospheric plasma was redistributed to higher altitudes in the low-latitude region, which made the plasma more susceptible to Rayleigh-Taylor growth prior to the dominance of the disturbance dynamo in the eventual generation of postmidnight EPBs.

Ionospheric scintillation monitoring and mitigation using a software GPS receiver

Ionospheric scintillation can degrade GPS performance in many ways. The scintillations are caused by ionospheric irregularities and affect the amplitude, phase, dispersion, and related parameters of GPS signals. Both L1 and L2 are affected in a somewhat uncorrelated fashion. All these factors contribute to the performance of GPS receivers under scintillating conditions and different receiver implementations behave differently. Adequate understanding of the scintillation related effects on GPS signals is essential in order to develop GPS receivers which could be immune from ionospheric scintillation related effects. The software GPS receiver developed by CRS facilitates advanced development of GPS receivers under different conditions. We present the results obtained with scintillating data collected over Ascension Island during March 2001. The raw signals (under scintillating conditions) have been processed using the software GPS receiver in order to derive the scintillation parameters. The receiver has been configured to provide stable operation during scintillation. This implementation provides configurations of receivers for ionospheric monitoring as well as for receivers that provide reliable operation during scintillating conditions.

Geomagnetic control of equatorial plasma bubble activity modeled by the TIEGCM with Kp

Describing the day-to-day variability of Equatorial Plasma Bubble (EPB) occurrence remains a significant challenge. In this study we use the Thermosphere-Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIEGCM), driven by solar (F10.7) and geomagnetic (Kp) activity indices, to study daily variations of the linear Rayleigh-Taylor (R-T) instability growth rate in relation to the measured scintillation strength at five longitudinally distributed stations. For locations characterized by generally favorable conditions for EPB growth (i.e., within the scintillation season for that location), we find that the TIEGCM is capable of identifying days when EPB development, determined from the calculated R-T growth rate, is suppressed as a result of geomagnetic activity. Both observed and modeled upward plasma drifts indicate that the prereversal enhancement scales linearly with Kp from several hours prior, from which it is concluded that even small Kp changes cause significant variations in daily EPB growth.