Karen L. Furie

A score to predict early risk of recurrence after ischemic stroke

Background: There is currently no instrument to stratify patients presenting with ischemic stroke according to early risk of recurrent stroke. We sought to develop a comprehensive prognostic score to predict 90-day risk of recurrent stroke. Methods: We analyzed data on 1,458 consecutive ischemic stroke patients using a Cox regression model with time to recurrent stroke as the response and clinical and imaging features typically available to physician at admission as covariates. The 90-day risk of recurrent stroke was calculated by summing up the number of independent predictors weighted by their corresponding β-coefficients. The resultant score was called recurrence risk estimator at 90 days or RRE-90 score (available at: http://www.nmr.mgh.harvard.edu/RRE-90/). Results: Sixty recurrent strokes (54 had baseline imaging) occurred during the follow-up period. The risk adjusted for time to follow-up was 6.0%. Predictors of recurrence included admission etiologic stroke subtype, prior history of TIA/stroke, and topography, age, and distribution of brain infarcts. The RRE-90 score demonstrated adequate calibration and good discrimination (area under the ROC curve [AUC] = 0.70–0.80), which was maintained when applied to a separate cohort of 433 patients (AUC = 0.70–0.76). The models performance was also maintained for predicting early (14-day) risk of recurrence (AUC = 0.80). Conclusions: The RRE-90 is a Web-based, easy-to-use prognostic score that integrates clinical and imaging information available in the acute setting to quantify early risk of recurrent stroke. The RRE-90 demonstrates good predictive performance, suggesting that, if validated externally, it has promise for use in creating individualized patient management algorithms and improving clinical practice in acute stroke care.

Ischemic Stroke Is Associated with the ABO Locus: The EuroCLOT Study

Objective: End‐stage coagulation and the structure/function of fibrin are implicated in the pathogenesis of ischemic stroke. We explored whether genetic variants associated with end‐stage coagulation in healthy REFVIDunteers account for the genetic predisposition to ischemic stroke and examined their influence on stroke subtype.

Functional Contrast-Enhanced CT for Evaluation of Acute Ischemic Stroke Does Not Increase the Risk of Contrast-Induced Nephropathy

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Concerns have recently grown regarding the safety of iodinated contrast agents used for CTA and CTP imaging. We tested whether the incidence of AN, defined by a ≥25% increase in the post−contrast scan creatinine level, was higher among patients with ischemic stroke who underwent a functional contrast-enhanced CT protocol compared with those who had no iodinated contrast administration. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The contrast-exposed group consisted of 575 patients with acute ischemic stroke who underwent CTA (n = 313), CTA/CTP (n = 224), or CTA/CTP followed by conventional angiography (n = 38) within 24 hours of stroke onset and were consecutively enrolled in a prospective cohort study. The nonexposed group consisted of 343 patients with ischemic stroke, consecutively admitted to the same institution, who did not receive iodinated contrast material. Patients were stratified by baseline eGFR. In the primary analysis, the Fisher exact test was used to compare the incidence of AN between the contrast-exposed and the nonexposed patients at 24, 48, and 72 hours and on a cumulative basis. A secondary analysis compared the incidence of AN in patients who underwent conventional angiography following CTA/CTP versus patients who underwent CTA/CTP only. RESULTS: The incidence of AN was 5% in the exposed and 10% in the nonexposed group (P = .003). Patients who underwent conventional angiography after contrast CT were at no greater risk of AN than patients who underwent CTA/CTP alone (26 patients, 5%; and 2 patients, 5%, respectively; P = .7). CONCLUSIONS: Administration of a contrast-enhanced CT protocol involving CTA/CTP and conventional angiography in selected patients does not appear to increase the incidence of CIN.

Stroke in young patients with hyperhomocysteinemia due to cystathionine beta-synthase deficiency

Background: Although hyperhomocyst(e)inemia (Hyper-Hcy) may predispose to atherosclerosis and venous thrombosis, the mechanisms of stroke associated with Hyper-Hcy are not defined. Methods: Clinical and biochemical phenotypes and genetic features of three unrelated patients with premature stroke and severe Hyper-Hcy due to cystathionine beta-synthase (CBS) deficiency are described. Plasma Hcy and amino acids were measured by fluorescence polarization immune assay and ion exchange chromatography. Analysis of the CBS and methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase genes was performed by restriction enzyme digestion and sequence analysis. Results: Two of the three index cases had no known diagnosis of homocystinuria and initially presented with embolic cerebral and retinal infarction in mid-adulthood. Mechanisms of cerebrovascular disease were carotid intraluminal thrombosis, arterial dissection, and possible cardiac embolism. Family screening revealed additional members with clinically silent homocystinuria and severe Hyper-Hcy. Excluding tall stature in two individuals, all had mild phenotypes, without classic findings of CBS deficiency. Plasma total and free Hcy, methionine, and urine Hcy were elevated. Genotyping revealed heterozygous CBS mutations (I278T, D444N, G307S) in affected individuals. Conclusion: Artery-to-artery embolism and dissection may cause stroke in young adults with homocystinuria. The results also support a rationale for screening for Hyper-Hcy in young adults with stroke without a phenotype suggestive of classic homocystinuria.

Genome-wide meta-analysis of cerebral white matter hyperintensities in patients with stroke

Objective: For 3,670 stroke patients from the United Kingdom, United States, Australia, Belgium, and Italy, we performed a genome-wide meta-analysis of white matter hyperintensity volumes (WMHV) on data imputed to the 1000 Genomes reference dataset to provide insights into disease mechanisms. Methods: We first sought to identify genetic associations with white matter hyperintensities in a stroke population, and then examined whether genetic loci previously linked to WMHV in community populations are also associated in stroke patients. Having established that genetic associations are shared between the 2 populations, we performed a meta-analysis testing which associations with WMHV in stroke-free populations are associated overall when combined with stroke populations. Results: There were no associations at genome-wide significance with WMHV in stroke patients. All previously reported genome-wide significant associations with WMHV in community populations shared direction of effect in stroke patients. In a meta-analysis of the genome-wide significant and suggestive loci (p < 5 × 10−6) from community populations (15 single nucleotide polymorphisms in total) and from stroke patients, 6 independent loci were associated with WMHV in both populations. Four of these are novel associations at the genome-wide level (rs72934505 [NBEAL1], p = 2.2 × 10−8; rs941898 [EVL], p = 4.0 × 10−8; rs962888 [C1QL1], p = 1.1 × 10−8; rs9515201 [COL4A2], p = 6.9 × 10−9). Conclusions: Genetic associations with WMHV are shared in otherwise healthy individuals and patients with stroke, indicating common genetic susceptibility in cerebral small vessel disease.

Thrombin generation in non-cardioembolic stroke subtypes The Hemostatic System Activation Study

Background: The association between hemostatic activation, stroke mechanism, and outcome is poorly defined. The Hemostatic System Activation Study (HAS) investigators measured serial levels of prothrombin fragment F1.2, a marker of thrombin generation, in patients enrolled in the Warfarin Aspirin Recurrent Stroke Study (WARSS). Methods: HAS enrolled 631 of the 2,206 patients in WARSS. Strokes were subtyped according to inferred mechanism. Plasma was collected for F1.2 at randomization (within 30 days of stroke), 3 months, 12 months, and 18 months. The 3 to 6 month samples in aspirin-treated patients were used for the primary analysis. Results: The authors analyzed 3 to 6 month samples on 320 patients. Higher F1.2 levels were associated with older age, female sex, and hypertension. There was no difference between mean F1.2 levels in 56 cryptogenic (0.9 ± 0.32 nmol/L) and 114 non-cryptogenic (1.13 ± 0.74 nmol/L) patients or across specific stroke subtypes. There was an 8.8%/year (p = 0.006) increase in mean F1.2 levels. There was a trend toward higher risk of recurrent stroke or death as F1.2 levels increased in aspirin (RR: 1.30, 95% CI: 0.57 to 2.94, p = 0.53) and warfarin treated patients (RR: 1.68, 95% CI: 0.48 to 5.94, p = 0.42). F1.2 levels were reduced on average 70% in warfarin-treated patients in a dose-dependent fashion. Conclusion: F1.2 levels did not appear to differ by stroke subtype, suggesting that factors other than underlying stroke pathophysiology influence thrombin generation in the post-acute stroke period. F1.2 levels were suppressed by warfarin in a dose-dependent fashion. Additional research is needed to determine the predictive value of F1.2 after stroke.

Severity of leukoaraiosis determines clinical phenotype after brain infarction

Objective: To determine whether the extent of leukoaraiosis, a composite marker of baseline brain integrity, differed between patients with TIA with diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) evidence of infarction (transient symptoms with infarction [TSI]) and patients with ischemic stroke. Methods: Leukoaraiosis volume on MRI was quantified in a consecutive series of 153 TSI and 354 ischemic stroke patients with comparable infarct volumes on DWI. We explored the relationship between leukoaraiosis volume and clinical phenotype (TIA or ischemic stroke) using a logistic regression model. Results: Patients with TSI tended to be younger (median age 66 vs 69 years, p = 0.062) and had smaller median normalized leukoaraiosis volume (1.2 mL, interquartile range [IQR] 0.2–4.7 mL vs 3.5 mL, IQR 1.2–8.6 mL, p < 0.001). In multivariable analysis controlling for age, stroke risk factors, etiologic stroke mechanism, infarct volume, and infarct location, increasing leukoaraiosis volume remained associated with ischemic stroke (odds ratio 1.05 per mL, 95%confidence interval 1.02–1.09, p = 0.004), along with infarct volume and infarct location. Conclusion: The probability of ischemic stroke rather than TSI increases with increasing leukoaraiosis volume, independent of infarct size and location. Our findings support the concept that the integrity of white matter tracts connecting different parts of the brain could contribute to whether or not patients develop TSI or ischemic stroke in an event of brain infarction.