Karen M. Hogan

A Multi-Criteria Decision Model for Fixed Income Sector Allocation for Endowment Funds

Bond investing requires decision-making on multiple levels. Some criteria are qualitative, some are quantitative, and there may be conflicting objectives such as avoidance of credit risk versus need for income. Since managers of endowment funds must allocate their assets based on numerous dimensions, a multi-criteria decision model can help to evaluate competing criteria. We describe the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), which allows investors to integrate multiple decision criteria, and apply the model to the sector allocation problem faced by managers of endowment portfolios. The AHP gives rise to a flexible model for bond investors for a range of economic scenarios, risk profiles, and time horizons.

Identifying compounds for pharmaceutical companies’ development tracks using a multi-criteria decision model

Pharmaceutical companies are faced with identifying development compounds for their Drug Development Processes (DDPs) that will not only gain approval for sale by the regulatory agencies, such as the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), but also establish a sustainable and profitable market presence. This identification of compounds for the DDP includes projection of objective criteria, such as ability to generate revenue and profitability (Financial) and safety and efficacy (Clinical), as well as more subjective criteria, such as determination of insurance coverage by payers, such as the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services and pricing (Reimbursement), ability to produce a product of consistent quality (Manufacturing), and attain approval for sale in a timely manner (Registration). The Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) is a multi-criteria decision model that can integrate both objective and subjective information. This study applies the AHP methodology to the identification of compounds resulting in a dynamic application of the model that can be used by pharmaceutical companies to determine the best compounds to put in the DDP, at a time when the cost of conducting clinical evaluations for development compounds is very high and global market conditions are evolving.

A Multicriteria Decision Model for Venture Capital Firms’ Evaluation of New Technology Business Firms

New Technology Business Firms are known to be volatile dynamic organizations whose innovations are subject to short life cycles and product imitability. Venture capitalist firms who allocate funds to these start-ups need to evaluate multiple facets associated with the individual firm’s internal and external characteristics, as well as, its own unique objectives and goals. This study applies a multicriteria decision making model to the identification for venture capital firms of potential New Technology Business Firms who are requesting capital infusions.

An Evaluation of Country Risk in Assessing Direct Foreign Investment

Deciding the country or region of the world to expand and/or to continue a firms direct foreign investment is a decision fraught with risks. Multinational firms are faced with making the decision of expanding their business without full knowledge of what will occur in the months or years ahead in the region with which they are proposing expansion. Many of the factors which will affect the decision are nonquantitative in nature and make the decision more difficult for the firm to undertake. This chapter uses an analytical hierarchy process to help analyze both quantitative and qualitative factors that will affect a countrys or region of the worlds risk level. The model can be used to evaluate country risk in assessing potential direct foreign investments and can lead to a better allocation of the firms scarce resources to more profitable areas.

Selecting board of directors for socially responsible firms using a multicriteria decision model

In the wake of the recent accounting and financial scandals that have resulted in significant losses, corporate social responsibility (CSR) is viewed by many investors as an important criterion in their investment selection strategy. In addition, social responsibility is viewed by current employees as an important source of job satisfaction and by potential employees as an attractive feature in their decision process. Corporate governance, in the form of the board of directors, serves as the ultimate internal control mechanism by aligning firm insiders and outsiders. The strength and independence of the board of directors becomes a fundamental concern, as firms with strong boards may be more likely to survive and prosper in the long run. The selection of candidates to the board of directors involves both subjective and objective information. The analytical hierarchy process (AHP) is a multicriteria decision model that can integrate both objective and subjective information. This study applies the AHP methodology to the identification of characteristics of candidates to the board of directors of socially responsible firms. The result is a dynamic model that can be used by socially responsible firms to efficiently select candidates to serve on their board of directors.