Karolina Lewandowska-Gwarda

Spatial Analysis Of Foreign Migration In Poland In 2012 Using Geographically Weighted Regression

Abstract Migration has a principal influence on countries’ population changes. Thus, the issues connected with the causes, effects and directions of people’s movements are a common topic of political and academic discussions. The aim of this paper is to analyse the spatial distribution of officially registered foreign migration in Poland in 2012. GIS tools are implemented for data visualization and statistical analysis. Geographically weighted regression (GWR) is used to estimate the impact of unemployment, wages and other socioeconomic variables on the foreign emigration and immigration measure. GWR provides spatially varying estimates of model parameters that can be presented on a map, giving a useful graphical representation of spatially varying relationships.

What determines the permanent emigration of poles? The analysis of the spatial diversification of causes in three economic age groups

Our paper seeks answers to the following questions: What are the determinants of permanent emigration from Poland and how do they vary for specific economic age groups (pre-working, working, and post-working age)? Do the causes of permanent emigration differ over space in these categories, and if so, how? We applied GIS and ESDA instruments, including geographically weighted regression, which allowed us to identify the variability of regression coefficients in the geographical space. Our research indicated socio-economic factors (among others: poviats budget income, feminisation rate, unemployment rate), which, with varying force and in varying directions, affected the studied variable in specific parts of the country. The analyses were performed on the basis of statistical data on the numbers of de-registrations for residence abroad in Poland’s NUTS-4 in three economic age groups (pre-working, working, and post-working age) for the time span from 2005 to 2013.

Zależności przestrzenne w kształtowaniu się procesów migracyjnych w wybranych miastach Europy

Problematyka rozwoju regionalnego jest jednym z wazniejszych kierunkow badan we wspolczesnych naukach ekonomicznych. Niniejsza publikacja wpisuje sie w szeroko rozumiany nurt badan regionalnych, lokalnych i przestrzenno-czasowych. W szczegolności poruszane są w niej zagadnienia zrownowazonego rozwoju, gospodarek opartych na wiedzy, funkcjonowania samorządow regionalnych. Prezentowane analizy zostaly przeprowadzone z wykorzystaniem zroznicowanych narzedzi, takich jak: metody i modele ekonometrii przestrzennej, eksploracyjna analiza danych przestrzennych, metody wielowymiarowej analizy porownawczej, hurtowni danych (Data Warehouse) i narzedzi Business Intelligence. Ksiązka jest adresowana do praktykow gospodarczych, analitykow, naukowcow, studentow i do wszystkich zajmujących sie problematyką empirycznych badan regionalnych. Zamieszczone w artykule wyniki są cześcią obszernego badania, ktorego rezultaty zaprezentowano podczas 7. Seminarium im. prof. J.H.P. Paelincka, 20– 21.11.2014 r. w Zaragozie, http://metodos.upct.es/7JP/Program/index.html.

Analysis of Emigration in Europe Using the Spatial Dynamic Shift-Share Method

Abstract The aim of the paper is to examine the pace of change in emigration levels in 24 selected European countries from 1999 to 2012, by age, country and the reference area. The spatial dynamic shift-share method is used in this research. The study analyses each country’s share and identifies structural as well as geographic factors in the volume of the net global effect. It also considers a spatial weights matrix. Results reveal that the global mean pace of change in the emigration is positive. The pace of phenomenon is the fastest among individuals aged 45–64 and also 35–44 years and in Czech Rep., Lithuania, Spain, Hungary and Germany.