Kazumasa Ohara

Chronic Kidney Disease and CHADS2 Score Independently Predict Cardiovascular Events and Mortality in Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation

Chronic kidney disease is a risk factor for cardiovascular events, but how it relates to the prognosis associated with clinical risk factors for thromboembolism in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) is not well known. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), score for congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes mellitus, and stroke/transient ischemic attack (CHADS(2)), and clinical outcomes of cardiovascular events were determined in 387 patients with nonvalvular AF (mean age 66 years, 289 men, mean follow-up 5.6 ± 3.2 years). Decreased eGFR (<60 ml/min/1.73 m(2)) combined with CHADS(2) score ≥2 was associated with higher all-cause (12.9% vs 1.4% per year, hazard ratio [HR] 6.9, p <0.001) and cardiovascular (6.5% vs 0.2% per year, HR 29.7, p <0.001) mortalities compared to preserved eGFR (≥60 ml/min/1.73 m(2)) combined with CHADS(2) score <2. This was also true for rates of cardiac events (cardiac death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or hospitalization for worsening of heart failure, 10.4% vs 1.3% per year, HR 8.9, p <0.001), ischemic stroke (3.6% vs 0.2% per year, HR 11.0, p <0.001), and cardiovascular events (cardiac events and ischemic stroke, 13.6% vs 1.5% per year, HR 8.3, p <0.001). On multivariate analysis, CHADS(2) score ≥2, decreased eGFR, and male gender independently predicted all-cause mortality. In conclusion, combined eGFR and CHADS(2) score could be an independent powerful predictor of cardiovascular events and mortality in patients with nonvalvular AF. Long-term mortality, cardiac events, and stroke risk were >8 times higher when decreased eGFR (<60 ml/min/1.73 m(2)) was present with higher CHADS(2) score (≥2).

Relation of left atrial blood stasis to clinical risk factors in atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND The present study was conducted to investigate whether an accumulation of clinical risk factors for thromboembolism would correlate with severity of blood stasis in the left atrium (LA) and aortic atherosclerosis in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). METHODS Risk levels of thromboembolism were assessed in 515 (mean age 67.5 years) NVAF patients using CHADS(2) score (an acronym for Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age >or=75, Diabetes mellitus, and prior Stroke or transient ischemic attack) to estimate the thromboembolic risk. Spontaneous echocardiographic contrast in the LA (LASEC), left atrial appendage (LAA) peak flow velocity, and severity of atherosclerosis in the descending aorta were determined with transesophageal echocardiography. RESULTS LASEC was significantly increased, and LAA flow velocity significantly decreased in correlation with an increase in the risk levels, as evaluated by CHADS(2) score (p<0.001). Severity of aortic atherosclerosis also increased in correlation with an increase in the risk levels (p<0.001). Even at the comparable risk level, patients with chronic atrial fibrillation (AF) (n=268) had higher LASEC (p<0.001) and lower LAA flow velocity (p<0.001) than those with paroxysmal AF (n= 52) who were in AF rhythm at the time of echocardiographic investigation. CONCLUSION Severity of blood stasis in the LA and aortic atherosclerosis correlates with an accumulation of clinical risk factors for thromboembolism in NVAF patients. Additionally, the severity of blood stasis in the LA was greater in chronic AF patients than in paroxysmal AF patients at the comparable risk level.

Clinical and transesophageal echocardiographic variables for prediction of thromboembolic events in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation at low-intermediate risk

BACKGROUND There is no clear consensus about antithrombotic treatment in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients at low-intermediate thromboembolic risk. Transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) is useful for prediction of thromboembolic events in AF. METHODS AND RESULTS Of 498 patients with nonvalvular AF, incidence of stroke, cardiac events, and mortality was investigated in 280 patients with CHADS(2) score 0 or 1 (mean age 64 years, mean follow-up 6.4 ± 3.1 years). Left atrial abnormality (low left atrial appendage flow, spontaneous echo contrast, or thrombi), complex aortic plaque (mobile, ulcerated, pedunculate, or thickness ≥ 4mm), or both were defined as TEE risk. The incidences of ischemic stroke, cardiovascular events, and death were higher in patients with TEE risk than in those without the risk (2.0%/year vs. 0.5%/year, p<0.05; 4.7%/year vs. 1.9%/year, p<0.01; and 4.7%/year vs. 2.0%/year, p<0.01, respectively). This was also true for patients with CHADS(2) score of 0 (1.7%/year vs. 0.3%/year, p<0.05; 4.1%/year vs. 1.6%/year, p<0.05; and 3.9%/year vs. 1.4%/year, p<0.01; respectively). On multivariate analysis, TEE risk predicted ischemic stroke, cardiovascular events, and mortality independently of clinical variables or CHADS(2) score. CONCLUSIONS TEE could be useful for further stratification of patients with nonvalvular AF stratified at low-intermediate risk (CHADS(2) score 0 or 1) and could indicate who should receive anticoagulation treatment.

Impact of persistent smoking on long-term outcomes in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND Although smoking is a risk factor for cardiovascular diseases, little is known about the impact of smoking on long-term outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS In 426 consecutive patients with nonvalvular AF (mean age, 66 years; 307 men; mean follow-up, 5.8±3.2 years), clinical variables including smoking status, CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc score, incidences of cardiovascular events (stroke, myocardial infarction, or admission for heart failure), bleeding, and mortality were determined. RESULTS Incidences of intracranial bleeding (0.7% vs 0.1%/year, p<0.01), all-cause mortality (4.9% vs 2.6%/year, p<0.01), and death from stroke (0.8% vs 0.2%/year, p<0.05) were higher in patients with history of smoking than in those without it. Incidence of intracranial bleeding was significantly higher in persistent smokers than in non-persistent smokers (1.2% vs 0.2%/year, p<0.01). History of smoking predicted all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR), 2.7; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.7-4.5; p<0.01] and death from stroke (HR 4.7; 95% CI 1.0-22.3; p<0.05) independent of age, antithrombotic treatment, CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc score. Persistent smoking predicted intracranial bleeding (HR 4.4; 95% CI 1.1-17.6; p<0.05) independent of age and antithrombotic treatment. CONCLUSIONS Smoking status, independent of age, antithrombotic treatment, and clinical risk factors, predicted long-term adverse outcomes including bleeding events in patients with nonvalvular AF. There might be an obvious impact of persistent smoking on intracranial bleeding.

Transesophageal echocardiographic findings are independent and relevant predictors of ischemic stroke in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.

Background and Purpose Not only clinical factors, including the CHADS2 score, but also echocardiographic findings have been reported to be useful for predicting the risk of ischemic stroke in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). However, it remains to be determined which of these factors might be more relevant for evaluation of the risk of stroke in each patient. Methods In 490 patients with NVAF who underwent transesophageal echocardiography (TEE), we examined the long-term incidence of ischemic stroke events (mean follow-up time, 5.7±3.3 years). For each patient, the predictive values of gender, the CHADS2 risk factors (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes mellitus, history of cerebral ischemia), the CHADS2 score, and the findings on echocardiography, including TEE risk markers, were assessed. Results The ischemic stroke rate was significantly correlated with the CHADS2 score (p<0.05). According to the results of univariate analyses, age ≥75 years, history of cerebral ischemia, CHADS2 score ≥2, and presence of TEE risk were significantly correlated with the incidence of ischemic stroke. Cox proportional hazards regression analyses identified age ≥75 years and presence of TEE risk as significant predictors of subsequent ischemic stroke events in patients with NVAF. As compared with that in persons below 75 years of age without TEE risk, the ischemic stroke rate was significantly higher in persons who were ≥75 years of age with TEE risk (4.3 vs. 0.56%/year, adjusted hazard ratio=8.94, p<0.001). Conclusions TEE findings might be more relevant predictors of ischemic stroke than the CHADS2 score in patients with NVAF. The stroke risk was more than 8-fold higher in patients aged ≥75 years with TEE risk.

Relation of the severity of mitral regurgitation to thromboembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are at risk for thromboembolism. Although mitral regurgitation (MR) could be protective against left atrial (LA) blood stasis, the relationship between the severity of MR and thromboembolic risk has not been clarified in patients with AF. METHODS 271 patients with permanent AF underwent transesophageal echocardiography (TEE). The severity of MR was assessed by Doppler echocardiography. LA blood stasis on TEE and plasma D-dimer levels were used to evaluate the thromboembolic risk. RESULTS Patients with severe MR (n=20) had significantly higher LA appendage peak flow velocity compared to those with no MR (n=114) and those with only mild MR (n=92) (p<0.05). The grade of LA spontaneous echo contrast (SEC) was lower in patients with severe MR compared to those with no, mild or moderate MR (severe MR 0.7±0.7 grade vs moderate MR 1.7±1.0 grade, mild MR 2.2±1.3 grade, and no MR 1.9±1.3 grade, p<0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed severe MR as a negative predictor of LA blood stasis on TEE findings (odds ratio 0.27; 95% confidence interval 0.09-0.86, p<0.05). By contrast, D-dimer level was significantly higher in patients with moderate MR compared to those with any other type of severity of MR (moderate MR 1.72±1.45 µg/ml vs severe MR 0.76±0.95 µg/ml, mild MR 0.97±1.09 µg/ml, and no MR 0.82±1.15 µg/ml, p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS There is a protective effect of MR on LA blood stasis, but this beneficial effect on thromboembolic risk appears to be limited to patients with severe MR.

Transesophageal echocardiographic thromboembolic risk is associated with smoking status in patients with atrial fibrillation

Smoking is a risk factor for cardiovascular diseases, but it is unclear whether smoking status, including environmental tobacco smoke, increases stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Abnormalities of the left atrium (LA) and aortic atherosclerosis, as detected by transesophageal echocardiography (TEE), are risk factors for stroke and thromboembolism in AF patients. We investigated the impact of smoking status on thromboembolic risk by TEE in patients with nonvalvular AF.