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Dive into the research topics where Keith H. Nislow is active.

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Featured researches published by Keith H. Nislow.


PLOS ONE | 2007

Population response to habitat fragmentation in a stream-dwelling brook trout population

Benjamin H. Letcher; Keith H. Nislow; Jason A. Coombs; Matthew J. O'Donnell; Todd L. Dubreuil

Fragmentation can strongly influence population persistence and expression of life-history strategies in spatially-structured populations. In this study, we directly estimated size-specific dispersal, growth, and survival of stream-dwelling brook trout in a stream network with connected and naturally-isolated tributaries. We used multiple-generation, individual-based data to develop and parameterize a size-class and location-based population projection model, allowing us to test effects of fragmentation on population dynamics at local (i.e., subpopulation) and system-wide (i.e., metapopulation) scales, and to identify demographic rates which influence the persistence of isolated and fragmented populations. In the naturally-isolated tributary, persistence was associated with higher early juvenile survival (∼45% greater), shorter generation time (one-half) and strong selection against large body size compared to the open system, resulting in a stage-distribution skewed towards younger, smaller fish. Simulating barriers to upstream migration into two currently-connected tributary populations caused rapid (2–6 generations) local extinction. These local extinctions in turn increased the likelihood of system-wide extinction, as tributaries could no longer function as population sources. Extinction could be prevented in the open system if sufficient immigrants from downstream areas were available, but the influx of individuals necessary to counteract fragmentation effects was high (7–46% of the total population annually). In the absence of sufficient immigration, a demographic change (higher early survival characteristic of the isolated tributary) was also sufficient to rescue the population from fragmentation, suggesting that the observed differences in size distributions between the naturally-isolated and open system may reflect an evolutionary response to isolation. Combined with strong genetic divergence between the isolated tributary and open system, these results suggest that local adaptation can ‘rescue’ isolated populations, particularly in one-dimensional stream networks where both natural and anthropogenically-mediated isolation is common. However, whether rescue will occur before extinction depends critically on the race between adaptation and reduced survival in response to fragmentation.


Molecular Ecology Resources | 2008

create: a software to create input files from diploid genotypic data for 52 genetic software programs

Jason A. Coombs; Benjamin H. Letcher; Keith H. Nislow

create is a Windows program for the creation of new and conversion of existing data input files for 52 genetic data analysis software programs. Programs are grouped into areas of sibship reconstruction, parentage assignment, genetic data analysis, and specialized applications. create is able to read in data from text, Microsoft Excel and Access sources and allows the user to specify columns containing individual and population identifiers, birth and death data, sex data, relationship information, and spatial location data. creates only constraints on source data are that one individual is contained in one row, and the genotypic data is contiguous. create is available for download at http://www.lsc.usgs.gov/CAFL/Ecology/Software.html.


Geology | 2003

Scale-independent assessment of discharge reduction and riparian disconnectivity following flow regulation by dams

Francis J. Magilligan; Keith H. Nislow; Brian E. Graber

By using the established hydraulic relationships among flood frequency, flood magnitude, and river-channel capacity, we develop a scale-independent assessment of the hydrogeomorphic impacts of 21 dams across the United States that have broad ranges in function and contributing drainage area. On the basis of generalized extreme value (GEV) analysis of pre- and post-dam hydrologic records, our analysis indicates that the 2 yr discharge has decreased ∼60% following impoundment, exceeding the magnitude of climatically triggered discharge reductions occurring during the Holocene. Reductions in the frequency of the pre-dam 2 yr discharge have been equally profound. The pre-dam 2 yr flood has occurred on average twice per site, whereas statistical analysis indicates that it should have occurred ∼20 times. Furthermore, floods greater than bankfull have been essentially eliminated by dams, completely disconnecting the riparian zone from riverine influence. Our analyses herein suggest that a critical threshold of disconnectivity exists and corresponds approximately to the pre-dam 5 yr flood. This similar recurrence probability exists independent of region, dam type, or catchment size.


Transactions of The American Fisheries Society | 2010

Rapid, efficient growth reduces mercury concentrations in stream-dwelling Atlantic salmon

Darren M. Ward; Keith H. Nislow; Celia Y. Chen; Carol L. Folt

Mercury (Hg) is a potent toxin that biomagnifies in aquatic food webs. Large fish generally have higher Hg concentrations than small fish of the same species. However, models predict that fish that grow large faster should have lower Hg concentrations than small, slow-growing fish due to somatic growth dilution (SGD). We examined the relationship between Hg concentrations and growth rate in fish using a large-scale field experiment. Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) fry hatched under uniform initial conditions were released at eighteen sites in natural streams, collected after one growing season, and Hg concentration and growth measured. As expected for Hg accumulation from food, mercury concentrations in salmon tracked Hg concentrations in their prey. Nonetheless, large, fast-growing salmon had lower Hg concentrations than small, slow-growing salmon, consistent with SGD. While prey Hg concentration accounted for 59% of the explained variation in salmon Hg concentration across sites, salmon growth rate accounted for 38% of the explained variation independent of prey Hg concentration. A mass-balance Hg accumulation model shows that such SGD occurs when fast growth is associated with high growth efficiency. Fish growth is tremendously variable and sensitive to anthropogenic impacts, so SGD of Hg has important implications for fisheries management.


Journal of Fish Biology | 2010

Size-dependent survival of brook trout Salvelinus fontinalis in summer: effects of water temperature and stream flow

Cailin Xu; Benjamin H. Letcher; Keith H. Nislow

A 5 year individual-based data set was used to estimate size-specific survival rates in a wild brook trout Salvelinus fontinalis population in a stream network encompassing a mainstem and three tributaries (1.5-6 m wetted width), western Massachusetts, U.S.A. The relationships between survival in summer and temperature and flow metrics derived from continuous monitoring data were then tested. Increased summer temperatures significantly reduced summer survival rates for S. fontinalis in almost all size classes in all four sites throughout the network. In contrast, extreme low summer flows reduced survival of large fish, but only in small tributaries, and had no significant effects on fish in smaller size classes in any location. These results provide direct evidence of a link between season-specific survival and environmental factors likely to be affected by climate change and have important consequences for the management of both habitats and populations.


Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences | 2010

Bioaccumulation syndrome: identifying factors that make some stream food webs prone to elevated mercury bioaccumulation

Darren M. Ward; Keith H. Nislow; Carol L. Folt

Mercury is a ubiquitous contaminant in aquatic ecosystems, posing a significant health risk to humans and wildlife that eat fish. Mercury accumulates in aquatic food webs as methylmercury (MeHg), a particularly toxic and persistent organic mercury compound. While mercury in the environment originates largely from anthropogenic activities, MeHg accumulation in freshwater aquatic food webs is not a simple function of local or regional mercury pollution inputs. Studies show that even sites with similar mercury inputs can produce fish with mercury concentrations ranging over an order of magnitude. While much of the foundational work to identify the drivers of variation in mercury accumulation has focused on freshwater lakes, mercury contamination in stream ecosystems is emerging as an important research area. Here, we review recent research on mercury accumulation in stream‐dwelling organisms. Taking a hierarchical approach, we identify a suite of characteristics of individual consumers, food webs, streams, watersheds, and regions that are consistently associated with elevated MeHg concentrations in stream fish. We delineate a conceptual, mechanistic basis for explaining the ecological processes that underlie this vulnerability to MeHg. Key factors, including suppressed individual growth of consumers, low rates of primary and secondary production, hydrologic connection to methylation sites (e.g., wetlands), heavily forested catchments, and acidification are frequently associated with increased MeHg concentrations in fish across both streams and lakes. Hence, we propose that these interacting factors define a syndrome of characteristics that drive high MeHg production and bioaccumulation rates across these freshwater aquatic ecosystems. Finally, based on an understanding of the ecological drivers of MeHg accumulation, we identify situations when anthropogenic effects and management practices could significantly exacerbate or ameliorate MeHg accumulation in stream fish.


Transactions of The American Fisheries Society | 2004

Mechanistic Linkage of Hydrologic Regime to Summer Growth of Age-0 Atlantic Salmon

Keith H. Nislow; A. J. Sepulveda; Carol L. Folt

Abstract Significant reductions in juvenile stream salmonid growth have been observed in association with low summer flow, but underlying mechanisms are poorly understood and predictive power is limited. We conducted a stage-specific analysis of the relationship between summer flow and the growth of age-0 Atlantic salmon Salmo salar in two rearing sites in the upper Connecticut River basin, New Hampshire. We contrasted effects of variation in foraging habitat availability and temperature on individual age-0 Atlantic salmon mass during one high-flow year and two low-flow years and from high- and low-flow sites within years. Overall age-0 Atlantic salmon mass was positively correlated with the availability of model-predicted favorable foraging locations and negatively correlated with density during the summer. Individual Atlantic salmon mass and the proportion of temperature-predicted maximum mass were lowest during the two low-flow years and were lower in upstream than in downstream sections. Between-year ...


Transactions of The American Fisheries Society | 2010

Dispersal and Within-Stream Spatial Population Structure of Brook Trout Revealed by Pedigree Reconstruction Analysis

Mark Hudy; Jason A. Coombs; Keith H. Nislow; Benjamin H. Letcher

Abstract Spatial patterns of spawning and early dispersal have important implications for the population dynamics of stream-dwelling salmonids, but the limitations of marking technology have made it difficult to measure these processes in wild populations. We used microsatellite DNA markers and sibship and parentage analyses to follow the dispersal, spatial distribution, and distribution of reproductive success in a small, isolated western Virginia population of brook trout Salvelinus fontinalis at 4, 16, and 28 months after fry emergence. For the 2004 year-class (high-recruitment cohort), we identified 180 full-sibling families representing individual spawning events. Offspring were unevenly distributed across families, with 16% of the families accounting for 50% of the offspring and 53% of the families being represented by fewer than three individuals. However, a large proportion of adults had some successful reproduction. Spatial and family size distributions at 4 months after emergence were similar be...


Ecological Applications | 2004

STAGE-SPECIFIC AND INTERACTIVE EFFECTS OF SEDIMENTATION AND TROUT ON A HEADWATER STREAM SALAMANDER

Winsor H. Lowe; Keith H. Nislow; Douglas T. Bolger

In species with complex life cycles, stage-specific effects of environmental conditions combine with factors regulating stage-specific recruitment to determine popu- lation-level response to habitat disturbance. The abundance of the stream salamander Gyr- inophilus porphyriticus (Plethodontidae) is negatively related to both logging-associated sedimentation and brook trout (Salvelinus fontinalis) in headwater streams throughout New Hampshire, USA. To understand the mechanisms underlying these patterns, we investigated stage-specific and interactive effects of sedimentation and brook trout on G. porphyriticus. We conducted quantitative surveys of salamanders, brook trout, and substrate embeddedness in 15 first-order streams and used a controlled experiment to test the direct and interactive effects of these factors on larval growth and survival. G. porphyriticus larvae and adults had opposite patterns of response to sediment and brook trout. Multiple regression analysis of our survey data indicated that abundance of larvae was negatively related to brook trout abundance, but unrelated to substrate embeddedness. In contrast, abundance of adults was primarily related to substrate embeddedness. Consistent with the field pattern of larval abundance, brook trout had a negative effect on growth and survival of larvae in the experiment. However, there was no effect of sediment and no interaction between brook trout and sediment. Larval and adult abundances were not significantly correlated in the study streams, indicative of the independent effects of sedimentation and brook trout on G. porphyriticus populations. These results suggest that adult resistance to fish may facilitate G. porphyriticus coexistence with brook trout, and that larval resistance to sedimentation can buffer populations from extinction in fishless streams impacted by logging. In streams with brook trout, where larval abundances are low, reductions in adult abundance caused by logging impacts may pose a risk to species persistence. Our findings underscore the value of information on species life history, demography, and community ecology in as- sessing sensitivity to anthropogenic perturbation.


Journal of Animal Ecology | 2015

Robust estimates of environmental effects on population vital rates: an integrated capture–recapture model of seasonal brook trout growth, survival and movement in a stream network

Benjamin H. Letcher; Paul Schueller; Ronald D. Bassar; Keith H. Nislow; Jason A. Coombs; Krzysztof Sakrejda; Michael B. Morrissey; Douglas B. Sigourney; Andrew R. Whiteley; Matthew J. O'Donnell; Todd L. Dubreuil

Modelling the effects of environmental change on populations is a key challenge for ecologists, particularly as the pace of change increases. Currently, modelling efforts are limited by difficulties in establishing robust relationships between environmental drivers and population responses. We developed an integrated capture-recapture state-space model to estimate the effects of two key environmental drivers (stream flow and temperature) on demographic rates (body growth, movement and survival) using a long-term (11 years), high-resolution (individually tagged, sampled seasonally) data set of brook trout (Salvelinus fontinalis) from four sites in a stream network. Our integrated model provides an effective context within which to estimate environmental driver effects because it takes full advantage of data by estimating (latent) state values for missing observations, because it propagates uncertainty among model components and because it accounts for the major demographic rates and interactions that contribute to annual survival. We found that stream flow and temperature had strong effects on brook trout demography. Some effects, such as reduction in survival associated with low stream flow and high temperature during the summer season, were consistent across sites and age classes, suggesting that they may serve as robust indicators of vulnerability to environmental change. Other survival effects varied across ages, sites and seasons, indicating that flow and temperature may not be the primary drivers of survival in those cases. Flow and temperature also affected body growth rates; these responses were consistent across sites but differed dramatically between age classes and seasons. Finally, we found that tributary and mainstem sites responded differently to variation in flow and temperature. Annual survival (combination of survival and body growth across seasons) was insensitive to body growth and was most sensitive to flow (positive) and temperature (negative) in the summer and fall. These observations, combined with our ability to estimate the occurrence, magnitude and direction of fish movement between these habitat types, indicated that heterogeneity in response may provide a mechanism providing potential resilience to environmental change. Given that the challenges we faced in our study are likely to be common to many intensive data sets, the integrated modelling approach could be generally applicable and useful.

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Benjamin H. Letcher

United States Geological Survey

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Jason A. Coombs

University of Massachusetts Amherst

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Sigurd Einum

Norwegian University of Science and Technology

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Mark Hudy

James Madison University

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