Ken Darby-Dowman

Portfolio construction based on stochastic dominance and target return distributions

Mean-risk models have been widely used in portfolio optimization. However, such models may produce portfolios that are dominated with respect to second order stochastic dominance and therefore not optimal for rational and risk-averse investors. This paper considers the problem of constructing a portfolio which is non-dominated with respect to second order stochastic dominance and whose return distribution has specified desirable properties. The problem is multi-objective and is transformed into a single objective problem by using the reference point method, in which target levels, known as aspiration points, are specified for the objective functions. A model is proposed in which the aspiration points relate to ordered outcomes for the portfolio return. This concept is extended by additionally specifying reservation points, which act pre-emptively in the optimization model. The theoretical properties of the models are studied. The performance of the models on real data drawn from the Hang Seng index is also investigated.

A Two-Stage Stochastic Programming with Recourse Model for Determining Robust Planting Plans in Horticulture

A two-stage stochastic programming with recourse model for the problem of determining optimal planting plans for a vegetable crop is presented in this paper. Uncertainty caused by factors such as weather on yields is a major influence on many systems arising in horticulture. Traditional linear programming models are generally unsatisfactory in dealing with the uncertainty and produce solutions that are considered to involve an unacceptable level of risk. The first stage of the model relates to finding a planting plan which is common to all scenarios and the second stage is concerned with deriving a harvesting schedule for each scenario. Solutions are obtained for a range of risk aversion factors that not only result in greater expected profit compared to the corresponding deterministic model, but also are more robust.

Properties of Some Combinatorial Optimization Problemsand Their Effect on the Performance of Integer Programming and Constraint Logic Programming

The comparative performance of Integer Programming (IP) and Constraint Logic Programming (CLP) is explored by examining a number of models for four different combinatorial optimization applications. Computational results show contrasting behavior for the two approaches, and an analysis of performance with respect to problem and model characteristics is presented. The analysis shows that tightness of formulation is of great benefit to CLP where effective search reduction results in problems that can be solved quickly. In IP, if the linear feasible region does not identify the corresponding integer polytope, the problem may be difficult to solve. The paper identifies other characteristics of model behavior and concludes by examining ways in which IP and CLP may be incorporated within hybrid solvers.

Constraint Logic Programming and Integer Programming approaches and their collaboration in solving an assignment scheduling problem

Generalised Assignment Problems (GAP), traditionally solved by Integer Programming techniques, are addressed in the light of current Constraint Programming methods. A scheduling application from manufacturing, based on a modified GAP, is used to examine the performance of each technique under a variety of problem characteristics. Experimental evidence showed that, for a set of assignment problems, Constraint Logic Programming (CLP) performed consistently better than Integer Programming (IP). Analysis of the CLP and IP processes identified ways in which the search was effective. The insight gained from the analysis led to an Integer Programming approach with significantly improved performance. Finally, the issue of collaboration between the two contrasting approaches is examined with respect to ways in which the solvers can be combined in an effective manner.

Interfaces with Other DisciplinesRobust optimization and portfolio selection: The cost of robustness

Robust optimization is a tractable alternative to stochastic programming particularly suited for problems in which parameter values are unknown, variable and their distributions are uncertain. We evaluate the cost of robustness for the robust counterpart to the maximum return portfolio optimization problem. The uncertainty of asset returns is modelled by polyhedral uncertainty sets as opposed to the earlier proposed ellipsoidal sets. We derive the robust model from a min-regret perspective and examine the properties of robust models with respect to portfolio composition. We investigate the effect of different definitions of the bounds on the uncertainty sets and show that robust models yield well diversified portfolios, in terms of the number of assets and asset weights.

A co-operative parallel heuristic for mixed zero-one linear programming: Combining simulated annealing with branch and bound

Abstract This paper considers the exact approach of branch and bound (B&B) and the metaheuristic known as simulated annealing (SA) for processing integer programs (IP). We extend an existing SA implementation (GPSIMAN) for pure zero–one integer programs (PZIP) to process a wider class of IP models, namely mixed zero–one integer programs (MZIP). The extensions are based on depth-first B&B searches at different points within the SA framework. We refer to the resultant SA implementation as MIPSA. Furthermore, we have exploited the use of parallel computers by designing a co-operative parallel heuristic whereby concurrent executions of B&B and MIPSA, linked through a parallel computer, exchange information in order to influence their searches. Results reported for a wide range of models taken from a library of MIP benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of using a parallel computing approach which combines B&B with SA.

Bernoulli schedule vacation queue with batch arrivals and random system breakdowns having general repair time distribution

We analyse a single server queue with general service time distribution, random system breakdowns and Bernoulli schedule server vacations where after a service completion, the server may decide to leave the system with probability p, or to continue serving customers with probability 1−p. It is assumed that the customers arrive to the system in batches of variable size, but served one by one. If the system breaks down, it enters a repair process immediately. It is assumed that the repair time has general distribution, while the vacation time has exponential distribution. The purpose is to find the steady-state results in explicit and closed form in terms of the probability-generating functions for the number of customers in the queue, the average number of customers and the average waiting time in the queue. Some special cases of interest are discussed and a numerical illustration is provided.

Developments in linear and integer programming

In this review we describe recent developments in linear and integer (linear) programming. For over 50 years Operational Research practitioners have made use of linear optimisation models to aid decision making and over this period the size of problems that can be solved has increased dramatically, the time required to solve problems has decreased substantially and the flexibility of modelling and solving systems has increased steadily. Large models are no longer confined to large computers, and the flexibility of optimisation systems embedded in other decision support tools has made on-line decision making using linear programming a reality (and using integer programming a possibility). The review focuses on recent developments in algorithms, software and applications and investigates some connections between linear optimisation and other technologies.

Algorithms for network piecewise-linear programs: A comparative study

Abstract Piecewise-Linear Programming (PLP) is an important area of Mathematical Programming and concerns the minimisation of a convex separable piecewise-linear objective function, subject to linear constraints. In this paper a subarea of PLP called Network Piecewise-Linear Programming (NPLP) is explored. The paper presents four specialised algorithms for NPLP: (Strongly Feasible) Primal Simplex, Dual Method, Out-of-Kilter and (Strongly Polynomial) Cost-Scaling and their relative efficiency is studied. A statistically designed experiment is used to perform a computational comparison of the algorithms. The response variable observed in the experiment is the CPU time to solve randomly generated network piecewise-linear problems classified according to problem class (Transportation, Transshipment and Circulation), problem size, extent of capacitation, and number of breakpoints per arc. Results and conclusions on performance of the algorithms are reported.

The Application of Preprocessing and Cutting Plane Techniques for a Class of Production Planning Problems

This paper investigates properties of integer programming models for a class of production planning problems. The models are developed within a decision support system to advise a sales team of the products on which to focus their efforts in gaining new orders in the short term. The products generally require processing on several manufacturing cells and involve precedence relationships. The cells are already (partially) committed with products for stock and to satisfy existing orders and therefore only the residual capacities of each cell in each time period of the planning horizon are considered. The determination of production recommendations to the sales team that make use of residual capacities is a nontrivial optimization problem. Solving such models is computationally demanding and techniques for speeding up solution times are highly desirable. An integer programming model is developed and various preprocessing techniques are investigated and evaluated. In addition, a number of cutting plane approaches have been applied. The performance of these approaches which are both general and application specific is examined.