Kenneth E. Frost

Integrated Control of Potato Pathogens Through Seed Potato Certification and Provision of Clean Seed Potatoes

Long-term data sets are rare in agriculture, and the impact of plant diseases on food production is challenging to measure, which makes it difficult to assess the impact of policy changes or research-based disease control efforts. Despite this challenge, it is clear that one of the largest impacts of biological research on food security over the past century has been in production of vegetatively propagated fruit and vegetable crops such as potato. The yield and quality of these crops is higher in countries that have effective plant propagation and certification systems. Of these systems, seed potato production and certification is among the most developed. We analyzed a dataset from a century-old seed potato certification program in Wisconsin to assess the efficacy for potato disease control and the cost of this program compared to other disease control and potato production costs. We found that over the past century, certification has gradually reduced the incidence of mechanically transmitted vascular potato pathogens that lack insect vectors to undetectable levels, and much of this reduction occurred prior to the use of tissue culture and the development of immunoassays. Rejection of seed lots from certification is now rare, with Potato virus Y (PVY), a virus spread nonpersistently by numerous, noncolonizing aphid species, and farmer errors being the main causes of rejection. PVY level increases occurred in 2000, coincident with the first detection of a new invasive vector, soybean aphid, in the Midwest. The increased PVY incidence was more pronounced in varieties that exhibit mild foliar symptoms. Starting in 2004, a decrease in PVY incidence occurred following comprehensive science-based changes to early generation seed potato production. The cost of the certification program has not increased in two decades, and the fees charged are comparable to those in 1913. The cooperative nature of the seed potato certification program has contributed to its sustainability across generations. However, looming soilborne disease problems are not easily addressed by certification and will likely cause significant challenges in the future.

Strain-Specific Resistance to Potato virus Y (PVY) in Potato and Its Effect on the Relative Abundance of PVY Strains in Commercial Potato Fields

Potato virus Y (PVY) is a serious threat to potato production due to effects on tuber yield and quality, in particular, due to induction of potato tuber necrotic ringspot disease (PTNRD), typically associated with recombinant strains of PVY. These recombinant strains have been spreading in the United States for the past several years, although the reasons for this continuing spread remained unclear. To document and assess this spread between 2011 and 2015, strain composition of PVY isolates circulating in the Columbia Basin potato production area was determined from hundreds of seed lots of various cultivars. The proportion of nonrecombinant PVYO isolates circulating in Columbia Basin potato dropped ninefold during this period, from 63% of all PVY-positive plants in 2011 to less than 7% in 2015. This drop in PVYO was concomitant with the rise of the recombinant PVYN-Wi strain incidence, from less than 27% of all PVY-positive plants in 2011 to 53% in 2015. The proportion of the PVYNTN recombinant strain, associated with PTNRD symptoms in susceptible cultivars, increased from 7% in 2011 to approximately 24% in 2015. To further address the shift in strain abundance, screenhouse experiments were conducted and revealed that three of the four most popular potato cultivars grown in the Columbia Basin exhibited strain-specific resistance against PVYO. Reduced levels of systemic movement of PVYO in such cultivars would favor spread of recombinant strains in the field. The negative selection against the nonrecombinant PVYO strain is likely caused by the presence of the Nytbr gene identified in potato cultivars in laboratory experiments. Presence of strain-specific resistance genes in potato cultivars may represent the driving force changing PVY strain composition to predominantly recombinant strains in potato production areas.

Survival of Isolates of the US-22, US-23, and US-24 Clonal Lineages of Phytophthora infestans by Asexual Means in Tomato Seed at Cold Temperatures

Survival of Phytophthora infestans, causal agent of potato and tomato late blight, is thought to be negligible when exposed to freezing conditions typical of a Wisconsin winter. However, the persistence of relatively new P. infestans clonal lineages US-22, US-23, and US-24 within a production region during 2010 to 2014 warranted further investigation. We used tomato seed as a culture medium to determine the survival of P. infestans isolates representing the three lineages under temperatures of 18, 4, 0, -3, and -5°C for 11 time points (1 to 112 days postincubation). Survival varied interactively with temperature, duration of time at a temperature, and clonal lineage of the P. infestans isolate. US-22, -23, and -24 isolates survived for 112 days at 18 and 4°C, 84 days at 0°C, and 14 days at -3°C. US-23 survived longer at -3 and -5°C than did US-22 or US-24. The vigor of US-22 and US-24 isolates decreased with increasing exposure to cold temperatures, a trend that was not observed for the US-23 isolate. By calculating the length of time needed to kill the lineage isolates on infested tomato seed at five temperatures, we predicted that P. infestans would survive in 5% of tomato seed for 99, 25, and 16 days at 0, -3, and -5°C, respectively. We further applied a degree-day model to our empirical data to describe P. infestans survival as a function of cooling degree-day accumulations using archived soil temperatures at 5- and 10-cm depths at four Wisconsin locations over 27 years. The model indicated that survival of P. infestans in 5% of infested tomato seed would occur at 35 and 39% of the location-year combinations at 5- and 10-cm soil depths, respectively. Together, these data suggested that P. infestans has the potential to survive over the winter season by asexual means in infested tomato seed in Wisconsin and other Northern latitudes. Our cooling degree-day model for late blight in the tomato production system offers a tool for anticipating and mitigating disease based on integrated pest management concepts previously utilized for insects.

Identification of Environmental Factors Related to Claviceps purpurea Ascospore Production in Perennial Ryegrass Seed Fields and Development of Predictive Models

Claviceps purpurea, the causal agent of ergot of perennial ryegrass seed crops, overwinters as sclerotia in the soil and releases airborne ascospores in the spring that infect flower ovaries and replace seed with sclerotia. Burkard spore traps were used to quantify the dispersal phenology and concentration of ascospores in perennial ryegrass seed fields in the Columbia Basin of Oregon. Weather factors were measured concurrently with spore trapping. Nonparametric regression, box-and-whisker plots, and univariate analysis were used to visualize and identify trends between ascospore concentrations and weather variables. Most ascospores (75.4%) were trapped when minimum soil temperatures were between 16.2 and 20.4°C. Over 67% of the total ascospores trapped were observed when minimum air temperatures were between 6.8 and 12.4°C and 64% of ascospores were trapped when daily mean dew point was between 3.7 and 8.2°C. Environmental favorability index (EFI) models were developed and validated based on their ability to predict ascospore occurrence. The EFI models were able to predict ascospore occurrence with an accuracy of 71.7 to 87.5% depending on the year. The models were up to 79.8% accurate when validated using three years of historical spore trap data not used in the EFI model development. Ninety-four percent of ascospores were trapped when cumulative air degree days, using lower and upper thresholds of 10 and 25°C, respectively, were between 230 and 403. These results suggest that weather parameters can be used to model C. purpurea ascospore occurrence and potentially improve the timing and efficacy of fungicide applications by identifying when plant protection is most needed.